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Introduction of SDB

Go HibinoMizuho Information & Research Institute, Inc.

The 10th AIM Workshop2005.3.10-12, March 2005

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Necessity Necessity of innovation strategiesof innovation strategies

Environmental Quality

Econ

omic

/soc

ial

Indi

cato

r

Environmental Quality

Y+Δ

YY

E+ΔEEEc

onom

ic/s

ocia

l Ind

icat

or

Innovational strategies

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What is Strategic Database?What is Strategic Database?

Environmental Innovation Strategies

Drivers / Counter-measure Scenario

SDB Engine(SDBE)

Environmental Innovation Options = Technology, Infrastructure, Institution, Management Options

Strategic Database (SDB)

A: Activation of A: Activation of New New EEnvironmental nvironmental MarketsMarkets

B: Research and B: Research and Development Development of New of New Environmental Environmental TechnologiesTechnologies

C: Introduction of C: Introduction of National Land National Land Conservation Conservation StrategiesStrategies

D: Development of D: Development of New New Environmental Environmental InfrastructuresInfrastructures

E: Establishment E: Establishment of of NNew ew IInternational nternational CCooperation ooperation SSystemystem

Simulationoutput

Assessment

Strategic database for the environmental policy decision is composed of tables of technologies, management, institutions, and scenarios, etc. and an integrated module part (Inference Engine, SDBE) where these data are integrated and analyzed.

SDB CardSDB Card

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Example of Example of SDBSDB CardCard [[Advanced Advanced technology]technology]

Hybrid vehicleHybrid vehicle

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Example of Example of SDBSDB CardCard [Infrastructure][Infrastructure]

Public transportation priority systemPublic transportation priority system

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Example of Example of SDBSDB CardCard [Management][Management]

EcoEco--driving : No idlingdriving : No idling

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Example of Example of SDBSDB CardCard [Non[Non--advanced technology]advanced technology]

Bicycle with rider inducedBicycle with rider induced

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Design environmental innovation strategies

Collect & process dataof environmental options

Develop quantitative scenario

of future drivers and countermeasure

Combine data cards<SDB diagram>

Simulate effect of environmental innovation

strategies

Assess environmental innovation strategies

Application of Strategic DatabaseApplication of Strategic Database

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SDB diagram: Transportation sector [Overview]SDB diagram: Transportation sector [Overview]

AHS *1

Eco-drivinglicense

Car sharingsystem

Eco-navigationsystem

Gas

BiofuelConstraint

Bio fuelImport

Bio fuelRefinery

Biomass

BiomassConstraint

Decrease ofCongestion

AHS *2 AHS *1ETC *3 AHS *1VICS *4 AHS *1PTPS *5 AHS *1MOCS *6

Paved Road

HydrogenConstraint

HydrogenImport

Hydrogen(Biomass)

Hydrogen(Gas)

Maintaining Economical

speedsCorrect tire

pressureCorrect

laden weightRev

controlSuppression of

sudden acceleration

Timelyshifting up

Reduction ofillegal parking

Air conditionertemperature adjustment

Air conditionertemperature adjustment

Strengthenroad/bridge

AHS *1TDM *1

Marine con-tainer term.

Joint deliveryfacilities

[Eco driving]

IC cardticket

Teleworking/ SOHO

[Road infrastructure][Freight facilities]

[ICT application]

NOx removalcatalyst

PM removalair filter

Eco educationbudget

Bio refinery Tech. Imp.

FC TechnologyImprovement

Bio refinery R&D budget

FC R&D budget

Large freightstation

Freight facilitiesCapital information

Budget

A

Road capital information

budget

ITS capitalinformation

budgetIC card

preferential treatment system

Car sharingpreferential tax system

Low sulfuroil refinery

Low S oilrefinery plant

budget

S content of oil

PM removalbudget

NOx removalbudget

SO2 emissionregulation

PM emissionregulation

NOx emissionregulation

[Flue gas purification]

Subway

[Public transportation]

Public Trns.capital formation

budget

LRTPrioritybus lane Bicycle Road

Eco-drivingeducationat school

Eco-drivingeducation

via TV program

Eco-drivingeducation

via Web site

Distribution ofeco-driving

leafletDriving monitor

Eco-drivercommendation

Eco-drivingLicense system

Subsidy fordriving monitor

Subsidy forEco-Nav. Sys.

