Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να...

16
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`ab _c]de %$:+)& I$- $+-%0 6F,%-'0*( 6f %&';- 'F- LA6FD g0 7H:$4 '04 E6+%4 2% 37)&- 6F,%-'0*; %-A1'&8F '% $1(,$-% 7:(-0% *%0 I0%:*H4 %&8%-(,$-$4 $-$:5$0%*34 %-A5*$4D Q) L&60*( %3:0) 2% 1%:%,$+-$0 1%5*)6,+?4 F $10*:%')/6% $10.)5; 50% -3% $:5)6'A60% F.$*':06,)/D J 7%,F.; P;'F6F %1( 'F- E,$:0*; I$- 2% 37$0 ?4 $1%*(.)&2) 'F- &1$:C).0*; 1:(6L):% L&60*)/ %$:+)& 6'F- h&:H1FD

description

Ανάλυση των πιθανών συνεπειών στις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας μετά την πρόσφατη ανακάλυψη του κοιτάσματος φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν

Transcript of Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να...

Page 1: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! "!

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

• V%! &1A:7$0! 1%5*(6,0%! P;'F6F! 50%! L&60*(! %3:0)! ,$'A! ')! WX"Y@! 7:)-0A!1)&! 102%-(-! ')! *)+'%6,%! B$C0A2%-! 2%! ,1):36$0! -%! 1:)?2F2$+! 6'F-!%5):AD!

!• Q)!:+6*)!$8(:&8F4! Z[\]^_`ab!_c]de!%$:+)&!I$-!$+-%0!6F,%-'0*(!6f!%&';-!

'F-!LA6FD!!

• g0!7H:$4!'04!E6+%4!2%!37)&-!6F,%-'0*;!%-A1'&8F!'%!$1(,$-%!7:(-0%!*%0!I0%:*H4!%&8%-(,$-$4!$-$:5$0%*34!%-A5*$4D!

!• Q)!L&60*(!%3:0)!2%!1%:%,$+-$0!1%5*)6,+?4!!F!$10*:%')/6%!!$10.)5;!50%!

-3%!$:5)6'A60%!F.$*':06,)/D!!

• J! 7%,F.;! P;'F6F! %1(! 'F-! E,$:0*;! I$-! 2%! 37$0! ?4! $1%*(.)&2)! 'F-!&1$:C).0*;!1:(6L):%!L&60*)/!%$:+)&!6'F-!h&:H1FD!

!

Page 2: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! W!

• S$-! 2%! &1).)5+6)&,$! 6'%! 6&,1$:A6,%'%! 102%-A! )L3.F! %1(! %-$/:$6F!1$':$.%+)&!6')!*)+'%6,%!B$C0A2%-D!!

!• Q)!%3:0)!'?-!%5?5H-!ijki!Zil^`_mnll`m^n_!j[_d`o!k_``m`!i^apoe!*%0!jqr!

Zj_al]! qs_ca^cm! rc\`pcl`e! I$-! $1%:*$+! 50%! 'F-! 0*%-)1)+F6F! '?-!,$..)-'0*H-! %-%5*H-! 'F4! h&:H1F4! *%0! 50N! %&'(! I$-! 1$:0.%,CA-)-'%0!6'F-!%-A.&6FD!

!I7J$0K:%)*8$)H&1:#$,-*.'&/$)01(&-$$J! %5):34! L&60*)/! %$:+)&! 1)&! 106'$/)&,$! ('0! 2%! 37)&-! $-$:5(! :(.)! 6'%!6$-A:0%! 1)&! 2%! $8$'A6)&,$! $+-%0! %&'34! 'F4! h&:H1F4! *%0! 'F4! E6+%4D! S$-! 2%!*)0'A8)&,$!'F-!%5):A!'?-!J-?,3-?-!t).0'$0H-@!1%:(.)!')!,35$2)4!'F4@!.(5?!')&! 5$5)-(')4! ('0! ,$! 'F-! 1A:)I)! ')&! 7:(-)&! F! '$7-)5-?6+%! 'F4! *%0! '%!%1)23,%'%! 'F4! 6')! ,F! 6&,C%'0*(! %3:0)! 2%! %-'0*%'%6';6)&-! '04! 1%:)/6$4!%-A5*$4!$06%5?5H-!L&60*)/!%$:+)&D!$G-1L78$$J! h&:H1F! $+-%0! ,$5A.)4! *%'%-%.?';4! L&60*)/! %$:+)&D! B%,CA-$0! '%! ,06A!%1)23,%'A!'F4!%1(!h&:?1%u*34!7H:$4!Z*&:+?4!v):CF5+%e!*%0!37$0!,0%!6'%2$:;!$';60%! A-)I)! P;'F6F4! 'F4! 'A8F4! ')&! WwD! E&'(@! 1)&! (,?4! !2$?:)/,$!$-I0%L3:)-@! $+-%0! ('0! F! $6?'$:0*;! 1%:%5?5;! ,$0H-$'%0! 6'%I0%*A! *%0! %&'(!IF,0)&:5$+! 3-%! *$-(! P;'F6F4! 1)&! 2%! 1:31$0! -%! $8&1F:$'F2$+! 6')! ,3..)-D! !Q)!*&:+%:7)! ,)-'3.)! '0,).(5F6F4! $+-%0! ,%*:)1:(2$6,%! 6&,C(.%0%! 1?.;6$?-@!1)&!I$-!$1F:$AP)-'%0!%1(!'04!':37)&6$4!'0,34!6'F-!%5):A!Z!]\n^!\_cm`]eD!E&'(!37$0! ?4! %1)'3.$6,%! -%! 5+-)-'%0! )0! '0,34! A*%,1'$4! *%0! F! %-%1:)6%:,)5;! -%!$+-%0!6&-I$I$,3-F@!6$!,$5A.)!C%2,(@!,$!'F-!'0,;!')&!%:5)/!1$':$.%+)&D!!J!h&:H1F!$8%:'A'%0!50%!'%!%1)23,%'%!'F4@!*%'A!*/:0)!.(5)@!%1(!'F-!>?6+%@!F!)1)+%! $+-%0! )! C%60*(4! 1:),F2$&';4! 'F4D! #'04! R:&83..$4! '%! '$.$&'%+%! 7:(-0%!&1A:7)&-!I0%:*H4!!6&PF';6$04!50%!'F-!I0%L):)1)+F6F!'?-!$06%5?5H-D!J!,37:0!'H:%!1:)'0,('$:F!./6F@!;'%-!F!$06%5?5;!L&60*)/!%$:+)&!%1(!')!EP$:,1%u'PA-!,$! ')-! %5?5(! xay[mmnD! E&'(! ')! 23,%! ;:2$! 6')! 1:)6*;-0)! ')! WXXz! ('%-! F!>?6+%@!,$'A!%1(!I0%L?-+%!1)&!$+7$!,$!'F-!g&*:%-+%@!%1)LA606$!-%!*.$+6$0!'F-!1%:)7;!L&60*)/!%$:+)&!1:)4!'F!I$/'$:F@!%..A!*%0!1:)4!(.F!'F-!h&:H1F! D!Q)!%1)'3.$6,%! %&';4! 'F4! 1)./! *:+60,F4! %1(L%6F4! !;'%-! -%! ,$+-$0! F!v)'0)%-%').0*;! h&:H1F! 7?:+4! %3:0)! *%'A! 'F-! I0A:*$0%! ')&! 7$0,H-%! *%0! -%!L%-$+!8$*A2%:%!1?4!F!h&:H1F!$8%:'H'%-@!6$!,$5A.)!C%2,(@!%1(!'F-!>?6+%!50%!'F-! 1%:%5?5;! $-3:5$0%4D!{$'A! ')! 5$5)-(4! %&'(@! )0! $10*$L%.;4! 'F4! h&:H1F4!*%'A.%C%-! ('0! I$-! ,1):)/-! -%! $+-%0! $8%:'F,3-)0! '?-! 1).0'0*H-! %1)LA6$?-!'F4! >?6+%4! *%0! A:706%-! -%! C.31)&-!L0.0*A! ')-@! $8! E,$:0*;4! &1)6'F:0P(,$-)@!%5?5(!xay[mmnD!!

Page 3: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! |!

