Οικονομικά & Ναυτιλιακά Νέα

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ΕΤΟΣ 64 • ΜΑΡΤΙΟΣ 2013 • ΤΕΥΧΟΣ 1104 • ΤΙΜΗ 5€ με τη συνεργασια του οικονομικου και πολιτικου SITE www.reporter.gr ΠΛΗΡΩΜΕΝΟ ΤΕΛΟΣ Ταχ. Γραφείο Κ.Ε.Μ.Π. ΚΡΥΟΝΕΡΙΟΥ Αριθμός Αδείας 3760 P R E S S P O S T P R E S S P O S T x+7 αγορεσ “Bulls” οι αναλυτές “Bear” η FED εΠεΝΔΥσεΙσ Υδατοδρόμια & τουρισμός στο επίκεντρο της ανάπτυξης θεμα Από τους αιμοσταγείς Bonnie & Clyde στους «αναίμακτους» ληστές του διαδικτύου γεΩΠοΛΙΤΙΚα Η πυρηνική απειλή της Βόρειας Κορέας ΝαΥΤΙΛΙα Οι μετοχές των ελληνικών ναυτιλιακών ανεβαίνουν σε Λονδίνο & Νέα Υόρκη

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Τεύχος 1104

Transcript of Οικονομικά & Ναυτιλιακά Νέα

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    - - - , -

    , , , . - , - , , , (;) , . , , - , - . - . . - -. , - , - -, - , - ( , , ).

    EDITORIAL

    h

    > [email protected]

    , - , -, , - . , - , -

    - - , - ... 23 , - -, bachelor - , , , online sites , - . , : 368 , . - , . , , -, , .

  • EDITORIAL

  • - , , - -

    , - . 1980 - - . 1988, - , - . - - -, , - . - , - . - - , - 60% ., , - 25. , , - -, World Energy Outlook 2012, - (International Energy Agency), 2035 - 5,9 , -, -, 2011. - -. - -, 3 . 2012-2035,

    08

    , .

  • 09

    1.400 . . , . , , -, . . - . 1994 - , - . , 2364, , . 2004 - -, - 148 MW, .. 2005 - - 390 W Elpedison .. 2008 - - 334 MW, . 2010 ( - 435 MW), 2010 Elpedison, - , 421 MW. . . - . 2.200.000 KWh , . -, , .

    ( ), -, - . - . , - , - , -, , . , , 90%. ., , . 2000, - ( LNG) , -, () - . 51% - 49% , management. - () . , - .

    | |

  • 10

    - : , . .

    , -, . - : - , - , - - , . , O - . , O - . ; , - -, -, ... , - - , . , , , - - .

    , . - . -, - , . -

    , - . - :, , -, - - . , , , -

    > [email protected]

    - - - . , , - , - . , , - . - . , - . - , - . , , -

    -

    . , -. , - ( ) . - . - , . , .

  • 12

    . . -

    , . , , , ... ;, . , . , , . ;, . . ;, . , - , . - , . , -, - , -. , , - . , , . , -- , , 15%, - - . , - -

    , . , , - , , . -, . ... 2007

    2010 20%, . -, 0% . - 15,6% 120% ... -. - -

    . -. - , , . - - - . , - , . , - : . -

    , - - , - -

    -. , - - , -

    > [email protected]

  • 13

    . , - - - -

    , - - . , - - .

    : - , - , - -. , - - . - . -

    2014 , . , 2013 .

    . . - - . - - - Eurogroup . - . , - -. 2012-- 2013 - -. - . - - , - 15 . , - - . , - . - - .

    . - - -. - - , -: -. - . - -. 2009 2012 ... 9 -. - -: 15 . , -, 2008 15% ..., 2012 2,9%. : - 2010-2012 75% - - 2001-2009. - - . - -. . - , , ., - , - - . -, , -.

    O

  • 14

  • HN FED

    | |

    15

    Fed, assets , sell-off .

  • - -

    - - .

    FED - -

    Fed - , - Fed - . , : - - - Q.E., Q.E. - - . Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter, - Fed , bullish , - . , - . - ,

    bullish . Gartman Fed, Q.E., Fed assets, - ... Fed - . Gartman .

