Solution to Homework 2 - Exogeneous Growth...
Transcript of Solution to Homework 2 - Exogeneous Growth...
Solution to Homework 2 - Exogeneous Growth Models
ECO-3211 Macroeconomia Aplicada (Applied Macroeconomics)∗
Question 1: Solow Model with a Fixed Factor
1. The law of motion for capital in the Solow economy is given by
K(t) = sY (t)− δK(t) .
Let k = K/L be the capital per worker. Then substituting for output per worker,
y = Y/L, using the aggregate production function, in the law of motion above gives
k(t)
k(t)=
K(t)
K(t)= sk(t)α−1z1−α−β − δ ,
where z = Z/L is land per worker. Note that k(t)/k(t) = K(t)/K(t) because there
is no population growth. Then, in steady-state k(t) = 0, which gives the following
expression for the steady-state k and y:
k∗ =
(sz1−α−β
δ
)1/(1−α)
,
y∗ =(sδ
)α/(1−α)
z(1−α−β)/(1−α) .
The steady-state is unique and stable because for k > k∗, sk(t)α−1z1−α−β − δ < 0 (the
first term is decreasing in k), and for k < k∗, sk(t)α−1z1−α−β − δ > 0. In other words,
k(t) > 0 for k ∈ (0, k∗) and k(t) < 0 for k ∈ (k∗,∞). Thus, if the economy starts from
an initial capital stock k(0) < k∗, it will experience in an increase in k till it reaches k∗,
and if the the economy starts from an initial capital stock k(0) > k∗, it will experience
in a decrease in k till it reaches k∗.
∗Rahul Giri. Contact Address: Centro de Investigacion Economica, Instituto Tecnologico Autonomo de Mexico (ITAM).
E-mail: [email protected]
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2. Now, with population growth land per worker, z = Z/L is going to decline at the rate
at which population is growing, i.e. z(t) = −nz(t), which implies that z(t) = z(0)e−nt.
Therefore, limt→∞ z(t) = 0. Since
y(t) = k(t)αz(t)1−α−β ,
limt→∞ z(t) = 0 implies that limt→∞ y(t) = 0, which in turn implies that limt→∞ k(t) =
0. Thus, with population growth, there is only one stead-state, which is given by
k∗ = z∗ = y∗ = 0. Intuitively, growth in population reduces the amount of land per
worker, thereby reducing the output per worker, which ultimately tends to zero since
land is an essential factor of production. Since the per capita variables tend to zero, it
must be that aggregate variables, K and Y , grow over time, though at a rate slower
than the population growth rate.
The return to land is given by
pz(t) = (1− α− β)L(t)βK(t)αZ−α−β .
Since L grows at rate n, K also grows, at a rate slower than n, and Z is constant, it
implies that limt→∞ pz(t) = ∞. The intuition is that as population grows land becomes
a scarce factor, and since it is essential for production, the return to land goes to ∞.
The wage rate is given by
w(t) = βL(t)β−1K(t)αZ1−α−β = βk(t)αz(t)1−α−β .
Since limt→∞ k(t) = limt→∞ z(t) = 0, wage rate tends to zero as t → ∞. Intuitively,
as labor becomes more and more abundant, it marginal product falls, and its falls to
zero as t → ∞.
3. The results we found in the previous part hold even when s = 1, i.e. individuals save
all their income. Thus, endogenizing savings rate is not going to offset the effect of
diminishing returns. However, if the growth rate of population was made to depend on
the output per capita, then we could have a steady-state with positive y and k. The
idea is that higher output per capita implies a healthier population, and hence people
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live longer and have more children. This is the idea proposed by Malthus.
L(t)
L(t)= n(y(t)) ,
where n′(y) > 0, limy→∞ n(y) = n > 0 and limy→∞ n(y) = n < 0. Thus, population
growth is positive function of output per capita. If output per capita is very high
population growth is also very high, If output per capita is very low, population growth
may be negative, implying population may shrink. There exists a y = y∗ such that
n(y∗) = 0. Such a formulation is also used in Parente and Prescott (2005).
