The Model

1
= (1 − ( −1 ) (L)X t−1 + (( −1 ) (L)X t−1 +u t = [ , , ] ~(0, Ω ) Ω = (1 − ( −1 )E + (( −1 )R ( )= exp(− ) 1 + exp(− ) ,>0 ( ) = 1, ( )=0 Case 1: Augment the model with Monetary Policy = [ , , , , ] Case 2: Augment the model with Monetary Policy and Disaggregate Spending = [ , , , , , ] Case 3: Augment case 2 with anticipation effect

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Models

Transcript of The Model

  • = (1 (1))(L)Xt1 + ((1))(L)Xt1 + ut

    = [ , , ]

    ~(0, )

    = (1 (1))E + ((1))R

    () =exp()

    1 + exp(), > 0

    () = 1, () = 0

    Case 1: Augment the model with Monetary Policy

    = [ , , , , ]

    Case 2: Augment the model with Monetary Policy and Disaggregate Spending

    = [, , ,, , ]

    Case 3: Augment case 2 with anticipation effect