Eurobank services report_mar-2011
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- 1. Research Department 2011 Property Market Report 2010 .>> . . . 2011 2010, >> . Disclaimer Property Market Eurobank EFG Property Services, EFG, Report . Eurobank EFG Property Services. . : Eurobank EFG Property Services , ( , ) . : , . Eurobank EFG Property Services. EFG. ( ) , , , . ,28 2011 , Eurobank EFG Property Services . .
- 2. 2010 1,8% 2010 1,6% 2007-2009 - 0,3% 2009. . - . 4,6% - - . , . , 87% - 5% 2010 (0,6%) 84,3% 2010. . : - - 2011 (1,5%) , 2011. , - 2010, - 12% - . . , 2010 - - 2010, . - 2011. - - . - , - , . , . - - - , , - . - - .
- 3. ( ) 2010e 2011f (25/01/2011) (29/11/2010) (07/12/2010) (25/01/2011) (29/11/2010) (07/12/2010) 2.8 2.7 2.7 3 2.1 2.2 . 1.7 1.8 1.8 2 2.2 1.7 4.3 3.5 3.7 1.6 1.3 1.7 10.3 10.5 10.5 9.6 9.2 9.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.7: ( 2010-2011) 25 2010 . 7,5 ( ) . , , - - . . - . , - , , 4% 2010 . 3% . , 2010 - - - , , - . . , 2010 731 2009, - . 2011 . 2,5% 2010 12% 2010 2008 2009 2010 20119,2% 2009. () () ( ) 56,698 50,531 54,280 59,442 , - ( ) 71,266 81,403 74,903 77,503 8,4% 13,1% 2009, - . (% ) -6.1 -13.1 -8.9 -7.9 . (% ) -1.4 -7.9 -3.2 -0.9 , (% ) -9.4 -15.4 -9.4 -7.4 . : ( 2010-2011) : Eurobank EFG Treasury Department
- 4. Property News - 900.000. 2010 - , . 2010, - , , 352. - / - 2.000.000. . Eurobank Properties 2010 - : (), , Eurobank Properties 2010 2010 (..) () . 385 1,2. ( ) EFG Eurobank Properties - , 1,166.99 3,950,000 . 383.57 900,000 352 2,000,000 , , . - , , , 1.166,99.. Trastor 3.950.000. Eurobank Properties - ., . , Pasal 2010 385.. 36 - . 1,2. 50% Athens Heart . 10,4%. 2009 . - . - MIG Real Estate - 2010 . EGNATIA PROPERTIES S.A. 2010 . - , 3.000.. - 383,57.. Marfin Bank Romania .
- 5. Marfin Bank Romania , 313.. . , , 2010 - - , . 241 900. 50 - 30 . 2010 . . , -24. . . OTE Properties Estate 2010 -2011 - .. . 30 , , 2008 III. 07/10/2011. 14/04/2011. - - 2011 - , 2010 14 - 45., . . , Lamda Development, 2010, - , MEDITERRANEAN COSMOS 100% . . , , , .. () 2010 . - 2009, 5,8.,
- 6. J&P , , Corfu Waterpark 4 . - . - , .. 2003. .. 2011 - . 42 2011 , ., , , . - . - , . - - , .
- 7. 6 2009 55 ( , , , , , ) 2011 3, , 22 . - 4 , , .. - - 2010 . . - 8.200 - . 2010. - 20.000 . . - . - 2010. , - . . ., , . fast track - . , 180. - . , 2010 . 1,14 . .
- 8. (CBD), - . , , - (). , , - , - , , , . - . - . , , , , - . - . , - . 2010 - (>20 ) . - - - - - . - . . - , - . . - , - - - , . - , . ( ) - - . - - - - . - . , - - , - . , - - , - - . . - , . .
