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Page 1: as Proxies Isotopes as Climate Proxiesmcgehee/Seminars/ClimateChange/... · Isotopes as Climate Proxies ... In this case, so rs h h12 12 ... Vostok and Dome C are Different Isotopes

Isotopes as Proxies 2/22/2012

Richard McGehee, University of Minnesota 1

Isotopes as Climate Proxies

Richard McGehee

Seminar on the Mathematics of Climate ChangeSchool of Mathematics

February 22, 2012

Isotopes as Proxies

What is this?  δ18O (‰)

What is this?  δ18O (‰)

‰ :  “per mil,”  “per thousand”1000‰ = 100% = 110‰ = 1% = 0.011‰ = 0.1% = 0.001   

18O:  Oxygen 18:  8 protons  8 electrons 10 neutrons17O:  Oxygen 17:  8 protons  8 electrons   9 neutrons16O:  Oxygen 16:  8 protons  8 electrons   8 neutrons

Most of the oxygen atoms on Earth are 16O. About 1 in 500 atoms is 18O.  About 1 in 2500 is 17O.

There are other oxygen isotopes, but they are unstable. 

Isotopes as Proxies

What is this?  δ18O (‰)

Example

Given a sample of  calcium carbonate (CaCO3) from a foraminifera fossil, suppose that the ratio of  18O atoms to 16O is r = 0.002013 = 2.013‰.  How would we 

report this finding?

How would we measure it in the first place?

The instruments measure the difference between two samples.  Typically, one measures the difference between the sample of interest and a standard sample.  A common standard is something called “Vienna Standard Mean Ocean Water” 

(VSMOW), for which the ratio of 18O atoms to 16O is s = 0.0020052.  Then

18 0.002013 0.0020052O 0.0039

0.0020052

r s

s

So we would report

δ18O = 3.9 ‰

Isotopes as Proxies

What is this?  δ18O (‰)

Going backwards, we have the formula

1r s

For example, if the sample is reported as

δ18O = 5‰

using the VSMOW standard, then we translate to the ratio of 18O: 16O

0.0020052 1 0.005 0.002015r

Isotopes as Proxies

1Raymond T. Pierrehumbert, Principles of Planetary Climate, Cambridge University Press, New York, 2010.2http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%CE%9413C

Isotopes Ratio Standard Source

D:H 0.0001558 VSMOW Pierrehumbert1

13C:12C 0.0112372 PDB Wikipedia2

18O:16O 0.0020052 VSMOW Pierrehumbert1

18O:16O 0.0020672 VPDB Pierrehumbert1

Standards:VSMOW: Vienna Standard Mean Ocean WaterPDB: Pee Dee BelemniteVPDB: Vienna Pee Dee Belemnite

Common Standards

Isotopes as Proxies

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Isotopes as Proxies 2/22/2012

Richard McGehee, University of Minnesota 2

What does δ18O (‰) tell us?

r1 = ratio of 18O:16O in liquid

r2 = ratio of 18O:16O in vapor

At equilibrium,

r2 = f r1

where  f is the fractionation factor.  (depends mostly on temperature)

FractionationExample: Evaporation of Water

liquid

vapor

evaporationcondensation

Isotopes as Proxies

What does δ18O (‰) tell us?

r1 = ratio of 18O:16O in liquid

r2 = ratio of 18O:16O in vapor

r2 = f r1

FractionationWhat about δ?

12 12 1

11 1

fs sr s fr sf

s s s

Note that the standard drops out.

f is usually close to 1, so let f = 1+ε

2 1 1 11 1 1

Since ε and δ are typically small, εδ is even smaller, so

2 1

Isotopes as Proxies

What does δ18O (‰) tell us?

δ18O(water) = δ1 f = 0.99 = 1+ε

δ18O(vapor) = δ2 ε = -0.01 = -10‰

Example: Evaporation of Water

waterδ=0

dry air

afterbefore

waterδ1

air + vaporδ2

δ18O(water) = 0

δ18O(vapor) is undefined

2 1

Suppose that 1% of the water becomes vapor.

1 2 10, 0.01,

Is there a better approximation for  δ1 ?

Isotopes as ProxiesWhat does δ18O (‰) tell us?

Example: Evaporation of Water

afterbeforewater

x0 = moles of 16Oy0 = moles of  18O

, 0,1,2i i iy r x i

Since  x2/x0 is small,

0 2 0 2 0 2, 0.01, 1r s x x h r r

waterx1 = moles of 16Oy1 = moles of  18O

vaporx2 = moles of 16Oy2 = moles of  18O

2 0 2 2 0 0 2 00 2 0 2 2 0 011

1 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 2 0

1 1

1 1

r y x r x y x xy y y r x y yyr

x x x x x x x x x x x

0 0 2 2 21 2 0

0 0 0 0 0

1 1 1 1y x x r x

r r rx y x r x

In this case,

1 2 1 21 ,r s h h so

Isotopes as Proxies

What does δ18O (‰) tell us?

