MSc. Econ: MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1996 The … · MSc. Econ: MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1996 The...

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MSc. Econ: MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1996 The Moment Generating Function of the Normal Distribution Recall that the probability density function of a normally distributed random variable x with a mean of E(x)= μ and a variance of V (x)= σ 2 is (1) N (x; μ, σ 2 )= 1 p (2πσ 2 ) e - 1 2 (x-μ) 2 2 . Our object is to find the moment generating function which corresponds to this distribution. To begin, let us consider the case where μ = 0 and σ 2 = 1. Then we have a standard normal, denoted by N (z ;0, 1), and the corresponding moment generating function is defined by (2) M z (t)= E(e zt )= Z e zt 1 2π e - 1 2 z 2 dz = e 1 2 t 2 . To demonstate this result, the exponential terms may be gathered and rear- ranged to give (3) exp ' zt exp ' - 1 2 z 2 = exp ' - 1 2 z 2 + zt = exp ' - 1 2 (z - t) 2 exp ' 1 2 t 2 . Then (4) M z (t)= e 1 2 t 2 Z 1 2π e - 1 2 (z-t) 2 dz = e 1 2 t 2 , where the final equality follows from the fact that the expression under the integral is the N (z ; μ = t, σ 2 = 1) probability density function which integrates to unity. Now consider the moment generating function of the Normal N (x; μ, σ 2 ) distribution when μ and σ 2 have arbitrary values. This is given by (5) M x (t)= E(e xt )= Z e xt 1 p (2πσ 2 ) e - 1 2 (x-μ) 2 2 dx Define (6) z = x - μ σ , which implies x = + μ. 1

Transcript of MSc. Econ: MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1996 The … · MSc. Econ: MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1996 The...

Page 1: MSc. Econ: MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1996 The … · MSc. Econ: MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1996 The Moment Generating Function of the Normal Distribution Recall that the probability

MSc. Econ: MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1996

The Moment Generating Function of the Normal Distribution

Recall that the probability density function of a normally distributed randomvariable x with a mean of E(x) = µ and a variance of V (x) = σ2 is

(1) N(x;µ, σ2) =1√

(2πσ2)e−

12 (x−µ)2/σ2

.

Our object is to find the moment generating function which corresponds tothis distribution. To begin, let us consider the case where µ = 0 and σ2 = 1.Then we have a standard normal, denoted by N(z; 0, 1), and the correspondingmoment generating function is defined by

(2)Mz(t) = E(ezt) =

∫ezt

1√2πe−

12 z

2dz

= e12 t

2.

To demonstate this result, the exponential terms may be gathered and rear-ranged to give

(3)exp

{zt}

exp{− 1

2z2}

= exp{− 1

2z2 + zt

}= exp

{− 1

2 (z − t)2}

exp{

12 t

2}.

Then

(4)Mz(t) = e

12 t

2∫

1√2πe−

12 (z−t)2

dz

= e12 t

2,

where the final equality follows from the fact that the expression under theintegral is the N(z;µ = t, σ2 = 1) probability density function which integratesto unity.

Now consider the moment generating function of the Normal N(x;µ, σ2)distribution when µ and σ2 have arbitrary values. This is given by

(5) Mx(t) = E(ext) =∫ext

1√(2πσ2)

e−12 (x−µ)2/σ2

dx

Define

(6) z =x− µσ

, which implies x = zσ + µ.

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MSc. Econ: MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS: BRIEF NOTES, 1996

Then, using the change-of-variable technique, we get

(7)

Mx(t) = eµt∫ezσt

1√(2πσ2)

e−12 z

2∣∣∣∣dxdz

∣∣∣∣ dz= eµt

∫ezσt

1√2πe−

12 z

2dz

= eµte12σ

2t2 ,

Here, to establish the first equality, we have used dx/dz = σ. The final equalityfollows in view of the final equality of equation (2) above where the dummyvariable t can be replace by σt. The conclusion is that

(8) The moment generating function corresponding to the normalprobability density function N(x;µ, σ2) is the function Mx(t) =exp{µt+ σ2t2/2}.

The notable characteristic of this function is that it is in the form of anexponential. This immediately implies that the sum of two independently dis-tributed Normal random variables is itself a normally distributed random vari-able. Thus:

(9) Let x ∼ N(µx, σ2x) and y ∼ N(µy, σ2

y) be two independently dis-tributed normal variables. Then their sum is also a normally dis-tributed random variable: x+ y = z ∼ N(µx + µy, σ

2x + σ2

y).

To prove this we need only invoke the result that, in the case of indepen-dence, the moment generating function of the sum is the product of the momentgenerating functions of its elements. This enables us to write

(10)Mz(t) = Mx(t)My(t) = exp

{µxt+ 1

2σ2xt

2}

exp{µyt+ 1

2σ2yt

2}

= exp{

(µx + µy)t+ 12 (σ2

x + σ2y)t2

}which is recognised as the moment generating function of a normal distribution.

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