Download - Γραφείο Προϋπολογισμού Της Βουλής - q42014

Transcript
  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    1/77

    A

    2014

    2015

    http://www.hellenicparliament.gr/el/
  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    2/77

    2

    ..................................................................... 5

    ......................................................................................................................................... 6 .......................................................................................................... 7

    1 ....................................................................................................... 19

    1.1 , ............... 19

    1.2 ................................................................................................ 21

    1.3

    ........................................................ .................................... 22

    1.4

    ............................................................................................................. 23

    1.5 ........ ...... 24

    1.6

    ........................................................... ................................................................. ... 25

    1.7 , SPREADS

    ................................................................................................................. .............. 27

    1.8 ............................................................ ... 29

    1.9 .............................. .............. 34

    2 2002-2013 ..................................................... 37

    3 2015......................................................................................................... 39

    3.1 2015 ....................................................... .............. 39

    3.2 2015 ................................................................... ...... 41

    4 ...................................................................................... 43

    4.1 2014 ................................................................ ................ 43

    4.1.1 2014........................... 43

    4.1.2 2014 ........................ 44

    4.2 .............................................................. ......................... 49

    4.3 ................................................................................................ 54

    4.4 ............................................................................................................. 58

    5 :

    ................................................................................................................... 59

    5.1 : , .......................................................................... 59

    5.2 ........................................................................................ ... 60

    5.3 ....................................................... .................................... 64

    5.4

    ......................................... ............................................... 67

    5.5 : . ............... 75

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    3/77

    3

    1: ,,,................................................................ 23

    2: - -

    .................................................................................................................... 33

    3: 2014( .)....................................................................................... 36

    4: (% , ) .................... 39

    5: 2013-2015( .) ............................... ... 41

    6: -: - 2014 ................. 46

    7: -: - 2014 ...................... 52

    8: -: - 2014 .................. 56

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    4/77

    4

    1: (QT/QT-1,

    , 2010) ............................................................. .................................... 19

    2: ...................... 203: (QT/QT-1, ) .......... 20

    4: ( ) ................................................. 21

    5: (

    ) .............................................................. ......................... 25

    6: ,,......................................................... 26

    7: ( .)............................................................ 27

    8: ................................................. 28

    9:SPREADS ( , ,,,

    ) ....................................................................................................... ......................... 29

    10:

    2014( .)................................................................................................. ..... 30

    11: ( 1.1.2014) 2014

    ( .)............................................................................................................ 31

    12: ( .)............................. .............. 34

    13: ( .).............................................. ......................... 35

    14: 2002-2013: ( )

    ............................................................. ................................................................. .............. 37

    15: (%)2008-2015 .................................. ......................... 39

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    5/77

    5

    3871 2010 . , -

    ( -

    -

    , )

    -

    -

    .

    , -

    :

    ,

    ,

    . ,

    ,

    ,

    ,

    .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    6/77

    6

    -

    . -

    2014. -

    (...), (..) -

    (...). -

    -

    .

    -

    , -

    . , ,

    .

    , -

    .

    .

    -

    -

    -

    15 16 . -

    , -

    .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    7/77

    7

    .

    .

    . -

    :

    ( , )

    2015 (-

    ),

    ,

    - 2 .,

    ,

    ( Eurogroup

    2012!),

    ( -

    ) 22.1.2015.

    20151 ( ,

    ).

    .

    .

    ,

    -

    . ,

    -

    , .

    2014 ()

    , .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    ,

    , -

    1 .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    8/77

    8

    / -

    2014 .

    (spreads), -

    , , -

    , 2012

    , ( -

    ). ,

    2014.

    , (

    )

    .

    ,

    ( ) 4 .

    7 .

    2015 8,8 .

    , . -

    .

    2015 . 2015:

    22,5 . -

    ,

    , ..

    , , - 10,6

    . . , -

    ( -

    ), . -

    ,

    .

    ( )

    . -

    , .

    , -

    . -

    , ( ) ,

    .2 -

    -

    . ,

    (,

    2 .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    9/77

    9

    ..) , -

    .

    .

    -

    .

    : -

    ( ),

    . -

    . -

    .

    10% . -

    ( . ). -

    .

    , 7,2 .

    . ,

    .

    .3 -

    2015

    2016 30 .

    . , 11,4 .

    .

    ELA (emergency liquidity assistance),

    .

    ,

    .

    !

    ,

    ,4

    . , -

    ().

    .

    .

    .

    3ECB Press Release 22.1.2015 (ECB announces expanded asset purchase programme).

    4 8.1.2015 [] -

    /. , - .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    10/77

    10

    . ,

    -

    . 183 .

    . , 50 . , -

    ( -

    ) .

    . , ,

    ,

    . ,

    GRexit

    . , -

    .

    -

    .

    ( ) -

    . -

    -

    !

    : , ,

    2014.

    .

    ( ) () -

    /. ( , ,

    ),5 () (. -

    126 -

    , 120 -

    , 121

    - .). , -

    -

    . () -

    .() 2012 (-

    ) 2014,6 -

    5 . :

    . . . , - 2014.

    6

    . 14.5.2014 ( ) 15.5.2014 ( ), .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    11/77

    11

    . -

    . , .

    -

    -

    (-

    ). .

    .

    , ( -

    ) ,

    , ,

    -.

    , .

    . -

    .

    (.

    ): ..

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    .

    .

    -

    :

    -

    ;

    -

    2015

    /; -

    , -

    ;

    ;

    :

    1. .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    12/77

    12

    (, , , ). : -

    -

    .

    -

    . .

    . ,

    -

    ., ,

    .

    2. ( -

    )

    ().

    .

    . .

    .

    , 2014

    :

    () 2015.7

    () , .8

    .

    ,

    9 ()

    .,

    .

    -

    :

    , -

    ,

    , ,

    ..

    -

    ( ..),

    7 2,5 ., 980 .

    8 100 , , ,

    , , , .9

    . , 13.9.2014. ta xheaven.gr14.9.2014. .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    13/77

    13

    -

    ,

    ,

    , -

    ,

    .

    , (-

    ) ( -

    )

    . , -

    -

    .

    - .

    ,

    , , , -

    , ( -

    ) .

    status quo !

    -

    .

    3. -

    ( ).

    () ,

    () , -

    -

    .

    . -

    .10 -

    ,

    , , -

    .

    10. 2020, 2014. 4.1.2015. , , -

    . . Jean Monnet . , , 2014.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    14/77

    14

    ,

    . .

    4. - .

    . .

    5. , ,

    .

    , (

    ) 2014 :

    , 2014 -

    . , 2014 -

    (+7% ), (+3,6%), -

    (+12,3%) . -

    .

    , , , , -

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    , , .

    . -

    , ,

    -

    , -

    , (.. -

    -

    ..), , -

    , , ,

    , , -

    .. (. 1).

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    15/77

    15

    1: - ()

    i. ( , -

    - - ).

    ii.

    ( -, -

    - , -

    ).

    iii. ( , -

    ).

    iv. -

    .

    v. ( , -

    - logistics).

    vi.

    ( ).vii. .

    :

    .

    . -

    . , , -

    . - -

    -

    -

    .

    , -

    (.. ) .

    ,

    ,11 , -

    . -. .. ( )

    .12,

    , -

    11

    - 12. 10.2014.

    12 Eurobank. . , , , Eurobank Research 7 -, 2.10. 2014. -

    , .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    16/77

    16

    . , -

    .

    -

    (.. -

    , - ), (..

    ,

    , ).

    ,

    . , ,

    -

    , 13

    , , -

    . , - () -

    , ()

    ()

    .

    , , . ,

    (. ).

    6. .

    .

    . ,

    , ,

    , : , -

    ( .) .

    (= )

    .

    2012.

    /

    .

    , ( -

    ) . ,

    ,

    . ,

    13. IMF World Economic Outlook, October 2014, chapter 3.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    17/77

    17

    , .14

    ,

    ,

    .

    (=). ,

    .

    () ()

    () -

    .

    , , -

    ( ) . -

    . ;

    ( % )

    , -

    -

    , ! -

    . -

    !

    /

    , EFSF,

    , -

    ( ) ,

    . -

    !

    -

    . -

    .

    , -

    . . EFSF ( 130 .)

    2022 ! -

    . ( -

    ) 2015. -

    -

    . -

    (PSI, 2012).

