oferta agregate

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Page 1: oferta agregate

Oferta Agregate

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Tre modele te ASTre modele te AS

1. Modeli me paga fikse

2. Modeli me informacion joperfekt

3. Modeli me cmime fikse

( )eY Y P P

natural rate of output

a positive paramet

er

the expected price level

the actual price level

agg. outpu

t

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CHAPTER 13CHAPTER 13 Aggregate Supply Aggregate Supply slide 3

The sticky-wage modelThe sticky-wage model

Assumes that firms and workers negotiate contracts and fix the nominal wage before they know what the price level will turn out to be.

The nominal wage they set is the product of a target real wage and the expected price level:

eW ω P eW P

ωP P

Target real

wage

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Modeli me Paga fikseModeli me Paga fikse

NQS

eW Pω

P P

eP P

eP P

eP P

Atehere

Papunesia dhe outputi ne nivelin antyror

Pagat reale me pak se niveli i targetuar, keshtu firmat punesojne me shume dhe outputi rritet me shume se niveli natyrorPagat reale e tejkalojne, firmat punesojne me pak punetore dhe outputi bie.

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Modeli me Paga fikseModeli me Paga fikse

Pagat reale duhet te jene kunder ciklike, duhet te levizin ne drejtim te kundert me outputin me ciklin e biznesit:– Ne periudha ekspansioniste, kur P

rritet, pagat reale bien.– Ne recension, kur P bie, pagat reale

bien.

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Modeli me informacion joperfektModeli me informacion joperfekt

SUPOZIMET:

Cmimet dhe pagat jane fleksibel, tregjet jane te pastruara

Cdp ofrues prodhon nje te mire, konsumon shume te mira

Cdo prodhues njeh cmimin nominal te te mires qe prodhon, por jo cmimin e plote.

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Modeli me informacion joperfektModeli me informacion joperfekt

Oferta e cdo produkti varet nga cmimi relativ: cmimi nominal pjesetuar me cmimin total

Ofruesi nuk e di cmimin kur vendis sasine e prodhimit, keshtu qe perdor, P

e.

Supozoni P rritet por P e jo.

Ofruesi mendon qe cmimet jane rritur, keshtu qe prodhon me shume. Ne kete menyre, Y do te rritet sa here qe P rritet mbi P

e.

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Modeli me cmime fikseModeli me cmime fikse

Arsyet per fiksim te cmimeve:– Kontratat afatgjata midis firmave dhe

konsumatoreve– Kostot e menuve– Firmat nukduan te merzisin

konsumatoret me ndryshimin e cmimeve

Supozime:– Firma vendos cmime

(e.g. ne konkurencen monopolistike)

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Modeli me cmime fikseModeli me cmime fikse

Firma vendos

kur a > 0.

Supozoni se ka dy tipe firma:• Firma me cmime fleksibel, vendos cmime

nen• Firma me cmime fikse, P dhe Y do te

jene:

( )p P Y Y a

( )e e ep P Y Y a

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Modeli me cmime fikseModeli me cmime fikse

Supozoni cmime fikse presin qe outputi ne nivelin natyror. Atehere,

( )e e ep P Y Y a

ep P

s pjesa e firmes me cmime fikse.

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Modeli me cmime fikseModeli me cmime fikse

(1s )P nga te dy anet:

(1 )[ ( )]eP s P s P Y Y a

Cmime fleksibelCmimi fiks

(1 )[ ( )]esP s P s Y Y a

Pjesetuar me s :

(1 )( )e s

P P Y Ys

a

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Modeli me cmime fikseModeli me cmime fikse

P e e larte P e larte nqs firmat rrisin cmimin, atehere firmat qe duhet te vendosin cmimet te larta.Cdo firme vendos cmime te larta.

Y I larte P i larte Kur kerkesa per te mira eshte e larte firmat me cmime fleksibel vendosin cmime te larta.Sa me i larte fraksioni i frimave me cmime fleksibel, aq me e vogel eshte s dhe me e larte eshte efekti i Y ne P.

(1 )( )e s

P P Y Ys

a

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Modeli me Cmime fikseModeli me Cmime fikse

Derivoni AS duke zevendesuar ne Y :

(1 )( )e s

P P Y Ys

a

( ),eY Y P P

where (1 )

ss

a

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Modeli me cmime fikseModeli me cmime fikse

Ndryshe nga modeli me paga fikse, modeli me cmime fikse nenkupton nje model prociklike:

Supozoni se outputi agregat/te ardhurat bien. Atehere,

Firmat presin qe kerkesa te bie. Firmat me cmime fikse ulin prodhimin

dhe ulin kerkesen per pune. Zhvendosja majtas e kurbes se kerkeses

ben qe pagat reale ye bien.

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PermbledhjePermbledhje

Y

P LRAS

Y

SRAS

( )eY Y P P

eP P

eP P

eP P

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PermbledhjePermbledhje

Supozoni nje shok pozitiv te ADdhe P rritet mbi P e

Y

P LRAS

SRAS1

equation: ( )eY Y P P SRAS

1 1eP P

SRAS2

AD1

AD22eP

2P3 3

eP P

P e rritet, SRAS zhvendoset lart,dhe outputi vendoset ne nivelin natyror 1Y Y 2Y

3Y

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Chapter summaryChapter summary

1. Three models of aggregate supply in the short run: sticky-wage model imperfect-information model sticky-price model

All three models imply that output rises above its natural rate when the price level falls below the expected price level.

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Chapter summaryChapter summary

2. Phillips curve derived from the SRAS curve states that inflation depends on

expected inflation cyclical unemployment supply shocks

presents policymakers with a short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment

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Chapter summaryChapter summary

3. How people form expectations of inflation adaptive expectations

based on recently observed inflation

implies “inertia” rational expectations

based on all available information implies that disinflation may be

painless

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Chapter summaryChapter summary

4. The natural rate hypothesis and hysteresis the natural rate hypotheses

states that changes in aggregate demand can only affect output and employment in the short run

hysteresis states that agg. demand can have

permanent effects on output and employment

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