T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the...

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T-distribution & comparison of T-distribution & comparison of means means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts a sample mean into a z- score from the null distribution. n X SE X Z H H test 0 0 p-value is the probability of getting a Z test as extreme as yours under the null distribution

Transcript of T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the...

Page 1: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Z as test statisticUse a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts a sample mean into a z-score from the null distribution.

n

X

SE

XZ HH

test

00

p-value is the probability of getting a Ztest as extreme as yours under the null distribution

Page 2: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

t-test: uses sample data to evaluate a hypothesis about a population mean when population stdev () is unknown

We use the sample stdev (s) to estimate the standard error

t as a test statistic

x = n sx = s

n

X

HXz

0

X

H

s

Xt 0

standard error

estimatedstandard

error

Page 3: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

You can use s to approximate σ, but then the sampling distribution is a t distribution instead of a normal distributionWhy are Z-scores normally distributed, but t-scores are not?

t distribution

Random variable

Random variable

constant

X

Htest s

Xt 0

X

Htest

Xz

0

Random variable

constant

constant

(normal) (normal)

(non-normal)

Page 4: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

t distribution

Very large sample - estimated standard error almost = the true standard error (t almost exactly the same as Z)

t distribution is a family of curves. As n gets bigger, t becomes more normal.

For smaller n, the t distribution is platykurtic (narrower peak, fatter tails)

Use “degrees of freedom” to decide which t curve to use. Basic t-test, df = n-1

Page 5: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

t distribution

df .05 .025 .01 .005

1234

6.3142.9202.3532.132

12.7064.3033.1822.776

32.8216.9654.5413.747

63.6579.9255.8414.604

tcrit

Level of significance for a one-tailed test

Page 6: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Practice with Table B.3

With a sample of size 6, what are the degrees of freedom? For a one-tailed test, what is the critical value of t for an alpha of .05? And for an alpha of .01?

Df = 5, tcrit = 2.015; tcrit = 3.365

Page 7: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Practice with Table B.3

For a sample of size 25, doing a two-tailed test, what are the degrees of freedom and the critical value of t for an alpha of .05 and for an alpha of .01?

Df = 24, tcrit = 2.064; tcrit = 2.797

Page 8: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Practice with Table B.3You have a sample of size 13 and you are doing a one-tailed test. Your tcalc = 2. What do you approximate the p-value to be?

p-value between .025 and .05

What if you had the same data, but were doing a two-tailed test?

p-value between .05 and .10

Page 9: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Two-sample testing

All the inferential statistics we have considered involve using one sample as the basis for drawing conclusion about one population.

Most research studies aim to compare of two (or more) sets of data in order to make inferences about the differences between two (or more) populations.

What do we do when our research question concerns a mean difference between two sets of data?

Page 10: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Two-sample testing

Steps for Calculating a Test Statistic:

To test the null hypothesis – compute a t statistic and look up in Table B.3

Ho: 1 - 2 = 0

HA: 1 - 2 0

Page 11: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Two-sample testing

Steps for Calculating a Test Statistic:

General t formula

t = sample statistic - hypothesized population parameter estimated standard error

Page 12: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Two-sample testing

Steps for Calculating a Test Statistic:

One Sample t

X

Htest s

Xt 0

Remember?

21

)()( 2121

XXs

XXt

For two-sample test

Page 13: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Two-sample testingSteps for Calculating a Test Statistic:

Standard Error for a Difference in Means21 XXs

The one-sample standard error ( sx ) measures how much error expected between X and .

The two sample standard error (sx1-x2) measures how much error is expected when you are using a sample mean difference (X1 – X2) to represent a population mean difference.

Page 14: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Two-sample testing

Steps for Calculating a Test Statistic:

2

22

1

21

21 n

s

n

ss XX

Standard Error for a Difference in Means

Page 15: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Two-sample testing

Steps for Calculating a Test Statistic:

Calculate the total amount of error involved in using two sample means - find the error from each sample separately and then add the two errors together.

Each of the two sample means - there is some error.

Page 16: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Two-sample testing

Steps for Calculating a Test Statistic:

2

22

1

21

21 n

s

n

ss XX

Standard Error for a Difference in Means

BUT: Only works when n1 = n2

Page 17: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Two-sample testing

Steps for Calculating a Test Statistic:Change the formula slightly - use the pooled sample variance instead of the individual sample variances.

Pooled variance = weighted estimate of the variance derived from the two samples.

sp2

SS1 SS2

df1 df2

Page 18: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

One-Sample T

1. Calculate sample mean

2. Calculate standard error

3. Calculate T and d.f.

4. Use Table B.3

Page 19: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

Two-Sample T

1. Calculate X1-X2

sp2

SS1 SS2

df1 df2

t (X 1 X 2) (1 2 )

sx 1 x 2 d.f. = (n1 - 1) + (n2 - 1)

sp2

n1

sp

2

n2

2. Calculate pooled variance

3. Calculate standard error

4. Calculate T and d.f.

5. Use Table B.3

Page 20: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

EXAMPLE

Page 21: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

EXAMPLE

Page 22: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

EXAMPLE

Page 23: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

EXAMPLE

Page 24: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

EXAMPLE

Page 25: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

EXAMPLE

Page 26: T-distribution & comparison of means Z as test statistic Use a Z-statistic only if you know the population standard deviation (σ). Z-statistic converts.

T-distribution & comparison of meansT-distribution & comparison of means

SUMMARY OF EQUATIONS