!!$

M$)H"HJ#$NOPQRRS$

!t06'$/)&,$!('0!$+-%0!6F,%-'0*(!-%!$8$'A6)&,$!')-!xay[mmn@!50%'+!2$?:$+'%0!('0!$+-%0! ,0%! ./6F! 'F4! h&:H1F4@! H6'$! -%! I:%1$'$/6$0! %1(! ')! ,)-)1H.0)! 'F4!>?6+%4D! g! %5?5(4! %&'(4! 2%! 1$:-A$0! %1(! 'F-! Q)&:*+%@! 2%! 37$0! $';60%!7?:F'0*('F'%! |"! Rmb! Z}cppcnl! m[ycm!b`^`_]! K! S06$*%'),,/:0%! *&C0*A! ,3':%e!*%0!2%!$+-%0!%-'%5?-06'0*(4!')&!>?60*)/!~n[^�!]^_`ab@!1)&!*%0!%&'(4!37$0!?4!6'(7)!'F-!1:),;2$0%!'F4!vE!h&:H1F4@!1%:%*A,1')-'%4!'F-!g&*:%-+%D!t%:(.%!%&'A@!F! ./6F!xay[mmn! 37$0! I$7'$+! *:0'0*34!,$!*/:0)! $107$+:F,%!')!5$5)-(4!)'0!2$?:$+'%0!I/6*).)!-%!*%.&L'$+!F!7?:F'0*('F'%!'?-!|"!}mb!%1(!'F-!1$:0)7;D!T$5)-(4! $+-%0! ('0! ')! EP$:,1%u'PA-! ,1):$+! -%! *%./G$0! 1$:+1)&! ')! "Ä|! 'F4!7?:F'0*('F'%4! *%0! ')! &1(.)01)! 2%! 1:31$0! -%! 3:2$0! %1(! 7H:$4! (1?4! ')!Q)&:*,$-06'A-! *%0! ')! 9:A*D! Q)! 6&5*$*:0,3-)! 1:(C.F,%! IF,0)&:5;2F*$! 50%'+!6')-! %:70*(! 67$I0%6,(! 1:),F2$&'H-! C:06*('%-! *%0! ')! 9:A-@! %..A! .(5)! 'F4!1%:)/6F4! $72:0*;4! 1).0'0*;4! ')&! 1:)4! '%! !S&'0*A! *:A'F! @! I$-! &1A:7)&-!1$:02H:0%!6&,,$')7;4!')&D!Q)!1:(C.F,%!1)&!%-'0,$'?1+P$0!)!%5?5(4!$+-%0!('0!,$! ,(-F!1F5;! ':)L)I('F6F4! ')!EP$:,1%u'PA-! I$-! ,1):$+! -%! $+-%0! )0*)-),0*A!C0H60,)4!*%0!('0!')!Q)&:*,$-06'A-!*%0!R(:$0)!9:A*!%-'0,$'?1+P)&-!I&6*).+$4!1)&! I$-! ')&4! $10':31)&-! 'F-! $,1.)*;! ')&4D! !E1(! 'F-! 1.$&:A! ')&! 9:A*@! F!*$-':0*;! *&C3:-F6F! 1:31$0! -%! 6&,L?-;6$0! 1:0-! ')! R(:$0)! 9:A*! ,1):36$0! -%!$8A5$0!%3:0)!*%0!%&';!F!%1(L%6F!$+-%0!%1+2%-)!-%!I)2$+!6/-'),%D!Q)!1:(C.F,%!,$!')!Q)&:*,$-06'A-!$+-%0!('0!50%!-%!L'A6$0!')!%3:0)!')&@!%1(!')!*)+'%6,%!6')-!%5?5(!xay[mmn@!3-%4!$101.3)-!%5?5(4!2%!1:31$0!-%!*%'%6*$&%6'$+!*A'?!%1(!'F-!=%61+%!*%0!50N!%&'(-!7:$0AP$'%0!F!6/,L?-F!5-H,F!')&!9:A-!*%0!'F4!>?6+%4D!!Q3.)4@!C.31)&,$!('0!F!Q)&:*+%!')!'$.$&'%+)!*%0:(!37$0!%:7+6$0!-%!%-%PF'A!10)!$-$:5(! :).(! %1(! %&'(! ')&! I0%*),06';@! 23.)-'%4! -%! 5+-$0! ,$'%1?.F';4! ')&!%$:+)&!1)&!2%!,1%+-$0!6'F-!7H:%!'F4!%1(!')-!xay[mmnD! !Å:%@!I0%106'H-)&,$@!)'0! 7:$0AP)-%0! 6F,%-'0*34! 1$:%0'3:?! 1).0'0*34! %1)LA6$04! *%0! 102%-34!&1)7?:;6$04@! 50%! -%! 1:%5,%')1)0F2$+! %&';! F! $13-I&6FD! =%2H4! .)01(-@! )!1%:H-!%5?5(4!350-$!,$!1).0'0*A!*:0';:0%!*%0!(70!,$!)0*)-),0*(!:$%.06,(@!I$-!

Page 4: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! Ç!

,1):$+! -%! 2$?:F2$+! C3C%0F! F! 1:%5,%')1)+F6F! ')&! *%0! %&'(! ')! *%206'A!%-$1%:*;!./6F!50%!'F-!%-$8%:'F')1)+F6F!'F4!h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h&:H1F! *%0! E&6':%.+%e! 50%! ,$+?6F! '?-! $*1),1H-! I0)8$0I+)&! ')&! A-2:%*%D!h101:(62$'%@!')!%'/7F,%!6'F-!É)&*)&6+,%!A..%8$!'F-!A1)GF!'?-!1).0'H-!50%!'F-! 1&:F-0*;! $-3:5$0%! *%0! 36':$G$! '04! *&C$:-;6$04! 6$! ./6$04! 1%:%5?5;4!$-3:5$0%4!%1(!L&60*(!%3:0)D! !g0!1%:%1A-?!.(5)0!*A-)&-!'F-!E6+%!,0%!1$:0)7;!')&!*(6,)&@!1)&!(.)0!)0!1%:%5?5)+!2%!;2$.%-!-%!37)&-!1%:)&6+%D!!B(5?! ')&! *(6')&4! *%0! 'F4! 0I0),):L+%4! 'F4! !F1$+:)&@! F! *%'%6*$&;! I0*'/)&!%5?5H-! $+-%0! I%1%-F:;! *%0! ')! Ñxk! ZÑcÖ[`Üc`s! xa^[_ap! ka]! K! á5:)1)0F,3-)!L&60*(! %3:0)e! 2$?:$+'%0! )! 10)! %1)'$.$6,%'0*(4! ':(1)4! ,$'%L):A4! %$:+)&D!t%:(.)! (,?4@! 1)&! 50%! 'F-! 1$:0)7;! ')! Ñxk! 2$?:$+'%0! 1)./! %1)'$.$6,%'0*;!,32)I)4@! F! '0,;!1H.F6F4! $+-%0!&GF.('$:F!%1(!'F-!h&:H1FD!g! .(5)4! $+-%0! ('0!%&'34!)0!)0*)-),+$4!I$-!37)&-!'F-!$-%..%*'0*;!')&!%$:+)&!,36?!%5?5H-@!)1('$!50%!-%!%1)L/5)&-!'F-!%C$C%0('F'%@! !!)0!6&,CA6$04!,$!')&4!1:),F2$&'34! $+-%0!,36)Ä,%*:)1:(2$6,$4D! Q)! 5$5)-(4! %&'(! I+-$0! 6')-! 1?.F';! 'F-! I/-%,F! 'F4!I0%1:%5,A'$&6F4!*%0!%&'(!I0%,):LH-$0!'04!!'0,34!Ñxk!10)!GF.A@!*%'A!1$:+1)&!"!à!Ä!ây^[!Zbcppcnl!y^[e@!6$!6/5*:06F!,$!'F-!h&:H1F!*%0!'F-!E,$:0*;D!E&'(!')!ä*%13.)ã! Zäq]cal! \_`bc[bãe! !,1%+-$0! $8%0'+%4! '?-! ,$5A.?-! %1)6'A6$?-! 1)&!1:31$0! -%! *%.&L2)/-@! ')&! &GF.)/! *(6')&4! 7:;6F4! '?-! Ñxk! '$:,%'0*H-!6'%2,H-!*%0!'3.)4!'F-!3..$0GF!%-'%5?-06'0*)/!%$:+)&!%1(!%5?5)/4D!$

203.45)6U$7J*&$*8+)6%.'J#$0(6).$%0=.'4$$

Q$.0*A! !1(6)! 6F,%-'0*(! $+-%0! ')! *)+'%6,%! ')&! B$C0A2%-! *%0! 1(6)! 1:31$0! -%!%-F6&7$+! !'%! &1(.)01%! *:A'FO! Q)! *)+'%6,%!%&'(! C:+6*$'%0! 6$! %1(6'%6F!"|å!7.,!%1(!'04!C(:$0$4!%*'34!')&!96:%;.!*%0!6$!CA2)4!ååXX!,3':?-D!Q)!S$*3,C:0)!')&! WX"X@! $*1:(6?1)0! 'F4! $'%0:+%4! $8(:&8F4! I;.?6%-! ('0! C:32F*%-! "ç! jmÜ!Zj_cppcnl! é[ycm! è``^e! L&60*)/! %3:0)&! *%0! 106'$/$'%0! %1(! E,$:0*%-)/4!5$?.(5)&4! ('0@! 6'F! 1$:0)7;! Ñ`êal^! ya]cl! Z! 2%.A660%! 1$:0)7;! ,$'%8/! 96:%;.<=/1:)&<B0CA-)&e@!&1A:7)&-!%1)23,%'%!"WW!jmÜD!!!

