High-resolution Search for Q+ Pentaquark in p–p K–X Reaction
probability pint density - courses.cs.washington.edu30 40 50 60 70 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 PMF for...
Transcript of probability pint density - courses.cs.washington.edu30 40 50 60 70 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 PMF for...
Random variables and probability mass/density functions
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probability mass function pintdensity
disrete p fg Pr X x
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Px 2 o
30 40 50 60 70
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
PMF for X ~ Bin(100,0.5)
k
P(X=k)
µ ± σ
binomial random variable
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p.m.f
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Is E H E kP
30 40 50 60 70
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
PMF for X ~ Bin(100,0.5)
k
P(X=k)
µ ± σ
binomial tails
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For a random variable X, the tails of X are the parts of the PMF that are “far” from its mean.
g k
tail bounds
For a random variable X, the tails of X are the parts of the PMF that are “far” from its mean.
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tail bounds
Often, we want to bound the probability that a random variable X is “extreme.”
Such a bound is called a “tail bound”.
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Markov’s inequality
Suppose we know that X is always non-negative.
Theorem: If X is a non-negative random variable, then for every α > 0, we have
Equivalently
P(X ≥ cE[X]) ≤ 1/c6
Markov’s inequality
Theorem: If X is a non-negative random variable, then for every α > 0, we have
Proof:
E[X] = Σx x p(x)
= Σx<α x p(x) + Σx≥α x p(x)
≥ 0 + Σx≥ααp(x)
= αP(X ≥ α)7
(x ≥ 0; α ≤ x)
Variance and Chebyshev’s inequality
If we know more about a random variable, we can often use that to get better tail bounds.
Suppose we also know the variance.
Standard deviation = square root of variance
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Var[Y ] = E[(Y � E(Y ))2]<latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit>