    K sEll; -

    , funds - . - - , - .O BofA Merrill Lynch -

    , - - 99% 2002 , - . Bull & Bear BofA, o - hedge funds , long , - - . 9,6 ( 0 bearish 10 bullish). - - 99% - , . - , hedge funds .

    16

  • J.P.M. . ,

    BNP Paribas , , , - -10% -, - Love/Panic BNP Paribas - sell, buy, sell. , , . , - , , . - , - .

    DEutCHE BaNK:

    Deutsche Bank - - , - . options , - - premium. , -

    , , - vIX, , , trade - .H Deutsche Bank - - , , - , , , - . D : ) - call option 2013 0,6% spot, ) , call 105-115% spread 2013, 105-115 2,2% spot.

    soCiEtE GENEralE: BluE CHips

    A blue chips (Stoxx Europe 50) - - - , Socit Gnrale. Euro Stoxx 50 blue chips . Euro Stoxx 50 -

    Stoxx Europe 50 10,5% ..., . Mario Draghi, , - . - , beta.O beta , Stoxx Europe 50, - beta 0,7% Euro Stoxx 50, - . - (, , ), SocGen -, Stoxx Europe 50. Stoxx Europe 50 , - .

    GolDmaN saCHs: a Peter Oppenheimer, -

    Goldman Sachs, - - - . -, , -

    | |

    17

  • ., , 12 , - . , PMI, - -, - , , - , 2014. Ian Harnett, - Absolute Strategy, - , sell-off , - . , - 10% . - . , , - , - - . Goldman Sachs , , - - . Bunds - -

    , , - , - . - - , , Goldman. - 3% - , , , - 2016.

    J. p. morGaN:

    - , , - J. P. Morgan Asset Management, , , , - risk assets - , - - . , - -

    - ..., - . - , - - . , , . - , -, , , - . , - -, 200 , 80%. Credit Suisse, , - , . - J.P.M., - . , - -

    , FuNDS . ,

    18

  • - . , o o , - , ., - -. - -. - . ..., , - -

    , ,

    -

    Chevreux, , , - 5 10% . - , - . - - , . -

    Russell Investments, . Wouter Sturkenboom, - , , . - - 5 10% p/e MSCI Europe - 10,5 - 11,8, - . Stewart Richard-son, RMG Wealth Management, - - bullish - . , , . -, , - , , Ouri Mimran Natixis. , , .

    | |

    19

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    -, , - - - -

    1,40 . -

    .

    BNP PariBas BNP Paribas, - Fed PMI bullish 1,38 . -

    - , Wolfgang Schaeuble, , - -, - . bullish -

    2012 , PMI , 1,37, 2011.

    O

    ;

  • 21

    , BNP Paribas - long 1,2305, - 1,20, 1,28 .

    MorgaN staNley Morgan Stanley, buy - , 1,40 . bullish Morgan Stanley , , , - - .. , - MS, -

    | |

    . assets - , , -, assets - . MS, (dovish) ... assets , - .

    goldMaN sachs 1,40 ... laissez-faire , - , Goldman Sachs. FX . , , - - - , . , ... laissez-faire . , ..., ..., -, - . , - - 1,40 , -

    ... - .

    Morgan Stanley Credit Suisse 10% - , - 0,5% 0,7% - 3 4% . Nick Xanders, - BTIG, , , - , - -. hedging - - -, . - - , -, -

    , Bank of america/merriLL LYncH ...

  • 30 , Thomson Reuters StarMine. , - Bank of America Merrill Lynch ... - - , Morgan Stanley . , - - , .

    - , Morgan Stanley - - , - , ., - -, , , , -, -

    . , , - , . - . , - - funds - .

    fuNds - overweight - , , -, , , Kevin Lilley, Old Mutual AM, - 1,40 1,45.H Bank of America Merrill Lynch - - sell, -, - , , , . -

    , - p/e , -, Thomson Reuters DataStream. , , A . , A , Morgan Stanley. funds ... , - . - 10%, - . - - - ... assets, , - Srivastava Standish. , - - - . Standish overweight - , -, - , , , .

    1,40 ... Laissez-faire , , GoLdman sacHs

    22

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  • . .

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    | oiKoNomia |

  • 24

    , - - -

    .... - - , , - , -. - - Eurobank - - ...

