The Future - University of...

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The Future

Transcript of The Future - University of...

Page 1: The Future - University of Washingtonfaculty.washington.edu/balick/astro190/LectureNotes/Lecture6.Look… · ² White dwarfs and neutron stars will eventually deplete the reservoir

The Future

Page 2: The Future - University of Washingtonfaculty.washington.edu/balick/astro190/LectureNotes/Lecture6.Look… · ² White dwarfs and neutron stars will eventually deplete the reservoir

Summary:DarkEnergyandCosmicFateΩtot=1;ΩΛ=0.7

Trending:exp[(Λ/3)1/2t]

GravityDarkEnergy

Λ≈10-122!

Long-termCosmicOutcomesWhatdoyouexpect?

BeforelongmasswillplayaninsignificantroleinrestrainingtheacceleraQonofspace.

Dark Energy Will Rule!

Page 3: The Future - University of Washingtonfaculty.washington.edu/balick/astro190/LectureNotes/Lecture6.Look… · ² White dwarfs and neutron stars will eventually deplete the reservoir

now3xnow

2xnow

AdaptedfromO&MFig7.2

exp[(Λ/3)½t]“runaway”

Thebiggeritgetsthefasteritgrows

Ωm=allmass

Gravitywon’tmaYermuchlonger

Gravitynowplaysaminorrole

ΛDM

“baryons”&radiaQon

^present

Long-termCosmicOutcomes

TheUniversedoublesinsizeevery12billionyrs

²  Darker,colder,andlessdense²  ExisQnggravitaQonallyboundsystemswillpersist

(andslowlybecomeevendenser)²  High-massstarproducQonwilldropoff.Supernova

ratewillgodown,aswilltheproducQonofmostheavyelements.

²  AllstarformaQonendsoncetheISMisdepleted² Whitedwarfsandneutronstarswilleventually

depletethereservoirofinterstellardustandgas.²  FricQonresultsintheEarth’sorbitaldeathspiral

The Cosmic Future Short-Term Cosmic Forecast

(< 100× present time)

Page 4: The Future - University of Washingtonfaculty.washington.edu/balick/astro190/LectureNotes/Lecture6.Look… · ² White dwarfs and neutron stars will eventually deplete the reservoir

hYp://www.bbc.com/future/story/20140105-Qmeline-of-the-far-future

106 to 108 y

Page 5: The Future - University of Washingtonfaculty.washington.edu/balick/astro190/LectureNotes/Lecture6.Look… · ² White dwarfs and neutron stars will eventually deplete the reservoir

108 to 1010 y

1011 to 1020 y

1014 y

1020 y

Page 6: The Future - University of Washingtonfaculty.washington.edu/balick/astro190/LectureNotes/Lecture6.Look… · ² White dwarfs and neutron stars will eventually deplete the reservoir

•  SupposethattheexponenQalexpansion(runawayinflaQon)ofspaceandQmeconQnues.

•  Ourhorizongrowsatthespeedoflight.•  Butspace-Qmeexpandsevenfaster!

Thespeedofdistantobjectsincreasesun=l,eventually,theirapparentspeedexceedsc.Theseobjectsdisappearoverthehorizonandareneverobservableagain.

More:hYps:/hYps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_of_an_expanding_universe

TheUniversedoublesinsizeevery12billionyrs

Page 7: The Future - University of Washingtonfaculty.washington.edu/balick/astro190/LectureNotes/Lecture6.Look… · ² White dwarfs and neutron stars will eventually deplete the reservoir

•  TheCMBisnolongervisiblein50billionyears•  Aher150billionyearsastronomy(andintergalacQc

transportaQonandcommunicaQon)beyondtheLocalGroupbecomescausallyimpossible.

²  The“CosmicSprawl”:Accelera:onoftheCosmicExpansion(ifitcon:nues)makeseveryplacelonely

²  100trillion(1014)y:AllISMdepleted²  Starforma:onends²  Thelastredgiantbecomesawhitedwarf²  Occasionalflaresasbrowndwarfscollide²  Galaxiesfadeastheirwhitedwarfscool²  Allchemicalandnuclearenergydepleted

The Cosmic Future Medium-Term Cosmic Forecast

( 104 × present time)

Page 8: The Future - University of Washingtonfaculty.washington.edu/balick/astro190/LectureNotes/Lecture6.Look… · ² White dwarfs and neutron stars will eventually deplete the reservoir

²  1039y:whitedwarfsdiefromprotondecayandneutronstarsdecayfromneutronbetadecay

²  >10100y:frigidandorderless‘ULTRA-LOW-densitysea’ofphotons(subradioenergy)electrons,positrons.

The Cosmic Future Ultimate Cosmic Forecast

(>1010 × present time)

The 2nd Law and local quantum effects rule!

Frontiers of Cosmology Research

Page 9: The Future - University of Washingtonfaculty.washington.edu/balick/astro190/LectureNotes/Lecture6.Look… · ² White dwarfs and neutron stars will eventually deplete the reservoir

²  1039y:whitedwarfsdiefromprotondecayandneutronstarsdecayfromneutronbetadecay

²  >10100y:frigidandorderless(butlumpy)‘sea’ofsparsephotons(subradioenergy)electrons,positrons.

The2ndLawandlocalquantumeffectsrule!

The Cosmic Future Ultimate Cosmic Forecast

(>1010 × present time)

Frontiers of Cosmology Research

Page 10: The Future - University of Washingtonfaculty.washington.edu/balick/astro190/LectureNotes/Lecture6.Look… · ² White dwarfs and neutron stars will eventually deplete the reservoir

10^ 10^ 10^ 10^ 10^10^

10^ 10^ 10^ 10^ 10^10^

Page 11: The Future - University of Washingtonfaculty.washington.edu/balick/astro190/LectureNotes/Lecture6.Look… · ² White dwarfs and neutron stars will eventually deplete the reservoir

10^ 10^ 10^ 10^ 10^10^

10^ 10^ 10^ 10^ 10^10^