Page 5: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! å!

!!

M,?4!%-!%-%.)506'$+!*A-$04!('0!'%!%1)23,%'%!'04!>?6+%4!L'A-)&-!'%!"åXX!jmÜ@!')&! 9:A-! '%! "XÇåDY! jmÜ! *%0! ')&! =%'A:! ëzåDë! jmÜ@! Z7H:$4! ,$! '%! ,$5%./'$:%!%1)23,%'%! 1%5*)6,+?4e! I0%106'H-)&,$! ('0! ')! -3)! *)+'%6,%! I$-! *%206'A! ')!96:%;.! 0*%-(! -%! %..A8$0! 'F-! 1%5*(6,0%! $-$:5$0%*;! 06)::)1+%D! t%:(.%! %&'A@!&1A:7)&-!A..%!6')07$+%@!1)&!*%206')/-!%&';-!'F-!%-%*A.&GF!6F,%-'0*;D!Q)!B$C0A2%-! C:+6*$'%0! 6'F-! {$6(5$0)@! !1)./! *)-'A! 6'F-! h&:H1F@! *%0! 6'F-!)0*)-),0*;!%1)*.$06'0*;!PH-F!ZEgíe!$-(4!I&'0*)/!*:A')&4@!!1)&!I$-!$+-%0!6'F-!A,$6F! $10::);! 'F4! >?6+%4D! ì'60! 37$0! '04! 0*%-34! 6&-2;*$4! 50%! -%! 5+-$0! ,0%!$-%..%*'0*;! ./6F! 50%! '04! h&:?1%u*34! 7H:$4! *%0! 3-%4! 102%-(4! 1%:A5)-'%4!$-$:5$0%*;4!6'%2$:('F'%4!6'F-!vE!h&:H1FD!!t:)C.31$'%0!('0!)0!%1%0';6$04!'F4!h&:H1F4!50%!$06%5?534!L&60*)/!%$:+)&!2%!%&8F2)/-!*%'A!!åXw!'%!$1(,$-%!WX!7:(-0%D!SF.%I;!)0!102%-34!$8%5?534!"!jmÜ!Z!j_cppcnl! m[ycm! Ü``^e! ')! 7:(-)! 2%! ,1):)/-! $/*).%! -%! %1)::)LF2)/-! ,(-)! %1(!'F-!h&:H1FD!E&'(!2%!L3:$0!36)I%!50%!')!96:%;.!')&.A706')-!'F4!'A8F4!'?-!àç!I04! 1)&! 2%! %-'01:)6?1$/)&-! Yw! ')&! $';60)&! 1:)î1).)506,)/D! !Q)! 1H4! 2%!,1):36)&-! %&'A! '%! -3%! 36)I%! -%! 7:F60,)1)0F2)/-! *%0! '0! %1)'$.36,%'%!,1):)/-!-%!37)&-!$+-%0!3-%!P;'F,%!,$!1)..34!1%:%,3':)&4!*%0!102%-A!6$-A:0%D!

Page 6: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! ç!

!

V.$71&*7)5&/+0$6)$0K0%4*&-+0$)'1.3L#$

ì7)-'%4! 1:%5,%')1)0;6$0! ,0%! 6/-'),F! %-A.&6F! '?-! %5):H-@! 2%!1:)61%2;6)&,$! -%! %-%./6)&,$! '04! 102%-34! %..%534! 6'04! 6736$04! '?-! ':0H-!*:%'H-!Z96:%;.<=/1:)&<>?6+%4e@!&1(!')!1:+6,%!')&!*)0'A6,%')4!B$C0A2%-D!!

E&';!F!%-%*A.&GF!$+-%0!1)./!6F,%-'0*;!50%!')!96:%;.!.(5?!')&!5$5)-(')4!('0!37)-'%4! I0%6L%.+6$0! '04! $6?'$:0*34! $-$:5$0%*34! ')&! %-A5*$4! %1(! A..%!*)0'A6,%'%!6'F-!1$:0)7;!ZQ%,A:e@!,1):$+!-%!7:F60,)1)0;6$0!')!L&60*(!%3:0)!')&! *)0'A6,%')4! B$C0A2%-! ,(-)! 50%! $,1):0*;! $*,$'A..$&6F! *%0! 50%!,$506')1)+F6F!102%-H-!)0*)-),0*H-!*%0!5$?1).0'0*H-!)L$.H-D!

{$:0*)+!1%+*'$4!2$?:)/-!')!B$C0A2%-!.&';!$-H!A..)0!,1):)/-!-%!')!2$?:)/-!1:(C.F,%D!Q)!,F!)L$.F,3-)!*:A')4!,1):$+!-%!2$?:F2$+!F!>?6+%@!F!)1)+%!$+-%0!*%0! )! *&:+%:7)4! 1%+*'F4! 6')! L&60*(! %3:0)D! J! >?6+%! 37$0! 6&,L3:)-! -%!I0%'F:;6$0! ')! ]^a^[]! Ö[n@! *%2H4! 6'F-! 1%:)/6%! 7:)-0*;! 6'05,;! $+-%0! F!,)-%I0*;@! )0*)-),0*A! %1)I$*';@! ./6F! 50%! 'F-! 1:),;2$0%! L&60*)/! %$:+)&! 6$!,$5A.$4!1)6('F'$4!6'F-!h&:H1FD!B(5)@!%&')/!')&!1.$)-$*';,%')4!!*%'AL$:$@!*%'A!')!1%:$.2(-@!-%!%-'.$+!067/!50%!-%!I0$8A5$0!I0$2-;!1).0'0*;D!

J!=/1:)4@!F!)1)+%!;'%-!%,$.F'3)4!1%+*'F4!6')-!$-$:5$0%*(!7A:'F@!!37$0!CA60,$4!$-I$+8$04! 50%! 6F,%-'0*A! *)0'A6,%'%! L&60*)/! %$:+)&! 6'F-! Egí! 'F4D! Q)!1:(C.F,%!1)&!%-'0,$'?1+P$0@!(,?4@!$+-%0!F!3..$0GF!0*%-('F'%4!-%!&1)6'F:+8$0@!%1(! ,(-F! 'F4@! '%! I0*%0H,%'A! 'F4@! .(5?! 'F4! $72:0*;4! 6'A6F4! 'F4! Q)&:*+%4D!t%:(.%! %&'A! $+-%0! 1)./! $-$:5;! 6')! -%! $*,$'%..$/$'%0! *A2$! $&*%0:+%! 6'F-!&1A:7)&6%!*%'A6'%6F!50%!-%!C$.'0H6$0!'F-!%-'%5?-06'0*;!'F4!236FD!!

!

M.$7.5)6:#$=/*0.#$H.)$%&$;*1)<=$$

$

J! 1:H'F! 6F,%-'0*;! %1(L%6F! 1)&! 1:31$0! -%! 1A:$0! ')! 96:%;.! $+-%0! 1?4! 2%!%80)1)0;6$0!'%!%1)23,%'%!')&D!V$?:F'0*A!&1A:7)&-!':$04!':(1)0D!!

$

!1L%8$=/*8$

g!1:H')4!$+-%0!,36?!%5?5)/!,$!1:)):06,(!'F-!h..AI%D!E-!$10.$5$+!'$.0*A!%&';!'F!./6F@!)!%5?5(4!%&'(4!2%!$+-%0!)!,$5%./'$:)4!&1)2%.A660)4!%5?5(4!1)&!37$0!*%'%6*$&%6'$+D! V%! 1F5%+-$0! 6$! CA2)4! WXXX! ,3':?-! *A'?! %1(! ')! 5$?.)50*A!I/6*).)! 1&2,3-%! 'F4! %-%').0*;4!{$6)5$+)&D! V%! 37$0! ,;*)4! "XÇX! 7.,! 50%! -%!'$:,%'+6$0! !6'F-!E''0*;!*%0! |XX! 7.,!1%:%1A-?!6$!1$:+1'?6F!1)&!23.)&-! -%!6&-I$2$+! *%'$&2$+%-! ,$! 'F-! R(:$0%! h..AI%D! M6)! 6&-%:1%6'0*(! *%0! -%!%*)/5$'%0! ')! 6&5*$*:0,3-)! $57$+:F,%! 37$0! *%'%6*$&6'0*34! 1:)*.;6$04! 1)&!,1):$+!-%!%1)I$072)/-!%1(!1)./!I%1%-F:34!,37:0!%-&13:C.F'$4D!

V$?:F'0*A!')!*(6')4!')&!%5?5)/!,1):$+!-%!L'A6$0!'%!àWå!I04@!%-!1A:)&,$!'%!6')07$+%! ')&! k_``l]^_`ab! Z')&! &1)2%.A660)&! %5?5)/! ,$'%8/! B0C/F4! *%0!

Page 7: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! Y!