B

C(Priority to public transportation)

M O(Improve of efficiencyof freight vehicle)

(Improve of efficiencyof passenger vehicle)

H(Priority to high efficiency vehicle)

I

K(Priority to train/ship)

L(Priority to large freight vehicle)

Q(Priority to Bus)

R(Decrease ofpassenger transportation)

S(Priority to Train)

Priority topublic

transportation

Priority towalking / bicycle

D(improvement of energy efficiencyof freight transportation)

F(improvement of energy efficiencyof passenger transportation)

T(Decrease ofpassenger transportation)

U(Priority to public transportation)

V X(Improve of efficiencyof freight vehicle)

(Improve of efficiencyof passenger vehicle)

E(reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of freightvehicle)

G(reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of passengervehicle)

(reduction of air pollutantof freight transportation)

J(reduction of air pollutantof passenger transportation)

N(reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of freightvehicle)

P(reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of passengervehicle)

W(reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of freightvehicle)

Y(reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of passengervehicle)

[Eco education]

Environmental/energy tax scenario

Tax benefit forhigh Eff. vehicle

Subsidy forhigh Eff. vehicle

Subsidy forhigh train/ship/air

AA AB

Energy Eff.regulation

by government

Air pollutantregulation

by government

Voluntary planof auto company

AC AE(Improve of efficiencyof freight vehicle)

(Improve of efficiencyof passenger vehicle)

AD (reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of freightvehicle)

AF(reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of passengervehicle)

Voluntary planof rail company

Voluntary planof ship company

Voluntary planof air company

(Priority to high Eff. vehicle)AG

AH

AI

AJ

[Tax/Subsidy]

[Regulation]

[Voluntary plan of private company]

(Increase of inflow price) (Decrease of initial / O&M priceof high efficiency transportation )

Energy tax Air pollutanttax

GHG tax

Budget of subsidy

Energy Eff.regulation

Air poluutionregulation

Priority to highEff. vehicle

by voluntary plan

Priority to highEff. train

by voluntary plan

Priority to highEff. ship

by voluntary plan

Priority to highEff. ship

by voluntary plan

(Priority to high Eff. airplane)

(Priority to high Eff. rail)

(Priority to high Eff. ship)

VehiclePassenger

Transportation

Small-sizeVehicle

Large-sizeVehicle

Bus

Fuel cellVehicle

Natural GasVehicle

HybridVehicle

Existing OilVehicle

Small-sizeVehicle

Large-sizeVehicle

Bus

Fuel cellVehicle

Natural GasVehicle

HybridVehicle

Existing OilVehicle

Fuel cellVehicle

Natural GasVehicle

HybridVehicle

Existing OilVehicle

PassengerTransportation

Bio-fuel

NOx

H2

SO2

Oil

Train(High eff.)

Train(Electricity)

Train(Diesel)

Train Train

Vehicle

PassengerTransportation

Train(High EFF.)

Ship(Low EFF.)

Ship Ship

Air(High EFF.)

Air(Low EFF.)

Air Air

VehiclePassenger

Transportation

Small-sizeVehicle

Large-sizeVehicle

Fuel cellVehicle

Natural GasVehicle

HybridVehicle

Existing OilVehicle

Small-sizeVehicle

Large-sizeVehicle

Fuel cellVehicle

Natural GasVehicle

HybridVehicle

Existing OilVehicle

FreightTransportation

Train(High eff.)

Train(Electricity)

Train(Diesel)

TrainTrain

Vehicle

Train(High EFF.)

Ship(Low EFF.)

ShipShip

Air(High EFF.)

Air(Low EFF.)