δ18O(water) = δ1 f = 0.99 = 1+ε

δ18O(vapor) = δ2 ε = -0.01 = -10‰

Example: Evaporation of Water

waterδ=0

dry air

afterbefore

waterδ1

air + vaporδ2

δ18O(water) = 0

δ18O(vapor) is undefined

Suppose that 1% of the water becomes vapor.

1 2 20.0001, 0.01,h

Summary

Isotopes as ProxiesDeuterium Example

What if the all the glaciers melted?How would the deuterium content of seawater change?

Isotopes as Proxies

About 2% of the Earth’s water is in glaciers, vs. 98% in the oceans, so we take

h ≈ 0.02.

According to Ray, 

δ2D ≈ -420‰,

so

δ1D ≈ -8.4‰

1 2D h D

sea water  glaciers 

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Isotopes as Proxies 2/22/2012

Richard McGehee, University of Minnesota 3

Raymond T. Pierrehumbert, Principles of Planetary Climate, Cambridge University Press, New York, 2010.

Temperature (°K)

Temperature (°C)

Temperature (°F)

δ18O

273 0 32 ‐11.7‰

290 17 62 ‐10.1‰

350 77 170 ‐6.0‰

Water Evaporation Fractionation Factors for 18O

Everything Depends on Temperature

Isotopes as Proxies

Formulae from Gerrit Lohmann, 2007

Water Evaporation Fractionation Factors

Everything Depends on Temperature

Isotopes as Proxies

‐0.12

‐0.1

‐0.08

‐0.06

‐0.04

‐0.02

0

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

fractionation ‐1

⁰C

18O

D

Raymond T. Pierrehumbert, Principles of Planetary Climate, Cambridge University Press, New York, 2010.

And it’s even more complicated.

Isotopes as ProxiesEverything Depends on Temperature

fractionationfractionation

Raymond T. Pierrehumbert, Principles of Planetary Climate, Cambridge University Press, New York, 2010.

Vostok and Dome C are Different

Isotopes as Proxies

and is yet still more complicated.

Biology Matters

2 2 2 3 3

3 3

3 3

CO H O H CO H HCO

HCO H CO

Ca CO CaCO

atmosphere ocean

foraminifera

Temperature dependent fractionation occurs at every step.

The result:  the δ18O in foram shells is about +30‰ compared with the surrounding water (depending on temperature).

(δ18O)/dT ≈ ‐0.25 ‰/ ⁰C

(Reference: Ray’s book)

And then there’s carbon.

Isotopes as Proxies

And then there’s carbon.

Fractionation is about ‐25‰.

2 2 6 12 6 26CO 6H O C H O 6O

photosynthesis

δ1 = δ13C δ2 = δ13C

2 1 0.025

Result:  Plants, animals, coal, and oil are all lighter in 13C than inorganic carbon. 

Isotopes as ProxiesBiology Matters

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Isotopes as Proxies 2/22/2012

Richard McGehee, University of Minnesota 4

Zachos, et al, Science 292 (2001), p. 689

Isotopes as Proxies Isotopes as ProxiesPaleocene‐Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM)

Sharp decrease in δ18O, interpreted as a rapid increase in temperature.

Sharp decrease in δ 13C, interpreted as massive oxidation of sequestered organic carbon.

‐3

‐2

‐1

0

1

2

3

‐1

‐0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

‐56 ‐55.8 ‐55.6 ‐55.4 ‐55.2 ‐55 ‐54.8 ‐54.6 ‐54.4 ‐54.2 ‐54

d13C

d18O

Myr

Site 690

d18O

d13C

Isotopes as ProxiesLate Pleistocene Glacial Cycles

‐5

‐4

‐3

‐2

‐1

0

1

2

2.5

3.5

4.5

5.5

6.5

7.5

‐0.6 ‐0.5 ‐0.4 ‐0.3 ‐0.2 ‐0.1 0

d13C

d18O

Myr

Site 607

d18O

d13C

Sharp decreases in δ18O, interpreted as a rapid deglaciations.

Sharp increase in δ 13C, interpreted as increase in biological activity.Since the atmospheric CO2 increased during these periods, there must have 

been a large release of inorganic carbon, presumably from the oceans.

Isotopes as Proxies

What is this?  

depends more on temperature depends more on ice volume