    14

    . (2014). . , 2013.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    18/77

    18

    .

    . , -

    .

    .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    19/77

    19

    1

    1 1 , -

    2014 15 16 0,7%

    , 1,9% -

    2013.

    .

    1: (Qt/Qt-1 , , 2010)

    . 1,1%

    2014 3,6% 2013.

    70%

    .

    2015

    . 2

    .

    , 17.

    0,2% 0,8%

    2013.

    .

    15 549/2013 ESA 2010. - .

    , . - - .

    16

    28-11-201417Eurostatnews Release 187/2014 5/12/2014

    -4%

    -3%

    -2%

    -1%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    II IV I II IV I II IV I II IV I II III

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Qt/Qt-1 :

    http://www.statistics.gr/portal/page/portal/ESYE/BUCKET/A0704/PressReleases/A0704_SEL84_DT_QQ_03_2014_01_P_GR.pdfhttp://www.statistics.gr/portal/page/portal/ESYE/BUCKET/A0704/PressReleases/A0704_SEL84_DT_QQ_03_2014_01_P_GR.pdfhttp://www.statistics.gr/portal/page/portal/ESYE/BUCKET/A0704/PressReleases/A0704_SEL84_DT_QQ_03_2014_01_P_GR.pdfhttp://www.statistics.gr/portal/page/portal/ESYE/BUCKET/A0704/PressReleases/A0704_SEL84_DT_QQ_03_2014_01_P_GR.pdfhttp://www.statistics.gr/portal/page/portal/ESYE/BUCKET/A0704/PressReleases/A0704_SEL84_DT_QQ_03_2014_01_P_GR.pdfhttp://www.statistics.gr/portal/page/portal/ESYE/BUCKET/A0704/PressReleases/A0704_SEL84_DT_QQ_03_2014_01_P_GR.pdfhttp://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-press-releases/-/2-05122014-APhttp://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-press-releases/-/2-05122014-APhttp://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-press-releases/-/2-05122014-APhttp://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-press-releases/-/2-05122014-APhttp://www.statistics.gr/portal/page/portal/ESYE/BUCKET/A0704/PressReleases/A0704_SEL84_DT_QQ_03_2014_01_P_GR.pdf
  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    20/77

    20

    1%

    2,4% 2013.

    2:

    3: (Qt/Qt-1, )

    -

    .

    18 :

    18ECB 2014

    0

    0,5

    1

    1,5

    2

    2,5

    3

    3,5

    4

    2014 2015 2016

    IMF OECD AMECO: IMF (World Economic Outlook Database, October 2014), OECD(October 2014),

    AMECO Database (4 November 2014)

    -3,5

    -3

    -2,5

    -2

    -1,5

    -1

    -0,5

    0

    0,51

    1,5

    Euro area (18 countries) Greece Spain Italy Portugal

    :Eurostat

    http://www.bankofgreece.gr/BogEkdoseis/ektmonth201412.pdfhttp://www.bankofgreece.gr/BogEkdoseis/ektmonth201412.pdfhttp://www.bankofgreece.gr/BogEkdoseis/ektmonth201412.pdfhttp://www.bankofgreece.gr/BogEkdoseis/ektmonth201412.pdf
  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    21/77

    21

    . ,

    , , -

    , , . -

    ,

    -

    .

    -

    2014, -

    0,8%

    2014, 1,0% 2015 1,5% 2016. -

    2014, -

    -

    . -

    .

    , -

    .

    1 2

    .

    19 ,

    25,8% 27,8% 2013 26,0% 2014. 4 .

    4: ( )

    19, : 2014(8 2014)

    15,1

    16,116,9

    17,8

    19,0

    20,9

    22,6

    24,024,8

    26,0 26,427,5 27,8

    27,3

    27,1

    26,3

    14

    16

    18

    20

    22

    24

    26

    28

    30

    2011

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    2014

    :

    http://www.statistics.gr/portal/page/portal/ESYE/BUCKET/A0101/PressReleases/A0101_SJO02_DT_MM_10_2014_01_F_GR.pdfhttp://www.statistics.gr/portal/page/portal/ESYE/BUCKET/A0101/PressReleases/A0101_SJO02_DT_MM_10_2014_01_F_GR.pdfhttp://www.statistics.gr/portal/page/portal/ESYE/BUCKET/A0101/PressReleases/A0101_SJO02_DT_MM_10_2014_01_F_GR.pdfhttp://www.statistics.gr/portal/page/portal/ESYE/BUCKET/A0101/PressReleases/A0101_SJO02_DT_MM_10_2014_01_F_GR.pdf
  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    22/77

    22

    -

    2014 3.585.234. 1.245.340

    , 3.288.819 .

    15-24 25-

    34 50,6% 34,5% . 25 34 . -

    (27,3%) -

    (27,8%)

    1 3 -

    , -

    2014, 2.5 . , -

    1.3 . 2013.

    ,

    . -

    .,20 2014 (2.31

    . ) 6,6% 2013 (

    0,9% ). , - 2014, -

    2,3% ( 1,5% -

    ). , 2014 (3.77 . ) -

    0,8% 2013 ( , -

    3,3%). - 2014, - 0,8% ( , 6% ).

    2014 1.45 . ,

    10,7% 2013 ( ,

    8,4%). , - 2014,

    18.8 . , 5,3% -

    2013 ( ,

    15,5%). , ..,

    , ,

    .21 , ( )

    - 2014 4,2% - 2013, .. 0.1%. ,

    , 3,3% 0,4% ..

    H , -

    (, , ) - - -

    "-" -

    ,22 -

    20

    , , : 2014, 9 201521

    Eurostat, Euro area international trade in goods surplus 24.0 bn, News Release, 195/2014, 16 December 201422 , , ,4/1/2015

    http://www.kathimerini.gr/798142/article/oikonomia/epixeirhseis/ta-dyo-varidia-poy-vazoyn-freno-stis-ellhnikes-e3agwgeshttp://www.kathimerini.gr/798142/article/oikonomia/epixeirhseis/ta-dyo-varidia-poy-vazoyn-freno-stis-ellhnikes-e3agwgeshttp://www.kathimerini.gr/798142/article/oikonomia/epixeirhseis/ta-dyo-varidia-poy-vazoyn-freno-stis-ellhnikes-e3agwgeshttp://www.kathimerini.gr/798142/article/oikonomia/epixeirhseis/ta-dyo-varidia-poy-vazoyn-freno-stis-ellhnikes-e3agwges
  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    23/77

    23

    .

    -

    9% 2020 ( 7% ), 60% -

    .

    1: , , ,

    :

    ... 21% 17% 23% 12%

    16% 10% 11% 9%

    13% 8% 11% 6%

    8% 7% 7% 5%

    6% -

    7%

    -

    5% 4%

    36% 51% 42% 64%

    - -

    -

    25%

    ( )19%

    15%-

    39%

    -

    21%-

    14%

    -

    10% 15%

    -

    14% 14% 10%

    ()

    8%

    -

    -12% - 6% 9%

    -

    -

    7%

    11% - 4% 8%-

    4%

    16% 44% 48% 27%

    : , , , 4/1/2015

    1 4

    . -

    ,23 -

    -

    . ,

    -

    - . ,

    . -

    - . .

    EXPORT SUMMIT III,

    23, , - 2014, .26-28

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    24/77

    24

    , ..

    -3.2% (2014), -

    . . , -

    2,5 . , 4 .

    .24 -

    , -

    . ,

    -

    . ,

    -

    - -

    1212/26.09.14

    .25

    , 2014, Institute forGrowth (IfG) - "IfG - Greek SME Finance S.A. (

    ) -

    .26 ,

    100 . ( -

    - )

    KfW 100 . .

