T U R K I S H C Y P R I O T " I S O L A T I O N" P I O D E V E L O P M E N T

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My Presentation (2006) on the so-called Turkish Cypriot Isolation-The Myth and the Reality.

Transcript of T U R K I S H C Y P R I O T " I S O L A T I O N" P I O D E V E L O P M E N T

  • 1.

2. Objectives of the Presentation

  • Critically analyze the claims of Turkey & the T/C leadership regarding the isolation of T/Cs and its impact on the economic development of the occupied area (OA) of Cyprus
  • Analyze the real factors behind the underperformance of the OA in the economic field

3. Main Findings

  • The economy of theof Cyprus is an open economy: Claims of Turkey & the Turkish Cypriot leadership that the alleged isolation of T/Cs led to their economic underdevelopment are not justified
  • T he real reasons for theunder-development of the economy of the OA:
    • The illegal status of Turkish military occupation and the declaration of attempted secession, which was unanimously condemned by the international community
    • Inefficienteconomic system, based on large public intervention
    • Ina dequate macroeconomic policies
    • Structural weaknesses
    • Massive presence of Turkish settlers
    • Dependency on Turkey
    • Political uncertainty as to the solution of the Cyprus problem

4. Claims by Turkey & the Turkish Cypriot Leadership

    • Embargo imposed by the Government of Cyprus & international community inhibited the economic development of T/Cs
    • Direct trade would help end the isolation of T/Cs & enable T/Cs to prosper
    • Opening of the illegal airports & ports in the OA would facilitate direct trade & economic development in the OA
    • Direct foreign aid would also facilitate the economic development of the T/Cs

5. 6. 7. 1960 Distribution of the population by ethnic group-GC and TC widelydistributed throughout the island 8. 9. 10. And the Galo Plaza report continues:

  • But the villages themselves are not usually to be found in clusters where one community or the other predominates; the more general pattern in any given area is a mixture of Greek-Cypriot, Turkish-Cypriot and mixed villages.

11. Population of Cyprus 1960 & 1973 The proportion remains the same: 80% GC, 18 % TC and 2% Armenians, Maronites and Latins 12. 13. Ethnic cleansing in Cyprus 14. Population distribution 1881-1973 at census years 15. Population Distributionat census years (%) 16. Population of Turkish Cypriots 1960-2004 17. Population of the occupied area after 1974 (From 2/5/2003 Jaakko Laakso Report to theCommittee on Migration, Refugees and Demography of the Parliamentary Assemblyof the Council of Europe) 18. Number of settlers (1974-2005) 19. Registered voters in the occupied area 20. Population of the occupied area (2005) 21. 22.

  • The northern part of Cyprus is an area of the Republic of Cyprus where the Government of Cyprus, since the summer of 1974, does not exercise effective control as a result of the continuing military occupation and control of that area by 43,000 Turkish troops
  • The declaration of the purported secession of the northern occupied part of Cyprus in November 1983 was condemned by the international community as legally invalid. No country, except Turkey, maintains any relations with the so called TRNC

23. 24. 25.

  • On 18 November 1983 theUnited Nations Security Counciladopted Resolution 541 (1983) declaring the proclamation of the establishment of the TRNC legally invalid and calling upon all states not to recognize any Cypriot state other than the Republic of Cyprus.
  • A similar call was made by theUN Security Council on 11 May 1984 in its Resolution 550(1984), which calls upon all states not to recognize the secessionist entity and not to assist or in any way cooperate with it.

26.

  • On 24 November 1983 theCommittee of Ministers of the Council of Europedeplored the declaration by the Turkish Cypriot leadership of the purported independence of a so-called Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus. It considered the said declaration as legally invalid and called for its withdrawal. It declared further that the Council of Europe continued to regard the government of the Republic of Cyprus as the sole legitimate government of Cyprus and called for respect of the sovereignty, independence, territorial integrity and unity of the Republic of Cyprus.

27.

