The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much!...

28
The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology Monday, December 17, 12

Transcript of The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much!...

Page 1: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 2: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Standard model (SM) vs Beyond the SM (BSM) Dark Matter ⟺ BSM physics Intense searches - Accelerator, Direct, Indirect Supersymmetry searches Impact on Dark Matter

Higgs discovery Impact on Dark Matter

Outlook

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 3: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

The Standard Model

u c t

d s b

νe νµ ντ

e µ τ

γ

W

Z

g

H

Qua

rks

Lept

ons

Gauge Bosons

+ gravity

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 4: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Dark Matter in the SM?Baryons

Cluster, produce heavy elements, produce radiation (they’re not really dark!), limited by BBN,

WMAP tells us that Ωbh2 = 0.0225 ± 0.0006, far less than the CDM density.

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 5: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

WMAP

Position of 1st peak ⇒ Ω = 1

Ωmh2 = 0.1345 ± 0.0056

Ωbh2 = 0.0225 ± 0.0006

Ωcdmh2 = 0.1120 ± 0.0056or

Ωcdm h2 = 0.1008 - 0.1232 (2 σ)

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 6: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Dark Matter in the SM?Baryons

Cluster, produce heavy elements, produce radiation (they’re dark really dark!), limited by BBN,

WMAP tells us that Ωbh2 = 0.0225 ± 0.0006, far less than the CDM density.

NeutrinosWe know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076)

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 7: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Dark Matter beyond the SMPrefer theory motivated by consideration other than DM

Supersymmetry

to be discussed

Axions

strong CP problem

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 8: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Why Supersymmetry?

Gauge Hierarchy Problem

Gauge Coupling Unification

Dark Matter

Stability of the SM vacuum

Improvement in low energy phenomenology

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 9: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

MSSM and R-Parity Stable DM candidate

1) Neutralinos

2) Sneutrino Excluded (unless add L-violating terms)

3) Other: Axinos, Gravitinos, etc

�i = ↵ieB + �i

fW + �ifH1 + �i

fH2

SUSY Dark MatterSUSY Dark Matter

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 10: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Which Supersymmetric Model?

Gaugino mass Unification : m1/2

A-term Unification : A0

Scalar mass unification : m0

MSSM with R-Parity (still more than 100 parameters)

CMSSMadd

parameter for ratio of Higgs vevs: tan β

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 11: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

m1/2 - m0 planes

CMSSM Ellis, Olive, Santoso, Spanos

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mr±��= 104 GeV

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The Higgs mass in the CMSSM

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All points after cuts

Points satisfying g-2

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Page 13: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Δχ2 map of m0 - m1/2 plane

CMSSM

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Buchmueller, Cavanaugh, De Roeck, Ellis, Flacher, Heinemeyer, Isidori, Olive, Ronga, Weiglein

Mastercode

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Page 14: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Neutralino mass and Relic Density from MCMC analysis

Buchmueller, Cavanaugh, De Roeck, Ellis, Flacher, Heinemeyer, Isidori, Olive, Ronga, Weiglein

Mastercode

]2 [GeV/c01

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Page 15: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Buchmueller, Cavanaugh, De Roeck, Ellis, Flacher, Heinemeyer, Isidori, Olive, Paradisi, Ronga, Weiglein

Elastic cross section from MCMC analysis

]2 [cmSIpm

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Page 16: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Elastic cross section from MCMC analysis

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Buchmueller, Cavanaugh, Colling, De Roeck, Dolan, Ellis, Flacher, Heinemeyer, Isidori, Olive, Rogerson, Ronga, Weiglein

]2[GeV/c1

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SI p#

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2011: XENON 100 days; LHC 1/fb

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Page 17: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Most recent result from XENON100

Aprile

]2WIMP Mass [GeV/c6 7 8 910 20 30 40 100 200 300 1000

]2W

IMP-

Nuc

leon

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m

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CoGeNT

CDMS

EDELWEISS

XENON100 (2010)

XENON100 (2011)

XENON100 (2012)

Xenon 1 ton-year

ZEPLIN III

Buchmueller et al.

