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Vitamin D and ESRD Survival Ravi Thadhani, MD, MPH Associate Professor of Medicine Harvard Medical School Director of Clinical Research in Nephrology Massachusetts General Hospital

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Vitamin D and ESRD Survival

Ravi Thadhani, MD, MPHAssociate Professor of Medicine

Harvard Medical School

Director of Clinical Research in Nephrology

Massachusetts General Hospital

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Vitamin D3 25-Hydroxyvitamin D3

25(OH)D

HO

OH

OHHO

OH

HO

Vitamin Hormone

1,25-Dihydroxyvitamin D3

1,25(OH)2D3 or Calcitriol1αOH

VDR

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Slatopolsky et al. Kidney International 61 (s80)

s143-s148. 2003

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1α Hydroxlase Deficiency

- Enzyme that converts 25D > 1,25D

- Regulated by a number of factors- e.g. Phosphorus, FGF23, Uremia, Acidosis

- 1α OH KO results in severe bone and immune related impairments

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System Tissue

Gastrointestinal Esophagus, stomach, small intestine, large intestine, colon

Hepatic Liver parenchyma cells

Renal Proximal and distal tubules, collecting duct

Endocrine Parathyroid, pancreatic β-cells, thyroid C-cells

Exocrine Parotid gland, sebaceous gland

Reproductive Testis, ovary, placenta, uterus, endometrium, yolk sac,

Immune Thymus, bone marrow, B cells, T cells

Respiratory Lung alveolar cells

Musculoskeletal Osteoblasts, osteocytes, chondrocytes, striated muscle

Epidermis/appendage Skin, breast, hair follicles

Central nervous system Brain neurons

Connective tissue Fibroblasts, stroma

Cardiovascular Smooth Muscle and endothelial cells, myocytes

Tissue Distribution of the Vitamin D Receptor

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Zasloff Nat Med 2006, Liu et al, Science 2006

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Vitamin D is bad…

• Animal models, high doses of active vitamin D leads to vessel calcification

– Niederhoffer N et al, J Vasc Res 1997– Fleckenstein-Grun G et al, J Cardiovasc Pharmacol 1995– Kingma JG et al, Artery 1988

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Team

Ming Teng, MDMyles Wolf, MD, MMSc

Norma Ofsthun, PhDEdmund Lowrie, MDMichael Lazarus, MD

Hypotheses: Survival difference between those treated with Paricalcitol compared to

those treated with Calcitriol

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Teng et al. N Engl J Med. 2003;349:446-456.

Paricalcitol

Calcitriol

Su

rviv

al (

%)

0

10

20

3040

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Su

rviv

al (

%)

Switchto Calcitriol

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90100

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Switch to Paricalcitol

3-year survival:59% vs 51%

Log rank P<0.001

2-year survival:73% vs 64%

Log rank P = 0.04

N = 67,399 N = 16,483

Follow-Up (mo)

Analysis of Survival According to Type of Vitamin D Therapy

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D-receptor Activation in Endothelial cells,Myocytes, etc…

Where is Vitamin D acting?

Minerals and PTH

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t=0

No D

D

100%

0%

time

Starting D is time dependent…

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D

No D

t=365t=90t=0 t=180

D

No DD

No DD

No D

HR=0.67

HR=0.75

HR=0.73

HR=0.80

Time dependent analyses examining 2-year survival starting at different time points

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Marginal Structural Models: Time Dependent Confounding by Indication

but… Hypothesis: IV Vit D is associated with survival

MortalityIV Vit D

• These determine whether or not to give IV vitamin D

Ca, PO4, PTH

• Baseline Ca, P, PTH is associated with survival

• These changes may be associated with survival

Ca, PO4, PTH

• IV vitamin D changes these values

• These changes determine whether to continue IV vitamin D

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0.48

0.80

0.74

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

Crude Time-Dependent Cox Marginal Structural*

Ha

zard

Ra

tio

Ris

k of

De

ath

on

D V

ers

us n

o D

Teng et al. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2005;16:1115-1125.

*Adjusted for monthly Ca, P, PTH before & after initiation of treatmentAmong the first dialysis studies to adjust for covariates at multiple time points

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Baseline Characteristics*

D No DAge (yrs) 61 63Diabetes (%) 53 52Calcium (mg/dl) 8.6 8.7Phosphorus (mg/dl) 5.3 5.3Ca X P (product) 46 46Intact PTH(pg/ml) 354 179

*Differences in AV access, Race, and other variables

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Active Vitamin D Therapy and Survival in Patients on Hemodialysis

Teng et al. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2005;16:1115-1125.

P<0.001

28.6

14.613.8

7.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Mortality CVD Mortality

2-Y

ear

Mo

rtal

ity

Rat

e D

eath

s/10

0 P

erso

n-Y

ears

No IV Vitamin D IV Vitamin D

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Characteristic Deaths N %Age (years)

< 50 607 6445 950-60 701 5271 1360-70 1285 7456 1770-80 1666 5670 29

>80 761 1946 39Race

Caucasian 3267 16723 20African American 1483 10562 14

Other 270 1930 14Calcium (mg/dl)

< 8.4 1384 6817 208.4-8.7 921 5295 178.7-9.0 902 5546 169.0-9.5 1006 6554 15

>9.5 807 5003 16Phosphate (mg/dl)

<4.5 1194 5811 214.45-5.2 1054 6221 175.2-5.9 915 5655 165.9-6.9 900 5888 15

>6.9 957 5640 17PTH (quintiles)

<47.2 1170 5894 2047.2-100.5 1078 5818 19

100.5-172.2 995 5903 17172.2-309.7 957 5799 17

>309.7 820 5846 14

0.9 1.00.8

K/DOQI

When to stop D:

-If Ca > 10.2

-If P > 6.0

-If PTH < 150

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• PO4 >6.4 mg/dl (quintile 5) HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.64-0.83

• Ca >9.1 mg/dl (quintile 5) HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.64-0.81

• Ca X P >55 HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.63-0.80

• PTH <96.7 pg/ml (quintile 1) HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.71-0.87

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Phosphorus at start of Dialysis and 2 year Mortality

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PTH at start of Dialysis and 2 year Mortality

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Limitations• Historical cohort study

– Prospective collection of data– Comparison of contemporaneous groups– All inclusive of patients on injectable D– Accuracy of Exposures and Outcomes – No retrospective abstraction of new data – Study reflected “real world” practice

Nonetheless, these findings remain observational andrequire verification by additional studies including RCT’s and studies formulated upon strong biological mechanisms…

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Dialysis Units Throughout the U.S.

DATA

Blood

Spectra MGH

Liquid Nitrogen

Relational Database

Molecular Testing

FMC-NAProton

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ArMORR - Accelerated Mortality On Renal Replacement

• Prospective observational study of 10,018 incident hemodialysis patients with demographic and laboratory data available as well as remnant blood samples

• Will be used to test a variety of hypotheses including those suggested here

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Conclusions• Vitamin D has effects well beyond mineral

metabolism, including effects on the cardiovascular system

• Vitamin D may be linked with a survival advantage in ESRD patients – observational and ne

• Many other studies…..animal and human, must be done

Disclosures of Support - Work presented herein have been supported by the National Institutes of Health and Abbott Laboratories