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Transcript of Οικονομικά & Ναυτιλιακά Νέα
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64
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13
11
04
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site www.reporter.gr
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PRES
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Bulls Bear FED
&
Bonnie & Clyde
&
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14-29 OikOnOmia14/
FED 20/
;23/
26/ , &
30-31 : &
32-35
36-37 o i Bonnie
& Clyde
38-40
Y...
41-61 42/O
48/ G. Moundreas & CO.:
51/ Alphaliner:
containers52/ -
Ocean Rig 53/
54/
55/ &
56/ -
57/ To &
58/
59/
62-65
26
51
42
04
64 - 2013 - 1104
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Reporter
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06
- - - , -
, , , . - , - , , , (;) , . , , - , - . - . . - -. , - , - -, - , - ( , , ).
EDITORIAL
h
, - , -, , - . , - , -
- - , - ... 23 , - -, bachelor - , , , online sites , - . , : 368 , . - , . , , -, , .
-
EDITORIAL
-
- , , - -
, - . 1980 - - . 1988, - , - . - - -, , - . - , - . - - , - 60% ., , - 25. , , - -, World Energy Outlook 2012, - (International Energy Agency), 2035 - 5,9 , -, -, 2011. - -. - -, 3 . 2012-2035,
08
, .
-
09
1.400 . . , . , , -, . . - . 1994 - , - . , 2364, , . 2004 - -, - 148 MW, .. 2005 - - 390 W Elpedison .. 2008 - - 334 MW, . 2010 ( - 435 MW), 2010 Elpedison, - , 421 MW. . . - . 2.200.000 KWh , . -, , .
( ), -, - . - . , - , - , -, , . , , 90%. ., , . 2000, - ( LNG) , -, () - . 51% - 49% , management. - () . , - .
| |
-
10
- : , . .
, -, . - : - , - , - - , . , O - . , O - . ; , - -, -, ... , - - , . , , , - - .
, . - . -, - , . -
, - . - :, , -, - - . , , , -
- - - . , , - , - . , , - . - . , - . - , - . , , -
-
. , -. , - ( ) . - . - , . , .
-
12
. . -
, . , , , ... ;, . , . , , . ;, . . ;, . , - , . - , . , -, - , -. , , - . , , . , -- , , 15%, - - . , - -
, . , , - , , . -, . ... 2007
2010 20%, . -, 0% . - 15,6% 120% ... -. - -
. -. - , , . - - - . , - , . , - : . -
, - - , - -
-. , - - , -
-
13
. , - - - -
, - - . , - - .
: - , - , - -. , - - . - . -
2014 , . , 2013 .
. . - - . - - - Eurogroup . - . , - -. 2012-- 2013 - -. - . - - , - 15 . , - - . , - . - - .
. - - -. - - , -: -. - . - -. 2009 2012 ... 9 -. - -: 15 . , -, 2008 15% ..., 2012 2,9%. : - 2010-2012 75% - - 2001-2009. - - . - -. . - , , ., - , - - . -, , -.
O
-
14
-
HN FED
| |
15
Fed, assets , sell-off .
-
- -
- - .
FED - -
Fed - , - Fed - . , : - - - Q.E., Q.E. - - . Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter, - Fed , bullish , - . , - . - ,
bullish . Gartman Fed, Q.E., Fed assets, - ... Fed - . Gartman .
K sEll; -
, funds - . - - , - .O BofA Merrill Lynch -
, - - 99% 2002 , - . Bull & Bear BofA, o - hedge funds , long , - - . 9,6 ( 0 bearish 10 bullish). - - 99% - , . - , hedge funds .
16
-
J.P.M. . ,
BNP Paribas , , , - -10% -, - Love/Panic BNP Paribas - sell, buy, sell. , , . , - , , . - , - .
DEutCHE BaNK:
Deutsche Bank - - , - . options , - - premium. , -
, , - vIX, , , trade - .H Deutsche Bank - - , , - , , , - . D : ) - call option 2013 0,6% spot, ) , call 105-115% spread 2013, 105-115 2,2% spot.
soCiEtE GENEralE: BluE CHips
A blue chips (Stoxx Europe 50) - - - , Socit Gnrale. Euro Stoxx 50 blue chips . Euro Stoxx 50 -
Stoxx Europe 50 10,5% ..., . Mario Draghi, , - . - , beta.O beta , Stoxx Europe 50, - beta 0,7% Euro Stoxx 50, - . - (, , ), SocGen -, Stoxx Europe 50. Stoxx Europe 50 , - .