Question 2: Solow Model with a Different Price of Investment
1. Suppose the population growth rate is n. Define capital per worker as k = K/L,
and therefore output per worker based on our general production function is given by
f(k) = F (k, 1). The law of motion for k is
k(t) = sq(t)f (k(t))− (δ + n)k(t) .
Suppose there exists a BGP (balanced growth path) in which k grows at rate gk ≥ 0.
Then k(t) = k(0)egkt. Furthermore, q(t) = q(0)eγKt. Using these in the law of motion
for k implies
gkk(0)egkt = sq(0)eγKtf
(k(0)egkt
)− (δ + n)k(0)egkt ,
which simplifies to
k(0)
sq(0)(gk + δ + n)e(gk−γK)t = f
(k(0)egkt
).
If gk = 0, then as t → ∞ the left hand side goes to zero whereas the right hand
side is constant. Therefore, it must be that gk is positive. But with positive gk the
argument of f(.), on the right hand side, goes to infinity. Thus we can solve for f(k)
for any k ∈ [k(0),∞). For any k, it is true that k = k(0)egkt, which implies that
t = ln(k/k(0))/gk. Substituting this in the previous equation gives
f(k) =
[k(0)
sq(0)(gk + δ + n)
1
(k(0))(gk−γK)/gk
]k(gk−γK)/gk , ∀ k ∈ [k(0),∞) .
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The term in the big square brackets is a constant. Denote it by C. Then
f(k) = Ck(gk−γK)/gk , ∀ k ∈ [k(0),∞) ,
which implies that
F (K,L) = Lf(k) = CK(gk−γK)/gkLγK/gk ,
which is a Cobb-Douglas production function. The intuition here is related to Uzawa’s
theorem which states that for the existence of a BGP, technological progress must
be labor augmenting asymptotically. In our model, here, technological progress is
capital-augmenting or Hicks-neutral. Thus, there is an inconsistency. But, when the
production function is Cobb-Douglas, its property of unitary elasticity of substitution
between factors ensures that all kinds of technological progress are equivalent. Thus, in
this model only the Cobb-Douglas production function is consistent with the existence
of a BGP.
2. With a Cobb-Douglas production function, the law of motion for k is given by
k(t)
k(t)= sq(t)k(t)α−1 − (δ + n) .
On a BGP the left hand side is constant. This implies that the right hand side is also
constant, i.e. q(t)k(t)α−1 is not growing, which means that
d (q(t)k(t)α−1) /dt
q(t)k(t)α−1= 0 ,
⇒q(t)
q(t)+ (α− 1)
k(t)
k(t)= 0 ,
⇒ gk =k(t)
k(t)=
q(t)/q(t)
1− α=
γK1− α
.
Then, since y(t) = k(t)α, on the BGP
gy =y(t)
y(t)= α
k(t)
k(t)=
α
1− αγK .
Substituting the expression for gk in the original law of motion for k gives
γK1− α
+ δ + n = sq(t)k(t)α−1 ,
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⇒ k∗ =k(t)
q(t)1/(1−α)=
[s
γK1−α
+ δ + n
]1/(1−α)
(1)
This is the steady-state value of the normalized capital-labor ratio. Note that, off the
steady-state, the growth rate of k is given by
g(k(t)
)=
k(t)
k(t)−
γK1− α
,
⇒ g(k(t)
)= sq(t)k(t)α−1 − (δ + n)−
γK1− α
,
⇒ g(k(t)
)= sq(t)
[k(t)q(t)1/(1−α)
]α−1
− (δ + n)−γK
1− α,
⇒ g(k(t)
)≡ sk(t)α−1 − δ − n−
γK1− α
.
In steady-state g(k∗)= 0. Since g
(k)is decreasing in k it implies that
g(k(t)
)> 0 if k(t) < k∗ ,
g(k(t)
)< 0 if k(t) > k∗ .
This means that the steady-state is globally stable.
