Session 4 – Binomial Model & Black Scholes CORP FINC Shanghai 2015 - ANS.
4. Black-Scholes Models and PDEs - YorkU Math and...
Transcript of 4. Black-Scholes Models and PDEs - YorkU Math and...
Math6911 S08, HM Zhu
4. Black-Scholes Models and PDEs
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References
1. Chapter 13, J. Hull
2. Section 2.6, P. Brandimarte
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Outline
• Derivation of Black-Scholes equation
• Black-Scholes models for options
• Implied volatility
Math6911 S08, HM Zhu
4.1 Derivation of the Black-Scholes-Mertion differential equation
4. Black-Scholes Models and PDEs
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Assumptions for Black-SholesEquation
• Asset price follows the lognormal random walk• The risk-free interest rate r and the asset volatility σ are
known functions of time over the life of an option• No transaction cost or taxes• No arbitrage possibilities• No dividends during the life of an option • Trading of the underlying asset is continuous• Short selling is permitted and the assets are divisible
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Concepts underlying the Black-Scholes equation
• The option price & the stock price depend on the same underlying source of uncertainty
• We can form a portfolio consisting of the stock and the option which eliminates this source of uncertainty
• The portfolio is instantaneously riskless and must instantaneously earn the risk-free rate
• This leads to the Black-Scholes differential equation
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1 of 3: The Derivation of theBlack-Scholes Differential Equation
22 2
2 4 2
Model of the asset price: (4.1)
Option value V using Ito's lemma:
V V 1 V VV 2
We set up a portfolio consisting of short one option
dS S dt S dzˆ
d S S dt S dz ( . )S t S S
µ σ
∂ ∂ ∂ ∂µ σ σ∂ ∂ ∂ ∂
= +
⎛ ⎞= + + +⎜ ⎟⎝ ⎠
V long number of underlying assetS
∂∂
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The value of the portfolio is given byV V+ (4.3)
The change in its value in time is given byV V+ (4.4)
Substituting Eq's (4,1) and (4
SS
dt
d d dSS
∂∂
∂∂
Π
Π = −
Π = −
22 2
2
12
.2) to Eq (4.4) gives
V t (4.5) Vd S dt S
∂σ∂
⎛ ⎞∂Π = − +⎜ ⎟∂⎝ ⎠
2 of 3: The Derivation of theBlack-Scholes Differential Equation
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The return of the riskless portfolio would seea growth of t (4.6) over a time dt, where r is risk-free interest rate. Substituting Eq's (4.6) and (4.1
d r d
Π
Π = Π
22 2
2
1 02
) to Eq (4.5) leads tothe Black-Scholes equation:
V (4.7) V VS rS rVt S S
∂σ∂
∂ ∂+ + − =
∂ ∂
3 of 3: The Derivation of theBlack-Scholes Differential Equation
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The Black-Scholes Differential Equation
• Any derivative security whose price is dependent only on the current stock price and t, which is paid for up-front, must satisfies the Black-Scholes differential equation or its variations
• Other options, for example, American options that depend on both the history and present values of the asset, can also fit into the Black-Scholes framework
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4.2 More on the Black-Scholes-Mertion differential equation
4. Black-Scholes Models and PDEs
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• The delta given by is a measure of the
correlation/sensitivity between the movements of the option and the underlying asset
• The linear differential operator
is a measure of the difference between the return on a hedged option portfolio and the return on a bank deposit
The Derivative terms
SV∂∂
=∆
22 2
2
12
return on a bank depositreturn on hedged option portfolio
S rS rt S S
∂σ∂
∂ ∂+ + −
∂ ∂
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Risk-Neutral Valuation
• The variable µ does not appear in the Black-Scholesequation
• The only parameter from the stochastic differential equation involved is the volatility σ
• It is independent of risk preference• We can assume that all investors are risk-neutral• Therefore, the expected return on any securities is
the risk-free interest rate r
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Boundary and final conditions
• The Black-Scholes equation is a common type of PDEs, called backward parabolic equation
• For such an equation to have a unique solution, we will need the boundary and final conditions of V(S,t)
• For example, a typical boundary conditions are
• A typical final condition is the value of V(S, t) at t = T
( ) ( )( ) ( )⎩
⎨⎧
==
tVtbVtVtaV
b
a
,,
( ) ( )SVTSV T=,
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4.3 Black-Scholes analysis for European options
4. Black-Scholes Models and PDEs
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Boundary and final conditions for European call options
• The value of a European call option satisfies the Black-Scholesequation
( )( )⎩
⎨⎧
∞→==StSC
tC as ?,
?,0:conditionsBoundary
( ) ?,:condition Final =TSC
22 2
2
1 02
s.t.