#0*$.+%4!1)&!6')+706$!àç@ç!I04!<!à"|!$*Ä7.,!<!*%0!$+-%0!6')!,06(!CA2)4@!37$0!'F-!,06;! %1(6'%6F! *%0! ,$'3L$:$! ')! ,06(! %1(! ')! 1:)C.$1(,$-)! L):'+)eD! !Q)!6$-A:0)!%&'(!37$0!6'%!2$'0*A!')&@!('0!IF,0)&:5$+!50%!')!96:%;.!3-%!6F,%-'0*(!6/-I$6,)!,$!'F-!h&:H1F!*%0!7:F,%')1)0$+!'%!%1)23,%'%!%$:+)&!10)!5:;5):%D!ì7$0! (,?4! $1+6F4! ,$5A.)&4! *0-I/-)&4! *%'%6*$&;4@! 102%-34! &1$:CA6$04!*(6')&4!*%0!102%-;!$101.)*;!'?-!6736?-!')&!96:%;.!,$!'F-!>?6+%D!

$

W0/%018$=/*8$

J!I$/'$:F!./6F!*%0!F!10)!$10*:%'36'$:F!$+-%0!')!Ñxk!ZÑcÖ[`Üc`s!xa^[_ap!ka]eD!#$! %&'(! ')! 6$-A:0)! ')! %3:0)! 2%! &5:)1)0$+'%0! *A1)&! *)-'A! 6'F-! $8H:F8F@! 6$!1$:0)7;! ')&! 96:%;.! ;! 'F4! =/1:)&@! ,$'A! 2%! ,$'%L3:$'%0! ,$! 1.)+%! 6')-!1:)):06,(@!(1)&!*%0!2%!$1%-%$:)1)0$+'%0D!Q)!673I0)!50%!'F-!$5*%'A6'%6F!Ñxk!&1)23'$0! W! ä':3-%f!1)&!2%!1%:A5)&-!YXX!}mÜ! ')-! 7:(-)!,$! *(6')4! $13-I&6F4!à"W!K!à"å!I04D!{0%!./6F!50%!')!96:%;.!$+-%0!-%!*%'%6*$&A6$0!'F-!$5*%'A6'%6F!&5:)1)+F6F4! 6'F-! =/1:)! 1)&! $+-%0! 6'F-! +I0%! %1(6'%6F! %1(! '04! %*'34! ')&!96:%;.D!h1+6F4@!6f!%&'(!')!6$-A:0)@!')!96:%;.!2%!37$0!'F-!0*%-('F'%!-%!$8A5$0!%3:0)!6'04!%5):34!'F4!E6+%4!*%0!'F4!E,$:0*;4D!E&'(4!)!1%:A5)-'%4@!$*'(4!%1(!)0*)-),0*A! )L3.F@! I0('0! (1?4! $+1%,$! F! '0,;! 1H.F6F4! %$:+)&! 6'F-! E6+%! $+-%0!&GF.('$:F! %1(! 'F4! h&:H1F4@! 2%! L3:$0! *%0! )L3.F@! (1?4! F! $-I&-A,?6F! '?-!6736$?-! ,$! 7H:$4! 'F4! 1$:0)7;4! *%0! 'F! I&-%'('F'%! %1)L&5;4! $-(4! 1).3,)&!'0,H-!,$!'F-!>?6+%!50%!'F-!%5):A!'F4!h&:H1F4D!

!

Case LNG Base case Pipeline Base case Project IRR 18.6% 16.7% Project NPV 16,545 19,521 !

LNG 70% EU- 30% Asia LNG 50% EU - 50% Asia Project IRR 18.6% 19.3% Project NPV 16,545 18,155 !

Pipeline Base case Pipeline +30% Construction cost Project IRR 16.7% 14.0% Project NPV 19,521 13,005 !

LNG Base case Pricing LNG -20% average price Project IRR 18.6% 15.3% Project NPV 16,545 10,022 !

XYY$').$NZ[$ \*0$ 0']$ ^_$ H.)$B.),&10%.'4$*0641.)$ \H.)$701.**J%010#$7=81&,&1(0#$B0(%0$`aabcdef$E_$

!

$

$

Page 8: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! ë!

V1(%8$=/*8$

J! ':+'F! ./6F! $+-%0! ')! éxk! Zmnb\_`]]`s! la^[_ap! ïa]eD! !#f! %&'(! ')! 6$-A:0)! ')!96:%;.! 2%! CA.$0! 1A-?! %1(! ')! *)+'%6,%! 3-%! 1.)+)! èr~ñ! ZÜpna^clï! \_ns[m^cnl@!]^n_aï`!als!nÜÜpnasclïe!50%!-%!.%,CA-$0@!,$'A!')!I0%7?:06,(!')&!%1(!')!-$:(@!%3:0)! 6$! 6&,10$6,3-F! ,):L;D! #'F! 6&-37$0%! ')! %3:0)! %&'(! 2%! L):'H-$'%0!*%2F,$:0-A! 6$! "<W! ,$5A.%! éxk! 1.)+%! ,$! 1:)):06,)/4! 'F-! =/1:)! *%0! 'F-!h..AI%D!M,?4@!6f%&';!'F-!./6F!%-%5*%+%!6&-2;*F!$+-%0!('0!F!=/1:)4@!I;.%IF!,0%! 1)./! *)-'0-;! 7H:%@! 2%! $+-%0! 6F,%-'0*;! $06%5?53%4! %3:0)&@! .(5)! ')-!1$:0):06,(!,$'%L):A4D!M,?4@!'%!$&:;,%'%!I$+7-)&-@!(70!,(-)!('0!I$-!2%!$+-%0!$06%5?53%4! %..A! 2%! 5+-$0! *%0! 6F,%-'0*(4! $8%5?53%4! 6')! ,3..)-D! ì'60@! 7?:+4!%&';-!'F-!6&-2;*F@!F!./6F!%&';!,1):$+!-%!2$?:F2$+!,F!C0H60,FD!

$

!&.&#$0(6).$&$1J=&#$%8#$?/71&-$

J!'$.0*;!%1(L%6F!')&!96:%;.!I$-!2%!6'F:072$+!,(-)!6$!)0*)-),0*A!I$I),3-%D!E-! F! ./6F! 1)&! 2%! %*).)&2F2$+! $+-%0! F! &5:)1)+F6F! ')&! L&60*)/! %3:0)&@! 2%!&1A:7)&-! 1)..34! 6&-3:50$4! ,$! 'F-! =/1:)@! 1)&! 2%! ,1):)/-! -%! %80)1)0F2)/-D!M1?4! $01H2F*$! *%0! 1:0-@! F! =/1:)4! $+-%0! 1)./! 102%-(-! -%! 5+-$0! *%0! %&';!$8%5?53%4! L&60*)/! %3:0)&D! ì'60@! $A-! ')! 96:%;.! I$7'$+! -%! 37)&-! *)0-;!!$5*%'A6'%6F! &5:)1)0;6F4@! 2%! $8)0*)-),F2)/-! %1(! 'F-! %:70*;! $13-I&6F!')&.A706')-! àå! I04D! h101:(62$'%@! %-! '$.0*A! %1)L%606'$+! F! $5*%'A6'%6F! -%!5+-$0!6$!*&1:0%*(!7H:)@!2%!,1):36$0!')!96:%;.!-%!$1?L$.F2$+!%1(!')!5$5)-(4!)'0!F!=/1:)4!$+-%0!1.;:$4!,3.)4!'F4!h&:?1%u*;4!ì-?6F4D!E&'(!2%!,1):36$0!-%!37$0! %1(! L):).)50*A! )L3.F! 50%! 1?.;6$04! $-'(4! 'F4! ì-?6F4! ,37:0! *%0! 'F-!102%-('F'%!$10I)';6$?-!50%!$-$:5$0%*34!$1$-I/6$04!6$!h&:?1%u*(!3I%L)4D!

E1(! %&';-! 'F-! 6&-$:5%6+%! ')! 96:%;.! 2%! ,1):36$0! -%! %1)*),+6$0! *%0! ,F!)0*)-),0*A! )L3.FD! Q)! 96:%;.@! (-'%4! ')! ,(-)! ,F! 96.%,0*(! *:A')4! 6'F-! {36F!E-%').;@! ,36%! 6'F-! I+-F! '?-! %-%*%'%'A8$?-! 1)&! IF,0)&:5)/-'%0! %1(! 'F-!%:%C0*;!A-)08F!*%0!.(5)!3..$0GF!'?-!*%.H-!6736$?-!,$!'F-!Q)&:*+%!%&';!'F-!1$:+)I)@!GA7-$0! 50%! 3-%-!5$+')-%!1)&!2%!,1):36$0! -%! 37$0! ,%*:)7:(-0%!*)0-A!)L3.FD! J! =/1:)4@! ,%P+! ,$! 'F-! h..AI%@! ,$! 'F-! h&:?1%u*;! 0I0('F'%! *%0! 'F-!%-A5*F! 50%!1).0'0*;! &1)6';:08F!6'F-!1$:0)7;@! 1.F:$+! 6F,%-'0*)/4! (:)&4! 50%!-%!%-'0*%'%6';6$0!'F-!Q)&:*+%!?4!6/,,%7)!5$+')-%!')&!96:%;.D!

