Political Barometer

June 2015

POLITICAL BAROMETER Νο145|6-2015

COMPANY:

TYPE & METHOD:

PUBLIC ISSUE

Member of: WAPOR, ESOMAR, SEDEA, PΕSS

Quantitative survey conducted by telephone interviews based on a structured

questionnaire

PUBLISHED BY: Newspaper AVGI

SURVEY PROFILE

Political Barometer is a monthly telephone opinion survey conducted by Public Issue since 2004

F.2

POPULATION:

AREA:

SAMPLE:

PERIOD:

SAMPLING METHOD:

STANDARD ERROR:

INTERVIEWERS:

NOTE:

questionnaire

General population aged 18 and over

Nationwide

Multi-stage, stratified

+/- 3.2% at a confidence interval of 95%

The sample size is 1.006 people

11-17/6/2015

26 interviewers and 3 supervisors

Due to rounding, some distributions may not add up to 100%

May-June 2015June 2015

OPINION ON GOVERNMENT’S NEGOTIATIONS ON THE DEBTWhat do you think about the government’s negotiations on the debt? Would you say that you

approve or disapprove of them?May-June 2015

41

16

Definitely approve

Rather approve

35

19

41

16

Definitely approve

Rather approve

F.3

4

8

26

2

3

Neither/nor

Rather disapprove

Definitely disapprove

There is no negotiation

No opinion

3

10

27

2

4

16

4

8

26

2

3

Neither/nor

Rather disapprove

Definitely disapprove

There is no negotiation

No opinion

5/2015

6/2015

March-June 2015June 2015

No opinion

5%

5863

5458

Approve Disapprove

OPINION ON GOVERNMENT’S NEGOTIATIONS ON THE DEBTWhat do you think about the government’s negotiations on the debt? Would you say that you

approve or disapprove of them?May-June 2015

F.4

Approve

57%

Neither/nor

4%

Disapprove

34%

5854

58

3228

3734

3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015

58%

May-June 2015May-June 2015

37

34

Retreat

19

18

18

Definitely retreat

OPINION ON THE GOVERNMENT'S STAND IN THE NEGOTIATIONSSome argue that the government should retreat and compromise with the partners / lenders. Others argue that the government should not

retreat and not compromise with the partners / lenders. Regardless of your party preference, what do you think the government should do

with the partners / lenders? Definitely retreat, rather retreat, rather not retreat, definitely not retreat?

May-June 2015

Should: Should:

F.5

59

4

62

4

Not retreat

No opinion5/2015

6/2015

18

15

43

4

17

12

50

3

Rather retreat

Rather not retreat

Definitely not retreat

No opinion

5/2015

6/2015

Vote in 1/2015 Parliamentary electionTotal

OPINION ON THE GOVERNMENT'S STAND IN THE NEGOTIATIONSJune 2015

No

opinion

4%

15

69

84

25

1

6

SYRIZA

ND

Should:

F.6

Retreat

34%

Not

retreat

62%

19

63

19

24

67

77

30

77

76

25

4

7

4

8

GD*

ΤHE RIVER*

ΚΚΕ*

ANEL*

PASOK*

Retreat Not retreat No opinion

* Indicative data due to small numerical base

April-June 2015June 2015

Rather the

partners

and

Both sides

the same

9%

DEBT NEGOTIATION: WHO BENEFITS MORE?In your opinion, from the negotiation between Greece and its partners and lenders so far, who benefits more? Rather

Greece, rather the partners and lenders, both sides the same, none of the two sides?

April-June 2015

47

Rather Greece

Rather the partners and lenders

Both sides the same

None of the two sides

F.7

Rather

Greece

16%

and

lenders

40%

None of

the two

sides

32%

No opinion

3%

14

10

16

39

47

40

22

13

9

21

27

32

4/2015 5/2015 6/2015

May-June 2015June 2015

52The Parliament (i.e. the

Members and Parties currently

represented) should decide on it

Election must be held and each

56

52

The Parliament (i.e. the

Members and Parties

currently represented) should

decide on it

Election must be held and

WHO SHOULD TAKE THE DECISION IN CASE OF AN AGREEMENTSuppose that the government reaches a compromise and agreement with the partners/lenders on the new measures

including changes in wages, pensions, taxes and privatizations. In your opinion, who should take the decision in case of

an agreement?

