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  • :

    :

    2016

  • 2

    ,

    2015. , 1.200 , 15%

    2015 2014 4% 2015 (

    23% 10% ).

    , 7,2

    2015 (15% 7,8% ).

    ,

    21 2015 2014,

    2013.

    :

    (39% 39% ),

    (35% 27% )

    (31% 51% ).

    ,

    ( 21% 36% ). , (

    70% ) :

    . ,

    80%.

    ,

    ( ),

    .

  • 3

    ,

    . :

    ,

    22% ,

    7%

    1% .

    e-banking (POS) ( 12% POS 14%

    e-banking ).

    , , ,

    .

  • 2015

  • 5 1.200 , 15%

    2015 2014 ( 4%

    2015).

    ,

    7,2 2015 (15% 7,8%

    **) 5 2008-2014

    (8,3% 3,4% ).

    ,

    (-23%

    2015) (-28%)

    ( -9% -4% 2015).

    2015 ( ) -

    * 1-6 . , (. ): 1=(0-0,1], 2=(0,1-0,5], 3=(0,5-1], 4=(1-2,5], 5=(2,5-5] 6=(5-10].** 4 (Eurostat).

    -4% -10% -2%

    0%

    -15%

    -23%

    -13%-9%

    . 1 - 2* . 3 - 4* . 5 - 6*

    %

    2015

    2 3

    -4% -17% -5%

    1%

    -9%

    -28%

    -10%-4%

    . 1 - 2* . 3 - 4* . 5 - 6*

    %

    2015

    2 3

    B1 E1

    K1

    Y1

    B2

    E2K2

    Y2

    B3

    E3

    K3

    Y3B4E4

    K4

    Y4B5

    E5

    K5Y5

    B6E6

    K6

    Y6

    -26%

    -20%

    -14%

    -8%

    -2%

    4%

    10%

    16%

    -35

    %

    -30

    %

    -25

    %

    -20

    %

    -15

    %

    -10

    %

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    '

    :

    ' :

    2015

    . 1* . 2* . 3* . 4* . 5* . 6*

    y = -1,9614x2 - 0,0159x + 0,0025R = 0,7675

  • 6 , 21

    2015 2014

    .

    ,

    87% .

    ,

    (39% 39% ),

    (35% 27% )

    (31% 51% ).

    , 87%

    * 1-6 . , (. ): 1=(0-0,1], 2=(0,1-0,5], 3=(0,5-1], 4=(1-2,5], 5=(2,5-5] 6=(5-10].

    12%

    17%

    23%

    31%

    35%

    39%

    32%

    36%

    47%

    51%

    27%

    39%

    56%

    47%

    30%

    18%

    38%

    22%

    '

    ..

    -35 -32

    -15-11

    2

    11

    -4-10

    -40

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    20

    12

    1

    20

    12

    2

    20

    13

    H1

    20

    13

    2

    20

    14

    H1

    20

    14

    H2

    20

    15

    H1

    20

    15

    H2

    * (-100), (0) (100).

    5% 8% 3% 8%8%

    18%

    7%8%

    87%74%

    90% 84%

    . 1* . 2-5* . 6*

    ..

  • 7

    21% 36% . ,

    ( 70% )

    , . ,

    80%.

    .

    , 2/3

    3 ( 1/3 ).

    .

    5 10 ., (i) 2/3 , (ii)

    (iii) 37% .

    ,

    * 1-6 . , (. ): 1=(0-0,1], 2=(0,1-0,5], 3=(0,5-1], 4=(1-2,5], 5=(2,5-5] 6=(5-10].

    21%14% 19%

    35%

    36%

    31%

    37%

    31%

    43%55%

    44%34%

    . 1* . 2 -5*

    . 6*

    36%

    20%34%

    54%

    29%

    27%

    30%

    26%

    29%

    34%

    31%

    16%

    6%

    19%

    5% 4%

    . 1* . 2 -5*

    . 6*

    ..

    1

    12

    3

    17% 20% 18% 9%

    25%30% 26%

    19%

    17%13% 19%

    9%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    . 1* . 2-5* . 6*

    *

  • 8 ,

    . :

    ,

    22% ,

    7%

    1% .

    ,

    , .

    , (

    ) 3 2015 ,

    42% 2015 36%

    2014.

    H ,

    1%

    7%

    15%

    22%

    24%

    52%

    ..

    * 1-6 . , (. ): 1=(0-0,1], 2=(0,1-0,5], 3=(0,5-1], 4=(1-2,5], 5=(2,5-5] 6=(5-10].

    2%

    8%

    14%

    20%20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    20

    12

    H1

    20

    12

    H2

    20

    13

    H1

    20

    13

    H2

    20

    14

    H1

    20

    14

    H2

    20

    15

    H1

    20

    15

    H2

    (. )

    10 - ( - )

    52% 54% 49%60%

    30% 32% 31%

    29%

    18% 14% 20%11%

    . 1* . 2 -5*

    . 6*

    ..