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k
30 40 50 60 70
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
PMF for X ~ Bin(100,0.5)
k
P(X=k)
µ ± σ
binomial random variable
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Var[Y ] = E[(Y � E(Y ))2]<latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit>
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6 5
Chebyshev’s inequalityIf we know more about a random variable, we can often use that to get better tail bounds.
Suppose we also know the variance.
Theorem: If Y is an arbitrary random variable with E[Y] = μ, then, for any α > 0,
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T.toPr fly M E E ta
Chebyshev’s inequality
Theorem: If Y is an arbitrary random variable with μ = E[Y], then, for any α > 0,
X is non-negative, so we can apply Markov’s inequality:
Proof:
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Important Facts about Variance
Linearity of expectation always holds, i.e.,
Linearity of variance holds only if the random variables are independent.
Also, if is a constant, then
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Var[Y ] = E[(Y � E(Y ))2]<latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="qWnADJ5Lh9AROejOQeh3s8O1N8g=">AAACBnicbZDLSgMxFIYz9VbrbdSlCMEitAvLTBF0IxSl4LKCvTEdSyZN29DMheSMWIau3Pgqblwo4tZncOfbmF4W2vpD4OM/53Byfi8SXIFlfRuppeWV1bX0emZjc2t7x9zdq6kwlpRVaShC2fCIYoIHrAocBGtEkhHfE6zuDa7G9fo9k4qHwS0MI+b6pBfwLqcEtNU2D1vAHiCpETlymi6+wGUn1zwp55r5/F3RbZtZq2BNhBfBnkEWzVRpm1+tTkhjnwVABVHKsa0I3IRI4FSwUaYVKxYROiA95mgMiM+Um0zOGOFj7XRwN5T6BYAn7u+JhPhKDX1Pd/oE+mq+Njb/qzkxdM/dhAdRDCyg00XdWGAI8TgT3OGSURBDDYRKrv+KaZ9IQkEnl9Eh2PMnL0KtWLA135xmS5ezONLoAB2hHLLRGSqha1RBVUTRI3pGr+jNeDJejHfjY9qaMmYz++iPjM8fIFqW8A==</latexit>
E(X1 +X2 + . . .+Xn) = E(X1) + E(X2) + . . .+ E(Xn)<latexit sha1_base64="OQFL3dOz51v2e9rAlnki0qHhCPM=">AAACKHicbVBdS8MwFE3n15xfVR99CQ5hQxjtEPRFHIrg4wS3FbZR0jTdwtK0JKkwxn6OL/4VX0QU2au/xLTrw9y8kHDuOeeS3OPFjEplWTOjsLa+sblV3C7t7O7tH5iHR20ZJQKTFo5YJBwPScIoJy1FFSNOLAgKPUY63ugu1TvPREga8Sc1jkk/RANOA4qR0pRr3txXHNeG59Bx6/ruMT9SMmt5FV7DTK3qPgX16qIjZXjVNctWzcoKrgI7B2WQV9M1P3p+hJOQcIUZkrJrW7HqT5BQFDMyLfUSSWKER2hAuhpyFBLZn2SLTuGZZnwYREIfrmDGLk5MUCjlOPS0M0RqKJe1lPxP6yYquOpPKI8TRTiePxQkDKoIpqlBnwqCFRtrgLCg+q8QD5FAWOlsSzoEe3nlVdCu12yNHy/Kjds8jiI4AaegAmxwCRrgATRBC2DwAt7AJ/gyXo1349uYza0FI585Bn/K+PkFSr+faA==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="OQFL3dOz51v2e9rAlnki0qHhCPM=">AAACKHicbVBdS8MwFE3n15xfVR99CQ5hQxjtEPRFHIrg4wS3FbZR0jTdwtK0JKkwxn6OL/4VX0QU2au/xLTrw9y8kHDuOeeS3OPFjEplWTOjsLa+sblV3C7t7O7tH5iHR20ZJQKTFo5YJBwPScIoJy1FFSNOLAgKPUY63ugu1TvPREga8Sc1jkk/RANOA4qR0pRr3txXHNeG59Bx6/ruMT9SMmt5FV7DTK3qPgX16qIjZXjVNctWzcoKrgI7B2WQV9M1P3p+hJOQcIUZkrJrW7HqT5BQFDMyLfUSSWKER2hAuhpyFBLZn2SLTuGZZnwYREIfrmDGLk5MUCjlOPS0M0RqKJe1lPxP6yYquOpPKI8TRTiePxQkDKoIpqlBnwqCFRtrgLCg+q8QD5FAWOlsSzoEe3nlVdCu12yNHy/Kjds8jiI4AaegAmxwCRrgATRBC2DwAt7AJ/gyXo1349uYza0FI585Bn/K+PkFSr+faA==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="OQFL3dOz51v2e9rAlnki0qHhCPM=">AAACKHicbVBdS8MwFE3n15xfVR99CQ5hQxjtEPRFHIrg4wS3FbZR0jTdwtK0JKkwxn6OL/4VX0QU2au/xLTrw9y8kHDuOeeS3OPFjEplWTOjsLa+sblV3C7t7O7tH5iHR20ZJQKTFo5YJBwPScIoJy1FFSNOLAgKPUY63ugu1TvPREga8Sc1jkk/RANOA4qR0pRr3txXHNeG59Bx6/ruMT9SMmt5FV7DTK3qPgX16qIjZXjVNctWzcoKrgI7B2WQV9M1P3p+hJOQcIUZkrJrW7HqT5BQFDMyLfUSSWKER2hAuhpyFBLZn2SLTuGZZnwYREIfrmDGLk5MUCjlOPS0M0RqKJe1lPxP6yYquOpPKI8TRTiePxQkDKoIpqlBnwqCFRtrgLCg+q8QD5FAWOlsSzoEe3nlVdCu12yNHy/Kjds8jiI4AaegAmxwCRrgATRBC2DwAt7AJ/gyXo1349uYza0FI585Bn/K+PkFSr+faA==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="OQFL3dOz51v2e9rAlnki0qHhCPM=">AAACKHicbVBdS8MwFE3n15xfVR99CQ5hQxjtEPRFHIrg4wS3FbZR0jTdwtK0JKkwxn6OL/4VX0QU2au/xLTrw9y8kHDuOeeS3OPFjEplWTOjsLa+sblV3C7t7O7tH5iHR20ZJQKTFo5YJBwPScIoJy1FFSNOLAgKPUY63ugu1TvPREga8Sc1jkk/RANOA4qR0pRr3txXHNeG59Bx6/ruMT9SMmt5FV7DTK3qPgX16qIjZXjVNctWzcoKrgI7B2WQV9M1P3p+hJOQcIUZkrJrW7HqT5BQFDMyLfUSSWKER2hAuhpyFBLZn2SLTuGZZnwYREIfrmDGLk5MUCjlOPS0M0RqKJe1lPxP6yYquOpPKI8TRTiePxQkDKoIpqlBnwqCFRtrgLCg+q8QD5FAWOlsSzoEe3nlVdCu12yNHy/Kjds8jiI4AaegAmxwCRrgATRBC2DwAt7AJ/gyXo1349uYza0FI585Bn/K+PkFSr+faA==</latexit>