    . - . - - - . - . , - . , , ,

    , . - . - ..., . 2013 200 230 . , 1,5% ... ... 1 , - , - 85 . . 2013 0,5% ...

    , 7% ... 2012 5% ... 2013, , , - ... . - - - - ... - , - . - - - - . , .

  • 25

    . - 2013 - , - - , -. - -, - - ... - 2013 . -, , , . ... ... 2012 ( 1,8% 2011 2,2% 2012), - . - 0,1% 2012 , - - - . - .

    , - 2013 1 1,5 - ... 2013, 1,8%. - -, 1,3% 2013. 2013 , - ..., . -. -, ... - . , , -

    , -. , , , - . - 2013 0% 0,3% . - 2013, - -, - , . - - . - - - , . - - , - . - - -, - - .

    EuROBANK, ...

    : Eurobank -

    | oiKoNomia |

  • 26

  • 27

    , , - .

    H

    , &

    | |

  • 28

    - , - -

    - - - . - - -. , - ( , , - ) - - .

    100 :

    - , . - - . - -. , - -

    ( 2 . ) - - - ( 2 ). Invest In Greece - . - - . - -, . - , - .

    (SPVs),

    -. 100% ( 50% ) .

    , 150 .

    50 . .

    10 . . - - . 5 300.000 . - , -

    .

    .

    , , , - .

  • 29

    ... - , - - - .

    ,

    .. , , .

    , .

    .

    , , , ,

    | |

  • Kai

    30

    - non core assets -

    , momentum. , , -, ATEBank , - - ATE, o ,

    . .. , Motor Oil. , , 6,82% Folli Follie Group fund TPG Axon Management LP, - Dinakar Singh, - - . , - , -, , 98,5% - Marathon Banking Corporation Investors Bancorp Inc. -

    Eurobank . Post Bank Bank Post - , , - - , - . Eurobank Properties, Fairfax 14,8%, , , Lamda Development. -, , - - , , , - - - Finansbank . - - 4 . . , placement - 20% Finansbank , - . Alpha - -, - (deleveraging of non-core assets). - - Hilton , , , JSC Astra Bank.

    , -. -

    , .

  • 31

    - hedge funds. - distressed asset disinvesting -. , - , - , - , .. , .

    , Alpha - , 280 300 . , 170 180 . Credit Agricole, -

    | |

    Emporiki Bank. - fund -, - management Alpha - . , Alpha - funds - . , 800 . , funding gap - ., , - , 450 460 . . , fund PPF, Millennium.

    , & HEDGE FuNDS. DISTRESSED ASSET DISINvESTING

  • 32

  • 33

    , - ... -

    . , , - , - - 50 - ;

    . , , , , - - . - -

    -, . - . - , - . , - : (- -) -, . , , - -, . - - .

    -, - , 2012 . 12 2012 - , - . -. - , . - 2012 -

    .

    , , , ,

    | H |

  • 34

    - . - - . - , - 2011. - , - , , . - - . , , , ... , - , , - . , , , - . - - . - , ... - ...,

    - ..., - . . - . . -, - . , , - - . - - - Global Times. - . - - . , - - , - - , , - .

    . : !

    , . , - - . . , , Patriot . ... - - ... - - . - , -

  • 35

    - ... , - - . - , . , - - -1 , ... - . -, -, --1 , ... - : ... - , . - , . - , , , . . , 12 2013 - - , , , 4,9 .

    , . . , KCNA, -, . - .

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    . , ,

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    | H |

  • 36

    - , - ... 5.000, 2011, -

    3.870 2012. - F.B.I. - - - . , , - - ,

    - online online - , - -. . 2011 88 13 -, 40% 2003 . 1930 , , -

    o i BoNNiE & ClyDE i E y , . , . a on

    , .

    14

    12

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    42

    001997 2000 2010

    2012: 4,47

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    42

    001997 2000 2010

    7.604 $

    /

    : The Wall Street Journal* : . 2012 . : FBI, FDIC

    100

  • . F.B.I., Bill Rehder, 31 , 1990, , - . Wells Fargo WFC - 100 -, 1990, 70%. 1980 - , Eddie Dodson, - 64 , - 10 . - , Rehder, - - , - , . - , F.B.I. Jeff Lanza. 2001 - , 314.000 2011. American Bankers Association 2010 - 1,8 -. F.B.I. - 29,5 7.600 2012. 1997 107 12.400 . "" , F.B.I. . - - , , , - .

    | |

  • 38

    - - -

    -.