ì-%!A..)!23,%@!1)&!1:31$0!-%!%-%L3:)&,$@!$+-%0@!('0!,$!'F-!$5*%'A6'%6F!'F4!&5:)1)0;6F4! 6$! *&1:0%*(! 3I%L)4@! %1),%*:/-)-'%0! ')! $-I$7(,$-)@! 102%-34!$10236$04! %1(! 'F-! ó%,A4! *%0! 'F-! ó$P,1).A7D! t%:(.)! 1)&! ')! 96:%;.! 37$0!IF.H6$0!('0!2%!I0%236$0!6':%'0?'0*;!I/-%,F!50%!'F-!A,&-%!'?-!$-$:5$0%*H-!$5*%'%6'A6$?-@!2%!37$0!,FI%,0-)/4!.)5)/4!%-F6&7+%4@!%-!F!$5*%'A6'%6F!5+-$0!6'F-! =/1:)@! 1)&! 8$1$:-A! 'F-! ,3506'F! $,C3.0%! '?-! 1/:%&.?-! 'F4! ó$6,1).A!Z,3506'F! $,C3.0%! 1$:+1)&! WåX! 7,eD! h1+6F4@! ,0%! 1:)61A2$0%! I).0)L2):A4! '?-!$5*%'%6'A6$?-@! ,$0H-$'%0! I:%6'0*A! F! 102%-('F'%@! .%,CA-)-'%4! &1f! (GF! ('0!2%!1:)*%.36$0!PF,034!*%0!6f!3-%!$&:?1%u*(!*:A')4D!

h8$'AP)-'%4! (,?4! '%! )L3.F! 50%! '04! I&)! 1.$&:34! ,1):)/,$! -%! 1)/,$! ('0! F!=/1:)4! +6?4! 37$0! 1$:066('$:%! -%! *$:I+6$0! %1(!%&';-! 'F-! 6&-$:5%6+%D!ì*'(4!%1(! '04! )0*)-),0*34! 6&-3:50$4! 'F4! *)0-;4! $5*%'A6'%6F4! 1)&! %-%./6%,$!1:)F5)&,3-?4@!F!=/1:)4!2%!37$0!A,$6%!1).0'0*A!)L3.FD!{$'A!'F-!$06C).;@!)0!

Page 9: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! z!

6736$04! 'F4! ,$! 'F-! Q)&:*+%! $+-%0! '$'%,3-$4@! 50%! 1)..)/4! .)5)/4! 1)&! I$-!,1):)/,$! -%! %-%L3:)&,$! 6')! 1%:(-! *$+,$-)D! J! Q)&:*+%! I$-! %-%5-?:+P$0! ')!*&1:0%*(! *:A')4! *%0! L&60*A! 'F-! %1)*.$06'0*;! )0*)-),0*;! ')&! PH-FD! =%'A!I0%6';,%'%! ,A.06'%! C.31)&,$! %*(,F! *%0! 1:)*.F'0*34! $-3:5$0$4@! %1(! 'F-!1.$&:A!'F4!Q)&:*+%4@!,$!%1H'$:)!6*)1(!'F-!IF,0)&:5+%!2$:,)/!$1$06)I+)&D!

J! =/1:)4@! 37)-'%4! ?4! ,(-F! 1:)6'A'0I%! 7H:%! 'F-! h..AI%@! I$-! 37$0! 1)..34!$10.)534!6'F-!1:)*.F'0*('F'%!'F4!A..F4!1.$&:A4D!ì'60!6f!%&'(!')!1$:0CA..)-!2%! ,1):)/6$! -%! )L$.F2$+! 6$! 6F,%-'0*(! C%2,(! %1(! 3-%-! 6/,,%7)@! (1?4! ')!96:%;.@! 1)&! 2%! ,1):$+! -%! '04! 1:)6L3:$0! 1).0'0*;! 6';:08F! 6'F-! *)0-;!$-$:5$0%*;!1).0'0*;!1)&!2%!&.)1)0;6)&-D!

Q)! $:H'F,%! 1)&! 1:)*/1'$0! $+-%0! 1(6)! 3')0,)! $+-%0! ')! 96:%;.! *%0! '0! 37$0! -%!7A6$0@!%-!*%./G$0!1).0'0*A!'F-!=/1:)!6f!3-%!102%-(!$1$06(I0)!,$!'F!Q)&:*+%D!g0!*/:0$4!$8%:';6$04!')&!96:%;.!,$!'F-!Q)&:*+%@!'H:%!1)&!2$?:$+'%0!%-$8A:'F')!$-$:5$0%*A@! 37)&-! -%! *A-)&-! ,$! ')! -$:(! *%0! %,&-'0*(! $8)1.06,(D! Q)! 96:%;.!$06A5$0! 1(60,)! -$:(@! %1(! ')! )1)+)! 37$0! 3..$0GF@! ,$! ][\`_^ald`_]! *%0! 1)&.A$0!%,&-'0*A! 6&6';,%'%! 6')-! Q)&:*0*(! 6':%'(@! )! )1)+)4! $+-%0! )! I$/'$:)4!,$5%./'$:)4!6')!vEQgD!M6)-!%L):A! ')! -$:(@! ;IF!,$'A! '%! 5$5)-('%!(1)&! '%!ä1.)+%!'F4!$0:;-F4ã!!1:)61A2F6%-!-%!61A6)&-!')!$,1A:5*)!')&!96:%;.@!(.%!'%!$,1):0*A!6&,C(.%0%!,$'%8/!'?-!I/)!*:%'H-!1)&!;'%-!3')0,%!-%!&1)5:%L)/-!,%'%0H2F*%-! ZåX! $*D! *&C0*A! ,3':%! -$:)/! $'F6+?4e! *%0! I$-! 6&-$7+6'F*%-! )0!I0%1:%5,%'$/6$04D! M6)-! %L):A! '%! %,&-'0*A! 6&,C(.%0%@! ')! *(6')4! $+-%0!I/6*).)!-%!%80).)5F2$+!%1(!'04!IF,)6+?4!I0%2360,$4!1.F:)L):+$4D!

!

@"*()U$&$'-1()19&#$7)('%8#$

J!>?6+%!$,1):$/$'%0!')!,$5%./'$:)!1)6)6'(!')&!%3:0)&!'F4!,36?!%5?5H-!*%0!,%*:)7:(-0?-!6&,C).%+?-D!Q)!,$5%.&'$:)!',;,%!%1(!%&'(!')!%3:0)!1A$0!6'F-!h&:H1FD! {37:0! 1:(6L%'%@! 1).0'0*;! 'F4! kaò\_nb@! 'F4! *:%'0*;4! :?60*;4!$'%0:+%4!%$:+)&@!;'%-!-%!*%./G$0@!,36?!'?-!-3?-!%5?5H-!xn_s<~n[^�!~^_`ab@!'F-! I0%L):A! 1)&! IF,0)&:5$+'%0! %1(! 'F-! ,$+?6F! 'F4! h&:?1%0*;4! $57H:0%4!1%:A5?5F4D!t%:(.%!%&'A@!,$'A!'F-!3-%:8F!'F4!)0*)-),0*;4!*:+6F4!*%0!&1(!'F-!$,LA-06F!')&!%5?5)/!xay[mmn!*%0!'?-!96:%F.0-H-!*)0'%6,A'?-@!F!)0*)-),0*;!C0?60,('F'%!'?-!%5?5H-!$+-%0!&1(!%,L06C;'F6FD!J!>?6+%@!50%!-%!06)::)1;6$0!%&';-!'F-!%C$C%0('F'%@!1:)61%2$+!-%!I0%L):)1)0;6$0!*%0!-%!,$0H6$0!')!:+6*)!'?-! $6(I?-! %1(! $8%5?534! L&60*)/! %3:0)&@! *%2H4! 1%+P)&-! 1)./! 6F,%-'0*(!:(.)!6'F-!)0*)-),+%!'F4D!J!./6F!1)&!1:)?2$+'%0!IF,(60%@! $+-%0!F!IF,0)&:5+%!%5?5H-!50%!1:),;2$0%!L&60*)/!%$:+)&!6'F-!=+-%D!#f!%&'(!')-!'),3%@!L%+-$'%0!('0! ,$'A! %1(! 1)..A! 7:(-0%! I0%1:%5,%'$/6$?-! IF,0)&:5$+'%0! $.1+I%! !50%!102%-;!6&,L?-+%@!50%!6&5*:0,3-$4!1)6('F'$4!*%0!')1)2$6+$4D!