    1 5

    -

    ( 5), -

    3 2014 2,7%.27

    24 , " ,"EURO2DAY,4 2014; " : H ,"Reporter.gr,3 2014

    25, , , 18 2014

    26

    & ,22 201427, : 3 2014, , 28 2014

    http://www.euro2day.gr/news/economy/article/1281037/mpainoyn-triklopodies-stis-ellhnikes-exagoges.htmlhttp://www.euro2day.gr/news/economy/article/1281037/mpainoyn-triklopodies-stis-ellhnikes-exagoges.htmlhttp://www.euro2day.gr/news/economy/article/1281037/mpainoyn-triklopodies-stis-ellhnikes-exagoges.htmlhttp://www.reporter.gr/Eidhseis/Oikonomia/item/251613-Synedrio-SEBE-H-elleipsh-reystothtas-%C2%ABpnigei%C2%BB-tis-exagwgeshttp://www.reporter.gr/Eidhseis/Oikonomia/item/251613-Synedrio-SEBE-H-elleipsh-reystothtas-%C2%ABpnigei%C2%BB-tis-exagwgeshttp://www.reporter.gr/Eidhseis/Oikonomia/item/251613-Synedrio-SEBE-H-elleipsh-reystothtas-%C2%ABpnigei%C2%BB-tis-exagwgeshttp://www.mindev.gov.gr/el/index.php/8-2014-07-07-16-56-20/2820-%CE%AD%CE%BD%CE%B1%CF%81%CE%BE%CE%B7-%CE%BB%CE%B5%CE%B9%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85%CF%81%CE%B3%CE%AF%CE%B1%CF%82-%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85-institute-for-growth-ifg-%CE%BA%CE%B1%CE%B9-%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85-%CF%258http://www.mindev.gov.gr/el/index.php/8-2014-07-07-16-56-20/2820-%CE%AD%CE%BD%CE%B1%CF%81%CE%BE%CE%B7-%CE%BB%CE%B5%CE%B9%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85%CF%81%CE%B3%CE%AF%CE%B1%CF%82-%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85-institute-for-growth-ifg-%CE%BA%CE%B1%CE%B9-%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85-%CF%258http://www.mindev.gov.gr/el/index.php/8-2014-07-07-16-56-20/2820-%CE%AD%CE%BD%CE%B1%CF%81%CE%BE%CE%B7-%CE%BB%CE%B5%CE%B9%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85%CF%81%CE%B3%CE%AF%CE%B1%CF%82-%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85-institute-for-growth-ifg-%CE%BA%CE%B1%CE%B9-%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85-%CF%258http://www.mindev.gov.gr/el/index.php/8-2014-07-07-16-56-20/2820-%CE%AD%CE%BD%CE%B1%CF%81%CE%BE%CE%B7-%CE%BB%CE%B5%CE%B9%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85%CF%81%CE%B3%CE%AF%CE%B1%CF%82-%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85-institute-for-growth-ifg-%CE%BA%CE%B1%CE%B9-%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85-%CF%258http://www.reporter.gr/Eidhseis/Oikonomia/item/251613-Synedrio-SEBE-H-elleipsh-reystothtas-%C2%ABpnigei%C2%BB-tis-exagwgeshttp://www.euro2day.gr/news/economy/article/1281037/mpainoyn-triklopodies-stis-ellhnikes-exagoges.html
  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    25/77

    25

    5: ( )

    -

    43,9% ( 58,4% 2 2014), 13,4%

    ( ).28

    (15,5%) -

    (24,1%).29

    . 2015, -

    ,

    .

    (.. ), -

    -

    -

    .

    1 6

    -

    2014 2014 -

    ,

    . , -

    28

    Alpha Bank, , 4 2014.29...

    -38,6

    -13 -12,9 -13

    -2,3

    -8,7

    -5,3-6

    2,7

    -45

    -40

    -35

    -30

    -25

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    : ..

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    26/77

    26

    0,16% ( 6)

    36,11% ,

    124,72%30.

    - 98,9 , 102,7 2014,

    -

    .

    6: , ,

    2014,

    0,54% 0,20% .

    2014 -

    ( 9,37%).

    , , -

    . ,

    2014

    2014 710% -

    9,47%. ,

    15,58%, 1,01% 3,29%.

    30

    5% 40%.

    91,7 91,692,9

    97,7

    99,4

    103

    99,3

    102,2

    98,9

    98,1

    100,4101,2

    102 102,1

    100,699,9

    100,7 100,7101,9

    103,8

    105106,3 106,4

    104,6103,6 104,2 104,2

    80

    85

    90

    95

    100

    105

    110

    :

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    27/77

    27

    1 7

    ,

    spre ds

    2014 -

    ( 7) , 2014 . -

    ( ) -

    164,3 . 164,5. 2014. -

    , 2014

    3,3 . 14 . -

    2012 150,6

    ..

    , -

    ( -

    - -

    )

    .

    2015 31

    (ELA), , , ,

    , -

    , -

    .

    7: ( . )

    31- 21/1/2015: ELA 4

    163,41

    162,67162,39

    162,21

    161,35

    160,38

    161,04

    163,25

    161,03

    160,54

    161,02161,40

    162,10

    163,06163,22

    164,23

    164,75164,50

    164,30

    158,00

    159,00

    160,00

    161,00

    162,00

    163,00

    164,00

    165,00

    166,00

    :

    http://www.amna.gr/article/71159/Ston-ELA-oi-4-ellinikes-sustimikes-trapezes-me-apofasi-tis-EKThttp://www.amna.gr/article/71159/Ston-ELA-oi-4-ellinikes-sustimikes-trapezes-me-apofasi-tis-EKThttp://www.amna.gr/article/71159/Ston-ELA-oi-4-ellinikes-sustimikes-trapezes-me-apofasi-tis-EKThttp://www.amna.gr/article/71159/Ston-ELA-oi-4-ellinikes-sustimikes-trapezes-me-apofasi-tis-EKThttp://www.amna.gr/article/71159/Ston-ELA-oi-4-ellinikes-sustimikes-trapezes-me-apofasi-tis-EKThttp://www.amna.gr/article/71159/Ston-ELA-oi-4-ellinikes-sustimikes-trapezes-me-apofasi-tis-EKThttp://www.amna.gr/article/71159/Ston-ELA-oi-4-ellinikes-sustimikes-trapezes-me-apofasi-tis-EKThttp://www.amna.gr/article/71159/Ston-ELA-oi-4-ellinikes-sustimikes-trapezes-me-apofasi-tis-EKT
  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    28/77

    28

    2014, , -

    -

    . ,

    4 2014

    1,19%, -

    23 5,13%.

    , 19 -

    3,94 .

    2014 -

    1964 2000.

    , 2014 826,18 -

    1.162,68 2013 336,50

    28,94%.

    ( 8). -

    -

    .

    8:

    hedge funds -

    -

    - -

    . , -

    2014

    2015.

    ,

    2014.

    986,76

    869,19

    1014,53

    899,92

    1188,17

    1162,681310,41 1232,4

    1214,31

    1161,81 915,83

    826,18

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    :

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    29/77

    29

    ( 2014)

    7.83% (9).

    9: Spreads ( , , , -, )

    1 8

    ,

    2014

    73,8 . 41,2% ( 178,94 .).

    60 . -

    2013 ( ).

    2014 -

    ( ) 13,8 . ( . 10).

    8,28

    6,73

    6,86

    5,39

    4,74 4,675,14

    6,47

    7,83

    4,874,57

    4,24

    3,38

    2,36 2,242,52 2,42 2,41

    2,692,49

    2,31 2,091,77

    1,681,4

    2,772,46 2,33

    2

    1,65

    1,461,19

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    :E

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    30/77

    30

    10 : 2014 ( . ).

    ( ) -

    1,02 . .

    :

    - 1,27 . ,

    - (

    2013) 253 . , 60,02 .

    60,28 . ,

    ( 1,56 . - 2014).

    16%

    30/6/2014 25% 31/12/2014 .

    15,3% ( 2,11 . 13,77 . -

    ).

    1 . ( 2 .). -

    1,56 . (. 11).

    0,96

    2,36

    3,564,33

    5,196,23

    7,24

    8,659,68

    10,91

    12,5

    13,77

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    . . . . . . . . . . .

    : ,

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    31/77

    31

    11: ( 1.1.2014) 2014 (- . )

    ,

    , 32

    432. 250 (

    500 ).

    , 33( )

    2014 11,41%.

    65%

    .

    34 ,

    447 2014.

    340, 680 .

    -

    28,6% 2014. O -

    32

    : ( ) .

    33 : , ( , , .) - .

    34

    : ( ) .

    205

    401

    561

    702

    852

    994

    1.139

    1.238

    1.3361.417

    1.479

    1.561

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1.000

    1.200

    1.400

    1.600

    1.800

    . . . . . . . . . . .

    : ,

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    32/77

    32

    2014 -

    65%.

    ,

    2014 690 .

    307 ( ) - 720 .

    24,4%

    2014. ,

    2014 50%

    .