  • 9

    ( )

    * 1-6 . , (. ): 1=(0-0,1], 2=(0,1-0,5], 3=(0,5-1], 4=(1-2,5], 5=(2,5-5] 6=(5-10].

    ( -100 100)

    (% )

    -32

    12

    23

    1

    -35

    -10

    2

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    * 1 * 2-5 * 6

    20132 20141 20142 2015H1 2015H2

    26%

    44%

    59%

    29%

    39%

    60%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    * 1 * 2-5 * 6

    20132 20141 20142 2015H1 2015H2

    4

    -5

    -23

    -33-40

    -20

    0

    20

    20132 20141 20142 2015H1 2015H2

    48% 47%42%

    36%

    50%

    38%

    48%

    32%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    20132 2014H1 2014H2 2015H1 2015H2

    -32

    12

    23

    1

    -35

    -10

    2

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    * 1 * 2-5 * 6

    20132 20141 20142 2015H1 2015H2

    26%

    44%

    59%

    29%

    39%

    60%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    * 1 * 2-5 * 6

    20132 20141 20142 2015H1 2015H2

    4

    -5

    -23

    -33-40

    -20

    0

    20

    20132 20141 20142 2015H1 2015H2

  • 10

    :

    (POS).

    ( 2,5 .) 12%

    POS POS

    40% ( ).

    e-banking.

    ( 2,5 .) 14%

    e-banking .

    e-banking (POS)

    32% 29%37%

    9% 12%5%

    59% 59% 58%

    . 1 - 4* . 5 - 6*

    POS ( )

    ..

    ..

    81% 75%91%

    11%14%

    7%8% 11%

    2%

    . 1 - 4* . 5 - 6*

    E - Banking

    ..

    ..

    32%22%

    37% 32%16%

    9%

    10%

    11%5%

    11%

    59%68%

    52%63%

    73%

    %

    POS ( )

    ..

    ..

    81% 83% 82% 79% 79%

    11% 10% 11% 10% 14%

    8% 7% 7% 11% 7%

    %

    E - Banking

    ..

    ..

    * 1-6 . , (. ): 1=(0-0,1], 2=(0,1-0,5], 3=(0,5-1], 4=(1-2,5], 5=(2,5-5] 6=(5-10].

  • 2015

  • 12

    ..

    ( ),

    (

    )

    71% 68% 66%55% 52% 48% 43% 42% 39%

    33% 33% 30%

    %

    7% 9%10% 11% 11%

    14% 14%17% 18%

    24%27% 28%

    %

    8%14% 15% 16% 16% 16% 18%

    20% 22% 23%27%

    34%

    %

    * .. .

  • 13

    2015 (50%

    42% ... ). ,

    ( 42% ).

    ( )

    (71% 42% ).

    (45% 21% ... ),

    (59% 48% ... ).

    2015 (7%

    2014, 15% ... ) 68%

    . , (

    13% , 25% ... ).

    ( )

    :

    -3%

    1%

    -1% -2% -2%-4%

    -11%

    -7% -8%

    -17%

    -13%-15%

    -

    %

    2015

    2 3

    45% 13% 35% 29% 25% 21%

    %

    55

    %

    26

    %

    28

    %

    30

    %

    33

    %

    29

    %

    71

    %

    55

    %

    43

    %

    52

    %

    50

    %

    42

    %

    %

  • 14 34% ( 25%

    ).

    , 36% ( )

    .

    , , 11% ( 7% ...

    ).

    ,

    52%

    46%

    44%

    53%

    56%

    41%

    ..

    24%

    27%

    24%

    23%

    24%

    34%

    ..

    22%

    26%

    36%

    29%

    20%

    24%

    ..

    15%

    17%

    7%

    20%

    18%

    25%

    ..

    7%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    3%

    12%

    ..

    1%

    2%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    ..

  • 15 , ,

    2014 ( 12%

    2015 2014) 10% ( 19% ).

    , (

    50% 68% ),

    (33% 19% ... ).

    (1%),

    5%.

    , 31%

    . , 2015 (6% 2014,

    15% ... )

    (51% , 36% ... ).

    ,

    5%

    -1%-2%

    -1%

    -5% -4%

    -1%

    -6%

    -9%

    -12%

    -15%

    %

    2015

    2 3

    10% 31% 19% 19% 23%

    %

    ..

    20

    %

    30

    %

    50

    %

    29

    %

    29

    %

    66

    %

    48

    % 68

    %

    48

    %

    42

    %

    %

  • 16 ( 1 6

    ... ) (

    ).

    ,

    ( 33% , 42% ... ),

    ( 15% , 21% ... ),

    (39%) (29%)

    ( 20%

    , 36% ... ).

    O , 15%

    ( 21% ... ), 37% (

    24% ... ).