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Page 18: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Effect of Results from LHC

jets + missing ET with/without leptons

Heavy Higgs to ττ

B to μμ

~5fb-1 @ 7 TeV

[GeV]0m500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500

[GeV

]1/

2m

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q~

(1400 GeV)

q ~

(1800 GeV)

q ~

(1000 GeV)g~

(1200 GeV)g~

(1400 GeV)g~

(1600 GeV)g~

>0µ= 0, 0

= 10, A`MSUGRA/CMSSM: tan

=8 TeVs, -1 L dt = 5.8 fb00-lepton combined

ATLAS

)theorySUSYm1 ±Observed limit (

)expm1 ±Expected limit (

, 7 TeV)-1Observed limit (4.7 fb

Non-convergent RGE

No EW-SB

Preliminary

~6fb-1 @ 8 TeV

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 19: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

m1/2 - m0 planes incl. LHC

CMSSM

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CMS _T 95%CLAtlas 1l 95%CL

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Page 20: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

The Higgs SearchThe LHC @ ~5/fb

(GeV)!!m110 120 130 140 150S

/(S+B

) Wei

ghte

d E

vent

s / 1

.5 G

eV

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"1±"2±

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Eve

nts

/ 1.5

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1500Unweighted

Even

ts /

2 G

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aaAH

DataSig+Bkg FitBkg (4th order polynomial)

-1Ldt=4.8fb0=7 TeV, s-1Ldt=5.9fb0=8 TeV, s

(a)

=126.5 GeV)H

(m

Even

ts -

Bkg

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0100200

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wei

ghts

/ 2

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=126.5 GeV)H

(m

(c)

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w

eigh

ts -

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Y -8-4048

(d)

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 21: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

The Higgs SearchThe LHC @ ~5/fb

(GeV)Hm110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145

Loca

l p-v

alue

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1σ1σ2

σ3

σ4

σ5

σ6

σ7

Combined obs.Exp. for SM H

γγ →H ZZ→H WW→H ττ →H

bb→H

Combined obs.Exp. for SM H

γγ →H ZZ→H WW→H ττ →H

bb→H

CMS -1 = 8 TeV, L = 5.3 fbs -1 = 7 TeV, L = 5.1 fbs

[GeV]Hm110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150

0Lo

cal p

-910-810-710-610-510-410-310-210-1101

Expected Combined

Observed Combinedaa AExpected H

aa AObserved H

llllA ZZ* AExpected H

llllA ZZ* AObserved H

ili lA WW* AExpected H

ili lA WW* AObserved H

bbAExpected H

bbAObserved H oo AExpected H

oo AObserved H

ATLAS 2011 + 2012 Data = 7 TeVs, -1 L dt ~ 4.6-4.8 fb0 = 8 TeVs, -1 L dt ~ 5.8-5.9 fb0

m0 m1 m2 m3

m4

m5

m6

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 22: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

The Higgs SearchThe LHC @ ~5/fb

)µSignal strength (

-1 0 1

Combined

4lA (*) ZZAH

aa AH

ili lA (*) WWAH

oo AH

bbAW,Z H

-1Ldt = 4.6 - 4.8 fb0 = 7 TeV: s-1Ldt = 5.8 - 5.9 fb0 = 8 TeV: s

-1Ldt = 4.8 fb0 = 7 TeV: s-1Ldt = 5.8 fb0 = 8 TeV: s

-1Ldt = 4.8 fb0 = 7 TeV: s-1Ldt = 5.9 fb0 = 8 TeV: s

-1Ldt = 4.7 fb0 = 7 TeV: s-1Ldt = 5.8 fb0 = 8 TeV: s

-1Ldt = 4.7 fb0 = 7 TeV: s

-1Ldt = 4.6-4.7 fb0 = 7 TeV: s

= 126.0 GeVHm

0.3± = 1.4 µ

ATLAS 2011 - 2012

SMσ/σBest fit -1 0 1 2 3

bb→H

ττ →H

WW→H

ZZ→H

γγ →H

CMS -1 = 8 TeV, L = 5.3 fbs -1 = 7 TeV, L = 5.1 fbs

= 125.5 GeVH m

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 23: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Limits at ~5 fb-1

