OwlGore University Scientists λ=0.976 Resulting population crash time=384.7 years α=3 l α...

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Transcript of OwlGore University Scientists λ=0.976 Resulting population crash time=384.7 years α=3 l α...

OwlGore

University Scientists

• λ=0.976• Resulting population

crash time=384.7 years• α=3• lαb=0.025

The Man

• λ=0.868• Resulting population

crash time=66.5 years• α=4• lαb=0.012

Sierra Club

• λ=0.653• Resulting population

crash time=22.1 years!• α=2• lαb=0.002

Low S, Low λ

So

S1

S

λ

High S, High λ

So

S1

S

Years

λ

Democrats: Republicans:

• λ=0.85825• Resulting population

crash time=61.45 years• α=3• lαb=0.025

University Scientists

•λ=0.7708

• Resulting population

crash time=36.08 years

• α=3

• lαb=0.025

W=15 years W=10 years

Democrats: Republicans:

• λ=0.74895• Resulting population

crash time=32.49 years• α=3

• lαb=0.025

The Man

•λ=0.66505• Resulting population crash time=23.03 years• α=4• lαb=0.012

Sierra ClubDemocrats: Republicans:

• λ=0.50639• Resulting population

crash time=13.80 years• α=2• lαb=0.0023

• λ=0.42825• Resulting population

crash time=11.08 years• α=2• lαb=0.0023

Why does ‘w’ matter?

• Applying ‘w’, no matter which number, reduces the growth rate, and reduces the time till collapse

• Adding ‘w’ cuts the time span during which spookytook’s can breed, decreasing the reproductive population and therefore the growth rate, reducing the time till collapse.

Before the Strip Mall

University Scientists- p= .65

Government Study- p=.77

Sierra Club- p=.69

P= Equilibrium Occupancy of Suitable Habitat for Females

University Scientists Estimates:

P= .4

H= .38

K= .77

SDk= .059

Government Study Estimates:

P= .7

H= .5

K= .85

SD= .07

Sierra Club Estimates:

P= .2

H= .25

K= .8

SD= .03

Land Suitable for Development- .0910% of total1% of total

University Scientists

Land Suitable for Development- .2710% of total1% of total

Government Study

Land Suitable for Development- .0210% of total1% of total

Sierra Club

Land Suitable for Development- .2710% of total1% of total

Government Study