{0%! A..F! 102%-;! ./6F! 50%! 'F-! >?6+%! $+-%0! F! *%'%6*$&;! &1)I),H-! 50%! 'F-!,%P0*;! $8%5?5;! ÑxkD! E&';! 2%! ;'%-! ,0%! 1)./! 6F,%-'0*;! %1(L%6F! ,$!1:)$*'A6$04!1)&!%8+P)&-!-%!%-%.&2)/-D!E-!F!>?6+%@!F!)1)+%!$+-%0!F!,$5%./'$:F!$8%5?53%4! %$:+)&@! %..A! ,$! %,$.F'3)! 1)6)6'(! Ñxk@! %:7+6$0! -%! $,1):$/$'%0!,$5A.$4!1)6('F'$4!%1(!&5:)1)0F,3-)!%3:0)@!2%!%..A8$0!I),0*A!'F-!%5):A@!,$!%1)'3.$6,%! -%! %1)*';6$0! 7%:%*'F:06'0*A! 'F4! %5):A4! 1$':$.%+)&D! E&';! F!%..%5;!2%!,1):)/6$!-%!$+-%0!?L3.0,F!50%!'F-!>?6+%!50%!I/)!.(5)&4D!t:H')-@!,1):$+! ,37:0! 'H:%! 3-%! ,$5A.)! 1.$)-3*'F,%! 'F4! kaò\_nb! -%! ;'%-! %*:0CH4! F!

Page 10: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! "X!

0*%-('F'%! 'F4! -%! 1:)6L3:$0!L'F-(! %3:0)! ,36)! %5?5H-@! %..A! 1.3)-! F! %5):A!37$0! %..A8$0! *%0! )0! $-%..%*'0*34! 50%! ')&4! $06%5?5$+4! 37)&-! 1.F2/-$0D! h+-%0!5$5)-(4@! ('0! )! ka]! ôö\n_^clï! én[l^_c`]! èn_[b! ñ_ïalcòa^cnl! I$-! *%'AL$:$! -%!$.358$0! 'F-! '0,;! ')&! L&60*)/! %3:0)&! *%0! -%! 5+-$0! )! %-'+6')07)4! ñrôé! 6'F-!%5):A! %&';D! Q)! C%60*(! $107$+:F,%! $+-%0! ('0! F! I),;! 'F4! %5):A4! $+-%0!6&-&L%6,3-F!,$!,%*:)7:(-0%!6&,C(.%0%!')10*)/!7%:%*';:%!*%0!I$-!&1A:7$0!')!1%5*(6,0)!$,1):0*(!I+*'&)@!(1?4!6'F-!1$:+1'?6F!')&!%:5)/!1$':$.%+)&D!J!%5):A!$8$.+66$'%0! @!(,?4@!*%0!C.31)&,$!-%!IF,0)&:5$+'%0!1+$6F!6'04!'0,34!'?-!,%*:)7:(-0?-! 6&,C).%+?-@! $0I0*A! 6'F-! h&:H1F@! ,$'A! 'F-! %-AI$08F! ')&! ,F!6&,C%'0*)/!%3:0)&!*%0!'F4!7%,F.;4!]\n^!%5):A!ÑxkD!!

{f%&'(-!')-!':(1)@!C.31)&,$!('0!,1):$+!F!%5):A!-%!,$'%':%1$+!6'%I0%*A!%1(!')10*;!6$!1%5*(6,0%!*%0!)0!,$5A.)0!$8%5?5$+4!-%!2$.;6)&-!-%!IF,0)&:5;6)&-!3-%!,F7%-06,(!3.$57)&!'F4!'0,;4!')&!ÑxkD!E&'(!2%!;'%-!1:)4!(L$.)4!(.?-!'?-!,$.H-!')&!ka]!ôö\n_^clï!én[l^_c`]!èn_[b!ñ_ïalcòa^cnl@!'%!)1)+%!$.357)&-!')!YXw! 'F4! 1%5*(6,0%4! 1:),;2$0%4! L&60*)/! %3:0)&D! t%:(.)! ')! '$:A6'0)!1)6)6'(@!(,?4@!%-!F!>?6+%!I$-!%&8;6$0!')!1)6)6'(!'F4!6')!Ñxk@!)0!&1(.)01$4!7H:$4!2%!$+-%0!I/6*).)!-%!$.358)&-!'F-!'0,;!*%0!'F-!1%:A5?5FD!

!

!.5)64$)7&%:=0*+)%)$$

E1(! 'F-! %-A.&6F! $10.)5H-! 50%! ')! ':(1)! $8%5?5;4! ')&! L&60*)/! %3:0)&@!,1):)/,$! -%! 1)/,$! ('0! F! 10)! 102%-;! $10.)5;! 50%! ')! 96:%F.! $+-%0! ')!&5:)1)0F,3-)! %3:0)! ZÑxkeD! g0! .(5)0! $+-%0! '%! *%./'$:%! )0*)-),0*A!%1)'$.36,%'%! Z&GF.('$:)! xrõe@! ')! 7%,F.('$:)! :+6*)! &.)1)+F6F4! 'F4!$13-I&6F4! *%0! F! I&-%'('F'%! $8%5?5H-! 6$! ,%*:0-)/4! 1:)):06,)/4! ,$!'%&'(7:)-F! 0*%-)1)+F6F! '?-! %-%5*H-! 'F4! vE! h&:H1F4D! !g6)-! %L):A! 'F-!6&-$:5%6+%! 96:%;.<! =/1:)&@! 'F! C:+6*)&,$! 1)./! 102%-;! %-%.)50P(,$-)0! '04!,$5A.$4! 6&-3:50$4@! )0*)-),0*34! *%0! 1).0'0*34@! 1)&! IF,0)&:5)/-'%0! *%0! 50%! '04!I/)! 1.$&:34@! ,$! ,)-%I0*(! *(6')4! 'F-! 1$:%0'3:?! $10I$+-?6F! '?-! 6736$?-!,$'%8/!96:%;.<Q)&:*+%4D!

#'F-!$1+I:%6F!'?-!6736$?-!'F4!>?6+%4!,$!')! 96:%;.!'%!6&,1$:A6,%'%!$+-%0!(,?4! 10)! 2).AD! E-'+2$'%! ,$! 'F-! *)0-;! %-'+I:%6F! 6')! 1:H')! A*)&6,%! 'F4!$+IF6F4@! %&'(! 1)&! 106'$/)&,$! $+-%0! ('0! ')! *)+'%6,%! B$C0A2%-! 2%! L3:$0! 10)!*)-'A! 'F-! >?6+%! *%0! ')! 96:%;.D! #+5)&:%@! '%! -3%! %1)23,%'%! ')&! 96:%;.! I$-!;'%-!,0%!*%.;!$+IF6F!50%!'F-!>?6+%@!*%2H4!%1)I&-%,H-$0!'F-!$10::);!1)&!37$0!6'F-!h&:H1FD!t%:(.%!%&'A@!')!$:H'F,%!1)&!1:31$0!-%!I)/,$!$+-%0!%-!&1A:7$0!*A'0@!1)&!,1):$+!-%!*A-$0!F!>?6+%!50%!-%!%-'06':3G$0!'F-!%:-F'0*;!*%'A6'%6F!50%!%&';D!!

J!A1)GF!,%4!$+-%0@!('0!I$-!&1A:7$0!*A1)0%!6&,L3:)&6%!*+-F6F@!'F4!)1)+%4!'%!)L3.F!8$1$:-)/-!')!*(6')4D!J!.(5)0!$+-%0U!!

)]!g'0!F!>?6+%!I$-!37$0!%6/,,$':F!1).0'0*;!$10::);!6')!96:%;.D!

3]!S$-!2%!37$0!'%!%-A.)5%!)L3.F@!%-!%..A8$0!'F!6'A6F!'F4!6')!,$6%-%').0*(D!!

H]!J!1'H6F!'0,H-!6'%!,%*:)7:(-0%!6&,C(.%0%!,1):$+! -%!2$?:F2$+!I$I),3-F@!$8%0'+%4! 'F4! ,$5A.F4! I0%L):A4! 'F4! ,36F4! '0,;4! ,$'%8/! ]\n^! %5):A4! *%0!,%*:)7:(-0?-! 6&,C).%+?-D! E-! $101:(62$'%@! F! >?6+%4! $,1.%*$+! 6$! 1(.$,)!

Page 11: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! ""!

'0,H-! ,$! ')! 96:%;.@! %&';! 37$0! -%! 7A6$0! 1$:066('$:%! %1(! ')! I$/'$:)D! E&'(!1:)*/1'$0!%1(!'F!L/6F!'F4!$13-I&6F4@!IF.%I;!%1(!')!5$5)-(4!('0!F!,$'%L):A!,36?!%5?5H-! !I$6,$/$0!'F-!>?6+%! !6'F-!6&5*$*:0,3-F!%5):A@! $-H!')! 96:%;.@!,$! ')! Ñxk! @1)&! ,$'%L3:$'%0! 6$! 1.)+%@! ,1):$+! -%! %1$,1.%*$+! A,$6%!%*).)&2H-'%4!'F-!&GF.('$:F!1:)6L$:(,$-F!'0,;D!!