Buchmueller, Cavanaugh, Citron, De Roeck, Dolan, Ellis, Flacher, Heinemeyer, Isidori, Marrouche, Martinez Santos, Nakach, Olive, Rogerson, Ronga, de Vries, Weiglein

Δχ2 map of m0 - m1/2 plane

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Page 24: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Comparison of best fit points pre and post LHC

p-value of SM = 9% (32.7/23) - but note: does not include dark matter

Buchmueller, Cavanaugh, Citron, De Roeck, Dolan, Ellis, Flacher, Heinemeyer, Isidori, Marrouche, Martinez Santos, Nakach, Olive, Rogerson, Ronga, de Vries, Weiglein

3

Model Data set Minimum Prob- m0 m1/2 A0 tan!

"2/d.o.f. ability (GeV) (GeV) (GeV)

CMSSM pre-LHC 21.5/20 37 % 90 360 -400 15

LHC1/fb 31.0/23 12% 1120 1870 1220 46

ATLAS5/fb (low) 32.8/23 8.5% 300 910 1320 16

ATLAS5/fb (high) 33.0/23 8.0% 1070 1890 1020 45

NUHM1 pre-LHC 20.8/18 29 % 110 340 520 13

LHC1/fb 28.9/22 15% 270 920 1730 27

ATLAS5/fb (low) 31.3/22 9.1% 240 970 1860 16

ATLAS5/fb (high) 31.8/22 8.1% 1010 2810 2080 39

Table 2. The best-fit points found in global CMSSM and NUHM1 fits using the ATLAS 5/fb jets + /ET

constraint [?], the combination of the ATLAS [?], CDF [?], CMS [?] and LHCb [?] BR(Bs ! µ+µ!) [?]constraints and the updated values of MW and mt, compared with those found previously in global fitsbased on the LHC1/fb data set. In both cases, we include a measurement of Mh = 125 ± 1.0 ± 1.5 GeVand the new XENON100 constraint [?]. In the case of the CMSSM, we list the parameters of the best-fitpoints in both the low- and high-mass ‘islands’ in Fig. ??, and we quote results for a high-mass NUHM1point as well as the low-mass best-fit point in this model. We note that the overall likelihood function isquite flat in bot the CMSSM and the NUHM1, so that the precise locations of the best-fit points are notvery significant, and we do not quote uncertainties. For completeness, we note that in the best NUHM1fit m2

H " m2Hu

= m2Hd

= #6.5$ 106 GeV2, compared with #5.5$ 106 GeV2 previously.

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 25: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Elastic cross sections

Buchmueller, Cavanaugh, Citron, De Roeck, Dolan, Ellis, Flacher, Heinemeyer, Isidori, Marrouche, Martinez Santos, Nakach, Olive, Rogerson, Ronga, de Vries, Weiglein

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Page 26: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Higgs masses vs elastic cross sections

10 100 1000

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Page 27: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

May require more general modelswhich are concordant with LHC MET; Higgs; and Bs →μ+μ-; and Dark Matter

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Ellis, Luo, Olive, Sandick

Monday, December 17, 12

Page 28: The Impact of the LHC on Cosmology - DAS/INPE · than the CDM density. Neutrinos We know too much! (0.0005 < Ωνh2 < 0.0076) Monday, December 17, 12. Dark Matter beyond the SM ...

Summary

Frequentist method (no priors) show(ed) strong preference for relatively light neutralinos, low tan β, and co-annihilation region

LHC has already made significant inroads; Most importantly is the apparent discovery of the Higgs boson which has strong implications for supersymmetric models and dark matter. Dark matter is heavier and cross sections are smaller!

Other LHC searchs such as Bs →μ+μ- also deliver strong constraints.

XENON100 also making inroads (cf. value of ΣπN )

Monday, December 17, 12