Η Συμβολή της Ελληνόκτητης Ναυτιλίας στο ΑΕΠ, το...

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ΠΑΝΕΠΙΣΤΗΜΙΟ ΠΕΙΡΑΙΩΣ ΤΜΗΜΑ ΝΑΥΤΙΛΙΑΚΩΝ ΣΠΟΥΔΩΝ ΠΡΟΓΡΑΜΜΑ ΜΕΤΑΠΤΥΧΙΑΚΩΝ ΣΠΟΥΔΩΝ στην ΝΑΥΤΙΛΙΑ Η ΣΥΜΒΟΛΗ ΤΗΣ ΝΑΥΤΙΛΙΑΣ ΣΤΟ ΑΕΠ, ΤΟ ΙΣΟΖΥΓΙΟ ΥΠΗΡΕΣΙΩΝ ΚΑΙ ΤΗΝ ΑΠΑΣΧΟΛΗΣΗ Μαρία Χαρίκλεια Δούρου Διπλωματική Εργασία που υποβλήθηκε στο Τμήμα Ναυτιλιακών Σπουδών του Πανεπιστημίου Πειραιώς ως μέρος των απαιτήσεων για την απόκτηση του Μεταπτυχιακού Διπλώματος Ειδίκευσης στην Ναυτιλία Πειραιάς Οκτώβριος 2015

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  • ,

    2015

  • i

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    COPYRIGHT

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  • ii

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  • iii

    ........................................................................................................... v

    .............................................................................................vi

    ................................................................................................................................. vii

    ABSTRACT .................................................................................................................................. ix

    ................................................................................................................................... 1

    1 ............................................................. 10

    1.1 ............................................................................... 10

    1.2 ............................................ 14

    2 ................................................................................ 19

    2.1 ........................ 19

    2.2 ................................. 23

    2.3 2003-2013 ............................... 26

    2.4 2003-2013 ................................ 28

    2.5 2014 ........................................................................................ 29

    3 .............................................. 30

    3.1 ............................................................................................. 30

    3.2 ................................ 34

    4 ............................................................................................. 38

    4.1 .................................................................... 38

    4.2 ................................................................................ 43

    4.3

    ..................................................................................... 46

    4.4 ............................................................................................. 48

    5 ............................................................................... 51

    5.1 ................................................................ 51

    5.2 2006-2011 ..................... 53

    6 ................................................................................................. 62

    6.1 ............ 62

    6.2

    ........................................................................................................................... 65

  • iv

    7 ................................................................................................ 68

    7.1 .................................. 68

    7.2 .................................................................................................................. 71

    ................................................................................................................... 77

    ........................................................................................................................ 81

  • v

    1:

    2: (2003-2013)

    3: (2003-2013)

    4:

    5: & 2014

    6:

    7:

    8:

    9: tonnage tax

  • vi

    1:

    .

    2:

    3: &

    4: 2008 -

    2011

    5:

    2008 2011

    6:

    7: , 2006

    8: , 2007

    9: , 2008

    10: , 2009

    11: , 2010

    12: , 2011

    13:

    >100dwt

    14: >100dwt

  • vii

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    2003 2013

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  • viii

    :

  • ix

    ABSTRACT

    The last years have been designated by the economic crisis and the effort of

    consolidation in many sectors of the Greek economy. The majority of economical

    articles are praising the role and the contribution of the Greek Shipping, and in fact they

    are describing it as the most robust sector with the greatest growth potential.

    The present study gathers statistic information about the sector of the Greek Shipping in

    order to present objectively the benefits of its activity in the Greek economy.

    The major direct impact of the Greek Shipping is being presented by the statistical data

    in Greek Balance of payments during the decade 2003-2013. This decade is crucial as it

    presents the financial data before and after the economic crisis. Also, the study focuses

    into the workforce and the employment in Greek Shipping during the last period of

    continuing rising Greek unemployment.

    The sector of Greek Shipping is also contributing indirectly to the economic activity of

    Greece, since it has major impact in a big number of other industries and sectors of

    activity. This study, using the input-output model, presents the importance of the added

    value that Greek Shipping offers. Moreover, based on recent studies the study refers to

    the indirect employment that the activity of Greek Shipping offers to other sectors of the

    Greek economy.