Var[X1 + . . .+Xn] = Var[X1] + . . .+Var[Xn]<latexit sha1_base64="fpaYldA10XrrV+NcP3zWfhI0ptk=">AAACNnicbZBLSwMxFIUz9VXra9Slm2ARBKHMiKAboejGjVDBPqAdhkyatqGZzJDcEcvQX+XG3+GuGxeKuPUnmLazcFovBD7OOSG5J4gF1+A4E6uwsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zu2fsHDR0lirI6jUSkWgHRTHDJ6sBBsFasGAkDwZrB8HbqN5+Y0jySjzCKmReSvuQ9TgkYybfvO8CeIW0QNW63fBfjM9wR3Qi0gZYvPXyN8wkvF8l50vPtslNxZoOXwc2gjLKp+fZbpxvRJGQSqCBat10nBi8lCjgVbFzqJJrFhA5Jn7UNShIy7aWztcf4xChd3IuUORLwTP17IyWh1qMwMMmQwEAvelPxP6+dQO/KS7mME2CSzh/qJQJDhKcd4i5XjIIYGSBUcfNXTAdEEQqm6ZIpwV1ceRka5xXX8MNFuXqT1VFER+gYnSIXXaIqukM1VEcUvaAJ+kCf1qv1bn1Z3/NowcruHKLcWD+/uXqqIg==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="fpaYldA10XrrV+NcP3zWfhI0ptk=">AAACNnicbZBLSwMxFIUz9VXra9Slm2ARBKHMiKAboejGjVDBPqAdhkyatqGZzJDcEcvQX+XG3+GuGxeKuPUnmLazcFovBD7OOSG5J4gF1+A4E6uwsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zu2fsHDR0lirI6jUSkWgHRTHDJ6sBBsFasGAkDwZrB8HbqN5+Y0jySjzCKmReSvuQ9TgkYybfvO8CeIW0QNW63fBfjM9wR3Qi0gZYvPXyN8wkvF8l50vPtslNxZoOXwc2gjLKp+fZbpxvRJGQSqCBat10nBi8lCjgVbFzqJJrFhA5Jn7UNShIy7aWztcf4xChd3IuUORLwTP17IyWh1qMwMMmQwEAvelPxP6+dQO/KS7mME2CSzh/qJQJDhKcd4i5XjIIYGSBUcfNXTAdEEQqm6ZIpwV1ceRka5xXX8MNFuXqT1VFER+gYnSIXXaIqukM1VEcUvaAJ+kCf1qv1bn1Z3/NowcruHKLcWD+/uXqqIg==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="fpaYldA10XrrV+NcP3zWfhI0ptk=">AAACNnicbZBLSwMxFIUz9VXra9Slm2ARBKHMiKAboejGjVDBPqAdhkyatqGZzJDcEcvQX+XG3+GuGxeKuPUnmLazcFovBD7OOSG5J4gF1+A4E6uwsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zu2fsHDR0lirI6jUSkWgHRTHDJ6sBBsFasGAkDwZrB8HbqN5+Y0jySjzCKmReSvuQ9TgkYybfvO8CeIW0QNW63fBfjM9wR3Qi0gZYvPXyN8wkvF8l50vPtslNxZoOXwc2gjLKp+fZbpxvRJGQSqCBat10nBi8lCjgVbFzqJJrFhA5Jn7UNShIy7aWztcf4xChd3IuUORLwTP17IyWh1qMwMMmQwEAvelPxP6+dQO/KS7mME2CSzh/qJQJDhKcd4i5XjIIYGSBUcfNXTAdEEQqm6ZIpwV1ceRka5xXX8MNFuXqT1VFER+gYnSIXXaIqukM1VEcUvaAJ+kCf1qv1bn1Z3/NowcruHKLcWD+/uXqqIg==</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="fpaYldA10XrrV+NcP3zWfhI0ptk=">AAACNnicbZBLSwMxFIUz9VXra9Slm2ARBKHMiKAboejGjVDBPqAdhkyatqGZzJDcEcvQX+XG3+GuGxeKuPUnmLazcFovBD7OOSG5J4gF1+A4E6uwsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zu2fsHDR0lirI6jUSkWgHRTHDJ6sBBsFasGAkDwZrB8HbqN5+Y0jySjzCKmReSvuQ9TgkYybfvO8CeIW0QNW63fBfjM9wR3Qi0gZYvPXyN8wkvF8l50vPtslNxZoOXwc2gjLKp+fZbpxvRJGQSqCBat10nBi8lCjgVbFzqJJrFhA5Jn7UNShIy7aWztcf4xChd3IuUORLwTP17IyWh1qMwMMmQwEAvelPxP6+dQO/KS7mME2CSzh/qJQJDhKcd4i5XjIIYGSBUcfNXTAdEEQqm6ZIpwV1ceRka5xXX8MNFuXqT1VFER+gYnSIXXaIqukM1VEcUvaAJ+kCf1qv1bn1Z3/NowcruHKLcWD+/uXqqIg==</latexit>