GolDmaN saCHs: a Peter Oppenheimer, -
Goldman Sachs, - - - . -, , -
| |
17
-
., , 12 , - . , PMI, - -, - , , - , 2014. Ian Harnett, - Absolute Strategy, - , sell-off , - . , - 10% . - . , , - , - - . Goldman Sachs , , - - . Bunds - -
, , - , - . - - , , Goldman. - 3% - , , , - 2016.
J. p. morGaN:
- , , - J. P. Morgan Asset Management, , , , - risk assets - , - - . , - -
- ..., - . - , - - . , , . - , -, , , - . , - -, 200 , 80%. Credit Suisse, , - , . - J.P.M., - . , - -
, FuNDS . ,
18
-
- . , o o , - , ., - -. - -. - . ..., , - -
, ,
-
Chevreux, , , - 5 10% . - , - . - - , . -
Russell Investments, . Wouter Sturkenboom, - , , . - - 5 10% p/e MSCI Europe - 10,5 - 11,8, - . Stewart Richard-son, RMG Wealth Management, - - bullish - . , , . -, , - , , Ouri Mimran Natixis. , , .
| |
19
-
20
-, , - - - -
1,40 . -
.
BNP PariBas BNP Paribas, - Fed PMI bullish 1,38 . -
- , Wolfgang Schaeuble, , - -, - . bullish -
2012 , PMI , 1,37, 2011.
O
;
-
21
, BNP Paribas - long 1,2305, - 1,20, 1,28 .
MorgaN staNley Morgan Stanley, buy - , 1,40 . bullish Morgan Stanley , , , - - .. , - MS, -
| |
. assets - , , -, assets - . MS, (dovish) ... assets , - .
goldMaN sachs 1,40 ... laissez-faire , - , Goldman Sachs. FX . , , - - - , . , ... laissez-faire . , ..., ..., -, - . , - - 1,40 , -
... - .
Morgan Stanley Credit Suisse 10% - , - 0,5% 0,7% - 3 4% . Nick Xanders, - BTIG, , , - , - -. hedging - - -, . - - , -, -
, Bank of america/merriLL LYncH ...
-
30 , Thomson Reuters StarMine. , - Bank of America Merrill Lynch ... - - , Morgan Stanley . , - - , .
- , Morgan Stanley - - , - , ., - -, , , , -, -
. , , - , . - . , - - funds - .
fuNds - overweight - , , -, , , Kevin Lilley, Old Mutual AM, - 1,40 1,45.H Bank of America Merrill Lynch - - sell, -, - , , , . -
, - p/e , -, Thomson Reuters DataStream. , , A . , A , Morgan Stanley. funds ... , - . - 10%, - . - - - ... assets, , - Srivastava Standish. , - - - . Standish overweight - , -, - , , , .
1,40 ... Laissez-faire , , GoLdman sacHs
22
t
| |
-
. .
23
| oiKoNomia |
-
24
, - - -
.... - - , , - , -. - - Eurobank - - ...
. - . - - - . - . , - . , , ,
, . - . - ..., . 2013 200 230 . , 1,5% ... ... 1 , - , - 85 . . 2013 0,5% ...
, 7% ... 2012 5% ... 2013, , , - ... . - - - - ... - , - . - - - - . , .
-
25
. - 2013 - , - - , -. - -, - - ... - 2013 . -, , , . ... ... 2012 ( 1,8% 2011 2,2% 2012), - . - 0,1% 2012 , - - - . - .
, - 2013 1 1,5 - ... 2013, 1,8%. - -, 1,3% 2013. 2013 , - ..., . -. -, ... - . , , -
, -. , , , - . - 2013 0% 0,3% . - 2013, - -, - , . - - . - - - , . - - , - . - - -, - - .
EuROBANK, ...
: Eurobank -
| oiKoNomia |
-
26
-
27
, , - .
H
, &
| |
-
28
- , - -
- - - . - - -. , - ( , , - ) - - .