- 9. - . ( 58.000 . 26. ) - . 12 2010 - 5. , . - - . - - . 2011 - () SAMSUNG Electronics, , , SHIRE, .. - . Siemens . Siemens 2010 - - 3.000.. - 6.000.. Ilida , - Business Center 11 5.500.. - . . - , - - 7.000.. 2010 23. . . , - - - . SATURN. , 2010 2010, . , ALAPIS -6.000.. . .. . 2010 .. LEASING .. sale & leaseback - , 19.000.. -
- 10. REDS. . . - . 2010 , 0,25% 0,75%. Park Canyon, , , -, - . - , -9.000.. . - . , - Park Lane, - - Inditex. 31 2012 , - . . - - CBD 19-23/.. - . - . prime - - 17 19/.. 2010 14 18/.. . - - - . . . prime . - 14 17 11 , 14 . , - - 2010 - , . . . CBD 7,5% (7,25% - 8%) prime Est Av Prime yield 11 7.50 7.75 8.25 , - Av Prime yield 10 7.25 7.50 8.00 (/../) (CBD) 30 25 20 min rents max rents 15 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011f0 5 10 15 20 25 CBD
- 11. Prime CBD25 8,0% 30 8,0% 7,50% 7,50% 7,25% 7,0% 6,75%20 25 6,3% 7,50% 7,50% 7,50% 7,5% 6,0% 6,0% 7,25% 7,25% 2015 7,0% 15 4,0%10 10 6,5% 2,0% 5 5 0 6,0% 0 0,0% Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 2011f 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011f min rents max rents average yields average rents CBD average yields 1. (CBD) 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
- 12. STREET RETAIL SATURN (, , , - 6.000.. . , , , ) (- , -. SHOPPING MALLS 2010 Retail , -. , . , - . ) 2010 - - . - 2010 - - . , - , , , - street retail - . , - - - . retail. . Athens Metro Mall . - retail - . , , - Talima Ventures, 22.000.. - . , (- - ) Athenian Capitol -. - (.. - 3 Fnac, Electroworld, Virgin) , (.. 28.000.. - Mc Donalds, SEPHORA, GLOU, PUMA). . - - . Agent Provocateur - D-Squared 2011. Zegna Elmec Sport , , FENDI REDS - - , - >30.000.. - BLANCO . . . , 2010 River West, 20.000.. - - . (..) 52.000 . Big Boxes. () 31.000 REDS . 20.000 , 2010 40.000 , 36.000 Sonae Sierra - 52.000 .. . () 20.550 McArthurGlen, Bluehouse
- 13. - supermarkets ( , LIDL, CARREFOUR Carrefour, , ..) - , . SONAE. Designer Outlet McArthurGlen Bluehouse - Capital 29.000 .. , . 2011.BIG BOX - OUTLET - - 2010, - - street retail. prime , - - , , - . . - - supermarkets - ALDI . . 2010 - - , . . (..) Athens Millennium Mall 9.400 1999 6.000 2001The Mall Athens 58.000 2005Attica 25.000 2005Golden Hall 40.000 2008Athens Heart 20.000 2008West Plaza 23.500 2009Athenian Capitol 28.000 2010Athens Metro Mall 22.000 2010 (..) 50.000 Vita Development - Sonae Sierra (Flamingo Retail Park) 16.000 Retail Parks A.E. 9.000 Exodos Development
- 14. - E prime (/../) - () Big Box. - () - () min rents max rents . () Athenian ()Capitol Athens Metro Mall SATURN - () 56.000.. - . 0 50 100 150 200 250 - prime (- 150-200/.. , , , ..). 2011 - - .100-120/.. - prime - - 6,5%. , - 180/.. . , prime , - , . . 6,5%. - 2011 - 7%. - 35 65/.. 500 .. 70 - 100/.. . - - 2010. - 2010 - - . . Prime CBD250 8,0% 260 8,0% 6,75% 6,75%200 240 6,50% 7,5% 6,0% 5,8% 6,0% 6,0% 220150 6,75% 6,75% 6,75% 7,0% 200 4,0%100 6,50% 6,50% 180 6,5% 2,0% 50 160 0 6,0% 140 0,0% Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 2011f 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011f min rents max rents average yields average rents CBD average yields
- 15. Retail 1. 2. 3. ()
- 16. 2010 , (.. LOGISTICS .. - , , , , ..), - - . Logistics - . . , - - - 2011, - . 2010, -Logistics Logistics. - - - - logistics . . . - - - - . - - 2010. - - - , . - . - . -, - , - - . . - - - . - (, ..) - . . 5 . - 2011. ( - LOGISTICS - ) 4/.. 2010 - 5,5/.. . 3,5-4,5/.. - - , - - 5,5/... Logistics.
- 17. 3/.. - 4,5/.. 9,5% (9%-9,75%). . - 2011 - 2010 - 10%. . . .. - , 170-200/.., 2011 - .. 80-85/.. - 70-75/.. 2010. Logistics - - . prime (/../)50/.. 40/.. . - 50/.. 40/... - . - min rents , max rents prime 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
- 18. (/) Prime 5 10,5%200 4150 10,0% 9,75% 3 9,50% 9,50% 9,50% 9,5%100 2 50 9,00% 9,0% 1 0 0 8,5% Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 2011f min max min rents max rents average yields 8 15,0% 6 9,5% 9,75% 10,0% 8,4% 8,5% 7,5% 7,75% 4 5,0% 2 0 0,0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011f average rents average yields Logistics 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.
- 19. - - retail. 2010, - - (, , - ). . - 26 - . 2010. - , COSMOS. , - , - - - . 2010 . - - .. . . - - ( , Metropolitan Business Center ) - . - . - 40.000.. - - . , . , - . 250-. 300.. - - . , - 26 . - . - 2011 - . 2010 - - . .