    , 2014, 35 -

    248, 50.00036-

    165.

    35 : - .3691/2008.

    36 50.000 : 50.000 - -

    .3691/2008 ( ..U. 2.3.5.2 ) ( 01/08/2013 . 8 . 68 .4174/2013)

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    33/77

    33

    2: - -

    -14 -14 -14 -14 -14 -14 -14 -14 -14 -14 -14 -14

    (. )1 205 401 561 702 852 994 1.139 1.238 1.336 1.417 1.479 1.561 1.561

    %

    2

    6,38% 9,02% 9,27% 10,10% 11,37% 12,01% 13,06% 13,40% 14,16% 14,85% 14,40% 15,30% 15,30%

    & H

    3 14 31 50 36 22 41 38 18 33 47 36 66 432

    % 4 8,46% 151,83% 57,71% 73,45% 75,91% 22,54% 16,53% 119,11% 1,23% 95,93% 3,48% 9,04% 11,41%

    5 51 44 30 47 71 48 47 16 43 18 18 14 447

    % 6 69,5% 89,3% 333,6% 33,6% 32,2% 24,5% 7,7% 646,0% 3,1% 103,4% 8,4% 29,9% 28,6%

    & ( )

    3 57 17 20 22 86 175 105 30 35 28 34 81 690

    %

    4

    15,7% 179,3% 37,7% 55,8% 11,9% 4,4% 29,7% 37,4% 22,9% 27,7% 24,2% 29,8% 24,4%

    -

    7

    78 22 21 25 9 5 22 13 8 17 12 16 248

    50.000 8

    42 12 6 21 7 5 16 10 7 17 9 13 165

    :

    1. : ( ) ( 1/1/2014), 30/11/2013. . 2013 .

    2. % : To ( 1/12/2013 ) -

    .

    3. : ( ) .

    4. % : , ( , , .) .

    5. : ( ) .

    6. % : , ( , , .) - .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    34/77

    34

    1 9

    37 -

    2014 ( ) 3.804

    . 749 . 16,5% 2014 ( 4.553 .) 447 . 10,52% -

    2013 ( 4.251 .). 2014 -

    515 .

    11,92%,

    2014 (

    325 . 8,14%) (. 12)

    12: ( . )

    ,

    2.257 . 2014 632 . 21,9%

    2014 ( 2.889 .) 396 . 14,9% 2013 ( 2.653 .).

    2014

    273 . 10,8%.

    2014 ( 754 .) 36 . 4,6%

    2014 ( 790 .) 67 . 9,8%

    37 : : , () (), - (). , ( ), -

    , - , ....

    7.755

    8.841

    4.2514.553 4.712

    4.845 4.806 4.683 4.664

    3.994 4.009 4.1594.319

    3.804

    0

    1.000

    2.000

    3.000

    4.000

    5.000

    6.000

    7.000

    8.000

    9.000

    10.000

    :

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    35/77

    35

    2013 ( 687 .). 2014

    150 . 16,6%.

    731 . 2014 -

    278 . 61,4% 2014 ( 453 -

    . ) 212 . 40,8% 2013 ( 519.)38. 2014 -

    13 . 1,8%. (. 13)

    13: ( . )

    ( -

    ) 31/12/2011

    9,5 ., , 2015, 31/8/2014

    4,7 ..

    2014 39

    7,2 . (3).

    38 ( ), 90

    .39. 2015, . 166.

    901

    724

    519

    453 437 459

    531 549

    666

    742 745713 718 731

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    :

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    36/77

    36

    3: 2014 ( . )

    2014 ( ) 1.145

    ( ) 1.773 - 1.526

    1.294

    - 534

    127 6.399

    - 793

    7.192: , , . 166

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    37/77

    37

    2 2002-2013

    14: 2002-2013: ( )

    2002- 2013. -

    : 2002-2007 -

    2008 ( )

    2013. 2005,

    ESA 95.

    :

    1,2%.

    26,2%, 25%.

    - 4,2% , ,

    4,4% . , 173%

    ( 10% 2002 27,3% 2013).

    7,3% 2008 27,3% 2013 (

    274%).

    2,2%.

    24,3%,

    26,5% 2014, -

    3,4

    5,9

    4,4

    2,3

    5,5

    3,5

    -0,2

    -3,1

    -4,9

    -7,1-7

    -3,9

    -8

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    -60

    -50

    -40

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    :, , 2014

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    38/77

    38

    40 2015. ,

    4,1% ,

    (-4,4%), (-

    7,7% 2011 -9,3% 2012).

    1,5% . 3,5% (21,1% ),

    3,8% (22,6% ). -

    ,

    (29,4% 31% ) (23,8%).

    -

    42% . 95% ,

    53%. , -

    (8,9% -

    15,8%). , -

    -

    .

    -

    14%. 12%, -

    2009 (-19,4%), 2008 2013

    (1,7% 1,8% ) 2010 5,2%.

    , 26%, 2004 (17,3%)

    .

    20%. 52%,

    , 2008

    0,9%. 32%, -

    2006 2007 (11% 15% ). -

    ( ) -

    () -

    , -

    .

    40 2015 ESA 95, - ESA 2010. -

    . , ESA 2010- 0,2% 2014.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    39/77

    39

    3 2015

    3 1 2015

    2015

    2015 2,9% 2013

    ( ... 2,3% ESA-10,

    2010) ,

    .

    4: (% , )

    2013* 2014** 2015***

    -3,9 0,6 2,9

    -2,0 0,2 1,6

    -6,5 -1,8 -2,0

    -9,5 1,0 11,7

    2,1 8,2 5,2

    -

    -1,6 2,3 2,2

    -0,9 -1,0 0,3

    -2,3 -2,5 0,4

    ** -3,8 0,6 2,6

    ** 25,5 24,8 22,6

    * ESA 2010, ** , *** /

    : , 2015, 26

    15: (%) 2008-2015

    -0,4

    -4,4

    -5,3

    -8,9

    -6,6

    -4,0

    0,8

    2,3

    0,2

    -3,4

    3,0

    1,91,3 1,4

    1,82,3

    -10

    -8

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    4

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    ...:O.O..

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    40/77

    40

    ,

    -

    .

    , , ,

    ,

    ,

    .

    ,

    -

    -

    . -

    . ,

    380 400 . ,

    2014 100 ..

    , ( 50% 2014)

    -

    ( 1,3 . 1,2 . 2013),

    .

    , 400 . 2015

    2014 .

    , , -

    ,

    .

    , 2015 -

    .

    , -

    -

    .

    -

    .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    41/77

    41

    3 2

    2015

    2015 ( -

    ) 3,0% ..., 5,6 .,

    3,3 . ( 1,8% ), 2014 41. ,

    69,7%

    ( 2,3 . ,

    ) 2014 -

    2014

    42

    ( -

    )43.

    5: 2013-2015 ( . )

    ESA 2013()

    2014()

    2015()

    1. (, -, )

    -11.351 -6.181 -3.388

    2. (, , )

    -7.039 -4.135 -573

    3. ()

    756 638 863

    4. ()

    3.352 1.229 -750

    5. (2+3+4) -2.931 -2.268 -460

    % -1,6% -1,3% -0,2%

    6. 7.271 7.518 7.867

    % 4,0% 4,2% 4,3%

    7. ESA(5+6)

    4.340 5.250 7.408

    % 2,4% 2,9% 4,0%

    8.

    2.145 3.299 5.595

    % 1,2% 1,8% 3,0%9. 319.133 318.000 316.900

    % 174,9% 177,7% 171,4%

    182.438 178.944 184.870

    : , 2015, . 99

    41 2015, . 99, 3.1.

    42 2014 72,8 . 40,7% , 2014 - 1,1 . .

    43

    2014 ( ) 4,9 ..

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    42/77

    42

    2015 47,0 . (

    , 21,9 . 25,1 . ) 1,4 . -

    2014.

    ,

    -

    -

    . 6,4 .,

    400 . 2014.

    2015 : (-

    , .) 1,2%

    ( 42,4 . 2014 41,9 . 2015).

    2,3%.

    17,5% 51,1% .

    260 . 5,1% 2014.

    2015 -

    ( ). -

    1,8 . 5%

    2014 , , -

    ,

    1,6 . 4,5%.

    ,

    17% 22,9% . - 17%,

    28,9%.