100 :
- , . - - . - -. , - -
( 2 . ) - - - ( 2 ). Invest In Greece - . - - . - -, . - , - .
(SPVs),
-. 100% ( 50% ) .
, 150 .
50 . .
10 . . - - . 5 300.000 . - , -
.
.
, , , - .
-
29
... - , - - - .
,
.. , , .
, .
.
, , , ,
| |
-
Kai
30
- non core assets -
, momentum. , , -, ATEBank , - - ATE, o ,
. .. , Motor Oil. , , 6,82% Folli Follie Group fund TPG Axon Management LP, - Dinakar Singh, - - . , - , -, , 98,5% - Marathon Banking Corporation Investors Bancorp Inc. -
Eurobank . Post Bank Bank Post - , , - - , - . Eurobank Properties, Fairfax 14,8%, , , Lamda Development. -, , - - , , , - - - Finansbank . - - 4 . . , placement - 20% Finansbank , - . Alpha - -, - (deleveraging of non-core assets). - - Hilton , , , JSC Astra Bank.
, -. -
, .
-
31
- hedge funds. - distressed asset disinvesting -. , - , - , - , .. , .
, Alpha - , 280 300 . , 170 180 . Credit Agricole, -
| |
Emporiki Bank. - fund -, - management Alpha - . , Alpha - funds - . , 800 . , funding gap - ., , - , 450 460 . . , fund PPF, Millennium.
, & HEDGE FuNDS. DISTRESSED ASSET DISINvESTING
-
32
-
33
, - ... -
. , , - , - - 50 - ;
. , , , , - - . - -
-, . - . - , - . , - : (- -) -, . , , - -, . - - .
-, - , 2012 . 12 2012 - , - . -. - , . - 2012 -
.
, , , ,
| H |
-
34
- . - - . - , - 2011. - , - , , . - - . , , , ... , - , , - . , , , - . - - . - , ... - ...,
- ..., - . . - . . -, - . , , - - . - - - Global Times. - . - - . , - - , - - , , - .
. : !
, . , - - . . , , Patriot . ... - - ... - - . - , -
-
35
- ... , - - . - , . , - - -1 , ... - . -, -, --1 , ... - : ... - , . - , . - , , , . . , 12 2013 - - , , , 4,9 .
, . . , KCNA, -, . - .
-. .. ..., , - . - . ...
. , , - - , , . - - - . ... - - ... . . , , - - . - - - . . - - . , - . , - - , .
. , ,
, ...
| H |
-
36
- , - ... 5.000, 2011, -
3.870 2012. - F.B.I. - - - . , , - - ,
- online online - , - -. . 2011 88 13 -, 40% 2003 . 1930 , , -
o i BoNNiE & ClyDE i E y , . , . a on
, .
14
12
108
6
42
001997 2000 2010
2012: 4,47
14
12
108
6
42
001997 2000 2010
7.604 $
/
: The Wall Street Journal* : . 2012 . : FBI, FDIC
100
-
. F.B.I., Bill Rehder, 31 , 1990, , - . Wells Fargo WFC - 100 -, 1990, 70%. 1980 - , Eddie Dodson, - 64 , - 10 . - , Rehder, - - , - , . - , F.B.I. Jeff Lanza. 2001 - , 314.000 2011. American Bankers Association 2010 - 1,8 -. F.B.I. - 29,5 7.600 2012. 1997 107 12.400 . "" , F.B.I. . - - , , , - .
| |
-
38
- - -
-.
... - . , ..., ,
| |
E Y O Y...
, ...
h
-
... - , , - .. ..., -, . - ... - , - - - , - - . ... - , . ... . - , - . - , ... ,
- . - ..., 2009 () - 2010 - ... - ., - , . , -
, - , - ... - -, . - come back . - - ... ( - ) - , - . - , ... - ( - , - , 20 ) . - - , - .
