Chip Helms

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19 December 2012 1 Conclusions Results Methodology Backgroun d Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius Examining the Sensitivity of an Idealized Model to Changes in the Initial Potential Temperature Perturbation Chip Helms

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Examining the Sensitivity of an Idealized Model to Changes in the Initial Potential Temperature Perturbation. Chip Helms. Background. The Idealized Model: CM1. Created by George Bryan (NCAR) 3D, non-hydrostatic, non-linear, cloud-resolving, idealized model No data assimilation - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Chip Helms

Page 1: Chip Helms

19 December 2012

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Examining the Sensitivity of an Idealized Model to Changes in the

Initial Potential Temperature Perturbation

Chip Helms

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

The Idealized Model: CM1• Created by George Bryan (NCAR)• 3D, non-hydrostatic, non-linear, cloud-resolving, idealized

model– No data assimilation– Uses a horizontally constant field for the base state– Adds perturbations to base state

• e.g. warm bubble, cold blob, forced convergence

• Benefits of using CM1– Conserves mass and energy better than other modern cloud

models– Faster and uses less memory than other models for idealized

studies– Very flexible, can be used for a large variety of studies

Background

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Goal

• Qualitatively examine CM1 sensitivity to:– Initial maximum magnitude of θ'– Initial horizontal warm bubble radius

• Potential implications of study:– Sensitivity of cloud-resolving models to

temperature anomalies• e.g. magnitude and extent of an urban heat island

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Methodology

• Two sets of runs to test sensitivities

Methodology

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Model SettingsMethodology

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Sensitivity to magnitude of θ'Results

Composite Reflectivity

Cell split occurs earlier as θ' increases

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Sensitivity to Warm Bubble Radius

Results

Cell splitting is related to the

interaction between vorticity

and updrafts

Cell split occurs earlier as radius

increases

Look at updraft strength evolution

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Results

0.5

K

Delay in reaching peak updraft

strength is non-linear function of θ'

1.0

K

1.5

K

2.0

K

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Results

Relatively low sensitivity at 7 km radius and above

Relatively high sensitivity at 6 km radius and below

Model Dispersion2-6Δx 2-6 km radii

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Conclusions

• As θ' or warm bubble radius increases, storm cell splits earlier and reaches peak updraft strength earlier– More sensitive to θ' than radius

• Small warm bubble radius runs have resolution and dispersion issues– Impacts 5 km radius most– Very little sensitivity at or above 7 km– Suggests sensitivity is due to model dispersion

Conclusions

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Questions

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Peak Updraft Limit

• Function of CAPE

CAPE = 1946 wmax = 62 m/s• Actual < 55 m/s• Difference due to

assumptions of CAPE

Conclusions

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Initial Background ConditionsMethodology

Hodograph corresponds to

these levels

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Hodograph Refresher

• Trace of wind vector direction (azimuth) and magnitude (radius)

• Straight hodographs suggest cells will split

• Veering (backing) hodographs suggest right (left) cell will be dominant

Methodology

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Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Model Settings - Continued

• Boundary conditions:– Open-radiative lateral boundary conditions– Zero-flux top/bottom boundary conditions

• Not included in these runs:– Atmospheric radiation– Surface drag– Surface fluxes

Methodology

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Sensitivity to magnitude of θ'

• bfds

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Outlying Model Runs

• θ' = 0.5K lags behind other runs• Radius = 5 km lags significantly behind

other runs– Possibly due to turbulent mixing having a

greater impact on tight gradients • smaller size of anomaly would be diffused faster

– Could also be due to dampening near the 2Δx scale (recall Δx = 2 km)

Conclusions

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Detailed model settings• 5th order horizontal/vertical advection schemes• Negative moisture is corrected by taking moisture from adjacent grid cells• No additional artificial diffusion beyond subgrid turbulence scheme• Sixth order diffusion scheme (coefficient = 0.040)• TKE subgrid turbulence scheme• Zero flux boundary condition for vertical diffusion of winds/scalars at top/bottom of domain• Uses Rayleigh damping at upper levels (e-fold time = 1/300, applied above 14km), but not near

horizontal boundaries• Uses Klemp-Wilhelmson time-splitting, vertically implicit pressure solver (as in MM5, ARPS, WRF),

coeff for divergence damper = 0.10, slight foreward-in-time bias used for vertically implicit acoustic solver (alpha = 0.60)

• Moisture scheme: Morrison double-moment scheme– Hail is used for large ice category– cloud droplet concentration: 250 cm^-3 (marine=100,continental=300)

• No Coriolis force• Includes dissipative heating• No energy fallout term• Open-radiative lateral boundary scheme: Durran-Klemp (1983) formulation• Initial base-state sounding: Weisman-Klemp analytic sounding• Initial base-state wind profile: RKW-type profile• Initial pressure perturbation is zero everywhere

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ConclusionsResultsMethodologyBackground

Chip Helms Sensitivity of CM1 to Initial θ' Magnitude and Radius

Sensitivity to magnitude of θ'Results

Composite Reflectivity

Cell split occurs earlier as θ' increases

Cell splitting is related to the

interaction between vorticity

and updrafts