T0%!')&4!1%:%1A-?!.(5)&4@!106'$/$'%0!('0!F!*%./'$:F!6':%'F50*;!'F4!>?6+%4!50%!'F-!&1)6';:08F!'?-!6&,L$:(-'?-!'F4@!$+-%0!F!I0%';:F6F!;!*%0!$-I&-A,?6F!'?-!6736$?-!'F4!,$!')!96:%;.D!!

M,:=8$*-601H)*()#$

V%!1:)61%2;6)&,$!-%!I)/,$!'%!)L3.F!%&';4!'F4!%-$1'&5,3-F4!6736F4!,$'%8/!'?-!I&)!%&'H-!*:%'H-@!):+P)-'%4!'%!6$!C:%7&1:(2$6,%@!*%0!,%*:)1:(2$6,%D!#')! A,$6)! ,3..)-@! ,0%! *%.;! 6736F! ,$! ')! 96:%;.! 2%! ,1):)/6$! -%! L3:$0! ,0%!6&-$:5%6+%!6'%!-3%!*)0'A6,%'%!6'F!Ñaêal^!}a]cl@!.(5?!'F4!3..$0GF4!$,1$0:+%4!!1)&! $7$0! F! 96:%F.0-;! $'%0:+%! $8(:&8F4! 6$! nÜÜ]�n\`! *)0'A6,%'%! %3:0)&D! J!kaò\_nb!37$0!'04!'$7-0*34!0*%-('F'$4!*%0!-%!1%+8$0!%&'(!')-!:(.)@!%5):AP)-'%4!1)6)6'(! '?-! *)0'%6,A'?-! ;! ,$! %1.;! 6&-$:5%6+%! ,$! 'F-! xnyp`! `l`_ïoD! ì-%!%*(,F!5$5)-(4!1)&!I$-!,1):)/,$!-%!1%:%C.3G)&,$@!$+-%0!)'0!F!h&:H1F!23.$0!I0%*%H4!-%!37$0!*%0!3-%!I$/'$:)!,%*:)7:(-0)!1:),F2$&';!L&60*)/!%$:+)&D!{$!CA6F! 'F! .)50*;! ')&! )'0! %&'(! ')! $-I$7(,$-)! $0-%0! %-%1(L$&*')! @! F! >?6+%! 2%!,1):)/6$! -%! IH6$0! 6&-%0-$'0*A! 'F-! 236F! ')&! I$/'$:)&!1%:(7)&!6')! 96:%;.@!*$:I+P)-'%4!3'60!1).0'0*A!)L3.F!*%0!37)-'%4!1A-')'$!'F-!$-%..%*'0*;!./6F!-%!$10*$-':?2$+! 6$! ,$5%./'$:)! C%2,(! 6'F-! :%5I%+%! %-%1'&66(,$-F! %5):A! 'F4!=+-%4D! ì-%! A..)! (L$.)4@! 1)&! 2%! 37$0@! $+-%0! ('0! 2%! ,1):$+! -%! $1F:$A6$0@! !%1(!*)0-)/!,$! ')! 96:%;.@! '04! '0,34!%3:0)&!6$!*A1)0$4!1$:0)734D!E1)'3.$6,%!%&')/!$+-%0! -%! ,F-! &1A:7$0! &GF.(4! %-'%5?-06,(4! *%0! -%! ,F-! %&8F2$+! 1$:%0'3:?! F!1+$6F@! 1)&! I37$'%0! 50%! '%! &GF.;4! '0,;4@! ,%*:)7:(-0%! 6&,C(.%0%! 1)&! 37$0! ,$!$&:?1%u*34! 7H:$4D! !Q3.)4@! ,%*:)1:(2$6,%@! ,1):)/,$! -%! %-%L3:)&,$@! ('0!$1$0I;! 2%! $+-%0! 102%-;! F! $+6)I)4! ')&! 96:%;.! @! 6$! 6&-$:5%6+%! ,$! !'F-! =/1:)@!6'F-! ),AI%! $8%5?53?-! L&60*)/! %3:0)&@! $+-%0! 1)./! 102%-(-! F! >?6+%! -%!$102&,$+!'F-!*%.;!6&-$--(F6F!,f!%&'A!'%!I/)!I&'0*A!*:A'FD!

$

A-+7014*+)%)$

ì7)-'%4! $8$'A6$0! ')! 23,%! '?-! 6736$?-! *%0! '%! 102%-A! !%1)'$.36,%'%@! 1A-'%!,36%! %1(! ')! 1:+6,%! '?-! %-)07'A! 1:)6CA60,?-! 1.F:)L):0H-@! ,1):)/,$! -%!6&,1$:A-)&,$!%1(!'F-!%-A.&6F!,%4!('0!')!B$C0A2%-!I$-!$+-%0!,0%!%-%*A.&GF@!1)&!2%!L3:$!%-'%5?-06,(!*%0! !%1)I&-A,?6F!'?-!6736$?-!,$'%8/!'?-!':0H-!%&'H-! *:%'H-@! %..A! ,A..)-! 2%! $10L3:$0! 6&-$:5%6+%! 50%! 'F-! $10I+?8F! '?-!6&,L$:(-'?-!')&4@!1)&!'&7%+-$0!-%!$&2&5:%,,+P)-'%0!6'F-!1$:0)7;D!!

!

$

$

$

Page 12: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! "W!

$

`ZZgNhXi$E$

$

j&6%:=&$gfRbk$$

#')! 1%:%*A'?! ,)-'3.)! ôöm`p! 1:)61%2)/,$! -%! 6&5*:+-)&,$! '%! )0*)-),0*A!%1)'$.36,%'%!'?-!I&)!,$2(I?-!I0)73'$&6F4!L&60*)/!%$:+)&!6'F-!%5):A!ZÑxk!K! *%'%6*$&;! L&60*)/! %5?5)/e! *A'?! %1(! I0%L):$'0*A! 6$-A:0%D! J! 7:)-0*;!I0A:*$0%! ')&! ,)-'3.)&! $+-%0! |ç! 7:(-0%! %..A! 50%! 1:%*'0*)/4! .(5)&4!1%:)&60AP)-'%0! ,(-)! '%! 1:H'%! ë! 7:(-0%@! 6'%! )1)+%! L%+-)-'%0! *%0! )0! 10)!7:;60,$4!1.F:)L):+$4D!!

Q%!6$-A:0%!1)&!$10.372F*%-!$+-%0!U!

"D S0)73'$&6F!')&!YXw!'F4!$';60%4!1%:%5?5;4!Ñxk!6'F-!h&:H1F!*%0!')&!|Xw!6'F-!E6+%D!!

WD S0)73'$&6F!')&!"XXw!')&!L&60*)/!%$:+)&!6'F-!h&:H1F!,36?!%5?5)/D!

|D S0)73'$&6F!')&!åXw!'F4!$';60%4!1%:%5?5;4!Ñxk!6'F-!h&:H1F!!*%0!')&!åXw!6'F-!E6+%D!

ÇD |Xw! &13:C%6F! *(6')&4! 6'F-! *%'%6*$&;! ')&! %5?5)/! L&60*)/! %$:+)&!1:)4!'F-!h&:H1FD!

åD {36F!1'H6F!WXw!'F4!'0,;4!Ñxk@!6$!6736F!,$!')!C%60*(!6$-A:0)D!

!!

g0!&1)236$04!1)&!7:F60,)1)0)/-'%0!$+-%0!)0!%*(.)&2$4!U!

"D J! ,36F! '0,;! Ñxk! 50%! '%! $1(,$-%! |X! 7:(-0%! I0%,):LH-$'%0@!! 50%! 'F-!h&:H1F!"XDåXàÄâmÜ!!*%0!50%!'F-!E60%!"|D|X!àÄâmÜ! D!tF5;! !ú}~!<!i]_a`pf]!ncp!als!ïa]!]`m^n_!clc^ca^cnl!!

WD =(6')4! $1$8$:5%6+%4! *%0! ,$'%L):A4! XDçàÄâmÜ! 3*%6')D! tF5;! !ú}~! <!i]_a`pf]!ncp!als!ïa]!]`m^n_!clc^ca^cnl!!

|D {36)! *(6')4! *$L%.%+)&! Zùamme! "Xw@! 1)&! $+-%0! n! ,36)4! (:)4! 50%! '04!$'%0:+$4!')&!*.AI)&!

ÇD Q)!*(6')4!*%'%6*$&;4!')&!%5?5)/@!&1).)5+P$'%0!|W!I04!àD!t%+:-)&,$!?4!6&5*:+60,)! %5?5(! ')-! k_``l]^_`ab@! ')-! &1)2%.A660)&! %5?5(! ,$'%8/!B0C/F4! *%0! #0*$.+%4! 1)&! 37$0! 1%:(,)0%! 7%:%*'F:06'0*A@! *%0!7:F60,)1)0)/,$! ')! *(6')4! %5?5)/! %-A! 70.0(,$':)! ,$! ,0%! 1%:%1A-?!%/8F6F!50%!'04!'04!$101:(62$'$4!%1%0';6$04D!!