... ( , , 20 )
40
| |
-
OceAN Rig . 49
. 58
TO & . 57
. 57
. 58
. 59
. 42
41
-
42
&
-
43
2013 , 2012. , , , . 2012 , BDI, 2012 (3/1), 1.624 , 648 7 . , 699 . a on
| |
-
44
2012 27 - - , , , Stealth Gas, Ocean Rig Aegean Marine Petroleum, . - Stealth Gas ( ), - (- 95,25%) 2013 -, 10 - ( 7,93 .). Ocean Rig (. ) 2012 21,80%, 2013, 2012. Aegean Marine Petroleum (- , ) - 21,40% . - -, 5 ., 2013. Diana Containerships, -, 4,86%. 6,04 . 2012, 6,7 . .
2013 2012
Capital proDuCt partNErs
7,75 ., , 2012. - 6,42 . 3 2012 28 6,33 ., 1,40%. 8,74 . 30 . Capital Product Partners, -, 2012 432,1 . . 24 Capesize bulk carrier, 1,12 . . 496,2 . .
CostamarE
- 2013 (13,92 .) 2012. H - 57 Containerships - 329.000 teus, - - . , 14,54 . 3 2012,
- - ( ), , - . - , - , , - , - . 2013 , - - ... - . , , -. , Euroseas, - , 2013 2014. - - .
2013 , ... .
-
45
28.12.2012 13,66 ., - 6,05%. 9,74 , 22 . - 926,15 . . - 2,2 . . 1,54 . . 300 . .
DaNaos CorporatioN
3,44 ., - 2013, -, 2,75 . 2012. 24,05%. Danaos, 64 - , - 283,87 . . 9,9 - ( ) 5,1 . . 2028. 4,59 ., 8 .
DiaNa sHippiNG
NYSE . , Diana Shipping, - . 26.2.2013 8,49 ., 7,20 . 28.12.2012. -
2012. 7,80 . 3 , 28.12 7,20 ., 7,69%. - 14 , 9,87 . 31 , - 3,4 . dwt. - 582 . ., 1,73 . . . , Diana Containerships, 2012, 26.2.2013 6,56 . 4,86%, , 2012. - 187 . . - .
DrysHips
2013 -. 1,93 . 26.2.2013 2012. 26,51%. 2,15 3 , 28.12 1,58 . - 3,74 . 14 . , - 46 (- ),
5,1 . dwt, ( ) 1,6 . dwt 75% Ocean Rig, - 770 . . assets 9 . . - 4,45 . .
EurosEas
- 26.2 0,98 . , 15 , 10 containerships , 2012 38,88 . . , 2,44 . 3 , 28/12 0,86 ., - 64,75%. 3,05 ., 13 .
GasloG
GasLog, , - - (LNG Carriers). - 2012. , 12,41 . 30 , 28.12 12,11 ., 2,42%. 12,54 . 26 , , - 26.2 12.85 . 761,27 . . - LNG Carriers, .
GolDENport HolDiNGs
Goldenport, . , - - . , 65,50 3 , -
| |
-
46
. 3 2012, 28.12, 4,01 ., 53,91%. Box Ships - containerships, - , 43.925 teus.
top sHips
2012 Topships. - 1,70 . 3 2012 28.12 0,94 ., 44,71%. 3,84 . 22 . 16,12 . .
tsaKos ENErGy aviGatioN
2013 - Tsakos Energy avigation, NYSE . 2012 29,84%. 8,79 . 29 3,7 . 2,5 . . - 1,47 . . 51 , - 49 - - (LNG carriers). LNG
Carrier Shuttle Tankers . - 1,1 . .
Navios HolDiNGs, partNErs & aCquisitioN
Navios Holdings - 51 , 5,1 . dwt, 30 - 21 ., . Navios Holdings 26.2.2013 - 3,63 ., 2012, 10,33%. - 2,86 . . 1,69 . . , avios Maritime Partners, - 748,9 . . 26.2.2013 13,43 ., - 2012, 18,60%. 964.662 . 358,542 . . 21 2.259.103 dwt. -
28.12 37,50 , - 42,75%. 36,91 26.2. - 90,75 , 5 . 35,09 . 23 , 11 containerships 12 dry bulk carriers.
NEwlEaD
0,46 . 3 28.12 0,41 ., 10,87%. 26.2 0.78 . 2012 8,16 . . - , . NewLead - -, 578,3 . ., 108 . .
paraGoN sHippiNG
2013, . 2012. , 6,80 . 3 2012, 28.12 2,18 ., - 67,94%. - 9,50 . 14 - 2012. 2,5 ., 26.2 2,83 . . - -, 14 , - , containerships. . , ox Ships, 2013, 26.2.2013 5,53 . , 8,70
-
47
Navios Maritime Acquisition, - 26.2.2013 3,09 ., - . 2012 21,69%, - 3,66 , 2 . 1,35 . . - 1,12 . . 19 10 - 86,31 . .