C C CS rS rCt S S
∂σ∂
∂ ∂+ + − =
∂ ∂
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The Black-Scholes Formulas for C(S,t)(See p 48-49, [4]; proof of solving PDE, p76-79, [4])
( ) ( )
( )
( )
( )
2
1 2
2
1
2 1
12
2 2
2 2
where
r T t
yx
C S ,t S N( d ) K e N( d )
N x e dy
ln( S / K ) ( r / ) T td
T t
ln( S / K ) ( r / ) T td d T t
T t
π
σσ
σσ
σ
− −
−
−∞
= −
=
+ + −=
−
+ − −= = − −
−
∫
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Approximate the cumulative normal distribution function N(x) (See p 297, Hull)
( ) dyexNx y
∫ ∞−
−= 2
2
21 π
( ) ( )( )( )
( ) 2/54
321
55
44
33
221
2
21,330274429.1,821255978.1
781477937.1,35656378.0,319381530.0
2316419.0x1
1k
where0 xif10 xif1
:accuracyplacedecimal 6givesion that approximat polynomialA
xexNaa
aaa
xNkakakakakaxN
xN
−=′=−=
=−==
=+
=
⎩⎨⎧
≤−−≥++++′−
=
π
γγ
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The Black-Scholes Formulas for C(S,t)(Proof p 295, Hull; using risk-neutral evaluation)
( ) ( ) ( )( ) ( )
1 2
2
0
Another way to derive the Black-Scholes equation is to use risk-neutral valuation
where probability that the option will be e
r T tT
r T t r T t
ˆC S ,t e E max S K ,
e Se N( d ) K N( d )
N( d ) :
− −
− − −
= −⎡ ⎤⎣ ⎦⎡ ⎤= −⎣ ⎦
( )2
1 T T
xercised in a risk-neutral worldK probability that the strike price will be paid
expected value of a variable which equals S if S and is zero oth
r T t
N( d ) :
Se N( d ) : K− >erwise in a risk-neutral world
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European call value C(S,t) as a function of S and t (r = 0.1, σ=0.4, K=1)
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Boundary and final conditions for European put options
• The value of a European call option satisfies the Black-Scholesequation
( )( )
0Boundary conditions:
as P ,t ?
P S ,t ? S⎧ =⎪⎨ → →∞⎪⎩
( )Final condition: P S ,T ?=
22 2
2
1 02
s.t.
P P PS rS rPt S S
∂σ∂
∂ ∂+ + − =
∂ ∂
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The Black-Scholes Formulas for P(S,t) (See pages 48-49, [4])
( )2 1
Using the put-call parity we can obtain:
r T tP K e N( d ) S N( d )− −= − − −
( )Put-call parity: r T tS P C Ke− −+ − =
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European put value P(S,t) as a function of S and t (r = 0.1, σ=0.4, K=1)
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4.4 Implied Volatility
4. Black-Scholes Models and PDEs
Math6911, S08, HM ZHU
Implied Volatility
• Although volatility can be estimated from a history of the stock price, traders often work with implied volatility
• The implied volatility of an option is the volatility for which the Black-Scholes price equals the market price
• There is a one-to-one correspondence between prices and implied volatilities; therefore, an iterative search procedure can be used to find the implied volatility
• Often used to monitor the market’s opinion about the volatility of a particular stock