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Innovative Natural-Gas Technologies for Efficiency Gain in Reliable and Affordable Thermochemical Electricity- Generation DE-FOA-0001797 (INTEGRATE) Annual Meeting 17 September 2019 Atlanta, GA

Transcript of Innovative Natural-Gas Technologies for Efficiency Gain in ... Annual... · Innovative Natural-Gas...

Innovative Natural-Gas Technologies for Efficiency Gain in

Reliable and Affordable Thermochemical Electricity-

Generation

DE-FOA-0001797 (INTEGRATE)

Annual Meeting

17 September 2019

Atlanta, GA

Renewable Nuclear

INTEGRATE Program Objective

Gen η T&D η Net η

36% 94% 34%36% 94% 34%

Fossil

Electric Efficiency 70%

Installed Price $1800/kW

Maintenance Cost $0.02/kWh

Market requirements for 1 Quad/yr

of primary energy savings for

commercial electricity*

Lower the cost & emissions associated with electricity generation

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Distributed Generation Value Proposition Drivers

Economics Driven by Spark Spread, Electric Efficiency & Capital Cost

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10%

Grid Electric Rate ($/kWh)

NG Rate ($/Mcf)

Electric Efficiency

Capital ($/kW)

Electric Capacity Utilization

Maintenance ($/kWh)

Life (years)

Baseline Thermal Efficiency

Thermal Capacity Utilization

Inflation Rate

Perturbation IRR – Nominal IRR Tornado Chart

-10% 10%

Nom

$0.10

$6.55

40%

$1000

80%

$0.02

10

90%

25%

2%

IRR 18%

PB 4.8 yrs

Nominal Economics

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Market-Driven Performance Targets

Program Target

ηelectric ≥70%,

Installed Cost ≤ $1.8W

Contours of Estimated Commercial DG Annual Primary Energy Savings (Quadrillion BTUs/Year)

1 Quadrillion

BTUs / Year

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Proposed Path to Targets Leverage Synergies

Electric Power

Compressor

Combustor

Stack

AirFuel & H2O

Generator

Exhaust to Heat & Water Recovery

Recuperator

$6

,00

0

$8

50

$8

50

$620

$1,970

$600

$1,080

$820

$50 $10

53% 60%

60%

72% 72% 72% 72%75% 75%

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

EFf

icie

ncy

Eq

uip

me

nt

Co

st(

$/k

W)

4

Program & Metrics

ID Parameter Value

1.1 Net System AC Power 100 kW

1.2 Fuel Natural Gas

1.3 Net Fuel LHV to AC Electric Power Conversion Efficiency 70%

1.4 Full Production Equipment Manufacturing Cost $0.9/W

1.5 System Maintenance Cost $0.02/kWh

1.6 System availability 95%

1.7 System Life 20 years

Phase Focus Max Budget

I Enabling Technologies $4M

II System Integration & Demonstration $10M

Technical Performance Targets

Program Structure

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General Program Strategy

Staged investment plan designed to mitigate ARPA-E

financial risk by avoiding expenditures associated with the

design and fabrication of complicated/expensive systems

until the major component & sub-system integration risks

have been reduced

I. $20M, 2 year reduction of “component-level” risks

II. $20M, 2 year (proposed) system demonstrations

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q6 Q7 Q8 Q9 Q10 Q11 Q12 Q13 Q14 Q15 Q16

System Design

Component Risk Reduction

System Fabrication

System Testing

9 Component/Sub-system Risk Reduction Efforts 2 - 4 System Validation Efforts

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4

Phase I Phase II

Internal Phase II Program Pitch

Launch of Phase II

2 years, $20M, 2 - 4 teams

System Demonstration with η = 70% & path to cost target of $0.9/W

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Program Average

-0.40

-0.30

-0.20

-0.10

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

-0.80 -0.60 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80

Sch

ed

ule

Va

ria

nce

Cost Variance

Ahead of Schedule

Under Budget

Behind Schedule

Over Budget

INTEGRATE Program Financial Status

𝑪𝒐𝒔𝒕 𝑽𝒂𝒓𝒊𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒆 =(𝑬𝒂𝒓𝒏𝒆𝒅 𝑽𝒂𝒍𝒖𝒆 − 𝑨𝒄𝒕𝒖𝒂𝒍 𝑺𝒑𝒆𝒏𝒅)

𝑬𝒂𝒓𝒏𝒆𝒅 𝑽𝒂𝒍𝒖𝒆

𝑺𝒄𝒉𝒆𝒅𝒖𝒍𝒆 𝑽𝒂𝒓𝒊𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒆 =(𝑬𝒂𝒓𝒏𝒆𝒅 𝑽𝒂𝒍𝒖𝒆 − 𝑺𝒄𝒉𝒆𝒅𝒖𝒍𝒆𝒅 𝑺𝒑𝒆𝒏𝒅)

𝑬𝒂𝒓𝒏𝒆𝒅 𝑽𝒂𝒍𝒖𝒆

3Q2019 Cost and Schedule Variance – Excludes ORNL & NETL

7

Lessons Learned: Discussion Framework

SOFC Gas Turbine SOFC Internal Combustion Engine

Gas Turbine

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Lessons Learned: Concept Comparisons

Metric SOFC + GT SOFC + ICE + GT

Efficiency ηelectric >70% 65 > ηelectric < 70%

Cost*• Single waste exergy recovery device

• High temperature materials

• Separate waste heat & fuel recovery devices

• Reduced need for high temperature materials

• Anode exhaust water management required

• Under-utilized engine/Surge capacity

*Needs work **Pending assessments: operability, durability, (size & weight)

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Homework Still Required (Perhaps no single conclusion)

• Active Issues

• Thermo-economic Optimization

• Internal vs External Reforming

• Anode Recycle

• Stack Operating Pressure

• Acceptable ICE water level

• Pending Issues

• Operability (e.g., start-up, shut-down, load transients)

• Durability (e.g. Cr poisoning)

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Durability Risk (1 of 2)

Increased pressure (pH2O & pO2) Increased Cr poisoning risk

½ Cr2O3(s) + H2O(g) + ¾O2(g) → CrO2(OH)2(g)

Opila, E.J., JOM, January 2006. p. 22-28.

Opila, E.J., J Phys Chem A, 2007. 111(10): p. 1971-1980.

Mechanism #1: Moist Air

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Durability Risk (2 of 2)

Increased pressure (pH2O & pO2) Increased Cr poisoning risk

Cr2O3(s) + 3 2O2(g) → CrO3(g)

Mechanism #2: Dry Air/O2

Chen, X., Int. J Hydr. Energy, 2010. 35(6): p. 2477-2485.

Overpotential (left axis) and polarization resistance

(right axis) for LSM cathode at 200 mA/cm2 and

900 °C in dry and 3% H2O air in (a) absence and

(b) presence of Fe–Cr metallic interconnect

Please determine importance of risk in your

systems & develop mitigation plans if required

12

US Electricity CO2 Emissions Comparison

https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aabe9d

2017

2001

13

Market Risks – Climate Pressure

National Academy of Sciences. Negative Emissions Technologies and Reliable Sequestration:

A Research Agenda. 2019. p. 3 14

Market Opportunities

Science

June 2018

15

Market Opportunities – Consider Faster Expansion

Siz

e (

MW

)

Speed (m/s)

Commercial

DG

First Market: Commercial-Scale (100 kW 2 MW) Distributed Generation

Elec.

Gen.

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