May-June 2015

F.8

6

37

5

1

Election must be held and each

party should take sides on the

agreement and the measures to

be included

Referendum must be held for

the approval or the rejection of

the agreement

None of these / Other

No opinion

6

34

3

2

6

37

5

1

Election must be held and

each party should take sides

on the agreement and the

measures to be included

Referendum must be held for

the approval or the rejection

of the agreement

None of these / Other

No opinion

5/2015

6/2015

Current votersVote in 1/2015 Parliamentary election

42

67

6

7

47

21

5

5

1

1

SYRIZA

ND

43

66

4

10

47

19

4

4

1SYRIZA

ND

WHO SHOULD TAKE THE DECISION IN CASE OF AN AGREEMENTSuppose that the government reaches a compromise and agreement with the partners/lenders on the new measures

including changes in wages, pensions, taxes and privatizations. In your opinion, who should take the decision in case of

an agreement?

Vote in 1/2015 Parliamentary election & Current voters

F.9* Indicative data due to small numerical base

31

65

43

42

76

8

7

13

3

2

62

28

32

53

16

11

3

42

GD*

ΤHE RIVER*

ΚΚΕ*

ANEL*

PASOK*

The Parliament should decide on it Election

Referendum None of these / Other

No opinion

37

78

44

38

82

7

9

13

3

3

52

7

33

56

10

4

5

9

3

5

GD*

ΤHE RIVER*

ΚΚΕ*

ANEL*

PASOK*

The Parliament should decide on it Election

Referendum None of these / Other

No opinion

Vote in 1/2015 Parliamentary electionJune 2015

No opinion

1%

7

12

92

88

1

1

SYRIZA

ND

NECESSITY OF HOLDING ELECTIONToday in Greece, is it rather necessary or rather not necessary to hold election?

June 2015

F.10

Rather

necessary

9%

Rather not

necessary

90%

1%

23

5

6

11

8

73

95

94

87

92

4

3

GD*

ΤHE RIVER*

ΚΚΕ*

ANEL*

PASOK*

Rather necessary Rather not necessary No opinion

* Indicative data due to small numerical base

February – June 2015June 2015

OPINION OF THE EUROPEAN UNION February – June 2015

No

opinion

2%

6158

Positive Negative

F.11

Positive

42%

Negative

56%

61

50

58

48

42

36

48

41

50

57

2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015

57%

February – June 2015June 2015

OPINION ABOUT THE EUROFebruary – June 2015

No

opinion

1% 7671 71 69

63

Positive Negative

F.12

Positive

63%Negative

36%

6963

20

28 27 29

36

2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015

Vote in 1/2015 Parliamentary election

52

93

43

6

6

1

SYRIZA

ND

June 2015

VOTE IN A POSSIBLE REFERENDUM ON THE EUROJune 2015

65In favor

F.13* Indicative data due to small numerical base

42

93

42

47

78

58

5

51

47

16

2

8

5

6

GD*

ΤHE RIVER*

ΚΚΕ*

ANEL*

PASOK*

In favor Against No opinion

31

5

Against

No opinion

7370

73 7165In favor

VOTE IN A POSSIBLE REFERENDUM ON THE EUROFebruary - June 2015

F.14

2026

23 2531

2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015

Against

February – June 2015June 2015

The same

12%

No opinion68 69 68

Somewhat better Somewhat worse

The same

OPINION ABOUT THE CONSEQUENCES IN CASE OF

REVERTING TO THE DRACHMAFebruary – June 2015

F.15

Somewhat

better

22%

Somewhat

worse

62%

No opinion

4%

18 19 1519 22

6368 69 68

62

128

11 10 12

2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015

February – June 2015June 2015

Already

bankrupted

6% No opinion

2% 67

5861

Likely Unlikely Already bankrupted

LIKELIHOOD OF THE GREEK STATE’S BANKRUPTCYAs far as you know or have heard, how likely is the Greek state to go bankrupt in the next 12 months?

February – June 2015

F.16

Likely

41%

Unlikely

51%

23

31 32

3841

5861

54 52

7 84 6 6

2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 5/2016

52%

Vote in 1/2015 Parliamentary electionJune 2015

ATTITUDES TOWARDS THE PUBLIC DEBTIn your opinion, what should Greece do with its public debt?

June 2015

7Continue to implement the

measures of the Memorandum and

pay the debt

2

15

68

73

26

9

4

3

SYRIZA

ND

F.17

67

22

4

Negotiate with creditors to pay less

of it

Not pay the debt to the creditors

No opinion

12

12

2

3

16

54

74

45

55

80

31

7

47

39

4

7

6

3

4

GD*

ΤHE RIVER*

ΚΚΕ*

ANEL*

PASOK*

Continue to implement the measures of the Memorandum and pay the debt

Negotiate with creditors to pay less of it

Not pay the debt to the creditors

No opinion

* Indicative data due to small numerical base

70

7973

67

Continue to implement the

measures of the Memorandum

and pay the debt

ATTITUDES TOWARDS THE PUBLIC DEBTIn your opinion, what should Greece do with its public debt?