    ... - . , ..., ,

    | |

    E Y O Y...

    , ...

    h

  • ... - , , - .. ..., -, . - ... - , - - - , - - . ... - , . ... . - , - . - , ... ,

    - . - ..., 2009 () - 2010 - ... - ., - , . , -

    , - , - ... - -, . - come back . - - ... ( - ) - , - . - , ... - ( - , - , 20 ) . - - , - .

    ... ( , , 20 )

    40

    | |

  • OceAN Rig . 49

    . 58

    TO & . 57

    . 57

    . 58

    . 59

    . 42

    41

  • 42

    &

  • 43

    2013 , 2012. , , , . 2012 , BDI, 2012 (3/1), 1.624 , 648 7 . , 699 . a on

    | |

  • 44

    2012 27 - - , , , Stealth Gas, Ocean Rig Aegean Marine Petroleum, . - Stealth Gas ( ), - (- 95,25%) 2013 -, 10 - ( 7,93 .). Ocean Rig (. ) 2012 21,80%, 2013, 2012. Aegean Marine Petroleum (- , ) - 21,40% . - -, 5 ., 2013. Diana Containerships, -, 4,86%. 6,04 . 2012, 6,7 . .

    2013 2012

    Capital proDuCt partNErs

    7,75 ., , 2012. - 6,42 . 3 2012 28 6,33 ., 1,40%. 8,74 . 30 . Capital Product Partners, -, 2012 432,1 . . 24 Capesize bulk carrier, 1,12 . . 496,2 . .

    CostamarE

    - 2013 (13,92 .) 2012. H - 57 Containerships - 329.000 teus, - - . , 14,54 . 3 2012,

    - - ( ), , - . - , - , , - , - . 2013 , - - ... - . , , -. , Euroseas, - , 2013 2014. - - .

    2013 , ... .

  • 45

    28.12.2012 13,66 ., - 6,05%. 9,74 , 22 . - 926,15 . . - 2,2 . . 1,54 . . 300 . .

    DaNaos CorporatioN

    3,44 ., - 2013, -, 2,75 . 2012. 24,05%. Danaos, 64 - , - 283,87 . . 9,9 - ( ) 5,1 . . 2028. 4,59 ., 8 .

    DiaNa sHippiNG

    NYSE . , Diana Shipping, - . 26.2.2013 8,49 ., 7,20 . 28.12.2012. -

    2012. 7,80 . 3 , 28.12 7,20 ., 7,69%. - 14 , 9,87 . 31 , - 3,4 . dwt. - 582 . ., 1,73 . . . , Diana Containerships, 2012, 26.2.2013 6,56 . 4,86%, , 2012. - 187 . . - .

    DrysHips

    2013 -. 1,93 . 26.2.2013 2012. 26,51%. 2,15 3 , 28.12 1,58 . - 3,74 . 14 . , - 46 (- ),

    5,1 . dwt, ( ) 1,6 . dwt 75% Ocean Rig, - 770 . . assets 9 . . - 4,45 . .

    EurosEas

    - 26.2 0,98 . , 15 , 10 containerships , 2012 38,88 . . , 2,44 . 3 , 28/12 0,86 ., - 64,75%. 3,05 ., 13 .

    GasloG

    GasLog, , - - (LNG Carriers). - 2012. , 12,41 . 30 , 28.12 12,11 ., 2,42%. 12,54 . 26 , , - 26.2 12.85 . 761,27 . . - LNG Carriers, .

    GolDENport HolDiNGs

    Goldenport, . , - - . , 65,50 3 , -

    | |

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    . 3 2012, 28.12, 4,01 ., 53,91%. Box Ships - containerships, - , 43.925 teus.

    top sHips

    2012 Topships. - 1,70 . 3 2012 28.12 0,94 ., 44,71%. 3,84 . 22 . 16,12 . .

    tsaKos ENErGy aviGatioN

    2013 - Tsakos Energy avigation, NYSE . 2012 29,84%. 8,79 . 29 3,7 . 2,5 . . - 1,47 . . 51 , - 49 - - (LNG carriers). LNG

    Carrier Shuttle Tankers . - 1,1 . .