    ( ESA) 7,9 . (4,3%

    ), 7,5 . (4,2% ) 2014.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    43/77

    43

    4

    4 1 2014

    ( ) 3,75

    . 2,1% ( ) 1,82 . 1,0% .

    2,73 . -

    300,6%

    2015 ( 0,91 .) 2014.

    , 1,88 . ( 4,72 . 6,59 . -

    ) 1,05% 1,67 . 0,93%

    2015 2014.

    , 1,87 . 1,05% ( ) 3,7 . 2,1%

    .

    ()

    3,07 . 62,1% -

    2015 ( 4,94 .) 2014.

    ,

    2015 ( -0,76 .) 2,94 . 385,8% -

    ( 3,7 . 2,1% ) 2014.

    4 1 1 2014

    ( -

    ) 51,37 .

    7,1% -

    2015 ( 55,28 .) 2014.

    46,65 . -

    3,5 . 7,0%

    2015 ( 50,15 .) 2014.

    47,82 . -

    1,32 . 2,7% -

    2015 ( 49,1 .) 2014.

    ( + )

    44,24 . 1,38 . 3,02% -

    2015 ( 45,62 .)

    2014.

    , 20,46 .

    932 . 4,4% - 2015 ( 21,39 .), 23,78 . -

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    44/77

    44

    452 . 1,9% -

    2015 ( 24,23 .).

    , 571 . 4,5%

    2015 -

    . 151 . 5,4%

    375. 4,6%

    2015. ,

    42 . 1,2% -

    . 177 . 8,4%

    2015. -

    226 . 7,3% -

    2015.

    , - 2015 317 .

    2,2%, 102 . 1,2%

    31 . 6,2%. O 2 .

    0,5%

    2015.

    274 . 2,0% -

    2015

    .

    ,

    89 . 2,1%,

    11 . 0,4% -

    2015, 20

    . 1,8%.

    1,85 . 50,5%, -

    2015 ( 3,67

    .) 1,82 ..

    234 . 7,5% - 2015.

    , 4,72 . 415 . 8,1%

    2015 (

    5,13 .) 2014.

    4 1 2

    2014

    ( -

    ) 55,06 ., 0,98 . 1,7%

    2015 ( 56,04 .)

    2014.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    45/77

    45

    , 48,47 . -

    0,77 . 1,6%

    2015 ( 49,24 .) 2014 -

    98,4%.

    , 41,93 . - 0,49 . 1,2%

    2015 ( 42,42 .) 2014

    98,8%.

    105 . 23,3%

    2015, 131 . -

    2,3% 37 . 5,9%

    2015.

    , 6,59 .

    208 . 3,1%

    2015 ( 6,8 .), 96,9% -

    .

    , ,

    99,6%

    2015, , , -

    100,2%, 99,4%

    98,4%.

    , .. 100,0% , ... 101,1%, .... 103,6%, 99,0%,

    .... 100,0%, - 100,0% .... 94,3%.

    ,

    2014

    2015 0,98 . 1,7%,

    0,49 . 1,2%

    0,21 . 3,1%.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    46/77

    46

    6: - : - 2014

    -

    2013 2014 2013 2014

    . (-

    )

    . .

    -

    2015

    2013-2014

    - .

    -

    2015

    -

    2015

    - -

    2015-

    2018

    -

    - 2015

    -

    2013

    -

    2015-18 -

    - 2013

    (1) (2) (3)(4)=[(2)-

    (3)]

    (5)={[(2)-

    (1)]/(1)}

    (6)=[(4)/(3)] (7) (8) (9)(10)={[(8)-

    (7)]/(7)}

    (11)={[(9)-(7)]/(7)}

    I. - (1+2)

    53.019 51.366 55.280 -3.914 -3,12% -7,1% 53.079 55.280 55.935 4,1% 5,4%

    1. - (+-)

    48.423 46.650 50.149 -3.499 -3,66% -7,0% 48.414 50.149 50.783 3,6% 4,9%

    . -

    51.442 49.636 52.811 -3.175 -3,51% -6,0% 51.433 52.811 53.689 2,7% 4,4%

    .

    -

    86 384 474 -90 346,51% -19,0% 86 474 230 451,2% 167,4%

    . 3.105 3.370 3.136 234 8,53% 7,5% 3.105 3.136 3.136 1,0% 1,0%

    2. -

    4.596 4.716 5.131 -415 2,61% -8,1% 4.665 5.131 5.152 10,0% 10,4%

    .. 4.520 4.649 4.931 -282 2,85% -5,7% 4.511 4.931 4.952 9,3% 9,8%

    76 67 200 -133 -11,84% -66,5% 154 200 200 29,9% 29,9%II.

    (1+2)58.459 55.063 56.041 -978 -5,81% -1,7% 58.457 56.041 56.542 -4,1% -3,3%

    1. (++++)

    51.809 48.471 49.241 -770 -6,44% -1,6% 51.806 49.241 49.742 -5,0% -4,0%

    . -

    44.230 41.928 42.416 -488 -5,20% -1,2% 44.227 42.416 42.612 -4,1% -3,7%

    . -

    ( -529 345 450 -105 -34,78% -23,3% 529 450 533 -14,9% 0,8%

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    47/77

    47

    )

    . -

    , 879 587 624 -37 -33,22% -5,9% 879 624 642 -29,0% -27,0%

    ( )

    514 442 451 -9 -14,01% -2,0% 514 451 439 -12,3% -14,6%

    365 145 173 -28 -60,27% -16,2% 365 173 203 -52,6% -44,4%

    . ( -

    )6.044 5.569 5.700 -131 -7,86% -2,3% 6.044 5.700 5.900 -5,7% -2,4%

    . -

    EFSF

    127 42 51 -9 -66,93% -17,6% 127 51 55 -59,8% -56,7%

    2. -

    6.650 6.592 6.800 -208 -0,87% -3,1% 6.651 6.800 6.800 2,2% 2,2%

    783 710 700 10 -9,32% 1,4% 772 700 700 -9,3% -9,3%

    5.867 5.882 6.100 -218 0,26% -3,6% 5.879 6.100 6.100 3,8% 3,8%

    . -

    (2-

    2)

    -2.054 -1.876 -1.669 -207 -8,67% 12,4% -1.986 -1.669 -1.648 -16,0% -17,0%

    -

    /

    -1,1% -1,05% -0,93% -0,1% -1,1% -0,9% -0,9% -14,3% -15,4%

    V. - - (1-1)

    -3.386 -1.821 908 -2.729 -46,22% -300,6% -3.392 908 1.041 -126,8% -130,7%

    A T /

    -1,9% -1,0% 0,5% -1,5% -1,9% 0,5% 0,6% -127,3% -131,3%

    V. -

    (1-1+)

    2.658 3.748 6.608 -2.860 41,01% -43,3% 2.652 6.608 6.941 149,2% 161,7%

    A T / 1,5% 2,1% 3,7% -1,6% 1,5% 3,7% 3,9% 154,0% 166,8%

    VI. - - (I-II)

    -5.440 -3.697 -761 -2.936 -32,04% 385,8% -5.378 -761 -607 -85,8% -88,7%

    /

    -3,0% -2,1% -0,4% -1,6% -2,9% -0,4% -0,3% -85,6% -88,5%

    V. -

    604 1.872 4.939 -3.067 209,93% -62,1% 666 4.939 5.293 641,6% 694,7%

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    48/77

    48

    (I-II+)

    -

    / 0,3% 1,05% 2,8% -1,7% 0,4% 2,8% 3,0%

    182.438 178.944 178.944 178.944 182.438 178.944 178.944:

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    49/77

    49

    4 2

    -

    -

    . , -

    .

    ()

    2014 -

    7,85 ., 4,6% -

    2015 1,6% -

    . 2014

    8,22 .,

    3,2%

    2013.

    ()

    2014, 2,66 ., 151 . -

    5,4% -

    2015. , 57,9% -

    . 2014,

    2,81 ., - 66,9% -

    2013.

    ()

    ,

    .

    -

    2015 1,2%

    2014. 3,47 .. 16,1% 2013. 2014 -

    3,43 .,

    14,7%

    2013. , -

    -

    (.

    ).

    () ()

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    50/77

    50

    31,8% -

    2014, 2013. 2014

    2,11 ., 25,5% -

    2013.

    ()

    -

    -

    . 2014,

    -

    2013 1,3%. 2014

    24,23 . 23,78 ., -

    2015 1,9% 2013 3,1%.