- 20. - (/../) 2010. (26 ) 7-11/.. - ( COSMOS) 2.000-3.000/.. 8 10/.. 26 , . - 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2.400-2.700/.. - min rents max rents - . - - . - - , . - - - . - . 1. . 2. 3. 26 4. - 5. Cosmos Area
- 21. STREET RETAIL RETAIL . - , Plateia . Center, , , /- , - . - City Gate Mall . Mediterranean Cosmos Macedonia Mall. - , 2010 Castle Mall Retail (SPRIDER), 2010, , 32.500.. - . & 26 . supermarket, - , . 2010 2010 - 98 - . , -. Tommy Hilfiger . - 2010 - 400.. , - - , . . ZARA - 12.000.. . Notos - Galleries Public. . - . 2010 39,9% 2010 Mediterranean Cosmos - Lamda Development 38. & - . Lamda - - EFG Eurobank Ergasias 100%. , . 3. 98 - - , Big Box . 2011 - . 2010 - -. Mediterranean 2011 - Cosmos. (..) - SHOPPING MALLS 16.000 - . 14.000
- 22. BIG BOX OUTLET -- , - 2010, , - (..) - Mediterannean Cosmos 46.500 2005 - Plateia Center 20.000 2002 . Big Box Hypermarket. Limani Center 27.000 2002 2011 SATURN 2011 Castle Mall 7.000 2010 12.000 2010 - 4.000.. 5.630.. - 2010. -, - . 70-140/.. , - , 50-120/.. - 2010 - 30-40/.. 30-55/.. . 3.000.. . - Big Box 10/.. - - - 20-60/.. , , . . Carrefour Castle Mall 2010. - - - 2010 - . . 2011 - - - - . street retail. (/..) - . - - , supermarkets. , - 2010 12.000.. - Notos Galleries Public, . 2010 SIEMENS, 106 - 25, - 0 30 60 90 120 150 . min (/..) max (/..)
- 23. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
- 24. LOGISTICS - - supermarkets. .. , - - . - . 2010 - . - , - .. , - 2-3,5/.. 20 . - 2- 3/..Logistics , . - 100 130/.. - . - 60 120/... - - . 75-100/.. 70-90/.. - . , - 2011 - 15-30/.. -, - , , - funds - - 2010 . 40/.. - - . . , - - 2011 logistics center - , - 9,5%. 50.000.. - - - . 2011 logistics . 2010 - - . Logistics 2009.
- 25. (/..) .. 0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 min rents max rents - 2011 2010. -. 2011 . , - , Logistics. (/..) 0 30 60 90 120 150 min max
- 26. 1. 2. 3. 4.
- 27. / Logistics 2008 2009e 2010f (%) -5.0 0.0 2.5 (%) 2.5 3.0 2.7 (% . ) 7.6 9.5 9.0 () 3.3 0.8 1.5 : & , Eurobank EFG Logistics 2008 2009e 2010f (%) -7.1 -2.0 1.5 (%) 5.6 6.1 5.5 (% . ) 6.3 7.6 7.0 () 3.5 2.5 3.5 : & , Eurobank EFG
- 28. Logistics 2008 2009e 2010f (%) -3.0 1.5 3.0 (%) 8.2 6.5 9.0 (% . ) 16.1 19.2 18.0 () 1.4 1.0 2.0 : & , Eurobank EFG Logistics 2008 2009e 2010f (%) 2.3 -14.0 1.5 (%) 25.3 16.0 13.0 (% . ) 6.9 9.7 9.0 (USD) 9.9 4.5 5.0 (% ) 77.3 77.9 81.6 : & , Eurobank EFG Logistics 2008 2009e 2010f (%) 1.8 3.8 4.0 (%) 3.5 2.6 3.0 (% . ) 11.0 12.0 11.5 () 6.1 6.5 8.0 : & , Eurobank EFG
- 29. Advisory Services International Real Estate Division: +30 210 3522502 T: +30 210 3522756Fax: +30 210 3523410 Fax: +30 210 3523426Property Valuations : +30 210 3523425 EFG Property Services Sofia A.D.Fax: +30 210 3523410 : +359.2.811.7010Technical Services : +30 210 3523438 EFG Property Services Polska Sp z.o.o.Fax: +30 210 3522670 : +48.22.343.8080Business Development : +30 210 3522680 EFG Property Services S.A.Fax: +30 210 3523426 : +40.21.308.6101-4Brokerage : +30 210 3522680 EFG Property Services Ltd. BelgradeFax: +30 210 3522672 : +381.11.202.2410Brokerage : +30 2310 506185 EFG Property Services UkraineFax: +30 210 3522672 : +380.44.391.5604
- 30. Eurobank EFG Property Services 6, , 3 , : +30 210 3523425, Fax: +30 210 3523410 e-mail: [email protected] Eurobank EFG Property Services, EFG, . . EurobankEFG Property Services , ( , ) . , . Eurobank EFG Property Services. EFG. ( ) , , , . , , Eurobank EFG Property Services . .