    Navios HolDiNGs, partNErs & aCquisitioN

    Navios Holdings - 51 , 5,1 . dwt, 30 - 21 ., . Navios Holdings 26.2.2013 - 3,63 ., 2012, 10,33%. - 2,86 . . 1,69 . . , avios Maritime Partners, - 748,9 . . 26.2.2013 13,43 ., - 2012, 18,60%. 964.662 . 358,542 . . 21 2.259.103 dwt. -

    28.12 37,50 , - 42,75%. 36,91 26.2. - 90,75 , 5 . 35,09 . 23 , 11 containerships 12 dry bulk carriers.

    NEwlEaD

    0,46 . 3 28.12 0,41 ., 10,87%. 26.2 0.78 . 2012 8,16 . . - , . NewLead - -, 578,3 . ., 108 . .

    paraGoN sHippiNG

    2013, . 2012. , 6,80 . 3 2012, 28.12 2,18 ., - 67,94%. - 9,50 . 14 - 2012. 2,5 ., 26.2 2,83 . . - -, 14 , - , containerships. . , ox Ships, 2013, 26.2.2013 5,53 . , 8,70

  • 47

    Navios Maritime Acquisition, - 26.2.2013 3,09 ., - . 2012 21,69%, - 3,66 , 2 . 1,35 . . - 1,12 . . 19 10 - 86,31 . .

    ExCEl maritimE

    0,49 . 26.2.2013 Excel Mari-time, . 2012 . 1,62 . 3 , - 28.12 0,42 ., - 74,07%. 40 -, 4,1 . dwt, 40 . ., 2,63 . . 1,12 . . - , 780 . .

    FrEEsEas

    -

    Freeseas 2013. 26.2.2013 0,86 . 2,5 . 2012 83,33%.

    GloBus maritimE limitED

    2012 Globus Maritime. 26.2.2013 2,05 . 28.12.2012 1,55 ., 60,26%. Globus .

    HEllENiC CarriErs

    Hellenic Carriers AIM . - 26.2.2013 18,50 . 2012 : 41,50 3 -, 28.12 16,00 , 61,45% 43,50 -, 13 . .

    saFE BulKErs

    Safe

    Bulkers, . , 6,22 . 3 2012, 28.12 3,33 ., 46,46%. - , , , - 26.2.2013 3,83 . 24 - , 2003. , .

    star BulK CarriErs Corp.

    . , 2012 57,20%. 2013 , - , . . , 14 , - 1,47 . dwt.

    sEaNErGy maritimE

    , Seanergy Maritime . 26.2.2013 2,01 . 1 - 50,88%. - 14 , - 781.561 dwt.

    , , ,

    | |

  • 48

  • G. MoundreaS & Co.

    49

    BDI 750 25 , - . -

    22 740 - Capes, - .

    | / |

    , Capes 1.335 - 5.216 . , Panamax 909 7,253

    . , Supramax 717 7.494 . handysize 412 - 6.127 . . - Iron ore Coal Grains. - Iron Ore, , , - 66,9 . , 2010. - . - - 158 ./, . Iron Ore 170 ./ , -

    - . Grains, , ..., , 72,5 . - 2011-2012 56,9 . 2012-2013, IGC (International Grains Council) 2012-2013 . -, , . - IHS ..., Panamax 13% 2012 2013 13%, 3 Iron Ore, Coal Grains. 40% Panamx Grains. - Safe Bulkers, , - Panamax, , - . - .

  • : G. Moundreas & Company S.A.

    / /

    S/S D/D

    /

    (. )

    AMFIALOS

    NIKKEI TIGER

    VALPARAISO

    VALBELLA

    anakEna

    AUSTIN ANGOL

    71.749/1990 HITACHI ZOSEN

    45.363/1997 OSHIMA

    44.583/1998 STOCZ. SZCZECIN

    44.583/1998 STOCZ. SZCZECIN

    44.583/1998 STOCZ. SZCZECIN

    44.583/1998 STOCZ. SZCZECIN

    B&W

    SULZER

    SULZER

    SULZER

    SULZER

    SULZER

    -

    4X25

    340

    340

    340

    340

    --

    04/2017 04/2015

    06/2013

    08/2013

    09/2013

    04/2013

    -

    -

    GRAB FITTED DELIVERy APRIL-MAyRICKMERS REEDERI

    RICKMERS REEDERI

    RICKMERS REEDERI

    RICKMERS REEDERI

    4,65

    REGION8,5

    EN-BLOC 20

    EN-BLOC 20

    EN-BLOC 20

    EN-BLOC 20

    50

    | / |

    / /

    S/S D/D

    /

    (. )