  • On 16 November 1983the European Communitiesissued the following statement: The ten Member States of the European Community are deeply concerned by the declaration purporting to establish a Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus as an independent State. They reject this declaration, which is in disregard of successive resolutions of the United Nations. The Ten reiterate their unconditional support for the independence, sovereignty, territorial integrity and unity of the Republic of Cyprus. They continue to regard the Government of President Kyprianou as the sole legitimate Government of the Republic of Cyprus. They call upon all interested parties not to recognize this act, which creates a very serious situation in the area.

28.

  • On 17 November 1983 the European Parliament adopted a resolution condemning the action taken by the Turkish Cypriot sector to declare an independent Turkish Cypriot state in Cyprus. It also invited the Council of Ministers to take all the necessary measures so that the action by the Turkish Cypriot sector remains null and void.

29.

  • The Commonwealth Heads of Governmentmeeting in New Delhi from 23-29 November 1983, issued a press communiqu stating: Heads of Government condemned the declaration by the Turkish Cypriot authorities issued on 15 November 1983 to create a secessionist state in northern Cyprus, in the area under foreign occupation. Fully endorsing Security Council Resolution 541, they denounced the declaration as legally invalid and reiterated the call for the non-recognition and immediate withdrawal. They further called upon all states not to facilitate or in any way assist the illegal secessionist entity. They regarded this illegal act as a challenge to the international community and demanded the implementation of the relevant UN resolutions on Cyprus.

30. Is the Economy in the OA an Isolated Economy? 31.

  • Analysis of the Balance of Payments in the OA
  • Export ratio of the OAExports of goods accounted for 11,1% of GDP in 1990; for a small economy, the generally low export ratio is attributed to the low productive capacity of the economy in the OA. The export ratio fell to 4,1% in 2003, due to the fall in citrus exports, resulting from the exacerbation of the water scarcity problem and thefall in manufactured exports, due to competitiveness problems of the clothing sub sector (clothing is the most important manufactured export in the OA). Thus, supply constraints and competitiveness problems were the causes for the fall of exports rather than restricted market access.

32. Is the Economy in the OAan Isolated Economy?

  • The EU (mainly the UK) constituted the most important market for exported goods until mid 1994, absorbing 55% of the total (UK 35%)

33.

  • The Court of Justice of the European Communities Judgment of 5 July 1994/ Ruling:
  • The Agreement of 19 December 1972 establishing an Association between the European Economic Community and the Republic of Cyprus, ,must be interpreted as precluding acceptance by the national authorities of a Member State, when citrus fruit and potatoes are imported from the part of Cyprus to the north of the UN Buffer Zone, of movement and phytosanitary certificates issued by authorities other than the competent authorities of the Republic of Cyprus.

34.

  • The importance of the EU has since declined, primarily as a result of the 1994 Judgment of the Court of Justice of the European Communities
  • In 2003 the EU absorbed 28% of the exported goods (UK 25.4%)
  • Increased importance of Turkey, whose share has risen from 30% in 1995 to 41.6% in 2003

35. Total distribution of exports of the occupied area by countries 2001-2004 (US million $) 36. Main export products of the occupied area 2001-2004( Million US $) 37.

  • Data on the number of tourist arrivals and net receipts from tourism in OA
  • The number of tourist arrivals in 2003 amounted to 470,000, whereas the net receipts were of the magnitude of $179 mln
  • In 2004 the total number was 557,000 and in 2005 614,000. The net receipts were $271.1 million for 2004, and even higher for 2005
  • Number of tourist arrivals and receipts from tourism have increased significantly over the past two years, following the partial lifting of restrictions in the movement of persons along the ceasefire line (Green Line) and the resulting significant increase in the number of tourists from the Government Controlled Area (GCA) visiting the OA

38. Tourist arrivals in the OA 1977-2005 39.

  • Import ratio of the OA
  • Imports of goods accounted, on average, for around 50% of GDP during the 1990s. This ratio has fallen to 34,2% in 2003
  • The main supplier of imported goods has been Turkey, with a share of 62,1% to the total value of imports of goods in 2003
  • The EU member states supplied 25% of imported goods, with the UKs share