ExCEl maritimE
0,49 . 26.2.2013 Excel Mari-time, . 2012 . 1,62 . 3 , - 28.12 0,42 ., - 74,07%. 40 -, 4,1 . dwt, 40 . ., 2,63 . . 1,12 . . - , 780 . .
FrEEsEas
-
Freeseas 2013. 26.2.2013 0,86 . 2,5 . 2012 83,33%.
GloBus maritimE limitED
2012 Globus Maritime. 26.2.2013 2,05 . 28.12.2012 1,55 ., 60,26%. Globus .
HEllENiC CarriErs
Hellenic Carriers AIM . - 26.2.2013 18,50 . 2012 : 41,50 3 -, 28.12 16,00 , 61,45% 43,50 -, 13 . .
saFE BulKErs
Safe
Bulkers, . , 6,22 . 3 2012, 28.12 3,33 ., 46,46%. - , , , - 26.2.2013 3,83 . 24 - , 2003. , .
star BulK CarriErs Corp.
. , 2012 57,20%. 2013 , - , . . , 14 , - 1,47 . dwt.
sEaNErGy maritimE
, Seanergy Maritime . 26.2.2013 2,01 . 1 - 50,88%. - 14 , - 781.561 dwt.
, , ,
| |
-
48
-
G. MoundreaS & Co.
49
BDI 750 25 , - . -
22 740 - Capes, - .
| / |
, Capes 1.335 - 5.216 . , Panamax 909 7,253
. , Supramax 717 7.494 . handysize 412 - 6.127 . . - Iron ore Coal Grains. - Iron Ore, , , - 66,9 . , 2010. - . - - 158 ./, . Iron Ore 170 ./ , -
- . Grains, , ..., , 72,5 . - 2011-2012 56,9 . 2012-2013, IGC (International Grains Council) 2012-2013 . -, , . - IHS ..., Panamax 13% 2012 2013 13%, 3 Iron Ore, Coal Grains. 40% Panamx Grains. - Safe Bulkers, , - Panamax, , - . - .
-
: G. Moundreas & Company S.A.
/ /
S/S D/D
/
(. )
AMFIALOS
NIKKEI TIGER
VALPARAISO
VALBELLA
anakEna
AUSTIN ANGOL
71.749/1990 HITACHI ZOSEN
45.363/1997 OSHIMA
44.583/1998 STOCZ. SZCZECIN
44.583/1998 STOCZ. SZCZECIN
44.583/1998 STOCZ. SZCZECIN
44.583/1998 STOCZ. SZCZECIN
B&W
SULZER
SULZER
SULZER
SULZER
SULZER
-
4X25
340
340
340
340
--
04/2017 04/2015
06/2013
08/2013
09/2013
04/2013
-
-
GRAB FITTED DELIVERy APRIL-MAyRICKMERS REEDERI
RICKMERS REEDERI
RICKMERS REEDERI
RICKMERS REEDERI
4,65
REGION8,5
EN-BLOC 20
EN-BLOC 20
EN-BLOC 20
EN-BLOC 20
50
| / |
/ /
S/S D/D
/
(. )
ELI MAERS
BRO IMTRES
BRO EASKEM
BRO EASKEM
308.491/2000 HyUNDAI H.I
4.718/1998 SASAKI ZOSEN
4.718/1998 SASAKI ZOSEN
11.998/2005 FUJIAN BAIMA
SULZER
B&W
B&W
MAN-B&W
15
11
11
10
01/2015
- -
- -
09/2015 02/2014
SBM OFFSHORE
-
-
-
BROSTROM TANKERS EPOXy COATED
BROSTROM TANKERS EPOXy COATED
SOLD THROUGH AUCTION EPOXy COATED
32
5
5
7,1
. , - , - Containerships, - , - . , , Alang, - Cash Buyers -. - , - Containerships, - , - L/Cs, beaching, Containerships. A -, . - , - 585.866 dwt 69% (404.105 dwt) , 30% (174.983 dwt) Containerships 1% (6.778) .