January - June 2015

F.18

13

611

7

9

11 12

22

1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 6/2015

Negotiate with creditors to pay

less of it

Not pay the debt to the

creditors

29

34

57

62

60

39

POPULARITY OF FOREIGN INCUMBENTSJune 2015

Vladimir Putin

Barack Obama

Angela Merkel

Jean-Claude Juncker

F.19

52

56

71

72

81

39

27

23

14

14

NEGATIVE POSITIVE

Jean-Claude Juncker

Mario Draghi

Christine Lagarde

Jeroen Dijsselbloem

Wolfgang Schäuble

POPULARITY OF FOREIGN INCUMBENTS

Vladimir Putin Barack Obama Angela Merkel

7062

2429

72

60

2434

16

39

82

57

Δ.20

Jean-Claude Juncker Christine Lagarde Wolfgang Schäuble

2/2015 6/2015

Positive Negative

2/2015 6/2015 2/2015 6/2015

2839

4452

4/2010 6/2015

15 14

81 81

2/2015 6/2015

23 23

6471

5/2012 6/2015

27

53

48

74

44

39

Alexis Tsipras

Panos Kammenos

Dimitris Koutsoumpas

POLITICAL LEADERS POPULARITY«Now you will hear the names of some politicians and I would like you

to tell me your opinion about them: Positive or negative?»June 2015

F.21

57

70

74

41

84

39

29

24

53

11

NEGATIVE POSITIVE

Stavros Theodorakis

Antonis Samaras

Vangelis Venizelos*

Fofi Gennimata**

Nikos Michaloliakos

*11/6/15-13/6/15

**15/6/15-17/6/15

May-15

13-19/5/2015

Jun-15

11-17/6/2015

Μεταβολή

(+/-)

A.Tsipras 77 74 -3

P.Kammenos 48 44 -4

D.Koutsoumpas 40 39 -1

POLITICAL LEADERS POPULARITYPositive opinion

May-June 2015

F.22

D.Koutsoumpas 40 39 -1

S.Theodorakis 41 39 -2

A.Samaras 28 29 +1

V.Venizelos* 20 24 +4

Fofi Gennimata** - 53 -

N.Michaloliakos 8 11 +3

*11/6/15-13/6/15

**15/6/15-17/6/15

75

5955

5954

Very much / Quite

Y.VAROUFAKIS - GREEK MINISTER OF FINANCE - TRUST IN THE HANDLING OF THE ECONOMY

Regarding his efforts to tackle the economic problems currently facing the country, how much do you trust Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis?

February - June 2015

F.23

24

4043

4045

2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015

Little / Not at all

62

BEST PRIME MINISTERBetween Alexis Tsipras and Antonis Samaras, who would you say is the most appropriate

for Prime Minister? Antonis Samaras or Alexis Tsipras?June 2015

F.24

2015

3

Alexis Tsipras Antonis Samaras None No opinion

SATISFACTION WITH GOVERNMENT & MAIN OPPOSITION PARTYJune 2015

43

56

88

F.25

43

11

Satisfied Dissatisfied

Gonernment Main opposition party

52

BEST GOVERNMENT FOR THE COUNTRYJune 2015

(-2)

F.26

17

28

4

SYRIZA-ANEL

government

ND government None No opinion

(-2)

(-1)

(+5)

February-June 2015June 2015

Neither

friendly

nor hostile

17%

No opinion

Rather friendly

Rather hostile

Neither friendly nor hostile

ATTITUDE OF TV CHANNELS TOWARDS THE GOVERNMENTGenerally speaking, how would you characterize the attitude of most TV channels towards

the government, rather friendly or rather hostile?February-June 2015

F.27

Rather

friendly

29%

Rather

hostile

49%

No opinion

5% 56

41

28 29

25

34

49 49

13

20 2017

2/2015 3/2015 5/2015 6/2015

47,5

19,5

6,5

SYRIZA

ND

GD

VOTE ESTIMATE11-17/6/2015

(+/-3%)

UNDECIDEDS, ABSTAINERS &

REFUSALS: 19.5%

(+/-2%)

(+/-1%)

F.28

6,5

5,5

4

4,5

2

4

ΤHE RIVER

ΚΚΕ

ANEL

PASOK

Union of Centrists

OTHER

(+/-1,5%)

(+/-1%)

(+/-1,5%)

(+/-1%)

(+/-1%)