SCAPApril 29, 2014

Cleaning The Air That We Breathe…

Update on 2016 Air Quality Management Plan (AQMP)

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

0

50

100

150

200

250

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

Days Exceeding Federal Ozone Standard (0.075 ppm)Maximum 8-Hour Ozone Concentration (ppm)

Basin

-Day

s Exc

eedi

ng F

eder

al S

tand

ard

Max

imum

Con

cent

ratio

n (

ppm

)

Federal Standard

South Coast Air Basin Ozone Trend

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

0102030405060708090100110120130140150

Basin-Days Exceeding Federal Standard

Maximum 24-Hour Average Concentration

Basin

-Day

s Exc

eedi

ng F

eder

al S

tand

ard

Max

24-

Hour

PM

2.5

Conc

entr

ation

(µg/

m3)

24-Hour Stan-dard

South Coast Air Basin24-hour PM2.5 Air Quality, 2000 - 2013

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Annual PM2.5 Air Quality Trend

Year

PM

2.5

Co

nc

en

tra

tio

n,

µg

/m3

PM2.5 Annual Standard

PM2.5 – 2013*Annual Arithmetic Mean μg/m3

(Federal Standard = 12.0 μg/m3)

2016 AQMP

• Attainment Demonstration 2008 8-hour ozone (75 ppb) SIP submittal July 2016 (attain by

2032) 2012 annual PM2.5 standard (12 µg/m3) SIP submittal 2016

(attain by 2020-2025)

• Additional AnalysisUpdate to previous 1997 8-hour ozone (80 ppb) SIP (reductions

by 2023) Update to 1-hour ozone SIP (reductions by 2022)

AQMP Timeline

NOx Emission Reduction Estimates for Ozone Attainment

8-hour Ozone

Standard

FederalStandard Level(ppb)

Attainment Year

Estimated Carrying Capacity

(tpd)

Percent Reduction

of NOx Emissions from 2023 Baseline

1997 80 2023 115 65

2008 75 2032 80 75

Development Process

• Integration with other California Planning activities:

AB32 Scoping Plan (Spring 2014) CARB’s Sustainable Freight Strategy (Fall 2014)CARB’s inventory update including EMFACs (Late 2014)SCAG’s 2016 RTP/SCS (Fall 2015)

Public Process

• Periodic AQMP Advisory GroupAdvise in the development of the AQMPMeet quarterly in 2014More frequently in 2015 and 2016

• Focus Working GroupsWhite paper developmentControl strategy development

• Community/Environmental Justice Outreach• Legally required regional workshops

2016 AQMP Advisory Group

• 56 members approved by Governing Board February 2014 Community/environmental groups (9): Air, Health, EJ Business (26): Energy, Building/Real Estate, Shipping, Trucking,

Railroads, Printing, Waste, Commerce, Petroleum Academia (2): Public Health, Policy, Sustainable Communities Government (19) : Air, Public Health, Energy, Ports, Aviation,

Sanitation, Local Cities

• STMPR will select 3 members when meetings commence• Three-year membership until February 2017• Posted online:

http://www.aqmd.gov/gb_comit/aqmpadvgrp/2016AQMP/AdvisoryRoster.pdf

White Papers

“Preface to White Papers”

21st Century Goods

Movement System and Air Quality

Passenger Transportation

Energy Outlook

Residential and

Commercial Energy Use

Industrial Facility

Modernization

VOC Controls

PM Controls

A Business Case for Clean Air

Preface• Purpose of white papers• Review of topics and inter-relationship between topics

• General format of white papers

White Papers

21st Century Goods

Movement System and Air Quality

“Preface to White Papers”

Passenger Transportation

Energy Outlook

Residential and

Commercial Energy Use

Industrial Facility

Modernization

VOC Controls

PM Controls

A Business Case for Clean Air

20th Century Goods Movement

• Include all goods movement sectors

• Advanced technology and operational efficiency

• Scenarios

• Infrastructure needs

• Potential business case

• Action Plan

White Papers

Passenger Transportation

21st Century Goods

Movement System and Air Quality

“Preface to White Papers”

Energy Outlook

Residential and

Commercial Energy Use

Industrial Facility

Modernization

VOC Controls

PM Controls

A Business Case for Clean Air

Passenger Transportation

• Advanced technology and operational efficiency

• Scenario analysis

• Vehicle turnover

• Infrastructure needs

• Public and private funding

• Education/trainingneeded

White Papers

Energy Outlook

Passenger Transportation

21st Century Goods

Movement System and Air Quality

“Preface to White Papers”

Residential and

Commercial Energy Use

Industrial Facility

Modernization

VOC Controls

PM Controls

A Business Case for Clean Air

Energy Outlook

• Energy demand and supply assessment by fuel type

• Scenario analysis

• Identifying infrastructure needs

• Agency coordination

White Papers

VOC Controls

Energy Outlook

Passenger Transportation

21st Century Goods

Movement System and Air Quality

“Preface to White Papers”

Residential and

Commercial Energy Use

Industrial Facility

Modernization

PM Controls

A Business Case for Clean Air

VOC Control• The role of VOC in ozone

attainment strategy: where and how much

• Practical applications for time, place, and reactivity controls

• Enhancement to existing regulatory programs

• Training and education programs

White Papers

PM Controls

VOC Controls

Energy Outlook

Passenger Transportation

21st Century Goods

Movement System and Air Quality

“Preface to White Papers”

Residential and

Commercial Energy Use

Industrial Facility

Modernization

A Business Case for Clean AirPM Control

• Evaluation of control technologies

• Commercial cooking• Further SOx reductions• Fugitive dust • Ammonia

White Papers

Residential and

Commercial Energy Use

VOC Controls

Energy Outlook

Passenger Transportation

21st Century Goods

Movement System and Air Quality

“Preface to White Papers”

Industrial Facility

Modernization

PM Controls

A Business Case for Clean Air

Residential and Commercial Energy Use

• Opportunities for energy efficiency, load shift/shaving, renewable, distributed generation

• Enhanced inclusion in AQMP

White Papers

Industrial Facility

Modernization

Residential and

Commercial Energy Use

VOC Controls

Energy Outlook

Passenger Transportation

21st Century Goods

Movement System and Air Quality

“Preface to White Papers”

PM Controls

A Business Case for Clean Air

Industrial Facility Modernization

• Advanced technology and efficiency opportunities

• Scenario analysis• NSR modernization to

incentivize clean technologies

• Incentive/Financing programs

White Papers

A Business Case for Clean Air

Residential and

Commercial Energy Use

VOC Controls

Energy Outlook

Passenger Transportation

21st Century Goods

Movement System and Air Quality

“Preface to White Papers”

Industrial Facility

Modernization

PM Controls

Business Case for Clean Air• Costs and benefits of

clean air• What is the business

case?• Are there winners and

losers?• Who pays and who

benefits?

Process

• Close collaboration with CARB • Close collaboration with SCAG, CTCs, and

subregional COGs on transportation/land use issues • Periodic updates to Mobile Source Committee and

AQMP Advisory Group• AQMP White Paper Working Groups

AQMP Advisory Group members Other interested parties Technology experts Open to the public

• Schedule: 2014 - 2015