Providence, RI Likely Voters

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PROVIDENCE, RI LIKELY VOTERS ΔΑΠΑ RESEARCH INC. May 2014

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Providence, RI Likely Voters . ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. May 2014 . About This Survey . Field Dates: May 21-May 25, 2014 600 respondents, all likely voters in the General Election All residents of Providence, Rhode Island Margin of Error: +/- 4% at a 95% level of confidence . - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Providence, RI Likely Voters

Page 1: Providence, RI Likely Voters

PROVIDENCE, RI LIKELY VOTERS

Δ Α Π Α R E S E A R C H I N C . M a y 2 0 1 4

Page 2: Providence, RI Likely Voters

ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

About Th i s Survey •Field Dates: May 21-May 25, 2014

•600 respondents, all likely voters in the General Election

•All residents of Providence, Rhode Island

•Margin of Error: +/- 4% at a 95% level of confidence

Page 3: Providence, RI Likely Voters

ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Survey Demograph ics • Gender: • 48% Male• 52% Female

• Party Registration: • 55% Democrat• 6% Republican• 34%

Independent/Unenrolled• 2% Other

• 29% current or retired member of a labor union.

• Race/Ethnic Background: • 47% Non-Hispanic White • 33% Hispanic • 12% Black• 4% Asian

• Likelihood to Vote in September Primary: • 75% Certain• 15% Probably • 5% 50-50• 5% Probably won’t vote

Page 4: Providence, RI Likely Voters

ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

2013 Househo ld Income

2013 Household Income

17%18%

13% 13%

8%

4%2%

3%

Under $30K $30K-$50K $50K-$75K $75K-$100K$100K-$125K $125K-$150K $150K-$200K Over $200K

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ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Prov idence

Right Di-rec-tion 43%Wrong

Track37%

Undecided 19%

City of Providence - Right Direction or Wrong Track?

Page 6: Providence, RI Likely Voters

ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Labor Disputes 23%

17%14% 13%

28%

When there is a labor dispute between a union and management, whose side do you generally take – union or management?

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ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014Hotel Worker Minimum Wage Ballot Measure

Stro

ngly

Favo

r

Somew

hat F

avor

Somew

hat O

ppos

e

Stro

ngly

Oppos

e

40%

26%

15% 12%

A potential ballot measure that may appear on the November ballot in Providence would require Providence hotels of 25 rooms or more to pay all hotel employees a minimum wage of $15 per hour. At this point, how do you feel about this proposal?

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ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Reasons to Support:

Very c

onvin

cing r

easo

n to su

ppor

t

Fairl

y con

vincin

g rea

son to

supp

ort

Somew

hat co

nvincin

g rea

son to

supp

ort

Not co

nvincin

g

Undecid

ed

41%

17%16%20%6%

Is this a…?

There are 10 hotels in Providence. Two hotels – the Omni and the Biltmore – pay their housekeepers around $15 an hour. This proposal would level the playing field for workers at all large hotels who do the same job.

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ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Reasons to Support:

Very c

onvin

cing r

easo

n to su

ppor

t

Fairl

y con

vincin

g rea

son to

supp

ort

Somew

hat co

nvincin

g rea

son to

supp

ort

Not co

nvincin

g

Undecid

ed

41%

17%18%19%6%

Is this a…?

Many Providence housekeepers start at $8.50 per hour, before taxes, which is less than some babysitters make. The initiative would amount to an approximately $1.85 increase in pay for each room a housekeeper cleans.

Page 10: Providence, RI Likely Voters

ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Reasons to Support:

Very c

onvin

cing r

easo

n to su

ppor

t

Fairl

y con

vincin

g rea

son to

supp

ort

Somew

hat co

nvincin

g rea

son to

supp

ort

Not co

nvincin

g

Undecid

ed

41%

17%20%19%4%

Is this a…?

There are approximately 1000 Providence hotel workers. Most of them live in Providence. An increase in their wages would mean they have more money to invest in their homes and to spend in local businesses in their neighborhoods.

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ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Reasons to Support:

Very c

onvin

cing r

easo

n to su

ppor

t

Fairl

y con

vincin

g rea

son to

supp

ort

Somew

hat co

nvincin

g rea

son to

supp

ort

Not co

nvincin

g

Undecid

ed

36%

14%20%24%

6%

Is this a…?

Only hotels that have 25 rooms or more will be covered by this initiative. Most are owned by large institutional companies that can afford to pay a minimum wage to their hotel workers. The initiative exempts small hotels and B&Bs.

Page 12: Providence, RI Likely Voters

ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Reasons to Oppose:

Very c

onvin

cing r

easo

n to op

pose

Fairl

y con

vincin

g rea

son to

oppo

se

Somew

hat co

nvincin

g rea

son to

oppo

se

Not co

nvincin

g

Undecid

ed

15%12%15%

52%

6%

Is this a…?

If Providence raises the minimum wage to $15 per hour for hotel workers, visitors may stay in other cities where hotel prices are lower, which will hurt our tax revenue and we will lose jobs and convention business.

Page 13: Providence, RI Likely Voters

ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Reasons to Oppose:

Very c

onvin

cing r

easo

n to op

pose

Fairl

y con

vincin

g rea

son to

oppo

se

Somew

hat co

nvincin

g rea

son to

oppo

se

Not co

nvincin

g

Undecid

ed

15%12%13%

51%

10%

Is this a…?

This proposition is being paid for by the labor unions who are just trying to give big hotels a headache so they will make their employees join the union and increase the amount of dues the union collects. Now these unions are pushing another job-killing policy that will hurt our struggling economy even more.

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ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014Reasons to Oppose:

Very c

onvin

cing r

easo

n to op

pose

Fairl

y con

vincin

g rea

son to

oppo

se

Somew

hat co

nvincin

g rea

son to

oppo

se

Not co

nvincin

g

Undecid

ed

22%13%19%

40%

7%

Is this a…?

This ordinance also covers hotel restaurants which are not part of the hotel industry. Hotel restaurants will not be able to compete with free-standing restaurants like the ones in our community. Tipped workers such as bartenders, waiters, and waitresses already make good money and shouldn’t get $15 per hour on top of their tips.

Page 15: Providence, RI Likely Voters

ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014Hotel Worker Minimum Wage Ballot Measure

Stro

ngly

Favo

r

Somew

hat F

avor

Somew

hat O

ppos

e

Stro

ngly

Oppos

e

39%

24%

14% 16%

Based on everything you have heard do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose a proposal that would require Providence hotels of 25+ rooms to pay all hotel employees a $15 per hour minimum wage?

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ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Before and After Comparison

Strongly Favor

Somewhat Favor

Somewhat Oppose

Strongly Oppose

40%

26%

15% 12%

39%

24%

14% 16%

Before After

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ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Broadbase Support of $15 Minimum Wage

Overa

ll

S. P

rov/W

ashin

gton

Par

k

Fede

ral H

ill

N. End/S

ilver

Lake

/Smith

...

East

Side

Mt.

Pleasa

nt/Elm

hurst

Prov R

ight D

irect

ion

Regist

ered

Dem

64%73% 69% 66%

58% 57%71% 69%

Post Pro/Con Statements

Page 18: Providence, RI Likely Voters

ΔΑΠΑ Research Inc. - May 2014

Marginal Opposition to $15 Minimum Wage

Overa

ll

Regist

ered

Rep

ublica

ns

Prov

idence

Wro

ng Dire

ction

Inde

pende

nts

Ages 2

6-40

31%

60%41% 38% 37%

Post Pro/Con Statements