    ELI MAERS

    BRO IMTRES

    BRO EASKEM

    BRO EASKEM

    308.491/2000 HyUNDAI H.I

    4.718/1998 SASAKI ZOSEN

    4.718/1998 SASAKI ZOSEN

    11.998/2005 FUJIAN BAIMA

    SULZER

    B&W

    B&W

    MAN-B&W

    15

    11

    11

    10

    01/2015

    - -

    - -

    09/2015 02/2014

    SBM OFFSHORE

    -

    -

    -

    BROSTROM TANKERS EPOXy COATED

    BROSTROM TANKERS EPOXy COATED

    SOLD THROUGH AUCTION EPOXy COATED

    32

    5

    5

    7,1

    . , - , - Containerships, - , - . , , Alang, - Cash Buyers -. - , - Containerships, - , - L/Cs, beaching, Containerships. A -, . - , - 585.866 dwt 69% (404.105 dwt) , 30% (174.983 dwt) Containerships 1% (6.778) .

    :: 385-420 . -, .: 390-420 . -, .: 400-425 . , .: 375-400 . -, .

  • 51

    - - 8,7% 2010, - 15,5%

    2009. - - . 25 - 11 , -, , ... . - 2012,

    2,8%, , - - 4,4% , - -, containers 2011 0,4%. , , Alpahliner, 2013, . - containers 2012 , 32,5 . teus, - 2,5% 2011. - 31,6 . teus 5,7% - 2011, -

    23,1 . teus, 5,2% 2011. - 22,9 . teus, - 1,6% 5 17 . teus - 5,2% 2011. - 16,8 . teus - 14,3% 2011, - 14,7 . teus 2,2%. 14,5 . teus 11,4%, 141, . teus 0,9%. -, 13,3 . teus 2,1%. , , - containerships , -. Alphaliner, - 280 , - 804.000 teus, 739.000 teus - - . , -, 2013 , , - - .

    h

    alpHaliNEr:

    ContaInerS

    | |

    4% containers 25 2012 2011, Alphaliner.

    CONTAINERS 2012 , 32,5 . TEuS, 2,5% 2011

  • ocean riG

    52

    2013 - Ocean Rig

    , -. -, 120 -. - - ,

    Stavanger . Ocean Rig, 65% DryShips, . .

    E , - . Ocean Rig 8 , - 500 . , - - . -, - 1,3 . . . -

    - 2,15 . . Dryships, . , - , - Ocean Rig -. Dryships - Ocean Rig, - 88 - . ,

  • 53

    - - - - -,

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    Ocean Rig 61,3%. Deutsche Bank Securities Credit Suisse -. 2012 Dryships - 11.500.000 Ocean Rig, 186,87 . .

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    BG., - GasLog. 12 48 . . GasLog options, - Samsung. - Hyundai Heavy Industries Maran Gas . - LNG Carriers, 174.000 .. 840 . . - option -. 2014 2016 - - - . 11 - . LNG Carriers - 3 . , . LNG, Dynagas . , Maran Gas . , Tsakos Shipping, Alpha Tankers X. K Almi Gas K. . - , - . . , - Lloyds, Greek Shipping Newsmaker 2012.

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  • 54

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  • 55

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  • 56

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  • 58

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  • 60

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  • 61

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    EUROSEAS:

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    containerships. 2011 - 1,1 . Euroseas 43,3 61,6 . . 2013 2014. - . 2013 , . Euroseas .

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    M 151,8 . ., 128,3 ( 18,3%) 2012 Danaos, . 2012 589 . 468,1 . 2011 25,8%. EBITDA 112,4 . 88,8 2011 ( 26,6%). EBITDA 2012 431,7 . 318,6 . 2011 ( 35,5%). 11,7 11,7 . 2011. 2012 60,5 . 0,55 61,2 . 0,56 2011. 2012 2028 4,9 . .

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