    Greek Shipping contributes to the economy also through the taxation of its capacity. In

    one hand the Greek taxation of shipping industry is considered favorable but on the

    other there is also the opinion that the Greek tax model should be known for its stability

    in order to be competitive into the global environment of shipping. The latest tax

    modifications present great interest for future research.

    The last part of this paper refers to the presentation of the investments in shipping by

    the Greek ship-owners, trying to predict the Greek evolution of shipping sector.

    Key Words: Shipping, Greek economy, GDP, employment, investments

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    : 8.961 12.404 12.953 13.280 15.679 17.624 12.262 14.013 12.711 11.761 10.672

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  • 20

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  • 36

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  • 39

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  • 41

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  • 42

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  • 43

    4.2

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  • 44

    7:

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  • 46

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  • 47

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  • 48

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  • 51

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  • 52

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    =

  • 53

    5.2 2006-2011

    - .

    , ,

    () ()

    .

    .

    .

    - Leontief

    1930, Wassily Leontief.

    -. , Leontief 1973

    . Leontief

    .

    - .

    ,

    urostat. ,

    .

    Leontief ,

    ,

    , .

    , ,

    .

    ,

    Eurostat

  • 54

    . ,

    50.2

    (H50.2 - Sea and coastal freight water transport).9

    . ,

    (Water Transport) H50

    NACE Eurostat.

    ,

    ,

    ,

    2006 - 2011.

    8

    - Eurostat (Input Output tables)

    - .

    Eurostat

    Water Transport NACE H50 32

    . 7

    .

    9 EUROPA, (2010) List of NACE Codes,

    http://ec.europa.eu/competition/mergers/cases/index/nace_all.html

    http://ec.europa.eu/competition/mergers/cases/index/nace_all.html

  • 55

    8:

    Water

    transport

    Year

    2006

    Water

    transport

    Year

    2007

    Water

    transport

    Year

    2008

    Water

    transport

    Year

    2009

    Water

    transport

    Year

    2010

    Water

    transport

    Year

    2011

    INDUSTRIES

    (NACE Rev2)

    Code PRODUCTS (CPA*64) H50 H50 H50 H50 H50 H50

    No 32 32 32 32 32 32

    5 CPA_C10-C12

    Food products, beverages and tobacco

    products 372 427 424 360 405 355

    10 CPA_C19 Coke and refined petroleum products 1 529 1 985 1 988 1 676 1 527 1 510

    23 CPA_C33

    Repair and installation services of

    machinery and equipment 48 58 44 8 16 9

    24 CPA_D35

    Electricity, gas, steam and air-

    conditioning 122 122 108 83 91 83

    27 CPA_F Constructions and construction works 50 82 77 62 44 34

    34 CPA_H52

    Warehousing and support services for

    transportation 3 771 4 132 4 880 3 393 4 258 3 481

    36 CPA_I Accommodation and food services 68 80 103 57 80 69

    39 CPA_J61 Telecommunications services 27 33 37 28 34 33

    42 CPA_K65

    Insurance, reinsurance and pension

    funding services, except compulsory

    social security 85 120 135 65 102 90

    44 CPA_L68B

    Real estate services (excluding imputed

    rent) 70 136 227 150 141 140

    46 CPA_M69_M70

    Legal and accounting services; services

    of head offices; management consulting

    services 185 195 214 258 169 144

    47 CPA_M71

    Architectural and engineering services;

    technical testing and analysis services 209 315 236 332 425 404

    50 CPA_M74_M75

    Other professional, scientific and

    technical services; veterinary services 269 318 243 224 215 193

    53 CPA_N79

    Travel agency, tour operator and other

    reservation services and related services 148 157 142 125 157 137

    54 CPA_N80-N82

    Security and investigation services;

    services to buildings and landscape;