3. On a BGP, the K/Y ratio must be constant. But in this case gk = γK/(1 − α) and
gy = αgk, which means that aggregate output Y grows at slower rate than aggregate
capital K. Therefore, K/Y is not constant, which violates the Kaldor facts, and hence
the definition of BGP. But, in this model the price of consumption good is not the
same as the price of the investment good. Therefore, K and Y are not expressed in
the same units. Instead of considering K/Y we should consider (K/q)/Y since q is the
inverse of the price of capital in terms of the final good. The growth rate of K/q is
d (K(t)/q(t)) /dt
K(t)/q(t)=
K(t)
K(t)−
q(t)
q(t)= gk + n− γK ,
⇒d (K(t)/q(t)) /dt
K(t)/q(t)=
α
1− αγK + n = gy + n =
Y (t)
Y (t).
Hence K(t)/q(t) grows at the same rate as Y (t), thereby implying that (K/q)/Y is
constant on this BGP.
Question 3: Neoclassical Growth Model with Subsistence
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1. The utility function captures the idea of a subsistence level of consumption, γ. γ is
the minimum level of consumption that consumer must have every period.
2. Define effective capital-labor ratio as k = K/AL. Then, a competitive equilibrium
consists of allocations of consumption and effective capital-labor ratio [c(t), k(t)]∞t=0 and
of sequences of wages and interest rates [w(t), r(t)]∞t=0 such that consumers maximize
utility taking prices as given, firms maximize profits taking prices as given and markets
clear.
3. Maximizing the current value Hamiltonian for the consumer yields the the consumption
Euler equation.C(t)
C(t)=
1
ǫu (C(t))(r(t)− ρ) ,
where ǫu (C(t)) is the inverse of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution, and is
given by
ǫu (C(t)) = −u′′ (C(t))C(t)
u′ (C(t))= θ
C(t)
C(t)− γ.
Notice that if γ = 0 then ǫu (C(t)) = θ, which is the usual case with CRRA pref-
erences. Thus, with a subsistence level of consumption, the intertemporal elasticity
of substitution is no longer constant; instead it depends on the level of consumption.
The interest rate is given by the marginal product of capital net of depreciation, i.e.
r(t) = FK (K(t), A(t)L(t)) − δ = f ′ (k(t)) − δ. Therefore, the consumption Euler
equation becomesC(t)
C(t)=
1
ǫu (C(t))(f ′ (k(t))− δ − ρ) .
The law of motion for capital per unit of effective labor, k, is given by
k(t) = f (k(t))−C(t)
A(t)− (δ + g)k(t) .
If we define consumption in units of effective labor, c = CL/AL = C/A, then the law
of motion for capital and the consumption Euler equation are given by
k(t) = f (k(t))− c(t)− (δ + g)k(t) .
c(t)
c(t)=
1
ǫu (c(t))(f ′ (k(t))− δ − ρ)− g ,
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where
ǫu (c(t)) = θc(t)
c(t)− γA(t)
.
Notice the dependence of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution on the level of
technology in period t. Thus, even though we have expressed our system of differential
equations in terms of effective labor, there is still explicit dependence on A(t). Again
it is due to γ > 0.
The consumption Euler equation and the law of motion for capital along with evolution
of A(t) and the transversality condition characterize the equilibrium. The equation for
the evolution of A(t) and the transversality condition is given by
A(t) = gA(t) ,
limt→∞
e−ρtµ(t)k(t) = 0 .
The factor prices are given by
r(t) = f ′ (k(t))− δ ,
w(t) = f (k(t))− f ′ (k(t)) k(t) .
Suppose there exists a BGP for k(t) = k∗. Then it must be that k(t) = 0, so that
f (k∗)− (δ + g)k∗ = c(t) =C(t)
A(t).
Since the left hand side is constant, it implies that C(t)/A(t) has to be constant, or that
consumption per capita, C(t), grows at rate g. Then the consumption Euler equation
would imply that
g =1
θ
C(t)− γ
C(t)(f ′ (k∗)− δ − ρ) .