Var[a ·X] = a2 ·Var[X]<latexit sha1_base64="8YWzrdKn+MiazbfULtdC8tfLQwc=">AAACFXicbZDLSgMxFIYzXmu9jbp0EyyCCykzRdCNUHTjsoK9wHQsZ9K0Dc1cSM6IZehLuPFV3LhQxK3gzrcxvSxq64HAl/8/h+T8QSKFRsf5sZaWV1bX1nMb+c2t7Z1de2+/puNUMV5lsYxVIwDNpYh4FQVK3kgUhzCQvB70r0d+/YErLeLoDgcJ90PoRqIjGKCRWvZpE/kjZjVQQw+arB0jbfj0ksJ9aXybsRt+yy44RWdcdBHcKRTItCot+7vZjlka8giZBK0910nQz0ChYJIP881U8wRYH7rcMxhByLWfjbca0mOjtGknVuZESMfq7EQGodaDMDCdIWBPz3sj8T/PS7Fz4WciSlLkEZs81EklxZiOIqJtoThDOTAATAnzV8p6oIChCTJvQnDnV16EWqnoGr49K5SvpnHkyCE5IifEJeekTG5IhVQJI0/khbyRd+vZerU+rM9J65I1nTkgf8r6+gV95Z8C</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="8YWzrdKn+MiazbfULtdC8tfLQwc=">AAACFXicbZDLSgMxFIYzXmu9jbp0EyyCCykzRdCNUHTjsoK9wHQsZ9K0Dc1cSM6IZehLuPFV3LhQxK3gzrcxvSxq64HAl/8/h+T8QSKFRsf5sZaWV1bX1nMb+c2t7Z1de2+/puNUMV5lsYxVIwDNpYh4FQVK3kgUhzCQvB70r0d+/YErLeLoDgcJ90PoRqIjGKCRWvZpE/kjZjVQQw+arB0jbfj0ksJ9aXybsRt+yy44RWdcdBHcKRTItCot+7vZjlka8giZBK0910nQz0ChYJIP881U8wRYH7rcMxhByLWfjbca0mOjtGknVuZESMfq7EQGodaDMDCdIWBPz3sj8T/PS7Fz4WciSlLkEZs81EklxZiOIqJtoThDOTAATAnzV8p6oIChCTJvQnDnV16EWqnoGr49K5SvpnHkyCE5IifEJeekTG5IhVQJI0/khbyRd+vZerU+rM9J65I1nTkgf8r6+gV95Z8C</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="8YWzrdKn+MiazbfULtdC8tfLQwc=">AAACFXicbZDLSgMxFIYzXmu9jbp0EyyCCykzRdCNUHTjsoK9wHQsZ9K0Dc1cSM6IZehLuPFV3LhQxK3gzrcxvSxq64HAl/8/h+T8QSKFRsf5sZaWV1bX1nMb+c2t7Z1de2+/puNUMV5lsYxVIwDNpYh4FQVK3kgUhzCQvB70r0d+/YErLeLoDgcJ90PoRqIjGKCRWvZpE/kjZjVQQw+arB0jbfj0ksJ9aXybsRt+yy44RWdcdBHcKRTItCot+7vZjlka8giZBK0910nQz0ChYJIP881U8wRYH7rcMxhByLWfjbca0mOjtGknVuZESMfq7EQGodaDMDCdIWBPz3sj8T/PS7Fz4WciSlLkEZs81EklxZiOIqJtoThDOTAATAnzV8p6oIChCTJvQnDnV16EWqnoGr49K5SvpnHkyCE5IifEJeekTG5IhVQJI0/khbyRd+vZerU+rM9J65I1nTkgf8r6+gV95Z8C</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="8YWzrdKn+MiazbfULtdC8tfLQwc=">AAACFXicbZDLSgMxFIYzXmu9jbp0EyyCCykzRdCNUHTjsoK9wHQsZ9K0Dc1cSM6IZehLuPFV3LhQxK3gzrcxvSxq64HAl/8/h+T8QSKFRsf5sZaWV1bX1nMb+c2t7Z1de2+/puNUMV5lsYxVIwDNpYh4FQVK3kgUhzCQvB70r0d+/YErLeLoDgcJ90PoRqIjGKCRWvZpE/kjZjVQQw+arB0jbfj0ksJ9aXybsRt+yy44RWdcdBHcKRTItCot+7vZjlka8giZBK0910nQz0ChYJIP881U8wRYH7rcMxhByLWfjbca0mOjtGknVuZESMfq7EQGodaDMDCdIWBPz3sj8T/PS7Fz4WciSlLkEZs81EklxZiOIqJtoThDOTAATAnzV8p6oIChCTJvQnDnV16EWqnoGr49K5SvpnHkyCE5IifEJeekTG5IhVQJI0/khbyRd+vZerU+rM9J65I1nTkgf8r6+gV95Z8C</latexit>