    office administrative, office support and

    other business support services 116 142 179 134 166 209

    66 CPA_TOTAL Total 7 577 8 945 10 063 7 523 8 418 7 380

    70 P2PP

    Total intermediate consumption/final

    use at purchasers' prices 7 577 8 945 10 063 7 523 8 418 7 380

    71 D1 Compensation of employees 5) 635 835 918 963 968 760

    72 D11 Wages and salaries 4) 5) 560 745 817 870 867 685

    74 K1 Consumption of fixed capital 5) 1 600 1 773 2 181 2 384 2 605 2 847

    75 B2N_B3N Operating surplus, net 5) 5 109 5 987 6 412 3 195 3 881 3 038

    76 B2G_B3G Operating surplus, gross 5) 6 709 7 759 8 594 5 579 6 486 5 885

    78 B1G Value added at basic prices 7 344 8 594 9 512 6 542 7 454 6 645

    79 P1 Output at basic prices 14 921 17 539 19 575 14 065 15 872 14 025

    : Eurostat, Supply Use and Input-Output tables, Greece

  • 56

    - 2006,

    14,6

    7,5

    .

    1,5

    .

    ,

    2006 7,3 .

    .

    Eurostat,

    2006, 560 , 75

    , 1,6 , 5,1

    .

    2006 7.

    7: , 2006

    : Eurostat, Supply Use and Input-Output tables, Greece

    8%

    1%

    22%

    69%

    2006

  • 57

    , 2007, 17,5

    ,

    . 17, 5 , 8,9

    ,

    .

    /

    4,8

    1,9 .

    .

    2007 8,5 ,

    1 2006. 8,5

    , 5,9 , 1,7

    , 745 90

    .

    .

    8: , 2007

    : Eurostat, Supply Use and Input-Output tables, Greece

    9%

    1%

    20%

    70%

    2007

  • 58

    2008, ,

    .

    ,

    19,5 . ,

    10

    (4% ) .

    ,

    1,9

    , 4,8 .

    2008, 9,5 ,

    1 2007. 9

    . ,

    - Eurostat, 817 ,

    101 , 2,1 6,4

    ,

    .

    9: , 2008

    : Eurostat, Supply Use and Input-Output tables, Greece

    9% 1%

    23%

    67%

    2008

  • 59

    - 2009,

    . ,

    14

    30% .

    2009 ,

    .

    7,5

    2006.

    .

    2009 6,5 ,

    3 2008.

    . 6,5 , 2,3

    2008, 870

    , 93

    50%

    3,1 .

    10, 2009 49%

    .

    10: , 2009

    : Eurostat, Supply Use and Input-Output tables, Greece

    13% 1%

    37%

    49%

    2009

  • 60

    - ,

    , 2010,

    ,

    15,8 . 15,8 , 8,4

    .

    2009,

    , 1,6

    3,3

    .

    2010 2006

    7,4 . 1

    2009 2006

    .

    2010,

    ,

    2009, .

    11: , 2010

    : Eurostat, Supply Use and Input-Output tables, Greece

    12%

    1%

    35%

    52%

    2010

  • 61

    2011,

    .

    , .

    2010 1,8

    2009. ,

    14 , 7,3

    .

    (1,5 )

    (3,4 ).

    2009.

    2011, 6,6

    , 2009.

    2011, 2009,

    2,8 .

    12: , 2011

    : Eurostat, Supply Use and Input-Output tables, Greece

    10%

    1%

    43%

    46%

    2011

  • 62

    6

    6.1

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    ,

  • 63

    (tonnage tax). tonnage tax

    .

    tonnage tax

    tonnage tax,

    , o .

    ,

    ,

    . tonnage tax,

    , , ,

    , ,

    , . ,

    (

    )

    , .

    ,

    . ,

    .

    .

    .

    , ,

    ,

    .

  • 64

    ,

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    2009,

    559 .

    9 tonnage tax

    2012

    .

    9: tonnage tax

    ...

    100-10.000 1,2 0-4 0,382

    10.001-20.000 1,1 5-9 0,684

    20.001-40.000 1 10-19 0,67

    40.001-80.000 0,45 20-29 0,634

    80.001 0,2 30 0,49

    :

    9 5

    30.000dwt :

    :

    10.000dwt*1,2+20.000dwt*1,1 = 34.000dwt

    :

    34.000*0,684= 23.256$ 18.690

    ,

    .

  • 65

    6.2

    ,

    .

    , 26

    .27/1975, ,

    ,

    .27/1975.

    .

    2013 24 . 4110/2013,

    26 .27/1975

    .