But this leads to a contradiction since the left hand side is constant but the right hand
side changes over time as C(t) grows at rate g. Thus, the BGP does not exist in this
economy. The intuition is the consumer’s intertemporal elasticity of substitution is not
constant. Instead it is decreasing in C(t), which means the consumption growth will
be increasing in the level of consumption.
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4. The first order condition from the Hamiltonian gives
µ(t) [f ′ (k(t))− δ − g] = ρµ(t)− µ(t) ,
⇒ µ(t) = − [f ′ (k(t))− δ − g − ρ]µ(t) ,
⇒ µ(t) = µ(0) exp
(−
∫ t
0
(f ′ (k(s))− δ − g − ρ) ds
).
Substituting this in the transversality condition gives
limt→∞
µ(0) exp
(−
∫ t
0
(f ′ (k(s))− δ − g) ds
)k(t) = 0 .
Now, asymptotically limt→∞ ǫu (C(t)) = θ. This implies that
limt→∞
C(t)
C(t)= g =
1
θ(f ′ (k∗)− δ − ρ) .
Using this equation to substitute for f ′ (k∗) in the transversality condition yields
µ(0)k∗ limt→∞
exp [((1− θ)g − ρ)t] = 0 ,
which can be satisfied only if ρ > (1− θ)g. This is the required parametric restriction
for the transversality condition to be satisfied.
5. From the previous part it is clear that this economy has a BGP asymptotically, and
this BGP is exactly that of the economy with γ = 0. Since there is no population
growth both, aggregate and per capita variables, grow at rate g. To see this we go
back to the consumption Euler equation in terms of effective consumption.
c(t)
c(t)=
1
ǫu (c(t))(f ′ (k(t))− δ − ρ) ,
where
ǫu (c(t)) = θc(t)
c(t)− γA(t)
.
Note that asA(t) grows over time, the term γ/A(t) goes to zero, and hence limt→∞ ǫu (c(t)) =
θ, which is the case with standard CRRA preferences.
However, along a transition path the dynamics are different. To see this, define x(t) =
C(t)− γ and x(t) = x(t)/A(t). Then the consumption Euler equation in terms of this
redefined variable becomes
dx(t)/dt
x(t)=
1
θ(f ′ (k(t))− δ − ρ− θg) ,
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which is identical to the one we see in case of our model with standard CRRA prefer-
ences1. However, the law of motion for capital is no longer the same.
k(t) = f (k(t))− x(t)− (δ + g)k(t)− A(t)−1γ .
This equation has an extra term, A(t)−1γ, which is absent in the law of motion of our
standard model. Therefore, the k(t) = 0 locus is given by
x(t) = f (k(t))− (δ + g)k(t)− A(t)−1γ .
This locus shifts up over time as A(t)−1γ decreases with the growth in A(t). As a result
asymptotically this economy moves to the steady state of the economy with γ = 0.
But, at every t, as the k(t) = 0 locus shifts up, so does the saddle path. Also, in every
period t the saddle path is stable.
Question 4: Neoclassical Model with Overlapping Generations
1. A competitive equilibrium is a sequence of aggregate capital and consumption [K(t), C1(t), C2(t)]∞t=0
and sequence of prices [w(t), R(t)]∞t=0 such that households maximize utility given
prices, and firms maximize profits given prices and markets clear. This translates
into
maxC1(t),C2(t+1)
logC1(t) + β logC2(t+ 1) ,
s.t. C1(t) + S(t) ≤ w(t) ,
and C2(t+ 1) ≤ R(t+ 1)S(t) ,
1lnx(t) = ln(C(t) − γ). Taking the derivative w.r.t. time gives us x(t)x(t) = C(t)
C(t)−γC(t)C(t) . Substituting for
C(t)C(t) , multiplying and dividing the right hand side by θ and using the expression for ǫu(C(t)) gives:
x(t)
x(t)=
1
θ(f ′ (k(t))− δ − ρ) .