åD =(6')4! *%'%6*$&;4!6'%2,H-!Ñxk!"Ç! I04! àD!tF5;!ú}~! <! i]_a`pf]! ncp! als!ïa]!]`m^n_!clc^ca^cnl!!

çD E1)23,%'%!%$:+)&!6')!B$C0A2%-!"ç!QmÜD!tF5;!E-%*)+-?6F!'F4!$'%0:+%4!$8(:&8F4!

Page 13: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

LEVI

ATH

AN

INPU

TSP

erio

d nu

mbe

r1

23

45

67

8S

tart

of p

erio

d01

Jan

12

01 J

an 1

301

Jan

14

01 J

an 1

501

Jan

16

01 J

an 1

701

Jan

18

01 J

an 1

9E

nd o

f per

iod

31 D

ec 1

231

Dec

13

31 D

ec 1

431

Dec

15

31 D

ec 1

631

Dec

17

31 D

ec 1

831

Dec

19

1.In

puts

1.1

Tim

ing

inpu

ts

Mod

el s

tart

date

date

01 J

an 1

2N

umbe

r of m

onth

s in

eac

h pe

riod

mth

s12

Num

ber o

f per

iods

perio

ds37

Mod

el e

nd d

ate

date

31 D

ec 4

8

Pro

duct

ion

star

t dat

e da

te01

Jan

17

1.2

Gen

eral

inpu

ts

Uni

ts-

mil

$To

lera

nce

-0.

001

Infla

tion

assu

mpt

ions

%1.

25%

1.25

%1.

25%

1.25

%1.

25%

1.25

%1.

25%

1.25

%

1.3

Trad

ing

inpu

ts-

Rev

enue

s - u

nits

sol

dLN

GM

cf16

,000

,000

,000

--

--

-26

0,00

0,00

026

0,00

0,00

026

0,00

0,00

0P

ipel

ine

Mcf

16,0

00,0

00,0

001,

000,

000,

000

Cas

e se

lect

ed1

--

--

-26

0,00

0,00

026

0,00

0,00

026

0,00

0,00

0

% to

Asi

a%

30%

% to

EU

%70

%G

as p

rice

for A

SIA

/Mcf

$13

.30

$G

as p

rice

for E

U /M

cf$

10.5

0 $

Uni

t pric

e LN

G$

11.3

4U

nit p

rice

pipe

line

$10

.50

Ope

ratio

n C

osts

$/M

cf0.

6S

hipp

ing

Cos

ts$/

Mcf

0.6

Tota

l ong

oing

cos

ts L

NG

$/M

cf1.

2To

tal o

ngoi

ng c

osts

Pip

elin

e$/

Mcf

0.2

1.4

Cap

ital e

xpen

ditu

re in

puts

Cap

ital e

xpen

ditu

re fo

r LN

Gm

il $

14,0

004,

000

-5,

500

--

4,50

0-

-C

apita

l exp

endi

ture

for P

ipel

ine

mil

$32

,000

4,00

05,

000

5,00

05,

000

5,00

05,

000

3,00

0

1.5

Fina

ncin

g in

puts

Ann

ual d

isco

unt r

ate

%10

.00%

LNG

Page 14: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

LEVI

ATH

AN

CA

LCU

LATI

ON

SP

erio

d nu

mbe

r1

23

45

67

Sta

rt of

per

iod

01 J

an 1

201

Jan

13

01 J

an 1

401

Jan

15

01 J

an 1

601

Jan

17

01 J

an 1

8E

nd o

f per

iod

31 D

ec 1

231

Dec

13

31 D

ec 1

431

Dec

15

31 D

ec 1

631

Dec

17

31 D

ec 1

8

1.Sa

les

& c

osts

1.1

Sale

s ca

lcul

atio

n

Infla

tion

inde

xin

dex

1.01

251.

0252

1.03

801.

0509

1.06

411.

0774

1.09

09U

nit p

rice

£11

.34

C

ontra

ct ti

min

g fla

gfla

g-

--

--

11

Uni

tsun

itsM

cf-

--

--

260,

000,

000

260,

000,

000

Sal

es p

rice

per u

nit

£11

.34

11.3

411

.34

11.3

411

.34

11.3

411

.34

Sal

esm

il $

--

--

-2,

948

2,94

8

1.2

Cos

ts c

alcu

latio

n

Inve

stm

ent

mil

$4,

050

-5,

709

--

4,84

8-

Tota

l ong

oing

cos

ts-

--

--

336.

134

0.3

1.3

Trad

e de

btor

s co

ntro

l acc

ount

Deb

tor d

ays

days

0D

ays

in p

erio

dda

ys36

636

536

536

536

636

536

5

Bal

ance

b/f

mil

$-

--

--

--

Sal

esm

il $

--

--

-2,

948

2,94

8C

ash

(rec

eive

d)m

il $

--

--

-(2

,948

)(2

,948

)B

alan

ce c

/fm

il $

--

--

--

-

1.4

Trad

e cr

edito

rs c

ontr

ol a

ccou

nt

Cre

dito

r day

sda

ys0

Day

s in

per

iod

perio

d36

636

536

536

536

636

536

5

Bal

ance

b/f

mil

$-

--

--

--

Cos

tsm

il $

(4,0

50)

-(5

,709

)-

-(4

,848

)-

Cas

h (p

aid)

mil

$4,

050

-5,

709

--

4,84

8-

Bal

ance

c/f

mil

$-

--

--

--

Page 15: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

LEVI

ATH

AN

OU

TPU

TSP

erio

d nu

mbe

r1

23

45

67

Sta

rt of

per

iod

01 J

an 1

201

Jan

13

01 J

an 1

401

Jan

15

01 J

an 1

601

Jan

17

01 J

an 1

8E

nd o

f per

iod

31 D

ec 1

231

Dec

13

31 D

ec 1

431

Dec

15

31 D

ec 1

631

Dec

17

31 D

ec 1

8

1.O

utpu

ts

1.1

Equi

ty c

ashf

low

s

Tota

l equ

ity c

ashf

low

sm

il $

(4,0

50)

-(5

,709

)-

-(2

,236

)2,

608

--

--

--

-(4

,050

)-

(5,7

09)

--

(2,2

36)

2,60

8

1.2

NPV

/ IR

R Ann

ual d

isco

unt r

ate

%10

.00%

Pro

ject

NP

V16

,545

Pro

ject

IRR

%18

.6%

1.3

Sens

itivi

ties

Cas

eLN

G B

ase

case

Pip

elin

e B

ase

case

Pro

ject

IRR

18.6

%16

.7%

Pro

ject

NP

V16

,545

19,5

21

LNG

70%

EU

- 30%

Asi

aLN

G 5

0% E

U -

50%

Asi

aP

roje

ct IR

R18

.6%

19.3

%P

roje

ct N

PV

16,5

4518

,155

Pip

elin

e B

ase

case

Pip

elin

e +3

0% C

ostru

ctio

n co

stP

roje

ct IR

R16

.7%

14.0

%P

roje

ct N

PV

19,5

2113

,005

LNG

Bas

e ca

se P

ricin

gLN

G -2

0% a

vera

ge p

rice

Pro

ject

IRR

18.6

%15

.3%

Pro

ject

NP

V16

,545

10,0

22

Page 16: Πως το κοίτασμα φυσικού αερίου Λεβιάθαν μπορεί να επηρεάσει τις σχέσεις Ισραήλ-Κύπρου-Ρωσίας

! "#!

!"#$%&

&

$%&$!'!()*!+,-./!01,2)3-14!

&5**-)46789/,-)4!.11+/,)3-14!)4:!3;/!<9)*!=>?@AB!C;)3A*!-4!3;/!+-+/8-4/D!

?$7!6!EF"F!$43/,4)3-14)8!!"#$%&'()*+,,-'

GHI!6!$*,)/8A*!1-8!)4:!9)*!*/.31,!-4-3-)3-14!!

%J!6!()K+,12!)4:!?5,1+/!),/!3,L-49!31!/4:!3;/-,!-43/,:/+/4:/4./!

?4/,9L!M/83)! $4*3-353/! '! $*,)/8A*! 1+3-14*! 01,!214/3-K-49! -3*! N)*3! ,/*/,N/*! 10!100*;1,/!4)35,)8!9)*!

OOOP;)),/3KP.12! 6! J5,Q/L! ;)83*! )88! *3)3/! /4/,9L! )4:! O)3/,! +,1R/.3*! O-3;!$*,)/8!

S1T8/!/4/,9L!O/T*-3/!

H>P.12!'!()*!+,-./!01,/.)*3*!

733).;/:!/U./8!21:/8!

C-Q-+/:-)!

!

!

!

!

!

!

!

!

!

!

!

!

!

!