Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU...

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Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt
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Page 1: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC

Ingrid Kraus

Nikhef and TU Darmstadt

Page 2: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 2

Outline

• Predictions for Pb+Pb collisions at LHC– Extrapolation of thermal parameters, predictions

– Experimental observables for T and μB determination

• From Pb+Pb to p+p: system size and energy dependence– Model ansatz with correlated, equilibrated clusters

– Analysed data and results

• Predictions for p+p collisions at LHC– Driven by initial or final state?

• Summary

• in Collaboration with H. Oeschler, K. Redlich, J. Cleymans, S. Wheaton

Page 3: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 3

Hadron ratios in the grand canonical ensemble

• Grand canonical ensemble– large systems, large number of produced hadrons

– two parameters describe particle ratios in the hadronic final

state

A. Andronic, P. Braun-Munzinger, J. Stachel, Nucl. Phys. A772 (2006) 167

T, V,

T, Vb, Nb

Page 4: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 4

On the freeze-out curve:

TLHC ≈ TRHIC ≈ 170 MeV

T ≤ TC ≈ 170 MeV

μB from parametrised

freeze-out curve:

μB (√(sNN) = 5.5TeV) = 1 MeV

Phys. Rev. C 73 (2006) 034905

Grand canonical ensemble

for Pb+Pb predictions

Thermal Parameters in Pb+Pb

Phys. Rev. C 73(2006) 034905

Page 5: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 5

Predictions for Pb+Pb

• Reliable for stable

particles

• Benchmark for

resonances

• Errors:

T = 170 +/- 5 MeV

μB = 1 + 4 MeV

Phys. Rev. C 74 (2006) 034903

- 1

All calculations with THERMUS hep-ph/0407174

Page 6: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 6

T and μB dependence I: mixed ratios

• Controlled by masses

• Weakly dep. on μB and T

– μB term cancels

– larger contributions from

resonances at higher T

T

mm

Tm

m S expexp2/3

Page 7: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 7

T and μB dependence I: mixed ratios

• Controlled by masses

• Weakly dep. on μB and T

– μB term cancels

– larger contributions from

resonances at higher T

T

mm

Tm

m S expexp2/3

Page 8: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 8

T and μB dependence I: mixed ratios

• Controlled by masses

• Weakly dep. on μB and T

– μB term cancels

– larger contributions from

resonances at higher T

• K/

– not usable for T and B

determination

– good test of predictions

T

mm

Tm

m S expexp2/3

Page 9: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 9

T and μB dependence II: h/h ratios

• Sensitive on μB

– μS opposite trend of μB

– determine μB from p/p

• weakly dep. on T

_

T

NN

h

h SSBB 2exp

_☺

Page 10: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 10

T dependence: ratios with large mass differences

• Ratios with larger mass

differences are more

sensitive

T from and/or

K

Page 11: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 11

Canonical suppression

• Canonical ensemble– small systems / peripheral collisions,

low energies

– suppressed phase-space for particles

related to conserved charges

– Stronger suppression for multi-strange

hadrons

– Suppression depends on strangeness

content, not difference

)(

)(

0 xI

xInn Scanonicalgrandi

canonicali

Page 12: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 12

Canonical suppression

• Canonical ensemble– small systems / peripheral collisions, low

energies

– suppressed phase-space for particles

related to conserved charges

– Stronger suppression for multi-strange

hadrons

– Suppression depends on strangeness

content, not difference

– Suppressed strangeness production

beyond canonical suppression

)(

)(

0 xI

xInn Scanonicalgrandi

canonicali

SPS √(sNN) = 17 AGeV

Page 13: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 13

Modification of the model

• Statistical Model approach: T and μB

– Volume for yields → radius R used here

• Deviations: strangeness undersaturation factor S

– Fit parameter

• Alternative: small clusters (RC) in fireball (R): RC ≤ R

– Chemical equilibrium in subvolumes: canonical suppression

– RC free parameter

• Study – p+p, C+C, Si+Si, Pb+Pb / Au+Au collisions

– at SPS and RHIC energies

R

RC

Page 14: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 14

System size and energy dependence of the cluster size

• Small clusters in all systems

• Small system size dependence

• p+p– energy dependence?

• Pb+Pb / Au+Au– data consistent with saturated

strangeness production

p+p C+C Si+Si Pb/Au

Page 15: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 15

System size and energy dependence of the cluster size

• A+A: clusters smaller than fireball

• RC not well defined for RC ≥ 2 fm because suppression vanishes

RC

= R

Pb+PbAu+Au

Page 16: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 16

System size and energy dependence of the cluster size

• Particle ratios saturate at RC ≈ 2 - 3 fm

– no precise determination for weak strangeness suppression

Pb+PbAu+Au

RC

= R

Page 17: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 17

Extrapolation to LHC: T - B – systematics

• Chemical decoupling conditions

extracted from SIS up to RHIC

feature common behavior

• Extrapolation to LHC energy

with parametrisation e.g.

Nucl. Phys. A 697 (2002) 902

Phys. Rev. C 73(2006) 034905

Page 18: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 18

System size and energy dependence of T and B

p+p C+C Si+Si Pb/Au

• T, μB weakly dependent on system size

Page 19: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 19

Extrapolation to LHC: cluster size

• what defines RC in

p+p?

• initial size of p+p

system relevant

– RC const

• final state of large

number of produced

hadrons relevant

– RC increases with

multiplicity

Page 20: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 20

Prediction for p+p

• significant increase of

ratios at RC ≈ 1.5 fm

• K / and

behave differently– multistrange hadrons

suffer stronger

suppression

• RC will be determined

with ALICE data

Page 21: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 21

Extraction of RC

• Particle ratios w/o

strangeness are

insensitive to RC

• Sensitivity increases

with strangeness

difference

RC from ☺

Page 22: Statistical Model Predictions for p+p and Pb+Pb Collisions at LHC Ingrid Kraus Nikhef and TU Darmstadt.

Ingrid Kraus, Nikhef Last call for predictions workshop, CERN, May 30, 2007 22

Summary

• Pb+Pb– predictions for particle ratios with

extrapolated parameters T, μB

– T, μB determination with p / p and

/ K or / ratios

_

• p+p– predictions difficult due to

unknown degree of canonical

suppression

– Cluster radius RC from data