    ,

    .

    , ,

    2012

    ,

    .

    .

    , ,

    ,

  • 66

    . ,

    Holding

    . ,

    , .

    . ,

    14 .4223/2013, (

    ), 2014-2015-2016,

    ,

    .

    ( 26 . 27/1975)

    .

    , (tonnage tax)

    .

    ,

    40 .

  • 67

    ,

    .

    ,

    90%.

    .

    .

    ,

    ,

    , ,

    ,

    .

    2014

    2015

    . , 2017,

    .

    ,

    500

    .

  • 68

    7

    7.1

    , (

    2014)

    .

    2012,

    , 3.428 ,

    1.000 . 245,14

    dwt, 15,56% .

    23,55%

    ( ), 17,20%

    dwt 12,51%

    /

    dwt ( ).

    13

    , 2004

    2014, 100

    , .

  • 69

    13: >100dwt

    :

    ,

    50% .

    .

    ,

    . ,

    2007 2008 2009

    .

    , 2008

    .

    . 2012

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    22

    24

    26

    28

    2000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014(VII)

  • 70

    .

    , 1.939 (

    100 gt) 43.613.921gt.

    . ,

    3.428 ( 1.000 gt) 245,14 dwt,

    15,56% dwt.

    ( dwt)

    ( gt).

    42,72% ( dwt). ,

    23,55% (

    ), 17,20%

    dwt 12,51%

    / dwt (

    ).

    2012, (2013)

    .

    .

    .

    2012 16.

    .

  • 71

    7.2

    ,

    .

    , , .

    . ,

    ' ,

    ,

    , , ,

    .

    .

    . ,

    (labour intensive)

    (capital intensive).

    . ,

    (, , .)

    .

    .

    , ,

    ,

    .

  • 72

    .

    , ,

    .

    ,

    ,

    ,

    .

    ,

    2014.

    .

    ,

    .

    13

    100 .

  • 73

    14: >100dwt

    :

    14

    . 2014 50%

    10 ,

    12 .

    , 2012,

    304 ( 1.000 )

    29,56 . dwt. , 102

    22,34% ( dwt)

    32 LNG/LPG 28,69%

    (dwt), 134

    11,51%

    , 60 9,39%

    (dwt) 8 .

  • 74

    2013 ,

    ,

    .

    .

    . '

    ,

    . 2013,

    371

    32,6 . dwt. , 149

    18,32%

    ( dwt). 58

    / (LNG/LPG) 25,94%

    (dwt) 51

    14,24% (dwt). ,

    169 15%

    , 48

    7,08%

    (dwt). , 2013 11,5

    50% 10 .

    9,9 ,

    12,4 .

    ,

    LNG/LPG, ,

    ,

    ,

    .

  • 75

    ,

    1/5 1/3

    .

    .

    ,

    , .

    Lloyd's Register of Shipping-

    Fairplay. , 2014

    3.901 , 290,8 . .

    224 25,5 .

    2013. 2014, ,

    22%

    . (17%), (16%),

    (15%), (10%),

    5% .

    , 2014 819

    76,1 , 10

    2,65 .

    Lloyd's Register of Shipping-Fairplay,

    123

    , 11,1 . . ,

    642 47,5 . .

    678

    (36 ), 592 (+31

    ), 393 , 242

    231 .

  • 76

    2014 9 .

    5 . 2013.

    .

    Golden Destiny

    , 2014, 16,5%

    12% .

    ,

    2014,

    131 3,3 . .

    ,

    .

    Petrofin

    2013, 6,5%.

    ,

    .

    2013 46,

    .

    ,

    funds

    . funds

    .

  • 77

    .

    , ,

    .

    .

    , .

    (2003-2013)

    .

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    . 2003 2007

    .

    2008

    8%

    . 2009 2010

    2008,

    .

  • 78

    ,

    .

    .

    .

    .

    2014 ,

    .

    ,

    . ,

    ()

    .

    .

    2011.

    .

    2014.

    .

    .

  • 79

    2008

    .

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    190.000 .

    .

    2014

    22%.

    .

    , .

    2014.

    .

  • 80

    .

    ,

    2008

    .

    .

    , LNG/LPG,

    ,

    ,

    ,

    .