a<latexit sha1_base64="DcxH1t8VfbGREJT8ZMrfQnx14cc=">AAAB6HicbZBNS8NAEIYn9avWr6pHL4tF8FQSEeqx6MVjC/YD2lA220m7drMJuxuhhP4CLx4U8epP8ua/cdvmoK0vLDy8M8POvEEiuDau++0UNja3tneKu6W9/YPDo/LxSVvHqWLYYrGIVTegGgWX2DLcCOwmCmkUCOwEk7t5vfOESvNYPphpgn5ER5KHnFFjrSYdlCtu1V2IrIOXQwVyNQblr/4wZmmE0jBBte55bmL8jCrDmcBZqZ9qTCib0BH2LEoaofazxaIzcmGdIQljZZ80ZOH+nshopPU0CmxnRM1Yr9bm5n+1XmrCGz/jMkkNSrb8KEwFMTGZX02GXCEzYmqBMsXtroSNqaLM2GxKNgRv9eR1aF9VPcvN60r9No+jCGdwDpfgQQ3qcA8NaAEDhGd4hTfn0Xlx3p2PZWvByWdO4Y+czx/DX4zl</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="DcxH1t8VfbGREJT8ZMrfQnx14cc=">AAAB6HicbZBNS8NAEIYn9avWr6pHL4tF8FQSEeqx6MVjC/YD2lA220m7drMJuxuhhP4CLx4U8epP8ua/cdvmoK0vLDy8M8POvEEiuDau++0UNja3tneKu6W9/YPDo/LxSVvHqWLYYrGIVTegGgWX2DLcCOwmCmkUCOwEk7t5vfOESvNYPphpgn5ER5KHnFFjrSYdlCtu1V2IrIOXQwVyNQblr/4wZmmE0jBBte55bmL8jCrDmcBZqZ9qTCib0BH2LEoaofazxaIzcmGdIQljZZ80ZOH+nshopPU0CmxnRM1Yr9bm5n+1XmrCGz/jMkkNSrb8KEwFMTGZX02GXCEzYmqBMsXtroSNqaLM2GxKNgRv9eR1aF9VPcvN60r9No+jCGdwDpfgQQ3qcA8NaAEDhGd4hTfn0Xlx3p2PZWvByWdO4Y+czx/DX4zl</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="DcxH1t8VfbGREJT8ZMrfQnx14cc=">AAAB6HicbZBNS8NAEIYn9avWr6pHL4tF8FQSEeqx6MVjC/YD2lA220m7drMJuxuhhP4CLx4U8epP8ua/cdvmoK0vLDy8M8POvEEiuDau++0UNja3tneKu6W9/YPDo/LxSVvHqWLYYrGIVTegGgWX2DLcCOwmCmkUCOwEk7t5vfOESvNYPphpgn5ER5KHnFFjrSYdlCtu1V2IrIOXQwVyNQblr/4wZmmE0jBBte55bmL8jCrDmcBZqZ9qTCib0BH2LEoaofazxaIzcmGdIQljZZ80ZOH+nshopPU0CmxnRM1Yr9bm5n+1XmrCGz/jMkkNSrb8KEwFMTGZX02GXCEzYmqBMsXtroSNqaLM2GxKNgRv9eR1aF9VPcvN60r9No+jCGdwDpfgQQ3qcA8NaAEDhGd4hTfn0Xlx3p2PZWvByWdO4Y+czx/DX4zl</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="DcxH1t8VfbGREJT8ZMrfQnx14cc=">AAAB6HicbZBNS8NAEIYn9avWr6pHL4tF8FQSEeqx6MVjC/YD2lA220m7drMJuxuhhP4CLx4U8epP8ua/cdvmoK0vLDy8M8POvEEiuDau++0UNja3tneKu6W9/YPDo/LxSVvHqWLYYrGIVTegGgWX2DLcCOwmCmkUCOwEk7t5vfOESvNYPphpgn5ER5KHnFFjrSYdlCtu1V2IrIOXQwVyNQblr/4wZmmE0jBBte55bmL8jCrDmcBZqZ9qTCib0BH2LEoaofazxaIzcmGdIQljZZ80ZOH+nshopPU0CmxnRM1Yr9bm5n+1XmrCGz/jMkkNSrb8KEwFMTGZX02GXCEzYmqBMsXtroSNqaLM2GxKNgRv9eR1aF9VPcvN60r9No+jCGdwDpfgQQ3qcA8NaAEDhGd4hTfn0Xlx3p2PZWvByWdO4Y+czx/DX4zl</latexit>
Performance/estimation using repetition
13