Since x(t) = x(t)/A(t), it implies that dx(t)/dtx(t) = x(t)
x(t) −A(t)A(t) . Since technology grows at rate g we get
dx(t)/dt
x(t)=
1
θ(f ′ (k(t))− δ − ρ− θg) .
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and
R(t) = αA(t)K(t)α−1L(t)1−α ,
w(t) = (1− α)A(t)K(t)αL(t)−α ,
and finally markets must clear
K(t+ 1) = L(t)S(t) .
2. Define k ≡ K/L, c = C/L, s = S/L as per capita variables and L(t) is the size of
generation t. Then R(t) = αA(t)k(t)α−1, w(t) = (1 − α)A(t)k(t)α and k(t + 1) =
s(t)/(1 + n). Following the class notes we have that
c1(t) =1
1 + βw(t), and s(t) =
β
1 + βw(t) ,
and
k(t+ 1) =β(1− α)A(t)k(t)α
(1 + n)(1 + β).
Define capital per unit of effective labor as k = k/A1/(1−α). Then
k(t+ 1) =β(1− α)
(k(t)
)α
(1 + n)(1 + β)(1 + g)1/(1−α).
Then in steady-state k(t+ 1) = k(t) = k∗, which is given by
k∗ =
[β(1− α)
(1 + n)(1 + β)(1 + g)1/(1−α)
]1/(1−α)
.
In the steady-state the capital labor ratio k grows by a factor of (1 + g)1/(1−α). The
steady state is stable - you can check that off the steady-state(k(t+ 1)/k(t)
)− 1 > 0
if k(t) < k∗ and(k(t+ 1)/k(t)
)− 1 < 0 if k(t) > k∗.
Substituting k = kA1/(1−α) in the equation for interest rate gives us the steady-state
interest rate.
R∗ = α(k∗)α−1
=α(1 + n)(1 + β)(1 + g)1/(1−α)
β(1− α).
Thus, the interest rate is constant in steady-state. Similarly, the wage rate is given by
wt = (1− α)(k∗)α
A(t)1/(1−α) ,
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which implies that wage rate grows by the same factor as the capital labor ratio.
Similarly, consumption per capita of each generation is
c1(t) =1
1 + βw(t), and c2(t) =
β
1 + βw(t)R∗ .
Therefore, in steady-state the consumption per capita of the young and the old grows
by the same factor as capital labor ratio. Finally output per capita is given by
y(t) = A(t)k(t)α =(k∗)α
A(t)1/(1−α) ,
which means that output also grows by the same factor as capital labor ratio.
3. Given a A(0) and k(0), a higher g implies higher k at every t ≥ 2. Also, an increase in
g reduces the steady-state effective capital labor ratio, k∗. It increases w(t) at every
t ≥ 2 since w(t) is positive function of k and A. Lastly, R, c1 and c2 are all higher at
every t ≥ 2.
4. If β′ > β then β′/(1 + β′) > β/(1 + β). Thus, if β increases at t = 1 then k(t) will be
higher for every t ≥ 2. Intuitively, a higher β implies that consumer attaches higher
weight to future consumption, and therefore it induces individuals to save more thereby
increasing capital labor ratio at every t. A higher β also means a higher steady-state
effective capital labor ratio, k∗. Substituting the expression for k∗ in the expression
for c1(t) gives
c1(t) = A(t)1/(1−α)Ωβα/(1−α)(1 + β)−1/(1−α) ,
where Ω is constant that does not depend on β. The expression shows that the effect
of an increase in β is ambiguous. The intuition is that a higher β induces individuals
to save more and therefore reduces c1(t), but higher savings imply higher capital stock
and higher wages which increases c1(t). The net effect is ambiguous. Similar exercise
for c2(t) gives
c2(t) = A(t)1/(1−α)Ω
[β
1 + β
]α/(1−α)
.
This expression shows that c2(t) increases due to a higher β. This is due to higher
savings, which is what the old consume. This is despite the decrease in R(t + 1) as a
result of higher β (due to higher savings). Wage rate increases due to higher capital.
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