:: 385-420 . -, .: 390-420 . -, .: 400-425 . , .: 375-400 . -, .
-
51
- - 8,7% 2010, - 15,5%
2009. - - . 25 - 11 , -, , ... . - 2012,
2,8%, , - - 4,4% , - -, containers 2011 0,4%. , , Alpahliner, 2013, . - containers 2012 , 32,5 . teus, - 2,5% 2011. - 31,6 . teus 5,7% - 2011, -
23,1 . teus, 5,2% 2011. - 22,9 . teus, - 1,6% 5 17 . teus - 5,2% 2011. - 16,8 . teus - 14,3% 2011, - 14,7 . teus 2,2%. 14,5 . teus 11,4%, 141, . teus 0,9%. -, 13,3 . teus 2,1%. , , - containerships , -. Alphaliner, - 280 , - 804.000 teus, 739.000 teus - - . , -, 2013 , , - - .
h
alpHaliNEr:
ContaInerS
| |
4% containers 25 2012 2011, Alphaliner.
CONTAINERS 2012 , 32,5 . TEuS, 2,5% 2011
-
ocean riG
52
2013 - Ocean Rig
, -. -, 120 -. - - ,
Stavanger . Ocean Rig, 65% DryShips, . .
E , - . Ocean Rig 8 , - 500 . , - - . -, - 1,3 . . . -
- 2,15 . . Dryships, . , - , - Ocean Rig -. Dryships - Ocean Rig, - 88 - . ,
-
53
- - - - -,
-, , - , - -, , -, , - . ,
Samsung Heavy Industries -, GasLog, . option , 420 . . . - 174.000 .. - Samsung 2016
Ocean Rig 61,3%. Deutsche Bank Securities Credit Suisse -. 2012 Dryships - 11.500.000 Ocean Rig, 186,87 . .
, 5 - - , ..., . -, , - , - media, ... 93 - (, LNG, - ), 2008 - Forbes - . - -, - - - (). el.wikipedia, - PC Systems, . , . - - - - , 120 , 2012.
| |
BG., - GasLog. 12 48 . . GasLog options, - Samsung. - Hyundai Heavy Industries Maran Gas . - LNG Carriers, 174.000 .. 840 . . - option -. 2014 2016 - - - . 11 - . LNG Carriers - 3 . , . LNG, Dynagas . , Maran Gas . , Tsakos Shipping, Alpha Tankers X. K Almi Gas K. . - , - . . , - Lloyds, Greek Shipping Newsmaker 2012.
LnG
-
54
- - - , 50 , -
, - , 21 -, . . , -
50 , - 40 50 -. - ( ), - . , ,
- - , . - - 45 , , 15 25 , . . . . , , - -, -. - . - -, -. - , , -, -. - , . .T 48 10,60 . - 1,80 - -, 1,30 . , - - - 48 , 0,80 0,60 . , - , - - 18 6 . , - , - , - . : -
, , , , .
-
55
- -
o . - 7% Gaslog, . - - Gaslog, - , 67 , - . , 1946 -
, -, , , - Gaslog, . - 4.512.242 - Gaslog, , - , 60 . Gaslog 14 LNG carriers, 11 BP Group, 25%. Gaslog -
M
8 4 . , - , - ( ). , - . , - - - ( -) - . - - , , -. . - 8 10 13 12 21 . - , - , 25 8 . - , , , . . . , , - - .
LNG Golar Fredrisken. LNG -. , - Master Limited Partnership (MLP), GasLog, - - . - Olympic Shipping & Management. , - . , Le Rosey Columbia. - - Ceres Hellenic Odfjell ASA , - -. - , , - 65 . . - -, - Aston Martin.
| |
-
56
- - - -
, . - - - - . - - , -, . 1.100 , 13,28 . (2012). I.O.B.E., , , - , - , 25,9 . (13 . ),
:
.
t 550 . (192.000 ). - - - 7 1 - . 3.428 820 .
- 32 7 - - , - . , - -, 2687/53. ,
- . - , - 50% - - .. .., - - , 5 . , 13 .. 2687/53, , - 1.500 , .
-
57
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