Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP...

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Elisa Sena 1 , Allison McComiskey 2 , Graham Feingold 2 ([email protected] ) 1 University of São Paulo 2 NOAA-ESRL May/2016

Transcript of Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP...

Page 1: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Elisa Sena1, Allison McComiskey2, Graham Feingold2

([email protected])

1 University of São Paulo 2 NOAA-ESRL

May/2016

Page 2: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Aerosol-cloud interactions

Aerosol conc., Na

Drop conc., Nd

Cloud optical depth, τc

Drop effective radius, re

Cloud albedo, Ac

Cloud Condensation Nuclei conc., CCN

All else equal (Liquid water path, LWP)

Robert Simmon

More reflective clouds

(many small drops)

Less reflective clouds

(few large drops)

Page 3: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Changes in Cloud Microphysics

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But…

Goal Clarify how aerosol and macroscopic cloud properties impact the cloud radiative forcing.

Cloud Albedo Change

Aerosol, macroscopic cloud properties and dynamics are interconnected

LWP Adjustments

???

Page 4: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Methodology

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- 14-years of coincident ground-based

measurements of clouds, aerosol and

meteorological properties from SGP ARM

deployment.

- Measurements at 1-minute resolution.

- Low non-drizzling clouds (ice crystals

and precipitation avoided).

Page 5: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Properties analyzed

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Indicates how well-mixed the boundary layer is.

RELATIVE CLOUD RADIATIVE EFFECT

DECOUPLING INDEX PROXY FOR

TURBULENCE

AEROSOL INDEX

w0: mean vertical velocity at the cloud base.

Proxy for CCN.

Non-dimensional measure for the surface cloud radiative effect.

LOWER TROPOSPHERIC STABILITY

Related to the strength of the capping inversion. θ is the potential temperature.

Page 6: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Microphysical responses

CCN concentration

Previous approaches vs. New approach

McComiskey et al., 2009

SW Radiative responses

Dro

p si

ze (µ

m)

Clou

d Ra

diat

ive

Effe

ct (r

CRE)

vs.

Liquid water path (g/m2)

Unperturbed Cloud

Drop Conc. (constant LWP)

ACI

Page 7: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

How do different properties influence the rCRE?

At Fixed LWP:

Weak trends with Ai

in both directions. Sena et al., ACPD, 2016

Southern Great Plains (SGP)

Aerosol: Ai τc

rCRE vs. LWP rCRE

Liquid water path (g/m2)

rCRE

Liquid water path (g/m2)

Page 8: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

How do different properties influence the rCRE?

At Fixed LWP:

Weak trends with Ai

in both directions.

2 cloud regimes:

- Low fc; High w’2

- High fc; Low w’2

Sena et al., ACPD, 2016

Southern Great Plains (SGP)

Aerosol: Ai τc

Turbulence: w’2

fc

rCRE vs. LWP rCRE

Liquid water path (g/m2)

rCRE

Liquid water path (g/m2) rC

RE

rCRE

Page 9: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

How do different properties influence the rCRE?

At Fixed LWP:

Weak trends with Ai

in both directions.

2 cloud regimes:

- Low fc; High w’2

- High fc; Low w’2

Southern Great Plains (SGP)

Aerosol: Ai τc

Decoupling: Di

LTS

Turbulence: w’2

fc

rCRE vs. LWP rCRE

Liquid water path (g/m2)

rCRE

rCRE

rC

RE

rCRE

rC

RE

Liquid water path (g/m2)

Page 10: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Aerosol vs. LWP signals on rCRE

At least 25 observations per day. N = 323 days

Mean: 0.00 + 0.02 Mean: 0.46 + 0.02

50% 50% 10% 90% SGP SGP

ρrCRE,Ai ρrCRE,LWP

Correlation rCRE, Ai Correlation rCRE, LWP

Distributions of daily correlations

Page 11: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Aerosol vs. LWP signals on rCRE

At least 25 observations per day. N = 323 days

Mean: 0.00 + 0.02 Mean: 0.46 + 0.02

50% 50% 10% 90% SGP SGP

ρrCRE,Ai ρrCRE,LWP

Correlation rCRE, Ai Correlation rCRE, LWP

Distributions of daily correlations

Page 12: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Jan-09-2006 Case study 1: Positive correlation, ρrCRE,Ai = 0.75

Strong positive correlation between rCRE, τc and LWP.

Time UTC (hour)

Page 13: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Jan-09-2006 Case study 1: Positive correlation, ρrCRE,Ai = 0.75

Strong positive correlation between rCRE, τc and LWP.

Time UTC (hour)

Aerosol Index

- Negative slopes, as expected. - Large variance for slopes.

Page 14: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Jan-09-2006 Case study 1: Positive correlation, ρrCRE,Ai = 0.75

Strong positive correlation between rCRE, τc and LWP.

Ai ; LWP

ρrCRE,Ai + ρLWP,Ai +

R = 0.50

Time UTC (hour)

Aerosol Index

- Negative slopes, as expected. - Large variance for slopes.

Aerosol Index

After ~16h UTC:

Page 15: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Apr-26-2006 Case study 2: Negative correlation, ρrCRE,Ai = -0.65

Strong positive correlation between rCRE, τc and LWP.

Time UTC (hour)

Page 16: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Apr-26-2006 Case study 2: Negative correlation, ρrCRE,Ai = -0.65

Strong positive correlation between rCRE, τc and LWP.

Positive slopes, contrary to expectation.

Time UTC (hour)

Aerosol Index

Page 17: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Apr-26-2006 Case study 2: Negative correlation, ρrCRE,Ai = -0.65

Strong positive correlation between rCRE, τc and LWP.

Ai ; LWP

Positive slopes, contrary to expectation.

ρrCRE,Ai - ρLWP,Ai -

R = -0.44

After ~14h UTC:

Time UTC (hour)

Aerosol Index

Aerosol Index

Page 18: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Correlation between correlations

Usually, if the aerosol index and LWP are positively correlated, the correlation between rCRE and aerosol

index is positive (and vice-versa).

N = 323 days

Are we actually seeing the LWP signal instead of the aerosol signal in Cloud Radiative Effect (rCRE)?

R = 0.54

Daily correlation of LWP and Ai

Page 19: Elisa Sena , Allison McComiskey , Graham Feingold elisats ... · meteorological properties from SGP ARM deployment. - Measurements at 1-minute resolution. - Low non-drizzling clouds

Summary 1) For SGP, the influence of aerosol on cloud RF is weak; macroscopic

cloud properties and dynamics play a much larger role in cloud RF compared to microphysical effects.

2) Microphysical metrics to estimate aerosol-cloud interaction are very uncertain.

3) We propose looking at aerosol indirect effects using higher-order properties that more significantly affect RF.

4) We are using the same approach to study sites under different cloud regimes (Amazônia).

Reference: Sena, E. T., McComiskey, A., and Feingold, G.: A long-term study of aerosol–cloud interactions and their radiative effect at a mid latitude continental site using ground-based measurements, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 2016.