    ()

    ( ) 2014.

    2014 ( 14,54 .) 0,9%

    2013, 6,5% 2013 2012.

    2,2% -

    2015 2014 3,0% -

    2013.

    , 7,3% 7,6%

    2013.

    25,9% 2013.

    ()

    ( -

    2015) 8,8 . ,

    2,23 ..

    2,1% -

    2013. , - 2013 3,3%.

    2,7%, ( )

    3,4%

    11,2% 2013. 2014

    1,14 . ( 40 .

    1,18 . -

    2013), 1,12 . 1,8%

    .

    () ()

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    51/77

    51

    -

    470 ., 12,0% -

    2013 6,2% -

    2015. ,

    2014 6,2%

    2013.

    ()

    415 . 8,1% -

    2015

    2014, 5,13 ..

    2014, 4,72 .

    2,6% .

    2015 66,5%

    5,7%. 2014 4,65 . 4,52 .

    2013 2,9%.

    ()

    2014, 265 .

    8,5% 2013 234 . 7,5%

    2015.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    52/77

    52

    7: - : - 2014

    -

    2013 2014 2013 2014

    . ( -

    )

    .

    .

    - 2015

    -

    -

    2013-2014

    . -

    -

    2015

    -

    - 2015

    E -

    2015-

    2018

    - -

    -

    2015

    - -

    2013

    2015-18

    - - 2013

    (1) (2) (3)(4)=([2)-

    (3)]

    (5)={[(2)-

    (1)]/(1)}(6)=[(4)/(3)] (7) (8) (9)

    (10)={[(8)-

    (7)]/(7)}

    (11)={[(9)-

    (7)]/(7)} - (1+2)

    53.020 51.366 55.280 -3.914 -3,1% -7,1% 53.079 55.280 55.935 4,1% 5,4%

    1. (++-)

    48.424 46.650 50.149 -3.499 -3,7% -7,0% 48.414 50.149 50.783 3,6% 4,9%

    . (+ + + IV) 47.172 47.819 49.141 -1.322 1,4% -2,7% 47.164 49.141 49.916 4,2% 5,8%. 20.066 20.464 21.396 -932 2,0% -4,4% 20.058 21.396 22.568 6,7% 12,5%

    1. 11.497 12.207 12.778 -571 6,2% -4,5% 11.489 12.778 13.529 11,2% 17,8% 7.979 7.849 8.224 -375 -1,6% -4,6% 7.971 8.224 7.399 3,2% -7,2% 1.681 2.655 2.806 -151 57,9% -5,4% 1.681 2.806 4.043 66,9% 140,5% 1.837 1.703 1.748 -45 -7,3% -2,6% 1.837 1.748 2.087 -4,8% 13,6%

    2. 2.991 3.474 3.432 42 16,1% 1,2% 2.991 3.432 3.842 14,7% 28,5%

    3. 2.826 1.928 2.105 -177 -31,8% -8,4% 2.826 2.105 2.078 -25,5% -26,5%

    5. 2.752 2.855 3.081 -226 3,7% -7,3% 2.752 3.081 3.119 12,0% 13,3%

    . 24.549 23.776 24.228 -452 -3,1% -1,9% 24.556 24.228 24.281 -1,3% -1,1%

    1. 14.666 14.224 14.541 -317 -3,0% -2,2% 14.673 14.541 14.245 -0,9% -2,9%

    13.848 13.618 13.892 -274 -1,7% -2,0% 13.856 13.892 13.766 0,3% -0,6%

    2.224 2.055 2.276 -221 -7,6% -9,7% 2.224 2.276 2.343 2,3% 5,4%

    682 632 668 -36 -7,3% -5,4% 682 668 668 -2,1% -2,1% 10.942 10.930 10.948 -18 -0,1% -0,2% 10.950 10.948 10.755 0,0% -1,8%

    ,

    818 606 649 -43 -25,9% -6,6% 817 649 479 -20,6% -41,4%

    503 277 269 8 -44,9% 3,0% 503 269 172 -46,5% -65,8%

    313 327 379 -52 4,5% -13,7% 313 379 299 21,1% -4,5%

    2. 8.995 8.702 8.804 -102 -3,3% -1,2% 8.995 8.804 9.034 -2,1% 0,4%

    316 305 309 -4 -3,5% -1,3% 316 309 309 -2,2% -2,2% -

    56 86 86 0 53,6% 0,0% 56 86 55 53,6% -1,8%

    - 4.228 4.113 4.202 -89 -2,7% -2,1% 4.230 4.202 4.334 -0,7% 2,5%

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    53/77

    53

    ( ) 2.908 2.809 2.798 11 -3,4% 0,4% 2.906 2.798 2.893 -3,7% -0,4%

    -

    1.183 1.119 1.139 -20 -5,4% -1,8% 1.183 1.139 1.139 -3,7% -3,7%

    304 270 270 0 -11,2% 0,0% 304 270 304 -11,2% 0,0%3. 533 469 500 -31 -12,0% -6,2% 533 500 653 -6,2% 22,5%4. ' 355 381 383 -2 7,3% -0 ,5% 355 383 349 7,9% -1,7%

    (+)

    44.615 44.240 45.624 -1.384 -0,8% -3,0% 44.614 45.624 46.849 2,3% 5,0%

    . 183 196 183 13 7,1% 7,1% 183 183 279 0,0% 52,5%IV. -

    2.374 3.383 3.334 49 42,5% 1,5% 2.367 3.334 2.788 40,9% 17,8%

    - (II+V)

    2.557 3.579 3.517 62 40,0% 1,8% 2.550 3.517 3.067 37,9% 20,3%

    .

    (+++V)

    4.271 1.817 3.670 -1.853 -57,5% -50,5% 4.268 3.670 3.773 -14,0% -11,6%

    I. -

    902 749 752 -3 -17,0% -0,4% 900 752 753 -16,4% -16,3%

    II. -

    /

    600 428 398 30 -28,7% 7,5% 600 398 358 -33,7% -40,3%

    III. 54 60 54 6 11,1% 11,1% 53 54 54 1,9% 1,9%IV. .. / / (ANFAs & SMPs)

    2.715 580 2.466 -1.886 -78,6% -76,5% 2.715 2.466 2.608 -9,2% -3,9%

    . 86 384 474 -90 346,5% -19,0% 86 474 230 451,2% 167,4% (++)

    51.529 50.020 53.285 -3.265 -2,9% -6,1% 51.519 53.285 53.919 3,4% 4,7%

    . 3.105 3.370 3.136 234 8,5% 7,5% 3.105 3.136 3.136 1,0% 1,0%2. (+)

    4.596 4.716 5.131 -415 2,6% -8,1% 4.665 5.131 5.152 10,0% 10,4%

    . .. 4.520 4.649 4.931 -282 2,9% -5,7% 4.511 4.931 4.952 0,4% 9,8%

    . 76 67 200 -133 -11,8% -66,5% 154 200 200 29,9% 29,9%

    : -

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    54/77

    54

    4 3

    2014 5,2%

    2013 -

    , :

    () .

    0,3% 2014. -

    1,8%,

    1,7%, 4,2%

    . , (

    2015) 18,55 .

    2014 18,48 . 0,4%.

    () ()

    11,1 . 2014,

    12,74 . 2013 12,9% 100,1%

    2014.

    -

    -

    2014. , -

    ,

    .

    ... 2,85 ., 10,7%

    2013 ( 3,19 .) 101,1%

    2014. 2014 -

    ( 2015)

    2,82 . 3,19 . 2013.

    .... 21,0% 2014

    2013, 100,0% ( -

    2015) 2014. , -

    2014 1,14 . ( -

    2015).

    ..... 656 . 2014

    103,6% 2014. ,

    2013 1,1 ., 2014

    0,63 . 2014 42,73%

    2013 40,36%.

    ..., 2,91 . 2014 -

    100,0% ( -

    2015) 2014. 2013 -

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    55/77

    55

    3,19 . 2014 8,9%

    2013.

    -

    .

    ()

    9,5% 2013.

    , 1,67 .

    14% 2013 (1,94 .). -

    0,8%

    13,0% 2013.

    0,59 .

    2014, 33,22% 2013 ( 0,88 .) 37 . 5,9% -

    2015.

    345 .