AirAir

*1 TDM: Traffic Demand Management*2 AHS: Advanced Cruise-Assist Highway System *3 ETC: Electronic Toll Collection*4 VICS: Vehicle Information and Communication System*5 PTPS: Public Transportation Priority Systems*6 MOCS: Mobile Operation Control Systems

Gas

Electricity

Freight

CO2

DemandScenario

Trend/PolicyScenario

ConstraintScenario

Confluence

Activity(Innovation)

Activitywith stock

Flow Influence

A

B

C

DH

K

L

M V E

I

N

W

I

B

J

F

OXG

JP

Y

Q STR

AA AB

AC AD

AEAF

AH

AI

AJ

AH

AI

AJ

AG

AG

Activity(Conventional)

Transportation sectorTransportation sector

A: Activation of New A: Activation of New EEnvironmental Marketsnvironmental Markets

B: Research and Development of New B: Research and Development of New Environmental TechnologiesEnvironmental Technologies

D: Development of New Environmental D: Development of New Environmental InfrastructuresInfrastructures

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Eco-drivinglicense

Eco-navigationsystem

Maintaining Economical

speedsCorrect tire

pressureCorrect

laden weightRev

controlSuppression of

sudden acceleration

Timelyshifting up

Reduction ofillegal parking

Air conditionertemperature adjustment

Air conditionertemperature adjustment

[Eco driving]

Eco educationbudget

Eco-drivingeducationat school

Eco-drivingeducation

via TV program

Eco-drivingeducation

via Web site

Distribution ofeco-driving

leafletDriving monitor

Eco-drivercommendation

Eco-drivingLicense system

Subsidy fordriving monitor

Subsidy forEco-Nav. Sys.

Priority topublic

transportation

Priority towalking / bicycle

T(Decrease ofpassenger transportation)

U(Priority to public transportation)

V(Improve of efficiencyof freight vehicle)

X(Improve of efficiencyof passenger vehicle)

W

(reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of freightvehicle)

Y

(reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of passengervehicle)

[Eco education]

Part of Transportation sectorPart of Transportation sector : Eco: Eco--driving driving

SDB diagram: Transportation sector [Part 1]SDB diagram: Transportation sector [Part 1]

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AHS *1Car sharing

system

Decrease ofCongestion

AHS *2 AHS *1ETC *3 AHS *1VICS *4 AHS *1PTPS *5 AHS *1MOCS *6AHS *1TDM *1IC cardticket

Teleworking/ SOHO

[ICT application]

ITS capitalinformation

budgetIC card

preferential treatment system

Car sharingpreferential tax system

C(Priority to public transportation)

H(Priority to high efficiency vehicle)

D(improvement of energy efficiencyof freight transportation)

F(improvement of energy efficiencyof passenger transportation)

E(reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of freightvehicle)

G(reduction of air pollutantand GHG emission of passengervehicle)

*1 TDM: Traffic Demand Management*2 AHS: Advanced Cruise-Assist Highway System *3 ETC: Electronic Toll Collection*4 VICS: Vehicle Information and Communication System*5 PTPS: Public Transportation Priority Systems*6 MOCS: Mobile Operation Control Systems

SDB diagram: Transportation sector [Part 2]SDB diagram: Transportation sector [Part 2]

Part of Transportation sectorPart of Transportation sector : Intelligent Transport System: Intelligent Transport System

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VehiclePassenger

Transportation

Small-sizeVehicle

Large-sizeVehicle

Bus

Fuel cellVehicle

Natural GasVehicle

HybridVehicle

Existing OilVehicle

Small-sizeVehicle

Large-sizeVehicle

Bus

Fuel cellVehicle

Natural GasVehicle

HybridVehicle

Existing OilVehicle

Fuel cellVehicle

Natural GasVehicle

HybridVehicle

Existing OilVehicle

PassengerTransportation

Bio-fuel

H2

Oil

Vehicle

PassengerTransportation

Gas

A

B

C

H

B

F

OXG

JP

Y

Q STR

AA AB

AEAF

AG

SDB diagram: Transportation sector [Part 3]SDB diagram: Transportation sector [Part 3]

Part of Transportation sectorPart of Transportation sector : Passenger vehicle: Passenger vehicle

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ConclusionConclusion

Innovation strategies are essential to achive MDG and national targets of economic, social, and environmental indicators simultaneously at early stage.

SDB cards provide information regarding environmental options of technology, infrastructure, management and institution for stakeholders.

SDB diagrams provides rough sketch of combination of environmental option. Innovation strategy should be design based on the diagram.

SDB engine analyzes innovation strategies quantitatively from the aspect of environment improvement, social improvement and economical impact.

We will continue to collect more environmental options which contribute to making innovational strategies in various fields.

We will develop user friendly interface of SDB engine and diffuse the SDB as a support tool for policymaking though a training workshop.