ΠΠ ΤΟ ΠΛΗΜΜΥΡΙΚΟ ΚΑΘΕΣΤΩΣ ΣΤΗΝ ΕΛΛΑΔΑ

download ΠΠ ΤΟ ΠΛΗΜΜΥΡΙΚΟ ΚΑΘΕΣΤΩΣ ΣΤΗΝ ΕΛΛΑΔΑ

of 42

description

civil protection

Transcript of ΠΠ ΤΟ ΠΛΗΜΜΥΡΙΚΟ ΚΑΘΕΣΤΩΣ ΣΤΗΝ ΕΛΛΑΔΑ

  • 1

  • 2

    .

    .

    1800 mm ( ) 400 mm ( ) .

    : 24- =50 175 mm , 100 mm 175 mm .

    .

  • 3

  • 4 (mm) 1960 1990 (: )

  • 5 .

    .

    , .

  • 6

    ( )

    ,

    ( )

    ( 19 40% - 18%)

  • 7

    O 1887 () 1

    1896 () 21

    1896 () 40

    1924 () 15

    1925 () 8

    1930 () 2

    1933 () 1

    1933 () 2

    1934 () 6

    1936 () 2

    1938 () 1

    1961 () 40

    1977 () 21

    1977 () 17

    1979 () 4

    1979 () 1

  • 8

    1980 () 1

    1985 () 2

    1989 () 7

    1990 () 5

    1990 () 1

    1991 () 1

    1992 () 4

    1994 () 4

    1994 () 9

    2001 () 2

    2003 () 2

    : 180

    : 220

  • 9

    ( 4 ).

    180 120 .

    96 50 .

    .

  • 10

    ( 400 mm) .

    3-5 .

    , .

    .

    .

    .

  • 11

    ( )

    GIS.

    .

    .

    3%.

    .

  • 12

    ( 3%)

  • 13

    ()

    .

    .

    .

    http://www.chi.civil.ntua.gr/SITE_CHI2/HTML/INDEX.htmhttp://www.chi.civil.ntua.gr/site_gis/html/index.htm

  • 14

    , . , :

    (.. 25 30% 90 95%).

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .. .

  • 15

    - .

    .

    ( ).

    .

    ()

  • 16

    9 GIS.

    9 GIS.

    9 ( , ).

    9 ( ).

    9 . .

    9 .

    9 .

    9 .

    9 .

  • 17

    -

    n

    Tr

    = 111

    () ()

  • 18

    , . . :

    9 .

    9 .

    9 .

    9 .

    9 (, ).

    9 .

    9 .

  • 19

    .

    1991-1993, Weather Radar and Storm and Flood Hazards sponsored by the EU, EPOCH, ENVIRONMENT &CLIMATE, DG XII.

    1993-1995, Storm, Floods and Radar Hydrology, sponsored by the EU, ENVIRONMENT & CLIMATE, DG XII

    1996-1999, Hydrological and Hydrometeorological Systems for Europe (HYDROMET), sponsored by the EU, ENVIRONMENT & CLIMATE, DG XII

  • 20 Radar.

    .

    .

    (R) .

  • 21

    radar () () .

    (R ) (Z) ( Z R).

    (2x2 km2).

    (merging).

  • 22

    () 110 .

    .

  • 23 - .

    .. HEC1.

    .

    2, 4 6 .

  • 24

    .

    ( 94) 8-9 .

    (.. ).

    ( ).

    .

    .

  • 25

    3

    (.. , SMS, )

    (European Flood Alert System)

    ( 2005) 4

  • 26

    EUROPEAN FLOOD ALERT SYSTEM - EFAS

    Joint Research Centre (JRC) 2006

    .

    , ,

  • 27

    (EUROPEAN FLOOD ALERT SYSTEM EFAS)

    Catchment nameDate of simulated critical situation

    Leadtime of forecast

    Confirmed y/n

    Eden, UK 08/01- 09/01 2005 6 y

    Ribble, UK 08/01- 09/01 2005 6 y

    Ouse, UK 08/01- 09/01 2005 4 y

    Ness, UK 08/01- 09/01 2005 6 y

    Tay, UK 08/01- 09/01 2005 6 y

    Ruhr, D 20/01-21/01 2005 4 y

    Rhine tributaries (Sieg, Mosel, Neckar) 11/02-14/02 2005 3-5 y

    Strimonas, Greece 14/02-18/02 2005 3-4 Y

    Evros, Bulgaria/Greece 24/02-28/02 2005 4 y

    Arda, Bulgaria/Greece 24/02-28/02 2005 4 y

  • 28

    METEONET 10

    ,

  • 29

    METEONET

    23/02/2005 (

    18:00 20:00)

    : 8,4 mm (. ) 23,4 mm (M)

  • 30

    , CO2.

    .

    1 C .

    CO2 3.0 1.5 C 50 100

  • 31

    9 .

    9 .

    9 Hadley Center, Deutsches Klimarechenzetrum, CSIRO, Canadian Center for Climate Modelling and Analysis.

    9 - 2020, 2050 2080.

    9 .

  • 32

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    0

    C

    HAD2020 HAD2050 HAD2080

    C HadCM2 3 (2020, 2050 2080).

    9 - .

    :

  • 33

    -100-80

    -60-40

    -20

    020

    40

    %

    HAD2020 HAD2050 HAD2080

    (%) HadCM2 3 (2020, 2050 2080).

    9 ( 100% ).

  • 34

    .

    .

    , 60% .

    ( )

  • 35

    -100

    -80

    -60

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    %

    HAD2020 HAD2050 HAD2080

    (%) HadCM2 3 (2020, 2050 2080).

  • 36

    01020304050607080

    %

    10 20 100 1000

    PIK HAD50

    (%) HadCM2050 10, 20, 100 1000 .

  • 37

    10 20 100 1000

    592,6 675,0 861,7 1125,9

    HadCM2050 647,1 763,6 1027,3 1400,5

    672,6 838,6 1276,6 2025,0

    HadCM2050 10, 20, 100 1000 .

  • 38

    .

    GIS.

    .

    .

    .

    , .

  • 39

    .

  • 40

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5%

    10 20 100 1000

    10, 20, 100 1000 , .

  • 41

    -

    ..

    1. -

    2. , ,

    3.

    4.

    5.

    6. ,

  • 42

    - .

    : .

    .

    .

    . .

    .