    2014, 105 . 23,3% -

    2015 (529 .).

    5,57 . 2014,

    475 . 7,86% 2013 ( 6,04 .)

    131 . 2,3% -

    2015.

    , EFSF 42 .

    2014, 85 . 66,93% -

    2013 ( 127 .) 9 . 17,6% -

    2015.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    56/77

    56

    8: - : - 2014

    -

    2013 2014 2014

    . . .-

    . 2013-2014

    2015

    2015-2018

    (%)

    (1) (2) (3)={[(2)-(1)]/(1)} (4) (5) (6)=[(2)/(4)]

    (1+ 2) 58.462 55.062 -5,8% 56.043 56.543 98,2%1. (+ ++ IV+ V+ VI)

    51.812 48.470 -6,5% 49.243 49.743 98,4%

    I. (++ + + )

    44.233 41.927 -5,2% 42.418 42.613 98,8%

    . (1+ 2+ 3) 18.423 18.478 0,3% 18.548 18.487 99,6%1. 16.155 16.198 0,3% 16.217 16.268 99,9%

    9.508 9.333 -1,8% 9.342 9.280 99,9%

    123 122 -0,8% 128 240 95,3%

    380 370 -2,6% 374 374 98,9% 5.850 6.093 4,2% 6.091 6.101 100,0%

    294 280 -4,8% 282 273 99,3%2. , ,

    2.268 2.280 0,5% 2.328 2.212 97,9%

    1.892 1.925 1,7% 1.918 1.805 100,4%

    237 230 -3,0% 264 263 87,1%

    -

    90 73 -18,9% 86 85 84,9%

    , 49 52 6,1% 60 59 86,7%3. 0 0 3 7 0,0%

    . , , (4+5+ 6+ 7)

    15.923 14.421 -9,4% 14.392 13.757 100,2%

    4. 67 58 -13,4% 58 58 100,0%5. 12.740 11.101 -12,9% 11.085 10.777 100,1%

    ... 3.190 2.907 -8,9% 2.907 2.442 100,0%

    ... 3.191 2.848 -10,7% 2.818 2.374 101,1%..... 1.108 656 -40,8% 633 774 103,6%

    ... 1.040 950 -8,7% 960 1.000 99,0%

    .... 1.440 1.138 -21,0% 1.138 800 100,0%

    - 535 535 0,0% 535 535 100,0%

    .... 477 431 -9,6% 457 515 94,3%

    -

    621 579 -6,8% 579 579 100,0%

    ( ) 795 721 -9,3% 721 516 100,0%

    320 320 0,0% 320 320 100,0%

    18 16 -11,1% 17 27 94,1% 5 0 -100,0% 0 895

    6. 1.654 1.450 -12,3% 1.450 1.155 100,0%

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    57/77

    57

    7. 1.462 1.812 23,9% 1.799 1.767 100,7%

    738 527 -28,6% 486 511 108,4%

    451 427 -5,3% 443 443 96,4%

    139 206 48,2% 190 190 108,4%

    134 146 9,0% 155 98 94,2% 0 506 525 525 96,4%

    . (8+ 9+ 10) 6.338 5.733 -9,5% 5.766 5.645 99,4%

    8. 1.937 1.666 -14,0% 1.591 1.564 104,7%

    372 282 -24,2% 260 260 108,5%

    396 271 -31,6% 274 320 98,9%

    1.169 1.113 -4,8% 1.057 984 105,3%

    9. -

    1.732 1.746 0,8% 2.025 1.928 86,2%

    10. 2.669 2.321 -13,0% 2.150 2.153 108,0%

    2.155 2.005 -7,0% 1.771 1.771 113,2%

    514 317 -38,3% 379 382 83,6%

    . 3.549 3.295 -7,2% 3.350 3.801 98,4%

    . 0 0 362 923 0,0%

    . ( ) 6.044 5.569 -7,9% 5.700 5.900 97,7%

    I. EFSF 127 42 -66,9% 51 55 82,4%

    V. ( )

    529 345 -34,8% 450 533 76,7%

    V.

    365 145 -60,3% 173 203 83,8%

    VI. E ( )

    514 442 -14,0% 451 439 98,0%

    2. -

    6.650 6.592 -0,9% 6.800 6.800 96,9%

    783 710 -9,3% 700 700 101,4%

    5.867 5.882 0,3% 6.100 6.100 96,4%:

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    58/77

    58

    4 4

    2014 1,88 .

    2,05 . 2013. -

    .. 282 . 2015.

    4,65 . 2014.

    133 . 66,5% -

    2015. ,

    6,59 . 2014 0,87%

    2013 ( 6,65 .) 3,1%

    2015 ( 6,8

    .).

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    59/77

    59

    5 : -

    44

    5 1

    : ,

    45

    .

    .

    .

    -

    () -

    , , , .

    - -

    .

    ( -

    )

    , .

    -

    , ( ), - .. .

    -

    ,

    . ,

    .

    ,

    . ,

    , ,

    44 - 15-16

    .45

    . .. .. ,, 2014. .. 65 70 ,

    . 3.12.2014. ,. 22.2.2014. 29.6.2013. - . . 12.2.2013. . . , 24.7.2014. ,

    , , , .. . BooksJour-nal 2014.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    60/77

    60

    .. Keynes.46 , -

    .47

    ( ) -

    . .

    - , -

    : -

    , -

    (self interest).

    (..

    ) -

    .. ,

    , -

    -

    ;

    :

    -

    ;48 .

    5 2

    . -

    49. , 2009

    -

    (. ).

    2010 -

    . ,

    .

    45% -

    , 19,2%

    .50 H

    (efficiency). -

    46

    , .. , 2013,. 103 .

    47 .

    48Bruce Ackerman Constitutional Economics- Constitutional politics, Constitutional Political Economy10 (1999) pp 415-424, p. 415.

    49 . ; ,

    2013.50. 21.11.2014.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    61/77

    61

    . ,

    .

    , , ,

    , (, , -

    ) - -

    . , , -

    , (..

    200) -

    .51 (expert survey) -

    ,

    .52 ,

    .

    .

    - .

    -

    - (

    (Wirtschaftsordnung), :

    ( )

    .

    -

    .

    .53

    54,

    . : 16

    106 2

    -

    . - 3 . 55

    51. , Books Journal. T. 48, 2014. . X. Coniades (ed.) Constitutions in the Global Financial Crisis, Ash-gate, London 2013. [] - , .. Jean Mon-net. . Jean Monnet . , , 2014, .179.

    52 . www.greekpublicpolicyforum.org -

    Books Journal, 50/ 2014 . 20-30.53

    . , www.protagon.gr.20.5.2011. - .

    54. , www.protagon.gr. 20.5.2011.

    55

    . 17 106 1975

    http://www.greekpublicpolicyforum.org/http://www.greekpublicpolicyforum.org/http://www.protagon.gr/http://www.protagon.gr/http://www.protagon.gr/http://www.protagon.gr/http://www.protagon.gr/http://www.protagon.gr/http://www.protagon.gr/http://www.protagon.gr/http://www.greekpublicpolicyforum.org/
  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    62/77

    62

    , 90

    2009-10 .

    90 .

    , , ,

    .

    .

    , , 16 5

    , -

    2009.

    -

    ( ) 2010

    .56 -

    ,

    -

    .

    , -

    ,

    , 1

    ,

    25 1 , - 17 , .. -

    . ,

    -

    .

    .

    , -

    .

    . -

    - ( 45% ),

    - ,

    , , - -

    ().

    [.] -

    .. 1975 . , 8, 10-13. . .

    , , 2013, . 103 .56. . 668/2012.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    63/77

    63

    ,

    . -

    . .

    . ..

    .

    . , -

    !

    -

    ( ).57

    -

    , -

    . -

    -

    -

    ,

    . ,

    -

    .

    , Francis Fukuyama, -

    .

    . -

    , (

    ) ()

    .

    .

    .

    , .

    : .

    ,

    () -

    - !58

    57 . ; , - 2008, . 45 .

    58

    . . , , 2008 (Michel Crubellier et Pierre Pellegrin)- , -

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    64/77

    64

    .59

    -

    !60

    , -

    ( ) ,

    -

    ! , , -

    , , -

    .

    .

    , , .

    5 3

    ,

    .61

    , , ,

    . -

    . , -

    .62

    , 2001 2008, -

    , ,

    , ..,

    .