    . ,

    2015.

    top 10

    , , , . 20

    .

    , .

    ,

    .

    And the winner is Greek shipping, Clarksons

    . 10

    10

    Clarkson Research Services, (2014) Top Shipping AwardAnd the winner is.

  • 81

    Begg, David Fischer, S. Dornbusch, R., (1994) ,

    , : . .

    Rosen, H., (2000) , , : . .

    Sussman, J., (2003) , : . .

    .

    The Boston Colsulting Group, (2013)

    , : The Boston Consulting Group.

    , ., (2009) Leontief, : .

    Quantitative.

    , ., , ., , ., (2010) , :

    . ..

    , ., (2011)

    , : . .

    , (2011) :

    2005-2010, .

    , (2014) :

    , .

    , (2014) :

    2014, .

    , (2001-2012) , .

    , ., (2011) , : .

    .

  • 82

    , (2013)

    , .

    , ., , ., (2005)

    , : . .

    , ., , ., (2003) :

    , : . . .

    , ., (2006)

    , : . .

    , ., (2010) .

    , : . .

    , (2009) :

    , .

    , (2013)

    , .

    , ., , ., (2013)

    : , : .

    ().

    , ., (2001) , : .

    ..

    , ., (2006) , : . .

    Clarkson Research Services, (2014) Top Shipping AwardAnd the winner is.

    Papandreou, S., (2014) And the winner isGreek shipping, ELNAVI, Issue No.486,

    page 14.

  • 83

    Petrofin Research into Greek shipping, (2013) The image/profile of Greek shipping

    companies, ELNAVI, Issue No.486, page 64.

    Petropoulos, T., (2014) Greek Fleet record level growth amid 6.5% fall in bank

    financing, Shipping and Finance, Issue No.215, pages 20-24.

    PriceWaterhouseCoopers, (2009) Global Shipping Benchmarking Survey.

    Forologikanea.gr, (2014) ,

    http://www.forologikanea.gr/news/oi-forologikes-upoxreoseis-ton-nautiliakon-etaireion/

    , : 2014.

    Fortunegreece.com, (2014) ,

    http://www.fortunegreece.com/article/deka-megaliteri-ellines-efoplistes/ ,

    : 2014.

    Kathimerini.gr, (2013)

    , http://www.kathimerini.gr/492150/article/oikonomia/epixeirhseis/sthn-prwth-

    8esh-ths-pagkosmias-katata3hs-h-ellhnikh-naytilia , :

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    Mywaypress.gr, (2014) ,

    http://www.mywaypress.gr/-----/ ,

    : 2014.

    , ., (2014)

    , http://www.nee.gr/downloads/257SPEECH.3.4.14.pdf ,

    : 2014.

    , ., (2012) : 26 . ,

    http://www.imerisia.gr/article.asp?catid=26519&subid=2&pubid=112875733 ,

    : 2014.

    http://www.forologikanea.gr/news/oi-forologikes-upoxreoseis-ton-nautiliakon-etaireion/http://www.fortunegreece.com/article/deka-megaliteri-ellines-efoplistes/http://www.kathimerini.gr/492150/article/oikonomia/epixeirhseis/sthn-prwth-8esh-ths-pagkosmias-katata3hs-h-ellhnikh-naytiliahttp://www.kathimerini.gr/492150/article/oikonomia/epixeirhseis/sthn-prwth-8esh-ths-pagkosmias-katata3hs-h-ellhnikh-naytiliahttp://www.mywaypress.gr/-----/http://www.nee.gr/downloads/257SPEECH.3.4.14.pdfhttp://www.imerisia.gr/article.asp?catid=26519&subid=2&pubid=112875733

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    , ., (2014)

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    fernei-mpofor-stin-akti-miaouli , : 2014.

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    , ., (2014) 12 .

    2013, http://www.kathimerini.gr/768319/article/oikonomia/epixeirhseis/sta-12-dis-ta-

    esoda-ths-oikonomias-apo-th-naytilia-to-2013 , : 2014.

    , (2014) ,

    http://www.bankofgreece.gr/Pages/el/Statistics/externalsector/balance/services.aspx ,

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    , ., (2013) 5 . COSCO

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