The Markov Property - Ulm · 2015-06-24 · Seite 10Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its...

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The Markov Property Andr ´ e Steck | 22.06.2015 | Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its applications

Transcript of The Markov Property - Ulm · 2015-06-24 · Seite 10Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its...

Page 1: The Markov Property - Ulm · 2015-06-24 · Seite 10Seminar on Stochastic Geometry and its applications j The Markov Property j 22.06.2015 Definition - N ˝; M ˝ and F (m) Let ˝be

The Markov Property

Andre Steck | 22.06.2015 | Seminar on Stochastic Geometryand its applications

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Motion of a small particle in a moving liquid

I b(t,x) ∈ R3 velocity of the fluidI Xt ∈ R3 position of particle at time tI σ(t , x) ∈ R3×3

I Bt 3-dim. Brownian motion

dXt = b(t ,Xt )dt + σ(t ,Xt )dBt

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Definition - A (time-homogeneous) Ito diffusion

is a stochastic process Xt (ω) : [0,∞)× Ω→ Rn

satisfying a SDE of the form

dXt = b(Xt )dt + σ(Xt )dBt , t ≥ s, Xs = x

where Bt is a m-dim. Brownian motion, andb : Rn → Rn, σ : Rn → Rn×m satisfying the condition|b(x)− b(y)|+ |σ(x)− σ(y)| ≤ D|x − y |; x , y ∈ Rn

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Remarks

I We denote the (unique) solution of the SDE byXt = X s,x

t if s > 0 ( X xt if s=0), t ≥ s

I The Ito diffusion has the property of beingtime-homogeneous, i.e. for s ≥ 0X s,x

s+hh≥0, and X xh h≥0 have the same

P0-distribution.

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LetM∞ be the σ-Algebra generated by the Ito diffusionXt (ω).Define Qx by

Qx [Xt1 ∈ E1, ...,Xtk ∈ Ek ] = P0[X xt1 ∈ E1, ...,X x

tk ∈ Ek ]

where Ei ⊂ Rn are Borel sets;P0 the probability law of Bt starting in 0.Furthermore letF (m)

t be the σ-Algebra generated by Br ; r ≤ t andMt the σ-Algebra generated by Xr ; r ≤ t

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Theorem - The Markov Property

Let f be a bounded Borel function from Rn to R and Xtan Ito diffusion. Then for t ,h ≥ 0 it holds a.s. (w.r.t. P0 )

Ex [f (Xt+h)|F (m)t ](ω) = EXt (ω)[f (Xh)]

Ex denotes the expectation w.r.t. Qx .Ey [f (Xh)] means E[f (X y

h )], where E denotes theexpectation w.r.t. P0

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Remarks

I Definition: A (time-continuous) stochstic ProcessXt : t ≥ 0 is called a (time-continuous) MarkovProcess, if it fulfills the Markov Property.

I SinceMt ⊆ F (m)t ,Xt is also a Markov Process w.r.t.

the σ-algebras Mtt≥0

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Definition - (strict) stopping time

Let Ntt≥0 be an increasing family of σ-algebras (ofsubsets of Ω).A function τ : Ω→ [0,∞] is called a (strict) stopping timew.r.t. Nt, if

ω; τ(ω) ≤ t ∈ Nt , for all t ≥ 0.

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Example - first exit time

Let Xt be an Ito diffusion and U ⊂ Rn.Define τU = inft > 0; Xt /∈ U.Then τU is a stopping time (w.r.t.Mt ).

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Definition - Nτ , Mτ and F (m)τ

Let τ be a stopping time w.r.t. Nt and let N∞ be thesmallest σ-algebra containing Nt for all t ≥ 0.Then Nτ consists of all sets N ∈ N∞ such that

N ∩ τ ≤ t ∈ Nt for all t ≥ 0.

In the case when Nt =Mt

Mτ = the σ − algebra generated by Xmin(s,τ); s ≥ 0

In the case when Nt = F (m)t

F (m)τ = the σ − algebra generated by Bmin(s,τ); s ≥ 0

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Theorem - The Strong Markov Property

Let f be a bounded Borel function on Rn,Xt an Itodiffusion and τ a stopping time w.r.t. F (m)

t , τ <∞ a.s.Then it holds a.s. (w.r.t. P0)

Ex [f (Xτ+h)|F (m)τ ] = EXτ [f (Xh)] for all h ≥ 0.

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Literature

Bernt Øksendal, Stochastic differential equations,Springer, 2003