    ,

    11

    17

    -10

    -5

    -20

    0

    20

    2013H2 2014H1 2014H2 2015H1 2015H2

    * .

    37% 20% 36% 32% 36%

    %

    ..

    21% 28% 37% 24% 24%

    %

    ..

  • 17 (

    ) 2015 (20%

    12% , 15% 4% ... ),

    ,

    .

    , :

    33% ( 7% ... )

    35%

    ( 22% ... ),

    6% ( 21%

    ).

    ,

    -14%

    -10%-12%

    -4%

    -22%-19%

    -20%

    -15%

    %

    2015

    2 3

    -46

    -25

    -31

    -24

    -39

    -26

    -60

    -40

    -20

    0

    20132 2014H1 2014H2 2015H1 2015H2

    * .

    15% 6% 11% 21%

    %

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    %

    ..

  • 18

    , , ,

    * 1 () 10 () .

    ..

    ..

    5,0 5,0 5,0 5,0 5,0 5,0 5,0

    5,9 5,9 6,3 3,7 6,8 5,9 5,8

    6,2 10,0 10 2,1 5,5 10,0 7,3

    8,6 4,0 7,3 5,9 10,0 3,0 6,5

    7,8 4,7 5,3 4,2 5,9 7,9 6,0

    4,9 5,2 6,7 3,7 6,1 6,6 5,5

    5,7 5,1 6,1 5,5 5,6 4,6 5,4

    10,0 2,1 9,2 10,0 8,2 4,3 7,3

    7,6 9,1 9,5 5,5 6,4 7,5 7,6

    8,2 5,3 6,0 5,0 8,4 4,5 6,2

    4,9 4,9 3,6 5,9 3,9 5,1 4,7

    5,7 5,2 4,2 5,9 5,1 6,2 5,4

    2,9 4,2 2,0 5,7 1,0 3,4 3,2

    7,6 4,7 5,0 6,3 4,8 3,3 5,3

    1,7 1,8 1,6 1,8 3,7 2,3 2,1

    1,0 1,0 2,1 3,4 2,0 3,4 2,2

    2,6 2,9 1,0 1,0 5,5 1,0 2,3

  • 2015

  • 20

    690,000 76 .

    4/5 , (

    ).

    , ( 60%)

    (, , , .).

    689,831

    79%

    21%

    78%

    1%

    18%

    3%

    76 .

    38%

    62%

    32%

    6%

    18%

    44%

    * : 1 . 1 . 10 ..

    : SBA Factsheet 2015, Eurostat, ..,

  • 21

    10 .,

    ().

    (stratified sampling method),

    . , 1,164 ,

    : (6 ) (, , ,

    ).

    ,

    . (i) , (ii)

    (iii) . ,

    .

    * ( )

    (. )

    1: (0 - 0,1] 1% 5% 3% 1% 10%

    2: (0,1 - 0,5] 3% 6% 13% 1% 23%

    3: (0,5 - 1] 2% 3% 9% 1% 15%

    4: (1 - 2,5] 3% 4% 11% 1% 19%

    5: (2,5 - 5] 4% 4% 8% 1% 17%

    6: (5 - 10] 4% 3% 8% 1% 18%

    17% 24% 52% 7% 100%

    * 2007-2013

    : .. (2007), ICAP Data, Eurostat,

    *

    (. )

    1: (0 - 0,1] 45 45 73 30 193

    2: (0,1 - 0,5] 45 45 73 30 193

    3: (0,5 - 1] 45 45 74 30 194

    4: (1 - 2,5] 45 45 74 30 194

    5: (2,5 - 5] 45 45 73 30 193

    6: (5 - 10] 45 45 73 30 193

    270 270 440 180 1160

    * 10%

  • 22

    ,

    .

    , .

    3 : (+), (=), (-) (+), (=),

    (-). (+,=,-)

    (-) (+). , o

    :

    : , .

    : , .

    : , .

    : .

    , (

    ).

    ,

    . ,

    ( (over-optimism or over-pessimism bias)).

    ( )

    .

  • 23

    : TNS ICAP

    : , (Computer Aided Telephone Interviewing- C.A.T.I.),

    20 .

    : 1,160 (960 & booster 200 ):

    580 1. ( , , , , , ) 100

    580 1-10. (, , , ) 100

    :

    , , , , , ,

    : , , , &

    -. Quotas booster .

    : - 480 +/- 4,15%

    95%.

    : 25/9/15- 9/11/15

    : ESOMAR

    ( ). 47 5 ,

    .

  • :

    :

    2016

    :

    Senior Economist,

    (+30210) 334 1549

    e-mail: [email protected]

    :

    Economist,

    (+30210) 334 1528

    e-mail: [email protected]

    Economist,

    (+30210) 334 1547

    e-mail: [email protected]

    Economist,

    (+30210) 334 1646

    e-mail: [email protected]

    . . . , . .