PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web...

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Page 1: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

THE PORTFOLIO DESIGNER:A basic tool to reduce the markets complexity and make a short list of assets to invest.

TARGET USERS: Private Investors Brokerage AXE ,AXEΠΕΥ, ΑΕΠΕΥ BANKS FINANCIAL ORGANIZATIONS

Page 2: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

MAIN OBJECTIVES To result in to a short list and optimal

allocation of assets to invest To Design Hedging with Derivatives

Page 3: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

BASIC FUNCTIONALITIES Optimal Portfolio Selection Hedge Designer Historic Simulation

Page 4: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

HUNAM-AND-COMPUTER INTERACTION PRINCIPLES OF QUALITY IN THE DESIGN OF THIS SOFTWARE

As few as possible menus and input-and out-put forms As simple and friendly as possible, interface As much as possible hidden automation We keep it intelligent and as simple and self-evident as

possible Artificial Intelligence methods

Page 5: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

INTERNAL STRUCTURE QUALITY OF THE PROGRAM

Full use of the most modern design and programming technology

Optimal internal structured programming for speed and real-time efficiency

Effective both on recent and less recent hardware Full communication with Microsoft Office and

other programs

Page 6: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

MARKOVITZ THEORY OF PORTFOLIO’S RISK AND PROFIT

Classification comparison and preference of Portfolios based on risk and profit

Profit measures:Average Rate of Return Risk measures: Volatility Elasticity Combinations

Page 7: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

PORTFOLIOS OF MAXIMUM PROBABILITY OF PROFIT The cut-off-rate technique The Sharp ratio of profit and risk The Treynor ratio of profit and risk Find the portfolio that has the maximum

probability to result to a profit above a preset level

Page 8: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

CONTSTRAINTS ON THE DESIGN OF PORTFOLIO BY THE USERS

Constraints on the number of assets Constraints through short listing based on

fundamentals Constraints through short list based on news Analysis Constraints through arbitrary short lists Constraints by indexes

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DEFENSIVE , OFFENSIVE AND NEUTRAL PORTFOLIOS The elasticity of the portfolio relative to the

general index Less than 1: Defensive More than 1: Offensive Negative : Opposite to the Market Positive: Parallel to the Market

Page 10: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

NEUTRAL PORTFOLIOS DESIGNER

Find the Portfolio of zero elasticity relative to the market

Page 11: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

HEDGING A PORTFOLIO WITH DERIVATIVES:HEDGING DESIGNER FOR HEDGE FUNDS After choosing the elasticity, estimation of

the required futures or options to hedge the portfolio (Delta neutral hedging )

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RISK-AND-PROFIT PORTFOLIO FREE DESIGNER The dependence and changes of risk and

profit when the percentages change (for sub optimal design experimentation)

A matrix with arrows for sensitivity analysis experimentation

Page 13: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

HISTORICAL PORTFOLIO SIMULATOR Historical Simulator for testing the Portfolio in the past. User defined transaction costs and Bid-Ask

spreads costs

Page 14: PORTFOLIO SELECTIONusers.softlab.ntua.gr/.../PORTFOLIODESIGNERLight.ppt · PPT file · Web view2010-08-02 · Title: PORTFOLIO SELECTION Author: Costas Kyritsis Last modified by:

CRYSTALL-CLEAR PRINT OUTS OF ALL THE TABLES AND IMAGES

Print outs of all the out put tables of the program The print outs admit export in Excel for user

defined modifications

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COMMUNICATION OF THIS PROGRAM WITH ITS ENVIRONMENT AND OTHER PROGRAMS

Exporting to Microsoft Office: Excel Access Word Etc. Link and feed of data from other programs.

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TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS

Software : Little space to store Hardware:Runs in Pentiums 1,2,3,4 In Windows 98 ,NT etc Communicates, if wanted, with the Internet

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ADVANTAGES OF THIS PROGRAM

Advantages compared to other programs: Supports Historic Simulation Support Hedging with Derivatives It is fast and simple to use