    . -

    . - .63 -

    ,

    , , 2001, 4 (

    ).59

    -. . . .60

    , 132-133.61

    . . . , 2007.

    62. Niclas Berggren and Peter Kurrild-Klitgaard Economic Consequences

    of Constitution: A Theory and Survey, Paper for the European Public Choice Society Meeting in Paris, April 18-21 2001.63

    . . Daron Acemoglou and James A.Robinson Why Nations Fail.The origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty. Crown Business, New York 2012.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    65/77

    65

    () 64

    , , -

    ,

    ,

    .

    -

    (. ).65 -

    , ,

    ( )

    .

    .

    , -

    - ,

    .66

    ( input legitimacy) -

    (output legitimacy).

    .67

    .. -

    42 2 , , -

    -

    . - 90 -

    (FYROM).

    . .

    2009. 2010

    top-down -

    .

    64 , , -

    -

    , 15-16 2004.

    65. .. .. ,

    , 2014.66

    . . , , 5/2013. 269 . . , .

    ! . , - , 2008. ,

    , -, -.

    67 2015 (7.12.2014). -

    .. -, ! . - realfm97.8 5.12.2014. (

    2014 - 2014), .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    66/77

    66

    (, ..) -

    . , -

    (principal-agent) ,

    ( )

    (, ) ,

    .

    ,

    ,

    .

    . -

    , ,

    -

    (playing field)68. , ,

    . -

    ,

    , ,

    . , , -

    69. -

    .

    ,

    , , -

    (.. -

    )

    . , (.. , -

    ) . , -

    , , (..

    ).

    -

    .70

    .

    , -

    68

    . Rifkin, J. The European dream, Polity Press, Cambridge UK, 2004, . 214 . Rifkin .

    69 - .

    70

    . . Stefan Voigt Positive Constitutuional Economics II- A Survey of RecentDevelopments,http://ssrn.com/abstract=1358508.

    http://ssrn.com/abstract=1358508http://ssrn.com/abstract=1358508http://ssrn.com/abstract=1358508http://ssrn.com/abstract=1358508
  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    67/77

    67

    (trade-off).

    (. ). -

    , -

    , .

    .

    5 4

    .

    -

    , -

    , . - . , -

    ( ) -

    .

    .

    . -

    50

    ,

    37% .71 -

    .

    ,

    . -

    . -

    .

    -

    .

    -

    . -

    ,

    ( ) .

    :

    , -

    71

    ( , ) , .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    68/77

    68

    . . -

    .

    :

    ,

    .

    , ,

    Karl Schmitt -

    .

    a priori . -

    ; :

    -

    ,72

    % . ,

    -

    () 73

    .

    .74

    .

    (.. -

    ), , , -

    . .. 75 -

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    . , -.

    ( .) ;

    72D. Austen Smith Redistributing Income under Proportional Representation, Journal of Political EconomyNr 108/2000, pp1235-1269.

    73 . Alberto Alesina and Guido Tabellini A Positive Theory of Fiscal Deficits and GovernmentDebt, Review of Economic Studies Nr. 57/1990, pp. 403414. Person, T. and Tabllini, G. The Economic Effects of Con-stitutions, The MIT Press, Cambridge MA, 2003.

    74Person, T. and Tabllini, G. The Economic Effects of Constitutions, The MIT Press, Cambridge MA, 2003.

    75

    . Robert Putnam et al Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy, Princeton Univr-sity Press, Princeton 1993.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    69/77

    69

    -

    .76

    2008/9

    , -

    . - .

    :

    77. ( -

    ) .78

    79.

    ( -

    )

    -

    .80

    81

    ( ) -

    ,

    !

    -

    .

    Peter Bofinger

    .82, ,

    -

    .

    76. . . , -

    . . , - 2006.77

    . Buchanan, James The balanced budget amendment: Clarifying the arguments, Public Choice,90 (1997), pp 117-138.

    78. Von Weizscker, Robert K. Staatsverschuldung und Demokratie, in Kyklos, Vol. 45 1992, Fasc.1, . 51-67. - -

    . : -, 39, , 2002.

    79, . : , .

    , , 16 (-) 2006.80

    . Niskanen, W. A. The case for a new fiscal constitution inNiskanen, W.A. Policy analysis and public choice, The Locke Institute, Chetelman UK, 1998, . 361-373.

    81 . -

    2013 - 2013.82Siehe Bofiger, Peter Zurck zur D-Mark? Deutschland braucht den Euro, Droemer Verlag, 2012

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    70/77

    70

    -

    .

    4270/201483 , ,

    28 . , , -

    ,

    .

    -

    .84

    , -

    , (!) (

    ).

    -

    . ;

    ;

    .

    .85 , , -

    , .

    .

    .

    ..

    17 4 ,

    , -

    .86

    -

    . -

    83

    4270/ 2014 ( 2011/85/)

    .84

    , , - , - .

    85 . . , , 15-16 2014.

    86. Elefteriadis, Pavlos Constitutional reform and the rule of law in Greece, West European Politics,Vol. 28, No 2 (March

    2005) pp 317-334,p. 322 Kev-

    in Featherstone () . , . , , 2007, . 149-174.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    71/77

    71

    ( , -

    , , , -

    , ) -

    ,

    -

    , , (efficiency).87

    -

    .

    ( 24, 2). , -

    . , -

    : -

    ,

    , .

    , , -

    . -

    .88 ,

    1975/6 ,

    .

    ;

    . ,

    , -

    .

    ,

    .

    .89

    .

    ( ) - , -

    .

    .

    87Stephen Knack and Philip Keefer Institutions and Economic Performance: Cross country Tests using alternative institutionalMeasures in Economics and PoliticsNo.3 /1995, pp. 207-227.

    88. . , - . . , - 2000, . 96 .

    89

    , , . 24: , ,29.7.2006.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    72/77

    72

    ()

    .

    , . -

    ( ) -

    .90 , -

    , .

    , -

    .

    -

    80, -

    , -

    , -

    ( % ) 90. 91

    ,, .

    2012,

    ,

    .92 -

    -

    ,

    .93

    -

    . - -

    ( ).

    , .

    "" -

    .

    90, . , . , ,

    , . , , . () : , , , 2010. . -, . , , . 35 .

    91 . - - , -

    2014.92

    World bank Doing business, 2012. . .93

    , , -

    . , 400 6 . 1 . 8.420.822 . - 47

    . , . . EBR, 4 2003.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    73/77

    73

    , -

    . -

    ( 90 5).

    ..

    .94

    . -

    .95 ,

    , (

    ) -

    - . ,

    ( , ), -

    -

    96.

    -

    . 4174/2013

    -

    , 3900/2010 -

    .97

    ,

    , , -

    , ,

    . -

    . .. -

    ,

    ,

    .98

    94 , , 2014, . 40 .

    95 1985 - . . 13.8.2006.

    96, . . . , , , . 26.

    97 , . , . , -

    : , - , . - . . - . 7.3.2013.

    98

    - , , 2014, . 45-49.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    74/77

    74

    -

    , -

    , -

    , , -

    . .

    -

    (rent-seeking).

    . -

    ,

    .

    , -

    , , -

    ,

    ,

    .99 -

    .

    -

    (rent-seeking). -

    (, , -

    ) ,

    . -

    , .

    , ,

    .100

    .. :

    ,101

    ,102

    , , -

    , ,

    99 2004 2013. . Daniel Kaufmann et al Worldwide Governance Indicators, Brookings Institution and World Bank.

    100Daniel Kaufmann Can Corruption Adversely Affect Public Finances in Industrialized Countries? The Brookings Institution, April

    19, 2010.101

    . 68 2 3 .102 81 3 4 .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    75/77

    75

    , []

    , ,103

    ,

    -

    104 ,

    , -

    .

    !

    -

    ( ).105

    ,

    ( , )

    .

    , -

    (. ).

    5 5

    : -

    .

    . , -

    . -

    -

    . , , -

    . .. -

    . -

    . ,

    , ,

    -

    , . , ,

    .

    .. .

    -

    103. , , 2014, . 30.

    104

    86 .105 101 .

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    76/77

    76

    - .

    , , -

    .

    -

    . ,

    106.

    .

    -

    -

    . () .

    .

    106Kasper, W. and Streit, M. E. Institutional economics. Social order and public policy, , . 336.

  • 7/21/2019 - q42014

    77/77